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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB voters have become much less enamoured with their leader since GE2017
The chart above shows the net satisfaction ratings for Jeremy Corbyn from Ipsos MORI in every published poll since the last general election. Note how this was remaining relatively solid until April this year when there was a dramatic drop which has remained.
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Last year's list sparked an outcry about gender and ethnic inequality because the top of the list was dominated by white men and because some men were shown to have been paid more than female co-hosts.
Last year, the top seven were all men - this time, it's the top 12.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-44779292
I reckon it is going to happen again with Corbyn and Hunt.
How many were size 9 feet or below ?
How many were Libra or Sagittarius ?
There could be no end to the discrimination at the BBC....
People remember JC's manifest flaws....
That boy has some serious sponging SKILLS.
For comparison here's what the figures were in the early part of 2017
Jan 2017 minus 6%
Feb 2017 minus 9%
March 2017 minus 10%
April 2017 plus 17%
May 2017 plus 23%
https://www.ipsos.com/ipsos-mori/en-uk/satisfaction-leaders-amongst-party-supporters
No need to start a fight in your own house when there's a much more entertaining argy bargy going on next door.
Moreover, virtually no one outside Westminster or this board, (and plenty inside) really understands it.
Do you think he only won because he was less fat than Gordon Brown? Because Dave was definitely fatter than EdM.
Or is it done by average fatness of the whole cabinet?
It could still be Hammond as Brexit converges on what he forecast originally (albeit he was probably just reading a Treasury briefing note). 50/1 with Shadsy and an odds boost if you are lucky.
Who are the grown-ups left? Hunt, Javid, Hammond; who else?
I thought £17m seemed like a lot of money.
Would? no. Could? Definitely. That also goes for beyond the next few months depending on how Brexit and May's leadership go.
I think he does a perfectly ok job presenting, but BBC and ITV sports coverage is still stuck in the 20th Century*. The analysis is very poor in comparison to say Gary Neville on Sky (why ITV thought it was a great idea to pay for Gary Neville, then not give him an interactive board is beyond me).
* other than we have now gone to 4 in the studio, 2-3 pitchside and 2 commentators for every game....which is like watching CNN news where you learn nothing because everybody only get 5s to make their point before they move onto the next person.
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grabcocque said:
I get the sense that Corbyn's drifting is intentional, he's slowly allowing himself to float towards the gate marked "bowing out gracefully" in time for our one and true Meme Queen Emily T to take the reins in *pounding May like a dockside hooker* in the next GE.
The Uk hasn't voted for a *fat PM* since 1951...
Flag Quote · Off Topic
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Just gallantry at its finest from a couple of silver-tongued rakes on PB.
Also, they could offer an analysis in the highlights shows in the evening....they do, but its rubbish.
Or German electorates, for that matter. I bet Merkel's boobs probably weigh more than Macron.
CON: 41% (-)
LAB: 39% (-1)
LD: 9% (-)
UKIP: 4% (+1)
GRN: 3% (-)
I hope May can get the deal done, even if it needs opposition assistance.
Suggest that political parties at least subconsciously tend not to put up corpulent types either as it's a big risk.
Or that contenders go on a diet as the prize comes in sight.
I would rather it was because of the antisemitism, rather than backing the Customs Union, because of my respective views on the two subjects. It's hard to tell.
Either way it does look like some actual damage occurred and so this makes it less likely that Corbyn will recover the lost ground in a GE campaign as his supporters believe.
I miss it.
It goes without saying that as a member I will not vote for a hard Brexiteer including Boris and JRM
And I try to be honest and not abusive
That so far has been an asset. He's mostly been able to brush off even profoundly justified attacks by being vague and asserting his belief in his own moral virtue. However, eventually, even as an opposition leader you begin to be judged on the consequences of your actions and what you've actually achieved. We're getting to that stage with both Brexit and anti-Semitism - where even some of the faithful are beginning to get a bit tired of the magic grandpa act and ask what the actual plan is. On anti-Semitism even those who are mildly sympathetic towards the left of the party are beginning to see that he's hugely responsible, both through inaction and his actions, for the racist filth polluting the party. On Brexit they're starting to question why there's a vacuum when we need some form of alternative strategy to the chaos among the Tories - whether it's EEA/EFTA soft Brexit or revisiting the vote in the wake of two years of ballsing it up. We're not quite there yet, but he's getting to the point now where he's led the party long enough to have put his stamp on it and have made a difference, and people are going to start asking where's the beef?
So who will be the semi-finalists in the Tory leadership betting? The Chancellor, Home Secretary and Foreign Secretary, and who? Not who do you like or who would you vote for or even (thanks to this thread) who ate all the pies but who has a solid defence, creative midfield and a top striker? Who will the draw open up for? Hunt maybe? I don't know if anyone had the foresight to tip him at 100/1 when Hunt was at Health but now he is in one of the great offices of state and will shake hands with The Donald. If I were a lady Cabinet minister's SpAd I might advise her to polish up her twitter feed and take elocution lessons but is there another bloke in the running?
In the case of Trump, his supporters are all fucking mental so who knows.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/may/30/bristol-council-withdraws-eu-referendum-leaflet-unfair-remain-graphic
Although I do think a lot of the first paragraph can be explained by him being rather dim.
Plus I think you're showing off your misogyny, dockside hookers can be male as well as female, as well as gender fluid people.
"Britain is in this mess principally because the Brexiteers — led largely by Mr. Johnson — sold the country a series of lies in the lead up to the June 2016 referendum on leaving the European Union. They did so because neither Mr. Johnson nor his fellow leader of the Leave campaign, Michael Gove, intended, wanted or expected to win."
https://mobile.nytimes.com/2018/07/10/opinion/boris-johnson-resignation-brexit.html
Best regards .