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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Amber Rudd now clear third favourite in the CON leader bettig
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Amber Rudd now clear third favourite in the CON leader bettig
However you look at the next Conservative leadership betting there’s one thing that is probably not going to happen – that the two men heading the betting at the moment, old Etonians Boris Johnson and Jacob Rees-Mogg, are not going to be fighting each other in the membership ballot which, of course, is of the two who top the secret ballot of party MPs.
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Those betting on Mogg seem completely ignorant of the Tory leadership system which allows members to vote only after Tory MPs have filtered out anyone who they dont want as leader.
The reception to Boris Johnson's speech on Wednesday, indeed the quite dreadful delivery of that speech should warn anyone off betting on Johnson.
Amber Rudd comes across badly on TV. She comes across as strident loud and hectoring, not as someone who would come across well in an election campaign. And she is faced with a dilimma: stay as MP for her consituency of Hastings and risk defeat, go elsewhere and be certain of taunts of "frit". Her very loud support for Remain during the referendum would make it very dificult to become Tory leader.
I dont think Mogg or Johnson or Rudd will be the next Tory leader. Betting markets have got it wrong again.