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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Could the first by-election of the 2017 Parliament be at Ashford in Kent?
One of the problems about running a website dedicated to betting on politics is that we need things on which we can gamble where we’re going to get a result in the not too distant future.
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Mildly amused the EU repeatedly says nothing's agree until everything's agreed, and when Davis makes a similar comment suddenly people are wetting themselves.
On-topic: interesting possibility. Would seem to be a two horse race.
Mr. Eagles, if May's seat is the second, whose would be the third?
Maidenhead is in Berkshire.
The other Kent seats that might see by-elections are Thanet South and Dover.
My knowledge of geography so far south it's almost French is not very strong, I confess.
Panera’s Hurst told me that because of its new kiosks, and an app that allows online ordering, the chain is now processing more orders overall, which means it needs more total workers to fulfill customer demand. Starbucks patrons who use the chain’s app return more frequently than those who don’t, the company has said, and the greater efficiency that online ordering allows has boosted sales at busy stores during peak hours. Starbucks employed 8 percent more people in the U.S. in 2016 than it did in 2015, the year it launched the app.
https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/01/iron-chefs/546581/
Raises hand slowly....sir I have an (obvious) question...
Presumably it was the cover up rather than any offence.
The only thing I will say is that there has been a truly massive amount of residential development around Ashford and the demographics in the constituency must be shifting. So past voting patterns won't necessarily be a good guide to what will happen next time.
https://twitter.com/CCHQPress/status/940245282062766081
I'd have thought their votes would be concentrated around the town of Ashford itself, whilst the Conservatives would be strong in the rural areas.
But, I hope Green stays.
Also when are Scots and English & Welsh law becoming intertwined ?
Funny how all those who accused Labour of acting shamefully towards Carl Sargeant have gone silent.
(I genuinely have no idea. Anybody know?)
https://fullfact.org/law/no-gavels-please-were-british/
2) We don't use gavels in this country.
We just need somebody to break the fourth wall and ask, "Who wrote this rubbish?"
https://www.politico.com/story/2017/12/11/poll-alabama-senate-race-roy-moore-doug-jones-217287
Jones is still available at 4.5 on Betfair.
Could spoil Trump’s Christmas. Oh dear!!
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-5167409/Damian-Green-not-quit-SACKED.html#ixzz50y9MDp7X
If it turns out there was a deception it really would be the most extraordinary behaviour.
Surely that will plummet if he becomes DPM.
Such brilliant insight and for free.
https://twitter.com/benglaze/status/940253933876011008
The Pompeians were full of beans before Pharsalus.
https://twitter.com/ftwestminster/status/940255082582507520
But yes - if Hunt comes good, I will certainly make a donation!
The proposals were set out in “Financing Investment”, a report commissioned by the Labour leadership and written by GFC Economics, an independent economic research firm.
The report, which was published on Monday, also suggests that the Bank of England should be moved to Birmingham.
According to GFC, British banks are “diverting resources” away from vital industries and instead focusing on unproductive lending, such as consumer credit borrowing.
The paper argues that the Prudential Regulation Authority, the BoE’s City regulator, should use existing powers to make banks hold relatively more capital against their mortgage lending. The report’s authors say this would be an “incentive to boost SME lending growth”.
It could be politically risky to implement a policy that could diminish the supply of mortgages,
When I went to a launch of Turner's book on debt & devil, Richard Murphy was there too and was largely in agreement on the analysis in the book, although quibbled over the necessity for/reality of Central Bank Independence.
This looks to be another area where Labour party policy has been influenced by that book/that strand of post-crisis economic thinking.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2010/mar/17/adair-turner-make-home-loans-less-available-larry-elliott
"Fallback option of last resort."
Not so catchy, is it. Pretty darned important, that said!
No wonder Soubry is praising Tezza.
Less credit could mean lower prices.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/940260186157174784
Those of us who work for a living often have to sleep under our desks...
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Theresa May was never going to resign on the day after the general election. No prime minister in 400 years has ever resigned after being returned to power after a general election, and the Tories would rightly have been accused of undemocratically ditching the leader that had been chosen by the electorate as its preferred prime minister, and replacing her with one with no democratic mandate.
Damien Green might have to resign, but he is unlikely to stand down as an MP. Labour did not come a good second in 2017, it was 30 points behind the Tories in 2017. Canterbury was won because of the university students who lived there.
With regard to by elections in general, governments usually do lose them mid term. Neil Kinnock won sensational victories. in the 80s, early 90s, and was ahead in the polls for 8 out of 9 years -except at general election time. He was ahead by far more than Corbyn.
Green is unlikely to stand down as an MP, but the Tories need to lose 7 by elections to be in danger of brought down, and in 6 months there have been none. On that average it would take nearly 4 years for the Tories to be in danger.
The next election will almost certainly be in 2022. The Tories will have another leader, a better manifesto and line of attack against Labour, and those older people who did not turn out in 2017, will turn out in droves now they know that Corbyn is a threat.