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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sean Fear – a great loss for the Tories and a great catch for UKIP
Sean’s relationship with the site is a long one. Back in 2004 he became just about the first regular Tory poster here at a time when the threads were totally dominated dominated by Labour supporters.
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According to Arab League insiders, approval will be offered amid a formulation that warns against the excessive use of force and is coupled with calls for the protection of Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.
Looking forward to the 4 o'clock kick off.
I can only think he considers their right wingery as more important than their fruit cakery
Charles said:
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It's worth bearing in mind that, had the defence budget not been so massively overcommitted by the last lot (ordering toys without the money to pay for it) then the cuts wouldn't have been so deep
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I do realise that Charles and you are right. However it does not absolve governments, both Labour and Tory of whittling away at our armed services ever since Suez and the final end of conscription. Maggie was lucky that her cuts had not been carried out by the time the Falklands episode started; the ships that were due for the scrapyard saved her bacon.
A volunteer army of 180K, (Thats about 50K of front line fighting troops) as an absolute minimum, was supposed to be maintained for the defence of the realm. Look where we are now!
He said that he had always been Labour but would not vote for them again as he described the current shadow cabinet as "less than third class", both in quality and capability and was unable to see any rising future stars.
His remarks also go for the other parties as he found few ministers to be top notch and their civil servants to be totally lacking vision.
His remarks were specifically aimed at the Depts of Energy where he was aghast at the lack of a strategic plan and the seeming lack of urgency to formulate one.
In the course of his work he had travelled widely in France, Italy, Spain and Portugal as he was interested in where and how EU money was spent. He found that in all these countries that EU rules are disregarded on how the money is spent, whilst in the UK those rules are followed over-religiously. Hence those countries have obtained a better infrastructure in many places than the UK.
The problem with joining UKIP is that it's splitting the centre-right, and that will have electoral consequences. Sean knows this, of course, so he must think the Tory Party is beyond redemption.
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/normantebbit/100233459/if-mr-cameron-is-ousted-from-no-10-it-will-be-by-his-own-hand/
Mr. Stopper, Mr. Submarine and the late Mr. SBS were both excellent Lib Dem regulars.
MIss 64, could be wrong, but I wasn't aware you ever had any respect for Cameron.
After Iraq several of the brightest and best on the Labour side moved to the Lib Dems or the Greens or even Respect. To the left of Blair they had a lot of choice.
'A volunteer army of 180K, (Thats about 50K of front line fighting troops) as an absolute minimum, was supposed to be maintained for the defence of the realm. Look where we are now!
But using your leader's logic it could be cut even further since we will no longer be involved in any overseas interventions.
www.sarahsackman.com/
Will Straw selected in Rossendale
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/10279018/John-Kerry-US-has-proof-that-sarin-gas-used-in-Syria.html
John Kerry says -
"(Assad) has now joined the list of Adolf Hitler and Saddam Hussein" in deploying chemical weapons against his population."
I would hope the squad will be strong enough to qualify for the CL but the title is a non starter until we get a manager who knows how to win.
Liverpool definitely look better but they will face sterner tests. What are they going to do if Gerrard gets injured?
Spurs have bought really well. A CL position is surely in sight. Chelsea, City, Spurs, hopefully Man U. Best we can hope for.
"For the Lib Dems, I dunno, maybe antifrank?"
A lot of the best posters used to be Lib Dems but after the debacle of Clegg all but Mark Senior and one or two others have slunk off.
I can't ever imagine standing for a Parliamentary election for any party. Morbid curiosity might tempt me to try my luck as a local councillor.
2. There was rather negative article about EU infrastructure grants the other day. (link below)
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/matspersson/100025417/the-eu-budget-is-a-disaster-that-cannot-save-greece/
I'm fine with Universal Credit roll out going slowly. It's a big project and it's important to take the time to get it right.
The 5.2% increase in welfare was, in hindsight, overly generous. But (IIRC) that was the automatic rate of increase (September RPI or somesuch) and it would have taken positive action to implement a change. You can imagine the screams of anger and the attempt to use it to 'toxify' the Tory name. Completely unreasonably, but then many on the left don't care about affordability.
"United are just completely lacking in attacking flair. Slow, ponderous, cautious. It really won't do."
They've not had a good team for a couple of seasons. Fergie did too much shuffling leaving some of his best players-like Nani-completely bereft of confidence and a further two or three way past retirement age. Worst of all Moyes is no way up to the job and everybody knows it.
They should have got Wenger
"(Assad) has now joined the list of Adolf Hitler and Saddam Hussein" in deploying chemical weapons against his population."
There haven't been that many civil wars but did Hitler? And I suppose it depends what you call your own people. Israel have used them and the US have used them so probably not too smart of Kerry to bring this up.
http://www7.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2009/07/12/the-7388-posts-of-samuel-best-shaw/
At least I hope we do.
Can you give some detail on the Israeli use of chemical weapons?
I have to admit I can't remember where Sean stands on many policies - but I do have that basic feeling of knowing that generally when I see him post on something my instinctive first reaction is that I agree with him and that he is one of the allies rather than one of the opponents. We all have differing opinions on things even when we are in the same party or at least on the same political alignment and but I don't remember seeing a Sean post that I couldn't basically agree with.
I can't help but feel that Sean might be joining the party he would like to be rather than the party that is (if you will excuse my tortuous use of the English language).
There are a lot of things wrong with UKIP, both organisationally and politically and I can't quite get myself away from the feeling that it is the best of a bad lot which is hardly a ringing endorsement. It is, to my mind, far too small 'c' conservative and reactionary. It could be a positive anti-statist party and certainly there is a wing that wishes it to be that way - a wing that I believe includes quite a few senior members. But it does appear to me that UKIP membership swells most when it takes a reactionary position rather than a positive reform position on things. For me as a Libertarian this is not a good thing.
Hopefully if we get more new members of Sean's calibre and outlook this might change but I am by no means certain that this will be the case.
" I hope you are not implying that the German Jews were not true Germans?"
Of course not but if you are including executions such as that suffered by the Jews in concentration camps then you would have to include Americans executed using gas and lethal injection in their penal system.
You are also a lying Fascist to to read your comments on jews.
SBS ( Sam ) was a tragic loss at a very young age and someone I spoke to outside of pb .
He does have form for getting things utterly wrong but lets see his response before we get over excited.
As Mike indicates, he has been an outstanding Tory voice on the Site, respected by posters of all political persuasions.
He really will be a loss to the Party, but it will cope. I just hope he has a happy and successful relationship with his new Party.
It would be wonderful if he made it to Parliament. We'd all be better off, his constituents particularly.
What happened last Thursday was not a Machiavellian political ambush: it was the belated revolt of the doomed Tory Party against its destroyer. Cameron failed to secure the support of 63 Conservative MPs – in a vote on war. One in five Tory members sat this one out, 30 voted against Cameron. They included even members of the notorious “payroll vote”. That so many aspiring junior ministers should have joined the rebellion, on the eve of a reshuffle, speaks volumes. It means they recognise that after 2015 – at the latest – Cameron will no longer be in a position to extend patronage. Dave is not so much a lame-duck premier as a legless one.
America has already absorbed the lesson: Dave has lost his party, he can deliver nothing, he is yesterday’s man. It was notable he did not call Barack Obama after his defeat. His hopes of securing even cosmetic “concessions” from the European Union to appease his MPs – though not the electorate – are sunk. He scarcely bothered to court his backbenchers: Labour had enabled him to bulldoze through homosexual marriage, which was supported only by a minority of Conservative MPs: it would do the same for him on Syria. It was not only Dave who was served notice to quit last week, but the whole “modernising” clique, the Entitled Ones, who for years have betrayed Tory principles and despised party activists as “swivel-eyed loons”.
Read the full piece:
http://www.scotsman.com/news/gerald-warner-fags-revolt-makes-eton-mess-of-cameron-s-tories-1-3070062#.UiNSLcdp1Is.twitter
So they didn't have any evidence before the planned attack which was called off at the last minute by Obama.
Still, it's all good, they can show their evidence to the UNSC including who these "activists" are who supplied the hair samples.
As an aside it looks like Kerry is leading the charge for the regime-changers with Obama holding back.
2. He did speak to Obama.
3. I suspect the result was a cock up, driven by complacency following Miliband's commitment to support him
I think you're right that UKIP is predominantly reactionary (in the sense of longing for the good old days) rather than either libertarian or, to be fair, racist. I've seen a column by a left-wing commentator that Britain is fortunate to have a reactionary right party doing well rather than a fascist one, and I think that's broadly true. There's nothing very terrible about wanting a perceived Britain of the past to return, though we can argue about its realism or desirability. A libertarian small-government party would be an interesting addition, but I can't see one anywhere on the landscape - the Pirates perhaps come closest on the European scene. UKIP is libertarian on some issues but mainly by accident, when they grouchily reject some new-fangled restrictions: they don't seem to systematically favour less government and more individualism. Similarly their anti-immigration line seems more driven by it being seen as a major cultural change (and therefore bad) rather than a BNP-style dislike of foreigners per se. There are obviously exceptions to all these generalisations.
"Warner is madder than Kim jong Un at a cane toad licking festival."
LOL! But if it means what I think it means it's an understatement!
FURIOUS politicians have demanded Prime Minister David Cameron explain why chemical export licences were granted to firms last January – 10 months after the Syrian uprising began.
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/uk-world-news/britain-sold-nerve-gas-chemicals-2242520
I bet Assad said he wanted the chemicals for agricultural reasons.
The Britain we must now look forward to is the one exemplified by Danny Boyle’s Olympics opening ceremony, where everything socialistic, feel-goody, hipster and ‘progressive’ was glorified, whereas the things we should really be proud about Britain for – such as her place in the front lines of the struggles against Fascism, Communism, Islamofascism and other totalitarian ideologies – were entirely ignored.
As I recall, some of the brighter PB Tories predicted this would happen at the time of the Olympics opening ceremony.
"Analysis by The Sunday Telegraph shows that the authorities have investigated more than 700 cases of sensitive data being obtained illegally from organisations such as mobile telephone companies, councils and the NHS in the last five years.
The cases cover the details of hundreds of thousands of individuals, and include instances where confidential medical information was stolen from official databases. In some cases the personal information was sold on to marketing firms, providing leads for Britain’s burgeoning cold-calling industry. Many records were stolen by employees seeking a profit, while in other cases, staff used the data in personal feuds. The analysis shows the theft of data on an industrial scale, and experts say its extent highlights the weaknesses of security systems designed to protect personal information once it has been handed over to organisations in both the public and private sectors.
...The Sunday Telegraph, assisted by Big Brother Watch, a privacy campaign group, analysed all prosecutions brought against people for breaching section 55 of the Data Protection Act in the last five years...The analysis disclosed that prosecutors had brought charges for 714 alleged breaches of section 55 in the last five financial years... >> http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/crime/10278345/Medical-files-to-phones-personal-details-stolen-on-industrial-scale.html
Mussolini, who invented it, was a socialist.
But it is in the little things rather than the big headlines that things could and should be so much better. There is no reason why (as an example) I as a geologist should find it so difficult now to by Hydrochloric acid compared to 20 or 30 years ago. The same goes for many other useful chemicals. It might be a minor thing to most but for me in my job and my hobby it is a real pain. And it is funny to talk to people and find how many other unnecessary inconveniences have been imposed on them in their daily lives over the last half century or so. On their own they might be minor and something that much of the population would not even be aware of but they all add up and I suspect there are few people who do not find that there is some unnecessary governmental interference into their work or private lives they would not like to see removed.
It is so easy to lose things nowadays if you are not careful.
Something to do in one's salad days.
When the sun is setting, most generally return to the comfort food of the nursery.
"the things we should really be proud about Britain for – such as her place in the front lines of the struggles against Fascism, Communism, Islamofascism and other totalitarian ideologies"
Much too negative. He'd have walk outs. People like looking forward. I was hoping that the momentum of the well received Olympic opening would consign Victorian relics like Roberts to a life outside of the public sphere
That conundrum is realling tying Mike K up in knots.
It is now considered doubtful in military circles whether we could retake the Falklands or fulfil out NATO obligations should the Syrians choose to attack Turkey - something which even many of us in UKIP believe would then justify our intervention.
So to claim that we need a larger military spend whilst at the same time believing we should not be acting as the World's deputy sheriff is entirely consistent.
What is not consistent is the Tory line that we should be sticking our noses into every fight around the world whilst cutting our armed forces so much that we are incapable of actually doing anything other than stirring up anger against us without actually doing any good.
I accept in part the argument that much of the dire state of our armed forces is due to previous administrations but in that case you do something to change that and until such times as you have done that you cut your cloth according to your means.
In among a load of silly stuff about how only bond villains can get hold of and use chemical weapons Gilligan makes the good point that part of the public resistance to Iraq 2 is Iraq 1 and in particular the gang of four and their dodgy dossier.
If the political establishment want to lance that boil then considering the gang of four are too tainted to be useful to them any more they could dump a ton of official sh*te on them via Chilcot and close the chapter - justice seen to be done etc.
Cameron made a big mistake in referring to UKIP as fruitcakes - It really insulted the above type of voter imo. Major or Thatcher (whilst insulting the toffs and wets ) would never insult the common man even indirectly like Cameron did.
"In among a load of silly stuff about how only bond villains can get hold of and use chemical weapons Gilligan makes the good point that part of the public resistance to Iraq 2 is Iraq 1 and in particular the gang of four and their dodgy dossier."
There's an old Spanish saying that if you sit by the river long enough the body of your enemy will come floating by. I wish Gilligan would take note. He keeps retrieving the body and then tries to drown him all over again. He's a dead parrot Gilligan. Let him go
Eventually Mr. Fear will receive a plenary indulgence but not quite yet.
The momentum of the opening ceremony was one of the few things I thought we could have had more of.
And my appreciation of Andrew Roberts is enhanced by a youthful appreciation of his daughter.
I shall have no word spoken againts father or daughter.