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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the S Times reports are correct it doesn’t bode well for TMay’s survival chances
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Just heard the new UKIP leader on the radio and he sounds like a complete dork.
What happened to the anti-Islam woman? That was their last chance to remain relevant.
And second
https://youtu.be/Xe5OynLQbJc
What a fookin mess the Tories are in
Con:.....15.........30..........45.......60
Lab:......70.........52.........38........23
.........18-24....25-49...50-64.....65+
Age is by far the best determinant of whether you vote Conservative or Labour.
Murdoch has made his mind up.
But keeping Labour out for 5 years is far more important that who leads the Tory Party.
Be in no doubt they are trying to topple her soon so the Hard Brexiters can shape or in all probability blow up the A50 negotiations. This is happening. The questions now are #1 Will there be a counter attack by the same wing of the Tories ? #2 Will it work ?
Just get on with it. You could have done it within a few weeks of taking power if you really cared.
Clear Mays tenure is nearing an end. Tories in a right old mess.
Theresa May is set to announce that tuition fees will be frozen at £9,250 in an overhaul of student funding.
She told the Sun on Sunday there would also be an increase of the repayment threshold, meaning graduates only start paying once they are earning £25,000.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-41456555
This is going to change precisely zero people's vote one way or another.
I hope for the country's sake they remain focused on the former
Titanic.
The story will be very well sourced, and accurate.
Given current government finances, and other priorities, not much more than can be done.
Lets wait and see what is announced across the conference. 10 billion to help young people buy and an overhaul of the rented sector including the abolition of tenancy fees is a good start if confirmed
This would cost the Govt nil but would be presentationally much better.
NB. Don't change it for people who paid fees of £3k as they have a much lower debt which they can repay.
Only tricky bit would be cut-off for those who had some fees at £3k and some at £9k - maybe given them the choice.
His recent behaviour really is especially stupid
Vision. Respect. Patience. Argument from first principles. Showing their means are the only way to achieve better ends. Optimism. Right tone, and language. Stamina. Resilience.
This is the approach needed.
They deserve a stint on the opposition benches.
I think you're being paranoid.
The planned £250 increase in tuition fees for 2018-19 will not go ahead and they will instead remain at the current maximum of £9,250 per year.
Seriously. That's it? FFS.
While maomentum will bang on about the evils of centrist dad, the Tories rarely fight hard on the all the failures of socialism as if they believe that everybody knows it and feels the same way...Except the kids don't and quite like the sound of it.
The choice is probably a TMay Brexit or Corbyn.
If Boris becomes PM he won't be able to get a Hard Brexit through the Commons. Which would mean a GE which could result in anything - but probably Corbyn I suspect.
The tories still look to have banked the "savings" from cancelling the support for the poorest students, back in 2015.
Disappointing if they haven't reinstated that, especially bad for the JAMS.
I'd sell the shirt on my back to stop Corbyn. Bedblocking him out of office, even with IDS as PM, would be preferable to that, and doing the nation a great service.
Get your party back, for all our sakes.
I do not support UKIP at all but he does seem to be a big improvement on Farage et al
I think that they are suspicious of Jezza, but repelled by May. Could BoJo win them? I don't think so, but this is his chance.
Stop being so blindly partisan and have a bit of respect for democracy
Also I think the quality of those going into politics these days is piss poor, on all sides, it encourages trained robots who succeed by dodging controversy and playing the media game.
No, I wouldn't be any better. But you get better (and more convincing) arguments on here than in the Commons or in TV interviews/debate, most of the time.
Do we have to go back to Uk constitution 101?
Even after 1945 the Tories were back in power after 6 years, after 1964 after 6 years too and after 1974 after just 5 years. Only New Labour of postwar Labour governments lasted over a decade and Corbyn is no Attlee or Wilson
Not really, at least the current system has the opportunity to find a way out of the extra tax burden.
In any case, a graduate tax could be far lower than 9%, as high earners will keep paying it.
Permanently raising it, but freezing the level, allows the treasury to sell off the loans and get a much higher rate for them than if the threshold was linked to earnings.
As an investment, student loans with a frozen threshold are a fantastic inflation-protected asset. Pension funds etc love them.
Complacency has already brought us to the brink, and will end up killing us.
We must march to the sound of the guns and publicly win the arguments in theological combat.
Yes, high earners would pay more - if you want to avoid that then put a maximum cap on the total graduate tax that could ever be paid over a lifetime.
The point is to get rid of the mindset of debt - that is the problem.
And it can be done without costing the Treasury anything - or only very little.
But now having set the building on fire to get what you wanted your observing the chaos in anger and bewilderment. You are shouting at the flames and collapsing masonry telling them they are are misbehaving but the chaos does care. Pound Shop Dr Frankenstein's complaining the monster you built to get what you want is no longer under control.
So faced with the latest development in the unfolding chaos, the Sunday Times story, you are reduced to denying the obvious and using mildly abusive words like " Paranoid ". Physician heal thyself.
Life is great
Ok, thank you. I'll take that as a win.
According to http://www.moneysavingexpert.com/students/student-finance-calculator - it will take them about 10 years.
a) They will freeze their pot ( the very very very few that have £1m ) at £999k.
b) If you've paid NI for 35 years with the govt saying " you get a pension" and it's taken away - where's the fairness?
c) Given a pot of £1m buys you an index linked pension at 65 with 50% spouse pension (a standard public sector terms pension) of about £28k, are public sector pensioners who get more than 28k ( say deputy school heads) going to be so penalised too?