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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on how many deposits the Lib Dems will lose in 2015

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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited August 2013
    And even the good news keeps getting better

    This morning's second estimate of Q2 2013 GDP growth revised the first estimate up from 0.6% to 0.7%. This was always on the cards given the current acceleration in growth. Q1 GDP was left unchanged at 0.3%.

    The components of Q2 growth which drove the revision were Manufacturing (revised up from 0.4% to 0.7%) and Construction (up from 0.9% to 1.4%). Services growth remain unchanged at 0.6%.

    And specially for another richard, Bloomberg pointed out that:

    Exports rose 3.6 percent, the most since the fourth quarter of 2011, and imports increased 2.5 percent. Net trade has added to GDP for two straight quarters, the first time that’s happened since the first quarter of 2011.

    Consumer spending rose 0.4 percent, government expenditure increased 0.9 percent and gross fixed capital formation jumped 1.7 percent. Consumer spending was boosted by a 2.4 percent increase in employee compensation. That was partly driven by financial-services firms deferring bonuses until April, when the government cut the top rate of income tax.


    So not a consumption led increase nor a "boom" pumped up by house price inflation. What we are seeing is a true slow march of the makers.

    The ONS also announced separately that business investment rose 0.9% in the second quarter, a welcome turnaround even if investments levels remain 3.5% down on Q2 2012.

    The revised figures mean that the UK's Q2 growth rate was 2.9% annualised compared to the same rate calculation in the US of 1.7%.

    With a figure like this St. George doesn't need to take off his shirt on a Cornish beach.
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    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 41,974
    GIN1138 said:

    I've been pondering.

    If Cameron resembles Steven Seagal, which actor does Ed Miliband resemble?

    LOL, I think Cameron as Patrick Star was more accurate, Ed would be either plankton or barnacle Boy
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967

    Here is the judgment of the Divisional Court in an application for interim relief by the claimant in Regina (on the application of Miranda) v Secretary of State for the Home Department and the Commissioner of the Police of the Metropolis [2013] EWHC 2609 (Admin).

    They need an abstract on those things ;) I am (so obviously, after reading that) not a lawyer, anyone care to summarise?
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Plato said:

    @JosiasJessop

    The gist.

    " Four women are planning to sue Rotherham Council for “systemic failures to protect them from sexual abuse by predatory men when they were children”, according to their lawyers...

    A girl in the care of social services was allowed extensive daily contact with a violent adult offender who was suspected of grooming more than a dozen young teenagers to use and sell for sex. Police and social services held detailed intelligence about the activities of Arshid Hussain. He has not, however, yet been prosecuted for a child-sex offence." http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/crime/article3851263.ece

    This is the same council that forbid a couple to foster children because they supported UKIP!
    Thats by the way. It seems that this council and Yorkshire police were hand in glove to protect these groomers of under age girls because they were 100% muslim and might be seen as racism.

    How low parts our kingdom has become because of the insidious and evil results of political correctness.
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    antifrank said:

    There would be something very pleasing about Britain having a seminal human rights case called Miranda to match the US seminal human rights case called Miranda.

    Wasn't "Miranda" the trigger for Summer Glau's character in Serenity?
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited August 2013
    The BBC clears itself of bias

    This is hilarious final sentence in the report

    https://twitter.com/cjsnowdon/status/370950483604541440

    Christopher Snowdon @cjsnowdon
    Previous research by the guy who did the 'BBC is pro-business' study found that the Today programme is pro-bankers. orca.cf.ac.uk/38722/
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    edited August 2013
    MikeK said:

    Plato said:

    @JosiasJessop

    The gist.

    " Four women are planning to sue Rotherham Council for “systemic failures to protect them from sexual abuse by predatory men when they were children”, according to their lawyers...

    A girl in the care of social services was allowed extensive daily contact with a violent adult offender who was suspected of grooming more than a dozen young teenagers to use and sell for sex. Police and social services held detailed intelligence about the activities of Arshid Hussain. He has not, however, yet been prosecuted for a child-sex offence." http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/crime/article3851263.ece

    This is the same council that forbid a couple to foster children because they supported UKIP!
    Thats by the way.

    MODERATED
    How low parts our kingdom has become because of the insidious and evil results of political correctness.
    A detail not missed by the 100 or so comments under the article - what on Earth Rotherham has been doing is beyond me. And it looks like a right load of dog doodaa is about to come out.
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    anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    edited August 2013
    "...the 20-25 target seats or so they could gain if the Tories have a relatively poor night."

    Surely the LDs will be putting any and all resources they have in holding their LD/Con marginals? Spending money on targets, or LD/Lab seats, looks like a waste.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010

    antifrank said:

    There would be something very pleasing about Britain having a seminal human rights case called Miranda to match the US seminal human rights case called Miranda.

    Wasn't "Miranda" the trigger for Summer Glau's character in Serenity?
    Ah, Mrs J has a massive girl-crush on Summer Glau.

    Not the most attractive lady in the world, but she can move so incredibly gracefully. The bar-fight scene in Serenity is amazing.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3FJatsqNdf4

    That clip also features Adam Baldwin, who is a main character in the excellent TV series 'Chuck'.
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    THE ROTHERHAM CASE IS CLOSED TO COMMENTS BAR LINKS FROM REPUTABLE SOURCES
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109

    Not the most attractive lady in the world

    Say whaaat!?
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited August 2013
    tim said:

    They'll get slapped in Scotland in seats where they aren't contending.

    According to Martin Baxter's Electoral Calculus the Scottish Lib Dems could lose 43 deposits at UK GE 2015:

    Aberdeen North
    Airdrie and Shotts
    Angus
    Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
    Ayrshire Central
    Ayrshire North and Arran
    Banff and Buchan
    Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill
    Cumbernauld, Kilsyth and Kirkintilloch East
    Dumfries and Galloway
    Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale
    Dunbartonshire West
    Dundee East
    Dundee West
    East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow
    East Lothian
    Edinburgh East
    Edinburgh South West
    Falkirk
    Glasgow Central
    Glasgow East
    Glasgow North East
    Glasgow North West
    Glasgow South
    Glasgow South West
    Glenrothes
    Inverclyde
    Kilmarnock and Loudoun
    Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath
    Lanark and Hamilton East
    Linlithgow and East Falkirk
    Livingston
    Midlothian
    Moray
    Motherwell and Wishaw
    Na h-Eileanan An Iar
    Ochil and South Perthshire
    Paisley and Renfrewshire North
    Paisley and Renfrewshire South
    Perth and North Perthshire
    Renfrewshire East
    Rutherglen and Hamilton West
    Stirling

    http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/conlist_scot.html
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Oh look - the NYT now has some Snowden documents

    http://www.buzzfeed.com/bensmith/new-york-times-guardian-snowden
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010

    Not the most attractive lady in the world

    Say whaaat!?
    Of course she isn't - I am married to the most attractive lady in the world. ;-)

    If you want to see more of Summer Glau, see the three-part "Summer Glau seduction mix" on Youtube. Safe for work, and Miaow!
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010
    Ed's holding a Q&A session from Edinburgh, live:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-23809382
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    The Rotherham news development is on the BBC website:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited August 2013
    antifrank said:

    The Rotherham news development is on the BBC website:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    And here'.

    “Councillor Jahangir Akhtar has tonight stepped down from his role as Deputy Leader of Rotherham Council and as Vice Chair of the Police and Crime Panel, Rotherham Council has announced.”

    Read more for details.
    http://www.thestar.co.uk/news/local/rotherham-council-deputy-resigns-1-5982247
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    RichardNabaviRichardNabavi Posts: 3,413
    Not exactly a vote of confidence: you announce your retirement, and the company immediately jumps in value by $18bn!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23815563
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    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    edited August 2013
    tim said:

    @Stuart Dickson

    Inverclyde by election they went from 13% to 2%
    Not difficult to see them losing plenty of deposits in seats like that

    As accurate a way of forecasting the next GE LD lost deposits as looking at the Henley by election result in 2008 and forecasting dozens of Labour lost deposits in 2010 ( Labour went from 14.7% to 3.1% )
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724

    Not exactly a vote of confidence: you announce your retirement, and the company immediately jumps in value by $18bn!

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23815563

    A long time ago when I was at BT, Robert Brace was the CFO - he resigned and IIRC it added 5bn to its share value! The URL says it all.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/shares-soar-as-beleaguered-bt-names-new-finance-chief-635759.html

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Good evening, everyone.

    The failure of Vettel's right rear tyre in P2 has made the drivers nervous:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/23816972

    Understandable. Spa's high speed. On the plus side, the tyre didn't completely disintegrate as per Silverstone, but it's still a concern.
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010

    Good evening, everyone.

    The failure of Vettel's right rear tyre in P2 has made the drivers nervous:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/23816972

    Understandable. Spa's high speed. On the plus side, the tyre didn't completely disintegrate as per Silverstone, but it's still a concern.

    Apparently Alonso's tyre failed as well.

    This is not good enough.
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    antifrank said:

    There would be something very pleasing about Britain having a seminal human rights case called Miranda to match the US seminal human rights case called Miranda.

    Wasn't "Miranda" the trigger for Summer Glau's character in Serenity?
    Ah, Mrs J has a massive girl-crush on Summer Glau.

    Not the most attractive lady in the world, but she can move so incredibly gracefully. The bar-fight scene in Serenity is amazing.

    That clip also features Adam Baldwin, who is a main character in the excellent TV series 'Chuck'.
    My brother and I used to have great fun "spoonerising" her name as Glummer Sau! But the "prequel" series Firefly was very good too, for some bizarre reason cancelled by Fox after only 11 of 14 episodes were aired.
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    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited August 2013
    tim said:

    @Stuart Dickson

    Inverclyde by election they went from 13% to 2%
    Not difficult to see them losing plenty of deposits in seats like that

    Inverclyde is actually one of the most stunning examples of SLD collapse:

    1999 Scottish GE: 26.2%
    2003 Scottish GE: 28.0%
    2007 Scottish GE: 16.8%
    2011 Scottish GE: 6.9%

    2001 UK GE: 17.7%
    2005 UK GE: 17.0%
    2010 UK GE: 13.3%
    2011 UK by-election: 2.2%
    2015 UK GE: 2.9% (Baxter projection)

    They even ran the council until 2007, so would be pretty astonishing if they start losing deposits in former strongholds like this.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,984
    Mr. Jessop, I read that but didn't see it (I didn't watch P2 but did catch little bits and saw Vettel's).
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    SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,650
    Apparently Cammy not happy with his modesty being exposed!

    http://www.theguardian.com/media/2013/aug/23/editors-paparazzi-beach-david-cameron
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    'Scotland is going it alone – regardless of the referendum'
    ... the battle is already won. In its political culture and its powers to define what form that culture takes, Scotland is already so incomparably different from England that a form of separation is taking place in front of our eyes.

    ... There have been three staging posts that will, I suspect, prove to be more significant than next year's referendum. The first was the establishment of the Scottish parliament after the 1997 election. At the time it seemed to be an act of New Labour expedient caution. Instead, the limited, constrained devolved powers have acquired much greater weight because of the second staging post, the accidental election of a radical rightwing coalition at Westminster.

    ... The distinctiveness will deepen whatever happens in the referendum. The third significant staging post is the declaration from the three main party leaders that they support giving more powers to Scotland, so called devo-max.

    ... Soon England will wake up to the fact that a referendum is taking place of historic note. After that it needs to wake up to the fact that, irrespective of a single campaign next year, Scotland is going its own way, a course of travel triggered in 1997 and with some distance to go.
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/aug/23/scotland-referendum-devolution-separate-directions
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288

    Ed's holding a Q&A session from Edinburgh, live:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-23809382

    Must get that twitch in the right arm seen too.

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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,891
    @MonikerdiCanio

    "The screen shot is from Michael Radford's film , not Scott's commercial.
    False memory has always been an essential part of Ingsoc."

    Sorry missed it on last thread. Very good! (and quite right)
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    Spot the missing word round.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    Belongs to no party, must be an independent, must be some obscure apolitical councillor.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    dr_spyn said:

    Spot the missing word round.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    Belongs to no party, must be an independent, must be some obscure apolitical councillor.

    I was initially thinking the word was "sorry" but that really would be ridiculous.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    dr_spyn said:

    Spot the missing word round.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    Belongs to no party, must be an independent, must be some obscure apolitical councillor.

    If the BBC are being consistent - would that missing word be ‘Labour’ by any chance?
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    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664

    'Scotland is going it alone – regardless of the referendum'

    ... the battle is already won. In its political culture and its powers to define what form that culture takes, Scotland is already so incomparably different from England that a form of separation is taking place in front of our eyes.

    ... There have been three staging posts that will, I suspect, prove to be more significant than next year's referendum. The first was the establishment of the Scottish parliament after the 1997 election. At the time it seemed to be an act of New Labour expedient caution. Instead, the limited, constrained devolved powers have acquired much greater weight because of the second staging post, the accidental election of a radical rightwing coalition at Westminster.

    ... The distinctiveness will deepen whatever happens in the referendum. The third significant staging post is the declaration from the three main party leaders that they support giving more powers to Scotland, so called devo-max.

    ... Soon England will wake up to the fact that a referendum is taking place of historic note. After that it needs to wake up to the fact that, irrespective of a single campaign next year, Scotland is going its own way, a course of travel triggered in 1997 and with some distance to go.
    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/aug/23/scotland-referendum-devolution-separate-directions

    In other words, "No" is the new "Yes".

    I meant to ask yesterday in the context of the salient issues poll - has Scottish Independence ever featured in that poll?
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    Is he stepping down to spend some more time with his learned friends?
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    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,639
    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    I am currently staying in the gorgeous, UNESCO listed Baroque city of Modica, in SE Sicily. It is intensely charming. And virtually untouristed.

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370952541980217344/photo/1

    I spoke to the owner of my boutique hotel today, an architect from Milan. In recent years he has converted a dozen old town houses in the Jewish ghetto into upmarket rooms. This is the view from our garden:

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370817827495628800/photo/1

    He says you can still buy unmodernised one bed "houses" with exactly that view for €20,000

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Have you written a book yet on how to go from being poor to rich? I'd certainly buy it.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Sicily can be a nightmare to get to, and you can get utterly screwed if you are dependent on Ryanair maintaining flights - quite a few Brits in SW France now have places they can't get to and they can't shift.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307

    dr_spyn said:

    Spot the missing word round.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    Belongs to no party, must be an independent, must be some obscure apolitical councillor.

    If the BBC are being consistent - would that missing word be ‘Labour’ by any chance?
    That is just proof of how deeply engrained their impartiality is. It would be unfair to mention Labour without mentioning all the other parties.

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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,288
    edited August 2013
    In other BBC news, a former Mayor of Cleethorpes had a day out in court.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-23777854

    Must be a four letter fellow - Tory.

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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    tim..Stansted Airport is listed by Transport for London as one of its airports... are you still trembling from looking at Daves bare torso
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    Charles said:

    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Sicily can be a nightmare to get to, and you can get utterly screwed if you are dependent on Ryanair maintaining flights - quite a few Brits in SW France now have places they can't get to and they can't shift.
    Indeed.

    Ryanair could cut the Comiso Airport service whenever they like. Basing any kind of significant private investment decision on the whims of Michael O'Leary is akin to sticking your head in the mouth of an irritated polar bear. Good luck.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Don't put any faith in Ryanair. They can launch flights and they can stop flights. And they do.
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    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    I am currently staying in the gorgeous, UNESCO listed Baroque city of Modica, in SE Sicily. It is intensely charming. And virtually untouristed.

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370952541980217344/photo/1

    I spoke to the owner of my boutique hotel today, an architect from Milan. In recent years he has converted a dozen old town houses in the Jewish ghetto into upmarket rooms. This is the view from our garden:

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370817827495628800/photo/1

    He says you can still buy unmodernised one bed "houses" with exactly that view for €20,000

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Should I take estate agency advice from someone who thinks Stansted is London?
    London Stansted Airport? Have you not heard of it?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Stansted_Airport

    You can also fly BA or Easyjet from Gatwick to Catania, about 70 minutes drive.

    But then, why am I arguing about foreign parts with someone who has never left the Wirral.

    tim may also be interested in London Southend Airport!

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Southend_Airport
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    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    I am currently staying in the gorgeous, UNESCO listed Baroque city of Modica, in SE Sicily. It is intensely charming. And virtually untouristed.

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370952541980217344/photo/1

    I spoke to the owner of my boutique hotel today, an architect from Milan. In recent years he has converted a dozen old town houses in the Jewish ghetto into upmarket rooms. This is the view from our garden:

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370817827495628800/photo/1

    He says you can still buy unmodernised one bed "houses" with exactly that view for €20,000

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Should I take estate agency advice from someone who thinks Stansted is London?
    London Stansted Airport? Have you not heard of it?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Stansted_Airport

    You can also fly BA or Easyjet from Gatwick to Catania, about 70 minutes drive.

    But then, why am I arguing about foreign parts with someone who has never left the Wirral.

    Brussels Charleroi.
    Newark New York
    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,109


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
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    NextNext Posts: 826
    SeanT said:

    Even if Ryanair cut the flight, Catania is an hour away and served by BA and Easyjet.

    But I don't think Ryanair will cut the flight: everyone here knows Comiso, built by Mussolini for his air force, could make big money as a civil airport but the reason it hasn't been opened for civil traffic is Mafia and bureaucracy.

    More likely is that Ryanair will be followed by OTHER airlines.

    S E Sicily is Croatia or Montenegro, only nearer. BUY.

    the reason it hasn't been opened for civil traffic is Mafia and bureaucracy.

    And what has changed?
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    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Why would naming his MP give away his ID?

    (Lee Scott is my MP, if you're wondering, tim.)
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    SeanT said:

    Even if Ryanair cut the flight, Catania is an hour away and served by BA and Easyjet.

    But I don't think Ryanair will cut the flight: everyone here knows Comiso, built by Mussolini for his air force, could make big money as a civil airport but the reason it hasn't been opened for civil traffic is Mafia and bureaucracy.

    More likely is that Ryanair will be followed by OTHER airlines.

    S E Sicily is Croatia or Montenegro, only nearer. BUY.

    Here's a wee tip: when you are in a hole, stop digging.

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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,311
    edited August 2013
    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    BUY FLATS IN MODICA

    I am currently staying in the gorgeous, UNESCO listed Baroque city of Modica, in SE Sicily. It is intensely charming. And virtually untouristed.

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370952541980217344/photo/1

    I spoke to the owner of my boutique hotel today, an architect from Milan. In recent years he has converted a dozen old town houses in the Jewish ghetto into upmarket rooms. This is the view from our garden:

    https://twitter.com/thomasknox/status/370817827495628800/photo/1

    He says you can still buy unmodernised one bed "houses" with exactly that view for €20,000

    In a month, Ryanair start direct flights from London to Comiso, which is 20 minutes drive from Modica.

    BUY.

    Should I take estate agency advice from someone who thinks Stansted is London?
    London Stansted Airport? Have you not heard of it?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Stansted_Airport

    You can also fly BA or Easyjet from Gatwick to Catania, about 70 minutes drive.

    But then, why am I arguing about foreign parts with someone who has never left the Wirral.

    Brussels Charleroi.
    Newark New York
    Pure ignorance. Stansted and Luton are easier London airports for me to use, as a north Londoner, than Gatwick, because they are emptier and St Pancras and Liverpool Street are quicker to reach than the trafficky route to Victoria, and the hideous Gatwick Express.

    My preferred London airports are

    Heathrow
    Luton
    Stansted

    and

    Gatwick. In that order.
    I've used all 4, but what about London City and London Southend?
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    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
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    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
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    NextNext Posts: 826


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Indeed. I've often wondered who this "SeanT" is.
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    A chopper has gone down off the Shetlands with 18 on board. Waiting to hear if it is from my rig as we are working out WoS at the moment.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-23821083
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    A chopper has gone down off the Shetlands with 18 on board. Waiting to hear if it is from my rig as we are working out WoS at the moment.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-23821083

    That's shocking news Richard, hope the worst hasn't happened.
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    GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    BBC Breaking News ‏@BBCBreaking 3m
    9 survivors land in Shetland on 1st rescue flight after North Sea helicopter crash - no news of others yet http://bbc.in/1dAuCit
  • Options
    MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    Strange shenanigans on Allhallows Parish Council , Rochester , where a by election for a vacancy received 10 nominations .
    9 out of the 10 nominations were ruled invalid , 5 because consent to nomination had not been given and 4 because the proposers and/or seconders had nominated more than 1 candidate . It looks like most of those nominated against their will had in turn nominated someone else against their wish . The one valid nomination is probably an accident as her proposer and seconder also nominated her husband but her nomination was accepted first .
  • Options

    A chopper has gone down off the Shetlands with 18 on board. Waiting to hear if it is from my rig as we are working out WoS at the moment.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-23821083

    That's shocking news Richard, hope the worst hasn't happened.
    Latest report is 15 accounted for and 3 missing. We are pretty fed up about all of this at the moment as they are just reintroducing the EC225s (this wasn't one of those) in spite of the fact they have done nothing to fix the problem that caused 4 ditchings in the last 3 years including one where all on board 16 died.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    edited August 2013
    dr_spyn said:
    He said:
    Mr Miliband attacked Mr Cameron's claim Britain is in a "global race" with emerging nations, saying the country could not hope to compete with them on wages or employment rights and should concentrate instead on building a different kind of economy, with more investment and higher wages for the "working poor".

    "The reason the Tories are satisfied and they think things are going well is that they have incredibly low expectations about what can be achieved for people," he told Labour members.

    He said he felt "more confident" than when he won the Labour leadership three years ago and vowed to win the 2015 election.

    A different kind of economy. That sells? That is bought by? Presumably the logic is that these emerging nations want to have all the poorly paid jobs and leave the high value, high paid ones to us. Just desperate. Really desperate.

  • Options
    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    tim said:

    SeanT said:

    PB Property Advice Service

    .

    Should I take estate agency advice from someone who thinks Stansted is London?
    London Stansted Airport? Have you not heard of it?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/London_Stansted_Airport

    You can also fly BA or Easyjet from Gatwick to Catania, about 70 minutes drive.

    But then, why am I arguing about foreign parts with someone who has never left the Wirral.

    Brussels Charleroi.
    Newark New York
    Pure ignorance. Stansted and Luton are easier London airports for me to use, as a north Londoner, than Gatwick, because they are emptier and St Pancras and Liverpool Street are quicker to reach than the trafficky route to Victoria, and the hideous Gatwick Express.

    My preferred London airports are

    Heathrow
    Luton
    Stansted

    and

    Gatwick. In that order.
    I've used all 4, but what about London City and London Southend?
    Forgot London City. It's cute and glam, but can be a pain to get to in rush hour. I'd still put it above Gatwick. But it has a very limited number of routes. Good for the Balearics.

    I have not enjoyed the delights of London Southend!
    I haven't used either. As for Southend, it's only just started operations (well, last year). Once upon a time it was London's third busiest, until they started expanding Stansted. Direct trains from London Liverpool Street and Stratford make it not too shabby for us in east London. Only served by Easyjet and Aer Lingus and the moment though!
  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010

    A chopper has gone down off the Shetlands with 18 on board. Waiting to hear if it is from my rig as we are working out WoS at the moment.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-23821083

    That's shocking news Richard, hope the worst hasn't happened.
    Latest report is 15 accounted for and 3 missing. We are pretty fed up about all of this at the moment as they are just reintroducing the EC225s (this wasn't one of those) in spite of the fact they have done nothing to fix the problem that caused 4 ditchings in the last 3 years including one where all on board 16 died.
    I hope everyone's okay.

    What's the problem with the Super Puma? Is it the gearbox or something else? Have they root-caused it yet?
  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,639
    edited August 2013
    I was at Boston airport a couple of months ago and it was a bit shocking how decrepit it was.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    edited August 2013
    tim said:

    DavidL said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He said:
    Mr Miliband attacked Mr Cameron's claim Britain is in a "global race" with emerging nations, saying the country could not hope to compete with them on wages or employment rights and should concentrate instead on building a different kind of economy, with more investment and higher wages for the "working poor".

    "The reason the Tories are satisfied and they think things are going well is that they have incredibly low expectations about what can be achieved for people," he told Labour members.

    He said he felt "more confident" than when he won the Labour leadership three years ago and vowed to win the 2015 election.

    A different kind of economy. That sells? That is bought by? Presumably the logic is that these emerging nations want to have all the poorly paid jobs and leave the high value, high paid ones to us. Just desperate. Really desperate.

    It's about a living wage and reduced benefit spending.
    Smart Tories know that the only way you cut the benefit bill is by tackling low wages and high housing costs
    PB Tories cheer on house price inflation and falling real wages then wonder why benefit spending has gone up.
    No Tim. It is about living in the real world where UK business has to compete with hard working and poorly paid competitors in other countries. It is about living in a world where our education and training systems produce people who can earn higher wages because they are more productive, not just because it would be nice to give them more money. It is about making our economy competitive enough to create jobs for those on benefit and taxes to pay for those in need. He really, really does not have a clue.

    There are no "different economies". There are the quick and the dead. That is the way it is.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,967



    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!

    tim is the MP! :o
  • Options
    Stuart_DicksonStuart_Dickson Posts: 3,557
    edited August 2013


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010
    tim said:

    DavidL said:

    dr_spyn said:
    He said:
    Mr Miliband attacked Mr Cameron's claim Britain is in a "global race" with emerging nations, saying the country could not hope to compete with them on wages or employment rights and should concentrate instead on building a different kind of economy, with more investment and higher wages for the "working poor".

    "The reason the Tories are satisfied and they think things are going well is that they have incredibly low expectations about what can be achieved for people," he told Labour members.

    He said he felt "more confident" than when he won the Labour leadership three years ago and vowed to win the 2015 election.

    A different kind of economy. That sells? That is bought by? Presumably the logic is that these emerging nations want to have all the poorly paid jobs and leave the high value, high paid ones to us. Just desperate. Really desperate.

    It's about a living wage and reduced benefit spending.
    Smart Tories know that the only way you cut the benefit bill is by tackling low wages and high housing costs
    PB Tories cheer on house price inflation and falling real wages then wonder why benefit spending has gone up.
    The true causes of house price inflation are impossible for any of the main parties to tackle. Therefore the only answer is to build more houses, which is unsustainable in the long run.

    Besides, we need to be building communities, not just houses.
  • Options
    Hi All.

    I have been in Venezia in the last few days. Pigeons looks unhealthier than usual...must be challenging economic times even for them.
    People from Sri Lanka are taking over Venezia's street stalls.
    The turnout at the mass is the usual 5 people per church. So I guess Osborne is needed to cut some usuless old church.

    What have I missed? Yougov up and down but basically the same? Any flying eggs? Which Labour MP criticized Ed? I see good Thursday for Labour in local by-elections.

    @Andy_JS

    I have seen 2 more reselections: Twigg (check his twitter) and Grahan Allen in Nottingham North
    http://www.hucknalldispatch.co.uk/news/local-news/sitting-labour-mp-to-stand-for-seat-1-5970129?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed
  • Options
    MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    "as lawyers for four women said they were set to sue Rotherham Council for "systematic failures to protect them from sexual abuse by predatory men" when they were children."

    Awesome.
  • Options
    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited August 2013
    @tim

    PB Tories cheer on house price inflation

    The British Bankers Association (BBA) released their monthy report on bank lending this morning. This post concentrates on Mortgage lending only.

    The number of mortgage loans approved were up from 67,189 in June to 67,647 in July, a monthly increase of 0.4%.

    Average values for house purchase loans approved fell from £160,100 in June to £158,400 in July, a monthly decrease of -1.1%.

    Total new mortgage lending was £9.1 bn in July, up £0.1 bn from June. New lending was matched by capital repayments of £9.1 bn in both months, leading to a reduction in net lending of -£0.1 bn.

    Capital repayments were 1.17% of total mortgage loans outstanding of £779.9 bn. BBA Members account for around two thirds of total mortgage lending in the UK.

    Although these figures suggest static market activity, the growth trend is shown when comparisons are made to prior 6 month averages. Mortgage approvals at 67,647 were 10.1% above the Jan to Jun 2013 average of 61,413. House purchse loan values were up 2.85% on the average of £154,000. Gross Mortgage borrowing averaged £8.2 bn (£9.1 bn); capital repayments averaged £8.5 bn (£9.1 bn); and net repayments averaged -£0.3 bn (-£0.1 bn).

    The mix of mortgage lending has also changed. The share of 'equity release and other secured lending' has continued to fall over the past two years, whereas that of house purchase loans and remortages have grown. The BBA report the strongest levels of growth in share of lending from first time buyers and housing chains. The following table shows the change in shares of total mortgage loans approved over the past two years.
              Purchases      Remortages     Other       Total
    Jul 2011 5,168 58.0% 3,280 36.8% 467 5.2% 8,915
    Jul 2013 5,745 62.6% 3,102 33.8% 336 3.7% 9,183
    It is quite clear from the BBA figures that growth in the UK housing and mortgage lending markets is far from being a dangerous bubble. Households are continuing to pay down mortgage debt. Loan values are not increasing at uncontrollable rates and indeed fell in July. Secured lending for purposes other than house purchase are falling in number and share.

    What is more, there remains plenty of scope for further growth and market stimulus.

    tim, as you should have learnt from recent articles on blogging clichés: the plural of anecdotes is not data.
  • Options

    Which Labour MP criticized Ed?

    Darling is the latest. Which is pretty stunning when you think about the important job he holds at the moment.
  • Options
    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,337

    Hi All.

    I have been in Venezia in the last few days. Pigeons looks unhealthier than usual...must be challenging economic times even for them.
    People from Sri Lanka are taking over Venezia's street stalls.
    The turnout at the mass is the usual 5 people per church. So I guess Osborne is needed to cut some usuless old church.

    What have I missed? Yougov up and down but basically the same? Any flying eggs? Which Labour MP criticized Ed? I see good Thursday for Labour in local by-elections.

    @Andy_JS

    I have seen 2 more reselections: Twigg (check his twitter) and Grahan Allen in Nottingham North
    http://www.hucknalldispatch.co.uk/news/local-news/sitting-labour-mp-to-stand-for-seat-1-5970129?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

    Welcome back! Yes, that's a fair summary of YouGov. Media seemingly getting a bit bored with grumbling about Ed. Economy doing OK. Nothing else special to report.

  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited August 2013

    Which Labour MP criticized Ed?

    Darling is the latest. Which is pretty stunning when you think about the important job he holds at the moment.
    Which important job does he hold? :-)

  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.
    No I just want to see if an expert political genius like tim knows the name of his MP. I personally don't give a monkey's about his real life persona.
  • Options
    Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 26,639

    Hi All.

    I have been in Venezia in the last few days. Pigeons looks unhealthier than usual...must be challenging economic times even for them.
    People from Sri Lanka are taking over Venezia's street stalls.
    The turnout at the mass is the usual 5 people per church. So I guess Osborne is needed to cut some usuless old church.

    What have I missed? Yougov up and down but basically the same? Any flying eggs? Which Labour MP criticized Ed? I see good Thursday for Labour in local by-elections.

    @Andy_JS

    I have seen 2 more reselections: Twigg (check his twitter) and Grahan Allen in Nottingham North
    http://www.hucknalldispatch.co.uk/news/local-news/sitting-labour-mp-to-stand-for-seat-1-5970129?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

    Thanks Andrea.

    I want to go to Venezia sometime but I think it'll be in winter because I don't like hot weather.

    Also Don't Look Now is one of my favourite films.
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited August 2013


    A long time ago when I was at BT, Robert Brace was the CFO - he resigned and IIRC it added 5bn to its share value! The URL says it all.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/shares-soar-as-beleaguered-bt-names-new-finance-chief-635759.html



    In fact his successor at BT back in 2000, (now Sir) Philip Hampton, went on to greater things and is now chairman of RBS.

  • Options

    Which Labour MP criticized Ed?

    Darling is the latest. Which is pretty stunning when you think about the important job he holds at the moment.
    Which important job does he hold? :-)
    And you think that I don't know who the Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland is? :-)
  • Options
    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited August 2013
    It was an injoke about your not remembering Maggie

    Which Labour MP criticized Ed?

    Darling is the latest. Which is pretty stunning when you think about the important job he holds at the moment.
    Which important job does he hold? :-)
    And you think that I don't know who the Shadow Secretary of State for Scotland is? :-)
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    MrJones said:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    "as lawyers for four women said they were set to sue Rotherham Council for "systematic failures to protect them from sexual abuse by predatory men" when they were children."

    Awesome.

    I remember having a debate about the social utility of what was basically ambulance chasing with an American lawyer. His argument was that suing people is how you change behaviour. This will be an interesting test of that theory.
  • Options


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.
    No I just want to see if an expert political genius like tim knows the name of his MP. I personally don't give a monkey's about his real life persona.
    You obviously don't give a monkeys about the fact that he is a person. Full stop.
  • Options
    @Andy

    Go at least once. But I say it, because I love Venice. Outside its main touristical lines, it's decadent but unique at the same time. I have never been "lucky" enough to have witnessed "high waters",
  • Options

    A chopper has gone down off the Shetlands with 18 on board. Waiting to hear if it is from my rig as we are working out WoS at the moment.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-north-east-orkney-shetland-23821083

    That's shocking news Richard, hope the worst hasn't happened.
    Latest report is 15 accounted for and 3 missing. We are pretty fed up about all of this at the moment as they are just reintroducing the EC225s (this wasn't one of those) in spite of the fact they have done nothing to fix the problem that caused 4 ditchings in the last 3 years including one where all on board 16 died.
    I hope everyone's okay.

    What's the problem with the Super Puma? Is it the gearbox or something else? Have they root-caused it yet?
    There are two different chopper versions we normally called Super Pumas. The EC225s were grounded last October after the 4th crash/ditching in 3 years. The problem with them was the main drive shaft on the oil pump for the gear box. It was a two part shaft with a weld and the weld kept failing. Basically if your oil pump goes then your gear box goes and you very quickly fall out of the sky. They said they would replace it with a single piece shaft but that seems to have been problematic because they need so many hours testing on the new component. So instead they have said they are reintroducing the 225s with the mitigation of more inspections. Given that the failure is generally said to be a catastrophic failure no one is happy with this and a lot of guys are refusing to fly them.

    The Superpuma L2 is the version which crashed tonight. No idea what caused it yet but as always strong suspicion has to be on the gearbox as it is the one weak link in all choppers. You can get a chopper down with almost anything else going wrong due to built in redundancy but the gearbox is generally pretty catastrophic.

    Worryingly it sounds like it hit hard as they are talking about wreckage being washed up near Sumburgh.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    edited August 2013
    Tim said:
    It's about a living wage and reduced benefit spending.
    Smart Tories know that the only way you cut the benefit bill is by tackling low wages and high housing costs
    PB Tories cheer on house price inflation and falling real wages then wonder why benefit spending has gone up.


    No Tim. It is about living in the real world where UK business has to compete with hard working and poorly paid competitors in other countries. It is about living in a world where our education and training systems produce people who can earn higher wages because they are more productive, not just because it would be nice to give them more money. It is about making our economy competitive enough to create jobs for those on benefit and taxes to pay for those in need. He really, really does not have a clue.

    There are no "different economies". There are the quick and the dead. That is the way it is.

    Tim said
    I realise you believe that taxpayers money should subsidise Starbucks low wages and that taxpayers should subsidise house prices and that taxpayers should subsidise high rents and that taxpayers should subsidise high rents so that Starbucks in London can pay even lower wages because their workers housing costs are subsidised by the state.
    You don't need to remind me of your addiction to taxpayer subsidies and high benefits

    Starbucks is not our economy nor is it a model for it. We don't export Starbucks. We don't sell them to anyone other than ourselves. We don't go to China for a cup of coffee (or even tea). We need jobs that create wealth and exports. That can compete. And Cameron is absolutely right. It is a race we must win if we want our children to live to the same standards as we have.

  • Options
    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.
    tim been bullied? There are attempts, but the likes of Dodd are unlikely to lay a glove on him between now and the heat death of the universe.

    Frank Field? Alison McGovern? Angela Eagle?
  • Options
    MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    DavidL said:

    MrJones said:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-23820054

    "as lawyers for four women said they were set to sue Rotherham Council for "systematic failures to protect them from sexual abuse by predatory men" when they were children."

    Awesome.

    I remember having a debate about the social utility of what was basically ambulance chasing with an American lawyer. His argument was that suing people is how you change behaviour. This will be an interesting test of that theory.
    In the absence of any inquiry into how scores of council child protection units around the country ignored forced child prostitution on a massive scale i reckon ambulance chasing is the next best thing.
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,124


    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.

    I should leave the site management to the mods if I were you.

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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,010



    There are two different chopper versions we normally called Super Pumas. The EC225s were grounded last October after the 4th crash/ditching in 3 years. The problem with them was the main drive shaft on the oil pump for the gear box. It was a two part shaft with a weld and the weld kept failing. Basically if your oil pump goes then your gear box goes and you very quickly fall out of the sky. They said they would replace it with a single piece shaft but that seems to have been problematic because they need so many hours testing on the new component. So instead they have said they are reintroducing the 225s with the mitigation of more inspections. Given that the failure is generally said to be a catastrophic failure no one is happy with this and a lot of guys are refusing to fly them.

    The Superpuma L2 is the version which crashed tonight. No idea what caused it yet but as always strong suspicion has to be on the gearbox as it is the one weak link in all choppers. You can get a chopper down with almost anything else going wrong due to built in redundancy but the gearbox is generally pretty catastrophic.

    Worryingly it sounds like it hit hard as they are talking about wreckage being washed up near Sumburgh.

    Cheers for that. Isn't the EC225 the helicopter type where, if the gearbox shaft fails, the entire rotor hub can come detached under certain circumstances? And with no rotors you cannot autorotate down...

    That seemed like a rather fundamental design flaw to me: no redundancy.

    (Note, I am far from being an expert on this; just genuinely interested)
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    tim can't even name his local MP, pay him no mind!

    Perhaps experience has made him a little chary of giving out clues on PB to his location.
    Indeed.

    The blatant bullying on this site over the years would make anyone chary of disclosing any type of personal information.
    Oh come on! tim knows everything there is about being a bully!
    Good luck with that type of argument in court.

    M'lud, I just punched him in the face cos he was condescending to my pals.

    Disgraceful.

    I don't ever recall punching tim in the face!
    I didn't say you did.

    What I am saying is that your 'eye for an eye' argument is inhuman and barbaric. Even if tim were a bully, that is never an excuse for you or anyone else to bully him.

    And from my experience the bullying tim is subjected to exceeds his own misdemeanours by a ratio of 100:1.
    FFS I just wanted to know if PB's self-styled resident political expert can name his own MP, that's all!
    You know fine well that tim knows who his MP is. This is nothing to do with tim's knowledge. It is to do with you, and others, trying to identify a person who has been consistently bullied on this website. That is disgraceful. Stop it.
    No I just want to see if an expert political genius like tim knows the name of his MP. I personally don't give a monkey's about his real life persona.
    You obviously don't give a monkeys about the fact that he is a person. Full stop.
    No I just want to see if an expert political genius like tim knows the name of his MP. I personally don't give a monkey's about his real life persona.
    I don't see how an MPs name = giving away someone's own name.
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    Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    Andy_JS said:

    Hi All.

    I have been in Venezia in the last few days. Pigeons looks unhealthier than usual...must be challenging economic times even for them.
    People from Sri Lanka are taking over Venezia's street stalls.
    The turnout at the mass is the usual 5 people per church. So I guess Osborne is needed to cut some usuless old church.

    What have I missed? Yougov up and down but basically the same? Any flying eggs? Which Labour MP criticized Ed? I see good Thursday for Labour in local by-elections.

    @Andy_JS

    I have seen 2 more reselections: Twigg (check his twitter) and Grahan Allen in Nottingham North
    http://www.hucknalldispatch.co.uk/news/local-news/sitting-labour-mp-to-stand-for-seat-1-5970129?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

    Thanks Andrea.

    I want to go to Venezia sometime but I think it'll be in winter because I don't like hot weather.

    Also Don't Look Now is one of my favourite films.
    Venice can be dank even in the heat, and very dank in winter. But of course dankness enhances the Don't Look Now feel of the place.
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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited August 2013

    Hi All.

    I have been in Venezia in the last few days. Pigeons looks unhealthier than usual...must be challenging economic times even for them.
    People from Sri Lanka are taking over Venezia's street stalls.
    The turnout at the mass is the usual 5 people per church. So I guess Osborne is needed to cut some usuless old church.

    What have I missed? Yougov up and down but basically the same? Any flying eggs? Which Labour MP criticized Ed? I see good Thursday for Labour in local by-elections.

    @Andy_JS

    I have seen 2 more reselections: Twigg (check his twitter) and Grahan Allen in Nottingham North
    http://www.hucknalldispatch.co.uk/news/local-news/sitting-labour-mp-to-stand-for-seat-1-5970129?utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=twitterfeed

    Andrea

    The proper form of post from a traveller to Venice is to follow the telegram format of US humourist and writer, Robert Benchley. David Niven reported he received the following telegram from Benchley in the 1930s.

    START - - ARRIVED VENICE STOP STREETS FULL OF WATER STOP PLEASE ADVISE -- END

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,008
    In Oz beginning to look like a comfortable win for Abbott. A new Nielsen has it 53-47, Newspoll has the LNP holding on to their Queensland marginals and Rudd could lose his seat in Griffith where Newspoll has the LNP candidate with a narrow lead. Rudd does at least look to have stopped the Gillard meltdown (the Coalition were ahead 57-43 when she was ousted) and it may be better for the ALP if, having helped them avert meltdown, he does lose his seat as, with Gillard also having given up her parliamentary seat, it would allow for the ALP to start afresh in opposition
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    There are two different chopper versions we normally called Super Pumas. The EC225s were grounded last October after the 4th crash/ditching in 3 years. The problem with them was the main drive shaft on the oil pump for the gear box. It was a two part shaft with a weld and the weld kept failing. Basically if your oil pump goes then your gear box goes and you very quickly fall out of the sky. They said they would replace it with a single piece shaft but that seems to have been problematic because they need so many hours testing on the new component. So instead they have said they are reintroducing the 225s with the mitigation of more inspections. Given that the failure is generally said to be a catastrophic failure no one is happy with this and a lot of guys are refusing to fly them.

    The Superpuma L2 is the version which crashed tonight. No idea what caused it yet but as always strong suspicion has to be on the gearbox as it is the one weak link in all choppers. You can get a chopper down with almost anything else going wrong due to built in redundancy but the gearbox is generally pretty catastrophic.

    Worryingly it sounds like it hit hard as they are talking about wreckage being washed up near Sumburgh.

    Cheers for that. Isn't the EC225 the helicopter type where, if the gearbox shaft fails, the entire rotor hub can come detached under certain circumstances? And with no rotors you cannot autorotate down...

    That seemed like a rather fundamental design flaw to me: no redundancy.

    (Note, I am far from being an expert on this; just genuinely interested)
    The root cause of the failures in the 225s have been the shaft on the oil pump rather than the gear box itself. But this then leads to a gear box failure. This is an issue with all the choppers we fly today. As far as I know the last chopper we flew that had gearbox redundancy was the S61s but they went out of service a decade ago. All the choppers we fly today - both Superpumas varieties and the S92s which I fly in at the moment - have no gearbox redundancy and all have had fatal crashes due to gearbox failures.

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,008
    Interestingly if Abbott does win, it will mean Australia has the most rightwing government in the western world, even Cameron, Key and Merkel generally accept climate change and gay marriage which Abbott does not and Harper in Canada also accepts gay marriage. Indeed, an Abbott win will certainly increase the confidence of the Tory right, many will be asking if a rightwinger like Abbott can win when Cameron cannot maybe lessons need to be learned. David Davis will also be pleased, he holds similar views to Abbott and is sceptical about climate change and voted against gay marriage, he also has a similar hardman personality
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    perdixperdix Posts: 1,806
    DavidL said:

    Tim said:
    It's about a living wage and reduced benefit spending.
    Smart Tories know that the only way you cut the benefit bill is by tackling low wages and high housing costs
    PB Tories cheer on house price inflation and falling real wages then wonder why benefit spending has gone up.


    No Tim. It is about living in the real world where UK business has to compete with hard working and poorly paid competitors in other countries. It is about living in a world where our education and training systems produce people who can earn higher wages because they are more productive, not just because it would be nice to give them more money. It is about making our economy competitive enough to create jobs for those on benefit and taxes to pay for those in need. He really, really does not have a clue.

    There are no "different economies". There are the quick and the dead. That is the way it is.

    Tim said
    I realise you believe that taxpayers money should subsidise Starbucks low wages and that taxpayers should subsidise house prices and that taxpayers should subsidise high rents and that taxpayers should subsidise high rents so that Starbucks in London can pay even lower wages because their workers housing costs are subsidised by the state.
    You don't need to remind me of your addiction to taxpayer subsidies and high benefits

    Starbucks is not our economy nor is it a model for it. We don't export Starbucks. We don't sell them to anyone other than ourselves. We don't go to China for a cup of coffee (or even tea). We need jobs that create wealth and exports. That can compete. And Cameron is absolutely right. It is a race we must win if we want our children to live to the same standards as we have.



    Take a look at this article which tries to explain why it is and will be difficult for us to compete with Asian nations. One anecdote says that any Korean buying a foreign car is subjected to an aggressive audit by the tax authorities!
    http://www.craigwilly.info/2013/08/13/thorfinnsson-on-western-free-trade-and-asian-mercantilism/http://www.craigwilly.info/2013/08/13/thorfinnsson-on-western-free-trade-and-asian-mercantilism/

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    HYUFD said:

    Interestingly if Abbott does win, it will mean Australia has the most rightwing government in the western world, even Cameron, Key and Merkel generally accept climate change and gay marriage which Abbott does not and Harper in Canada also accepts gay marriage. Indeed, an Abbott win will certainly increase the confidence of the Tory right, many will be asking if a rightwinger like Abbott can win when Cameron cannot maybe lessons need to be learned. David Davis will also be pleased, he holds similar views to Abbott and is sceptical about climate change and voted against gay marriage, he also has a similar hardman personality

    What do you mean "accept" climate change? The world's climate has been changing ever since it first formed!
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    AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited August 2013
    Don't look now is one of those movies with a bizarrely translted in Italian title....it's called "A Venezia... un dicembre rosso shocking" which means "In Venice...a shocking red December"
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,307
    @Tim (given up on the reply, too hard when it gets too long)

    I agree that the low wages/subsidised housing cost issue needs to be addressed. But that is not in itself an economic policy nor does it justify what Miliband said. What he said was delusional rubbish designed to mislead people into believing there is an easy way out of this. There just isn't. You make better points than he does, daily.

    The idea that you are being bullied or that you need Stuart to ride to your rescue is absurd by the way. But you know that.
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
This discussion has been closed.