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  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Funny how Bobajob hasn't tried to come back under a new name...
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,853
    calum said:
    I wonder when one of these stories will crystallise into an 'oh shit' moment for the Brexiteers.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    calum said:
    I wonder when one of these stories will crystallise into an 'oh shit' moment for the Brexiteers.
    Yes all those Leave voting northern pensioners must be fretting over investment bankers in London having to move to Frankfurt to keep their jobs.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,853
    FF43 said:

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
    If they push ahead and it goes down to the wire without a deal agreed I genuinely expect to see a major Kiev-style pro-EU protest in central London.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr. 43, some of the support for the EU was also shallow. Some of the votes for Corbyn's Labour was on the basis people thought the Conservatives would easily get a majority.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405

    FF43 said:

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
    If they push ahead and it goes down to the wire without a deal agreed I genuinely expect to see a major Kiev-style pro-EU protest in central London.
    A deal will be agreed IMO. The problem for those who want a rethink is that Brexit probably won't be disastrous enough. If it were, we would be be activating for re-entry, regardless of the referendum result. Brexit is a chronic condition like diabetes rather than an acute condition like a heart attack. You can live with chronic conditions.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,853
    FF43 said:

    FF43 said:

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
    If they push ahead and it goes down to the wire without a deal agreed I genuinely expect to see a major Kiev-style pro-EU protest in central London.
    A deal will be agreed IMO. The problem for those who want a rethink is that Brexit probably won't be disastrous enough. If it were, we would be be activating for re-entry, regardless of the referendum result. Brexit is a chronic condition like diabetes rather than an acute condition like a heart attack. You can live with chronic conditions.
    You're assuming that the pro-Brexit elite could live with the failure implied by a mediocre outcome for the UK beside a strong EU. I think their mindset when it comes down it is 'Brexit or bust', and if it looks like bust, they'll switch sides, even if they themselves would find that inconceivable at present.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    O/T

    Just bought a couple of Samsung A5's as replacements for my wife and my aging HTC One M8's. Having a bit of a wobble - have I made a good choice? Any thoughts from anyone?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    rkrkrk said:

    The BBC salaries issue looks like another example of the right wing press not being as powerful as it thought it was.

    I really think in the long-run this could be good for the BBC.
    Much harder for the right-wing press to criticise and distort when it's all out in the open.

    And I think the BBC will find they don't struggle to hold onto talent as much they might think and/or that much of the talent is actually replaceable.
    It isn't all out in the open though, far from it. Given how much over the odds they pay for radio presenters, if anything I expect a rush of applications.
    Is the BBC paying over the odds for radio presenters? Radio ought to be the easiest place to establish market value., especially where there is a single DJ or presenter. Audience figures are published every month, and there is a large commercial sector.

    Chris Evans gets the largest radio audience in the country. He has more listeners than the sainted Terry Wogan had in the same slot. Why should we be surprised that he also commands the most money?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,766

    calum said:
    I wonder when one of these stories will crystallise into an 'oh shit' moment for the Brexiteers.

    Fundamentalism is not persuadable.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    I'm becoming more Pro-Brexit by the day.

    It is the only way to ensure proper austerity on the country, Brexit will ensure we live within our means, I'm sick and tired of subsidising the plebs.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    rkrkrk said:

    The BBC salaries issue looks like another example of the right wing press not being as powerful as it thought it was.

    I really think in the long-run this could be good for the BBC.
    Much harder for the right-wing press to criticise and distort when it's all out in the open.

    And I think the BBC will find they don't struggle to hold onto talent as much they might think and/or that much of the talent is actually replaceable.
    It isn't all out in the open though, far from it. Given how much over the odds they pay for radio presenters, if anything I expect a rush of applications.
    Is the BBC paying over the odds for radio presenters? Radio ought to be the easiest place to establish market value., especially where there is a single DJ or presenter. Audience figures are published every month, and there is a large commercial sector.

    Chris Evans gets the largest radio audience in the country. He has more listeners than the sainted Terry Wogan had in the same slot. Why should we be surprised that he also commands the most money?
    Part of me thinks the BBC should be training and promoting its own talent rather than buying established presenters on big contracts. The shows are the institutions not their stars. Although I think Lineker is over paid I guess he is at least home grown talent in that respect.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546
    Except it is based on no facts what so ever...
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,786
    By a bloke funded by the EU....
  • brendan16brendan16 Posts: 2,315

    FF43 said:

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
    If they push ahead and it goes down to the wire without a deal agreed I genuinely expect to see a major Kiev-style pro-EU protest in central London.
    The Kiev protestors also sought to overturn a democratic election too!

    We have seen plenty of these very white very middle class Islington and Camden type dominated protests already in London on the EU - and it's made no difference. Perhaps people else where are just a bit tired of being lectured to by then about what's right and in their best interests by the likes of them

    And why should the Tories care about the views of a city - inner London - that has essentially abandoned them. Their votes are elsewhere now - and Tory voters are solidly pro Brexit.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 72,971
    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546
    isam said:

    Rings true

    twitter.com/standardnews/status/887980406724857856

    I blame brexit...
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    isam said:
    If a stranger started smiling at me on the Tube I'd be concerned.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,056

    Mr. 43, some of the support for the EU was also shallow. Some of the votes for Corbyn's Labour was on the basis people thought the Conservatives would easily get a majority.

    I think that's an incredibly dangerous and naïve mind set for Conservatives to occupy. "Corbyn did well because some of our supporters didn't want us to do too well" - it's too easy and convenient and above all wrong. People just don't act that way.

    On that basis, you could argue some people who would have voted Labour in 1997 voted Conservative because they didn't want Blair to have a big majority - it's absurd.

    May failed to give sufficient reason for people to vote FOR the Conservatives. In the end, it came down to "trust me" and "I'm not Jeremy Corbyn". Trouble was, a lot of people didn't and others didn't care.

  • By a bloke funded by the EU....
    I though it read quite neutrally. If you can point me towards a similarly detailed analysis of a "No Deal" outcome by an author who meets your funding criteria, I'd be happy to read it.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,381

    calum said:
    I wonder when one of these stories will crystallise into an 'oh shit' moment for the Brexiteers.

    Fundamentalism is not persuadable.

    Hence the EU's exorbitant "divorce" bill.
  • calumcalum Posts: 3,046

    calum said:
    I wonder when one of these stories will crystallise into an 'oh shit' moment for the Brexiteers.
    DB CEO's final observation !

    “We will assume a reasonable worst outcome,” Cryan said. “The worst is always likely to be worse than people can imagine.”
  • Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    12th under Corbyn, 2024.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:
    If a stranger started smiling at me on the Tube I'd be concerned.
    Proves the point I think!
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    isam said:

    isam said:
    If a stranger started smiling at me on the Tube I'd be concerned.
    Proves the point I think!
    To be fair, I don't scowl either.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,546
    edited July 2017

    Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    12th under Corbyn, 2024.
    You are clearly an optimist....
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr, Stodge, my point was that you can't (in the referendum) say some votes effectively have less weight because people were soft supporters, and that the same logic also means you can't do that for Corbyn. Votes all count the same, and now Corbyn starts from a higher base.

    [NB some people were soft supporters either way in the referendum, and the above motivation may also be true, but what counts is the result. Soft support has the same voting power as a 100% backer].
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    The biggest until Lord North buggered it up.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    GeoffM said:

    Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    The biggest until Lord North buggered it up.
    Well what did you expect from an Oxford educated guy?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405

    Mr. 43, some of the support for the EU was also shallow. Some of the votes for Corbyn's Labour was on the basis people thought the Conservatives would easily get a majority.

    Undoubtedly. There is no consensus one way or the other. The problems for Brexit are that it is controversial, it will be painful and it was sold on a fundamentally false prospectus. Those promoting it can't either wish the pain away nor deny their original promises. So they fall back on, well it's going to happen - that's all you need to know.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405
    GeoffM said:

    Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    The biggest until Lord North buggered it up.
    I think China had the biggest economy in the late eighteenth century.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,381
    GeoffM said:

    Nigelb said:

    Fourth largest economy under Blair; fifth under Cameron; sixth under May...
    The biggest until Lord North buggered it up.
    ". In the early twentieth century a revisionism emphasized his strengths in administering the Treasury, handling the House of Commons, and in defending the Church of England."
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @BethRigby: Barnier: sees "no alternative" to #ECJ overseeing citizens rights in the UK > big stumbles at the first (rather fundamental) hurdle #Brexit
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,288
    brendan16 said:

    FF43 said:

    Shrewd move by Dr Fox - excellent expectations management. The dream of a glorious post-EU sunny upland has faded, so we're now being groomed to hunker down and accept our lot. It was never on the side of any bus, but I suspect this was the Leavers' motive all along - a kind of cleansing of the national psyche through suffering and hardship. We've been pampered enough.
    Brexit is being pushed through on barely majority support. Given the way it was sold at the referendum, some of that support is shallow. It is therefore important to make Brexit look inevitable. It may not be good, but it's going ahead.
    If they push ahead and it goes down to the wire without a deal agreed I genuinely expect to see a major Kiev-style pro-EU protest in central London.
    The Kiev protestors also sought to overturn a democratic election too!

    We have seen plenty of these very white very middle class Islington and Camden type dominated protests already in London on the EU - and it's made no difference. Perhaps people else where are just a bit tired of being lectured to by then about what's right and in their best interests by the likes of them

    And why should the Tories care about the views of a city - inner London - that has essentially abandoned them. Their votes are elsewhere now - and Tory voters are solidly pro Brexit.
    A quarter of Tory voters tell pollsters they think it is wrong to leave the EU.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @thistlejohn: Barnier says progress at #Brexit talks has been possible in areas where UK has a clear position - ie no homework on Brexit bill, no mark
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    So Mrs May is doing worse than post Iraq Blair.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,056

    Mr, Stodge, my point was that you can't (in the referendum) say some votes effectively have less weight because people were soft supporters, and that the same logic also means you can't do that for Corbyn. Votes all count the same, and now Corbyn starts from a higher base.

    [NB some people were soft supporters either way in the referendum, and the above motivation may also be true, but what counts is the result. Soft support has the same voting power as a 100% backer].

    That's true of all elections in all honesty. A "tactical" vote carries as much weight as a vote from a Party member. That's democracy but elections are about absolutes and referenda even more so.

    From the YouGov info a few days ago, both Conservative and Labour vote bases are made up of a significant minority who are simply either anti-the other party and/or anti-the other party's leader (and for those who claim replacing Corbyn would be the answer, I suspect those opposed to Corbyn now would quickly find a reason to be opposed to his successor).

    That's how politics works. I suspect there are Labour and Conservative voters who don't like Corbyn and May respectively but still voted for the party.

  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,056
    dr_spyn said:
    No, there are markets for "next leader" in other parties and we all know Vince is a caretaker leader so I don't feel trolled or insulted and as I never bet with the Magic Sign, not that bothered.

    Evens for Jo Swinson isn't the worst price you'll ever see.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345
    Ipsos MORI figures

    The headline voting figures for this month show little change from last month’s election result, with the parties neck-and-neck; Labour is on 42 per cent, up one point, the Conservatives 41 per cent, down two points, and Liberal Democrats nine per cent, up nearly two points.

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/jeremy-corbyn-scores-higher-than-theresa-may-for-the-first-time-in-approval-ratings-poll-a3592111.html
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    Barnier presents no legal justification for the money he demands, and not even a total (so he can cut and come again with new demands in years to come). Barnier says the UK is not taking him seriously...
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405
    Interesting dynamics from the Barnier/Davis press conference. Barnier very assertive about controlling the agenda and pushing the pace. Davis in bargaining mode.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    Hypocrite.

    https://www.jcpc.uk/
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr. Eagles, no.

    If countries subject to that court wished to change the situation I would support that. Nations ought to be free to determine their own future.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Scott_P said:
    Really? An Illuminati / Freemason / Lizard People conspiracy?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    GeoffM said:

    Scott_P said:
    Really? An Illuminati / Freemason / Lizard People conspiracy?
    Don't mess with the classics.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    calum said:
    Well of course, that's why we're negotating. Any side presenting as the other is the sole party causing difficulty is lying, since the whole point is we cannot agree on certain things and need to hash it out, and in that scenario both sides will present the other as being patently unreasonable. I'm prepared to accept one side, including ours, may be the more unreasonable, depending on the issues, but we're tangoing here, and they're playing the game too.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,726

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    Hypocrite.

    https://www.jcpc.uk/
    There are important differences:

    1. Countries can end the jurisdiction of the Privy Council whenever they wish (as Jamaica has recently done).

    2. The Privy Council is interpreting the law of the nation that submits to its jurisdiction. It isn't trying to impose English law on the nation in question.

    3. The Privy Council is not asserting that English nationals in the country in question are subject to a different set of laws to the locals.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,849

    Mr. Eagles, no.

    If countries subject to that court wished to change the situation I would support that. Nations ought to be free to determine their own future.

    Do you think the UK should withdraw from the ICJ?
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    FF43 said:

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
    I can think of a very realistic alternative.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Dura_Ace said:

    Mr. Eagles, no.

    If countries subject to that court wished to change the situation I would support that. Nations ought to be free to determine their own future.

    Do you think the UK should withdraw from the ICJ?
    I do, but I accept that you're not asking me.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr. Ace, is the ICJ seeking to give more rights to non-Britons than Britons, and to override UK law within the UK?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,766
    FF43 said:

    Interesting dynamics from the Barnier/Davis press conference. Barnier very assertive about controlling the agenda and pushing the pace. Davis in bargaining mode.

    The basic problem is that the UK does not have settled positions on a number of key issues. That's because it cannot get them as the Cabinet and the wider Conservative party is split on so many issues. Thus, we are largely dependent on the EU coming up with proposals. If they don't, or if these proposals are unacceptable, then things stall - and all the time the clock is ticking down. It really is no way to run a negotiation.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 29,468
    isam said:

    rkrkrk said:

    The BBC salaries issue looks like another example of the right wing press not being as powerful as it thought it was.

    I really think in the long-run this could be good for the BBC.
    Much harder for the right-wing press to criticise and distort when it's all out in the open.

    And I think the BBC will find they don't struggle to hold onto talent as much they might think and/or that much of the talent is actually replaceable.
    It isn't all out in the open though, far from it. Given how much over the odds they pay for radio presenters, if anything I expect a rush of applications.
    Is the BBC paying over the odds for radio presenters? Radio ought to be the easiest place to establish market value., especially where there is a single DJ or presenter. Audience figures are published every month, and there is a large commercial sector.

    Chris Evans gets the largest radio audience in the country. He has more listeners than the sainted Terry Wogan had in the same slot. Why should we be surprised that he also commands the most money?
    Part of me thinks the BBC should be training and promoting its own talent rather than buying established presenters on big contracts. The shows are the institutions not their stars. Although I think Lineker is over paid I guess he is at least home grown talent in that respect.
    It strikes me that even when they do promote BBC trained staff as soon as they are given a profile their salary goes through the roof. I am thinking Matt Baker, Victoria Derbyshire, Alex Jones and Dan Walker.

    Whoever negotiates these contracts should be fired as they are not exactly buttoning down value deals.

    Even if one can justify some of the top talent earning astronomical money, and I can think of few who deserve it, paying some of these autocue reading non-entities hundreds of thousands of pounds a year is a joke!

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,074
    Mr. Pete, people care less about negotiating good deals when the money the firm gets is guaranteed and it isn't their own money.

    I'd probably have much higher betting stakes if the taxpayer threw £3bn a year at me :p

    Anyway, I must be off.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405
    GeoffM said:

    FF43 said:

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
    I can think of a very realistic alternative.
    I am guessing not addressing the point at all, don't be concerned about the lack of any deal and let a ship containing nuclear waste drift vaguely in the direction of Antwerp and hope the wind doesn't change direction?
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,766

    Mr. Ace, is the ICJ seeking to give more rights to non-Britons than Britons, and to override UK law within the UK?

    Or, put another way, the EU27 is seeking to maintain the current rights enjoyed by EU27 citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU27; the British government is seeking to reduce the rights of EU27 citizens in the UK and those enjoyed by British citizens in the EU27.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,726
    FF43 said:

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
    I see no difficulty with the UK guaranteeing that any legislative changes that it makes will apply equally to British nationals and EU nationals.

    But, there is no way that the government can guarantee that it will never change the law in ways that may conflict with EU laws.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,345

    NEW THREAD

  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    FF43 said:

    GeoffM said:

    FF43 said:

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
    I can think of a very realistic alternative.
    I am guessing not addressing the point at all, don't be concerned about the lack of any deal and let a ship containing nuclear waste drift vaguely in the direction of Antwerp and hope the wind doesn't change direction?
    Good point - I hadn't taken the wind direction in to account.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    When Jacob Rees-Mogg is 13-2 3rd favourite,it tells you just how poor a field the next Tory leadership contest is.I'm on at 25-1 for Damian Green,not the 70-1 Mike advised,but I wonder if he isn't too close to TMay to win support.There's nothing to say you can't bet on more than 1 horse in each race and at these good double-figure prices,there's nothing to stop you Dutching on 2,3 or 4.
    I'm having a quarter point on someone from the current generation where,despite clearly being in the shadow of his far more famous brother,he has been quietly impressing on the gallops.Jo Johnson is 100-1 with 2 books.Maybe worth a small punt.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,405
    Sean_F said:

    FF43 said:

    Mr. P, then no deal, alas.

    We cannot have a foreign court over and above British laws for acts and individuals within the United Kingdom. It's an outrageous attempt of judicial colonialism.

    It's a problem. The circle that needs squaring:

    1. No extraterritorial reach of a court that that is outside the jurisdiction.
    2. Conformity of law and interpretation across the territory the deal applies to.
    3. As the remaining, bigger and already multilateral partner, the EU will not change the way it does things and will remain subject to the ECJ.

    The UK problem is that it can reject point number 1 but it doesn't have an alternative that addresses points 2 and 3.
    I see no difficulty with the UK guaranteeing that any legislative changes that it makes will apply equally to British nationals and EU nationals.

    But, there is no way that the government can guarantee that it will never change the law in ways that may conflict with EU laws.
    On citizen rights, I think that's mostly correct*. Incidentally the UK proposal doesn't guarantee the same rights to UK and resident EU citizens. If it did, I think the UK would be able to deal with the edge cases more effectively.

    * It's worth pointing out that citizenship rules have changed in the past but previous rights have always been grandfathered and never altered as far as I know. It's reasonable to have the expectation that the same applies here.
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