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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I hope this is not the first step in the state regulation of polling
What the recently announced House of Lords Committee on political polling might be looking at. https://t.co/kQ1A1vvxnZ pic.twitter.com/rFF24KpcBZ
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It's people's fault for believing polls... And I wager most voters don't anyway.
Also - first?
LMAO at this idea that the Tories "defending austerity" is the key to them recovering politically and getting a majority next time.
One of May's biggest faux-pas during the campaign is precisely when she implicitly defended the Tories' economic record (the Question Time "magic money tree" moment). Sneerily telling people who want better for themselves and their families that they just need to get their heads out of the clouds is not a recipe for political success - especially when it now comes at a time when magic money trees conveniently sprout up in Belfast when the Tories' own personal claims on power are at stake
Private polling would be rampant (surely they can't ban that) and only those that could afford to commission it would benefit on the financial and betting markets.
Plus it's just not British (2).
(1) © Mr. J. Corbyn.
(2) © Mr. N. Farage.
Laura Robson was always much more enjoyable to watch I found. I suppose beggars can't be choosers though.
The Tories may be many things, but they don't try and order you what to do.
The fact that TM's party are divided over it also makes it worse.
But I have no doubt that they were all doing their best and the filters that they used were genuinely based on their interpretation of historical data and trends. Which makes it difficult.
On further thought: nothing is so useless that state interference cannot make it worse.
Conclusion: clip their wings - have French type rules about publication in the last week of campaigning.
But the fall in the pound is much stronger.
https://twitter.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/882294413296369665
Plus this time we didn't have herding, and a few of the pollsters got it pretty spot on.
People are citizens of nation states (and nation states alone) in my eyes.
If the pollsters simply presented their polls on their own, as simply snapshots of one moment in time, without trying to seem like soothsayers who are giving you a preview of the actual election results, maybe they wouldn't come in for such criticism.
I have mixed feelings about the subjects covered. I think the BPC is working pretty well.
Banning polls during an election period might make sense. In 2010, the tracker from YouGov drowned out other polls, and had a disproportionate impact, creating news rather than reflecting views.
I share the concern implied that the powerful in politics might seek to curtail or alter the way polls are run and publicised for partisan advantage.
And seeing as I've mentioned a couple of King's novellas, I ought to say again that Trump is a very Stillson like character right out of the Dead Zone. And over here in "reality" Trump has blocked King on Twitter because he doesn't like the criticism King has dished out.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_subject
David Cameron and pornography?
Thatcher and gay rights/Section 28?
I see that Reddit is now the 4th most visited web site in the US. CNN is 23rd, the NY Times 32nd. I find this quite disturbing as Reddit is a site famous for people never reading the linked articles but merely arguing about the usually misleading titles. It's the Twitter problem spreading to the web, combined with the Facebook siloing of like minded people talking to one another.
If you view British citizenship as chauvinistic you are more than welcome to live somewhere else.
Vince Cable: Theresa May’s Tory conference speech “could have been taken out of Mein Kampf”
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2017/07/vince-cable-theresa-may-s-tory-conference-speech-could-have-been-taken-out-mein?amp
David Cameron scrapped ID cards, control orders and legalised gay marriage too.
I expect it to be as simple as moving to live in the US, Canada, Australia or NZ, or non-EU European states, and possibly even more so.
Mr. Urquhart, it perplexes me. But then, people who don't read classical history perplex me too.
Shameful from Mrs May, as nasty as Gordon Brown's BNP policy of British jobs for British Workers.
It's a bit like a supermarket. You can have anything. Almost everybody has bread and cheese to some degree. Nectarines can be bought by anyone, but only relatively few get them.
Technology can be used to close oneself off to differing opinions, and that's something I think many people don't realise or underestimate. The ability to mute, block, silence, censor or expel people for expressing views deemed unacceptable, and actively seeking out people based on how much their views overlap with your own is an insidious aspect of the internet and, particularly, social media.
When I first set up my Twitter (MorrisF1, for those interested) I deliberately followed a few people whom I knew I'd disagree with on most things. One of them, after some very civilised disagreement, became one of only two people [that I know if] to block me for reasons that are a mystery. [Another person blocked me after they tweeted about Empress Zoe for #InternationalWomensDay, and I pointed out she blinded her son so brutally he died and perhaps wasn't an optimal example of womanhood].
Would you like more 'isolated' examples?
Banning khat, general drugs policy, extremist disruption orders, ripping up human rights, European arrest warrant, abortion limits, assisted suicide...
Would Tories have got a majority in 2015 without all the polls showing it TCTC for example.
Edit: If you read mainly right wing views, eventually you will only be shown those options.
"The World" does not provide the rights and responsibilities that are inherent with the concept of citizenship.
May was absolutely right to say what she said. "Citizen of the World" is a meaningless concept in practice except for the ultra rich who can, to a large extent, afford to ignore the existence of states.
Politicians can still have a look at why opinion polls in Britain have been of such mediocre quality in the last two general elections.
(If I'd voted Leave I wouldn't even get a tampax ad!)
A politician could quite reasonably point out that such behaviour can be both selfish and hypocritical.
ukandeu.ac.uk/brexit-fork-in-the-road/
The interesting paradox he describes is that a worse trading position post-Brexit is supposed to be a price worth paying for Brexiters, and yet the whole point about the many and various trade agreements we will apparently be free to make (which of course require a surrender of sovereigny, almost by definition), is, so the very same Brexiters tell us, to make us better off.