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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We could find out how good Corbyn is at herding chickens
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We could find out how good Corbyn is at herding chickens
“That would be like herding chickens,” was how a member of the Shadow Cabinet responded when I suggested Labour’s leading campaigners should all be using the “weak and wobbly” counter to the Tory “strong and stable” slogan.
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And you can't allocate all non-Conservative votes to Labour any more than you can allocate all non-Labour votes to the Conservatives.
The place to watch is Bristol on Wednesday.
They could break the all-time June record - set in the iconic summer of 1976.
How very dare Don assign all those non Labour, non Tory votes over to Labour.
https://twitter.com/i_dont_know_her/status/876483993109180417
Corbyn will never be able to walk into No 10 unless he can show he has the numbers of seats to be allowed to. That means he would have to show that he had the direct support of the DUP because without that he doesn't have the numbers.
Pigs will grow wings before the DUP agree to support Corbyn.
Police are carrying out searches at an address in the Cardiff area.
Anyway, time for me to sod off again.
let's hope it never becomes a 'WHEN'
The left always wants power no matter what.
He was right the first time. Corbyn in government would set back Labour for years, perhaps decades. It would also be extremely damaging to the country, of course, which is why David Herdson's 'give him enough rope to hang himself' strategy is not a goer, especially given the Article 50 clock.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/london-mosque-attack-jeremy-corbyn-and-theresa-may-address-worshippers-at-finsbury-park-mosque-a3568306.html
That's why we were allowed to name someone who didn't commit the terrorist attack on Westminster Bridge.
Slightly less nicely, I ploughed through it anyway and it was unreadable for other reasons too.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-39479808
Vote Me I'll volte-face!
https://www.upvenue.com/article/1467-the-story-behind-smells-like-teen-spirit.html
All of this pre-supposes, of course, that a) the tories do not cut a deal with the DUP and b) they are not able to run as a minority administration. I think that's an unlikely double tbf.
If May was defeated in a vote of confidence, she would not pack her bags and leave immediately. Rather, she would remain (as Brown did in May 2010 while the Coalition was being formed) until somebody was in a position to go to the Queen with a realistic offer to form a Government commanding the confidence of the House. The strong likelihood would be that the someone would be a new Tory leader who could do a deal as necessary to pass a confidence motion. Or it might be May herself. If 14 days passed following a no confidence vote with no subsequent, successful confidence vote, there would be an election.
Crucially, Corbyn doesn't get to walk into Downing Street on the off-chance he may be able to form a Government from there just because he's leader of the Official Opposition. He has to actually be able to do it to get the keys. The only way for that to happen would be would be (i) if he had either formed a coalition deal with the SNP, Greens, Lib Dems and DUP; or (ii) if the Tories confirmed they'd abstain in a confidence motion effectively handing in the keys.
Neither of these are even remotely plausible. There are dangers for the SNP in a flaky coalition, the Lib Dems have already said "no", and the DUP practically invented the word "NO" for people like JC. Meanwhile, for the Tories it would mean going back on everything they've said about the dangers of Corbyn.
So it's either a fresh election or nothing - it's fantasy land to think Labour could form any sort of government on the June result.
https://twitter.com/phil500/status/876424981206454272
Theresa May is Prime Minister not fifth choice goal scorer for the Maidenhead Senior Ladies Netball Team who's slightly off her game.
He was criticised for not writing letters to soldiers' relatives in neat enough handwriting FFS....
On Corbyn's welcome at the mosque, to be fair, virtually everyone in the constituency thinks he's been a good local MP for decades, including befriending every group in the mutlifaceted community. It's not surprising that they appreciate him at such a nasty moment. As for the heckling of Theresa, it sounds as though it was just two people, and I heard others on the radio saying they didn't support her but they thought she'd done a good job today.
The mission is to bring down the government which Brexit means Brexit Tory MPs will do by themselves. There is no Tory majority regardless of the DUP because there are sizeable factions on both wings who will vote against the other. Yes they'll support confidence motions. But I suspect theyll support little else.
And the same goes for a very Minority Corbyn260 government. It'll be an early election
*This is politics. Mad things happen. Just because it's crazy doesn't mean it impossible
1; Isn’t it great that everything is free?
2; Why weren’t we always socialists?
3; Where have all the rich people gone? And all the wealth creators?
4; Why are mortgages so expensive? When did the pound drop to below 50 cents?
5; Why is everyone always on strike? And why is inflation so high?
6; Where did all those students who got free tuition fees go to? Why is the IMF running the place?
7; Where’s Maggie?
Of course there are the usual suspects for whom Mrs May BBQing babies in the rose garden of 10 Downing Street would be seen as a wonderful example of a mixture of Masterchef and Gardeners World.
I know wishful thinking is the left's stock in trade, but this really is getting boring. There will be no early election.
Which does raise the question what it was that ICM and ComRes got so wrong with their sample, if it wasn't (only) the turnout model?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-40178118
"The UK has decided to leave the EU - it's not the other way round….the consequences are substantial…
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/amp/40335399
If Corbyn cannot persuade the DUP to support him he will never make it inside the doors of Number 10 except as a guest of the PM.