politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB share drops 3 with Opinium and sees its lead down to 7 percent
What's significant about Opinium is that the declining LAB lead is mostly down to its share falling 3% rather than CON progress
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Labour do appear to slipping a bit with quite a few pollsters.
I guess I just can't imagine at the GE UKIP polling 17% nor can imagine the Lib Dems polling 9%
In mid-term.
Something has gone profoundly wrong for Labour.
We have seen in ICM, Youguv, Populus and now Opinium a drop in Lab's lead, but these are regarded by most of our Labour posters as mere flesh wounds.
I fear he might have drowned in Greece.
Talking of which, the German Ministry of Economics announced on Friday that they expected German GDP to have expanded at 0.6% in Q2 2013, matching the UK rate, but that growth would fall back over the second half and that the German Central Bank's forecast of 0.3% growth for the full year was still valid.
The Eurozone really is in a mess. It can't even climb out of double dip recession without faltering. George would put them right.
Depression on his watch too.
I've returned from a few days in Qatar.
There's no way they can stage a World Cup in the summer.
Will be impracticable for both the fans and the players.
I mean I've ended up with a SunTan.
And that's with my skin colour!
But if it is too broad-ranging and if everyone can see it (and yes incomes are down, unemployment is too high, there will be significant benefit changs which will generate losers), then I genuinely don't see where Labour has to go.
Cons could stick the knife in by appointing to a senior position a local lad* from Worksop who neither went to public school, oxbridge, etc nor currently lives in Notting Dale (as I believe they call "that" bit now).
But of course that would be crazy....
*Edit: or of course, ahem, gal
David Cameron may win on the economy so Ed Miliband needs a new tune
If living standards have improved by 2015, or look like they’re about to, then Cameron’s austerity worked and he’ll get another five years as PM
http://www.mirror.co.uk/opinion/news-opinion/david-cameron-win-economy-ed-2149434#ixzz2bahglIjm
We're not quite there yet.
The idiots at uefa would be banging a very big nail in their own coffin.
Russia 2018 may shape up to be fun though. If there is one thing those Ruskies like it is a few drinkies and a bit of passion!
If people feel in 2015 that the economy's doing really well and they're sharing in the recovery, then the Conservatives will benefit further. But anything as unambiguous as that is really unlikely, as even Avery would probably concede.
Coalition 38%
Labour 36%
OR if you prefer:
Tory/UKIP 46%
Labour 36%
"World Cup in Qatar 'impossible' in summer, says Greg Dyke"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/23640800
Is TSE an imposter? I think we should be told.
Not if you're a gayer, presumably!
I suspect you may have a secret agenda...
Good old Godfrey; here's to you.
STAY 32%
LEAVE 53%
I am rather thinking of going to that one. Fun place Russia!
Edit: And Survation last week also had Labour on 36
But birth certificates first. Baby steps in takeovers is a typical tactic by fascist, Communist and now EU government.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/hi/guides/456900/456991/html/default.stm
and the owners of the other 30% have no objection to effort-free capital gains. The trick will be to sell them the horror story lab govt > fiscal incontinence > interest rate rise > crash! A disgusting strategy, but that's not to say it won't work.
Charles - Greg Dyke, was a Labour activist/supporter and now a Lib Dem, I am not Greg Dyke
Russia 2018 may shape up to be fun though
Not if you're a gayer, presumably!
OK - fair point.
When do we think we will next get a poll showing the Conservatives in the lead? I doubt we'll see one this year.
On the upside.
It'll happen before EU stars appear on Paras' berets. I warrant you.
For the record, I expect the ICM this month to show a Labour lead.
I'm hoping that a YouGov shows a Tory lead this year, this is totally unconnected to me a holding a 2/1 betting slip on such an occurrence.
Though having watched The Lone Ranger today, The William Tell Overture maybe a contender now
Swedish men told to beware testicle-munching fish
Experts have warned Swedish men to keep their swimming trunks on if taking a dip in a sound off the country's southern coast, after a South American fish known for attacking testicles was discovered in the area.
"And its mouth is not so big, so of course it normally eats nuts, fruit, and small fish, but human testicles are just a natural target. It's not normal to get your testicles bitten off, of course, but it can happen, especially now in Sweden."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/sweden/10234986/Swedish-men-told-to-beware-testicle-munching-fish.html
The Balls family appear to be lost somewhere, was Harriet running Labour the last few weeks or did all the reds pack their bags and leave NPxMP in charge?
Moi aussi.
There's more evil in a One Direction album than in a Al Qaeda suggestion box
BRUSSELS bureaucrats faced fresh fury last night after revealing proposals for European Union birth certificates.
http://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/420986/Anger-over-plot-to-put-EU-flag-on-all-birth-certificates
A Radetsky March from festive Vienna under the baton of Carlos Kleiber, one of the most under-recorded conducting geniuses of the 20th century (not that this piece needs a lot of interpretative genius, just a light hand).
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DYB4c163dJA
"Really? She killed him just for wiping it on the curtains?"
I quite like Europe, except the frogs of course.
It isn't the best film ever made, I'd call it enjoyable.
Oh deary , dear , you really do need a lesson on MofE
Sean, I have been in touch with your agent and booked five fortnightly two hour one-on-one lessons with Mark Senior.
You will have to travel to Worthing to attend the lessons.
If you have never experienced the pleasure of Worthing before, take note of this extract from a Guardian article:
Chris Hare, a respected historian and former university lecturer, has just [2009] published "Worthing, a History: Riots and Respectability in a Seaside Town".
According to Hare, it was a combination of typhoid, riots and then Oscar Wilde who finally ruined the town's reputation to the point of no return. "There had been riots against Salvation Army attempts to close pubs and then there was the typhoid, so Worthing had been desperate for good publicity. When Wilde arrived, he was a godsend," said Hare. But now, even the future of Wilde's blue plaque, hung on the red bricks of a block of uninspiring modern flats, next to a petrol station, is being questioned.
Steven Stevens, a prominent local figure who last year fought a campaign against a lap dancing club in Worthing, is unhappy that the link with Wilde brings in "the wrong sort of people". "This town is going downhill tremendously fast and people feel so strongly that we have to stand up and fight against that," he said. "This was a beautiful area and we shall have no truck with remembering the likes of Oscar Wilde and all the worst things in life. I myself would fight tooth and nail for any campaign to erase a link between Worthing and a child abuser."
My advice it to wear a jacket and tie when in Mr. Senior's company.
Angevin Empire period
Hundred Years War period
Post-Napoleonic Wars occupation
Operations during WW1
Operations WW2 1939-40
Operations WW2 1944-5
Agreed it is within MoE (although on the edge) but it does appear to be a general narrowing of the lead - albeit until know with Labour being constant and the Cons gaining from UKIP - across all polls. Whether Labour's slip is a trend or an outlier is unknown at this stage.
Citing a single poll from April is meaningless as I have no idea whether it is representative.
That said, I think it is fair to say that the lead is narrowing at this point.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/1512373/Wife-died-in-crash-after-grabbing-the-wheel-during-row.html
We used to drive along that road daily on our trip into work, and we used to have faux-arguments as we passed the spot. It's at that moment I realised we both share a rather sick style of humour.
The EU is talking about bringing in an MOT for caravans. Does anyone know what problem this is trying to solve?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-23648051
As always, with our American friends, it comes down to money at the end of the day
Has Miliband responded to the knife Burnham stuck in his back?
Almost half a million pounds of British taxpayer-funded aid and equipment has fallen into the hands of al-Qaeda, the Department for International Development has admitted.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/africaandindianocean/somalia/10235384/Britains-foreign-aid-has-fallen-into-hands-of-al-Qaeda-DfiD-admits.html
Its like watching Tranmere rovers thrash Hinckley united in the FA cup final. Not pretty.
But if he isn't careful the Labour shadow cabinet will start to resemble a meeting of Milo and Clodius.
DC gets 85% approval of Cons.
EdM gets 50% approval of Labour and
NC gets 50% approval from LDs.
Chris Huhne has opened a new row over the “revolving door” between Whitehall and business after it emerged he landed a senior job with an energy company within three months of leaving prison.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/liberaldemocrats/10235327/Row-as-disgrace-Chris-Huhne-lands-top-energy-job.html