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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Advance notice: A PB event in Yorkshire July 2014

SystemSystem Posts: 12,250
edited August 2013 in General

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Advance notice: A PB event in Yorkshire July 2014

David Herdson and I plan to host a PB event in Yorkshire in July next year and we wanted to sound out opinion to see if this would be popular.

Read the full story here


Comments

  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    edited August 2013
    First!

    Edit: If there any good cricket going on nearby too I'll see if I can get one of my longer UK business trips around then. It'd be a great chance for me to meet some pb'ers.
  • RichardNabaviRichardNabavi Posts: 3,413
    Great idea, Mike. Just make sure you heed the warnings of the locals and dress appropriately:

    Wheear 'ast tha bin sin' ah saw thee, ah saw thee?
    On Ilkla Mooar baht 'at
    Tha's bahn' to catch thy deeath o` cowd
    Then us'll ha' to bury thee
    Then t'worms'll come an` eyt thee up
    Then t'ducks'll come an` eyt up t'worms
    Then us'll go an` eyt up t'ducks
    Then us'll all ha' etten thee
    That's wheear we get us ooan back


  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362

    Great idea, Mike. Just make sure you heed the warnings of the locals and dress appropriately:

    Wheear 'ast tha bin sin' ah saw thee, ah saw thee?
    On Ilkla Mooar baht 'at
    Tha's bahn' to catch thy deeath o` cowd
    Then us'll ha' to bury thee
    Then t'worms'll come an` eyt thee up
    Then t'ducks'll come an` eyt up t'worms
    Then us'll go an` eyt up t'ducks
    Then us'll all ha' etten thee
    That's wheear we get us ooan back


    If some pb posters haven't been to Yorkshire,here's some help with the Yorkshire Dialect ;-)

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ScELaXMCVis

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Whos the Glasman "guru" on Newsnight ? No wonder Ed is in a Zen like trance...
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    FPT:

    "Interesting Twitter convo between Dan Hodges & Will Jennings:

    Will Jennings: "OK, all elections 1945-2010, average final year increase for incumbent is 2.5%, so there is some evidence for you."

    Will Jennings: (on oppositions): "It's different but pretty symmetrical (-2.6%). Of course, past performance is not an indication of future results!"

    On Jennings analysis today that would put Labour on 35.5 & the Tories on 33.7....Lab maj of 14.....20 months from the GE.....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    Great visual on 'Where does my Money go':

    http://wheredoesmymoneygo.org/bubbletree-map.html#/~/total
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    edited August 2013

    On Jennings analysis today that would put Labour on 35.5 & the Tories on 33.7....Lab maj of 14.....20 months from the GE.....

    On Jennings raw numbers the Lab Maj would be 70 higher at 84......

  • @No_Offence_Alan

    Many thanks for the LD retirement information. Much appreciated
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,090
    edited August 2013
    International cricket schedule, 2014:

    http://www.cricschedule.com/year/2014.php

    "2014: Sri Lanka Lord's, Headingley; India Lord's, Trent Bridge, Old Trafford, The Oval, The Rose Bowl."

    http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2011/sep/22/ecb-ashes-tests-2013-2015
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    There is a pretty good book on the Yorkshire dialect, but it (and the accent) varies a lot between the Ridings.

    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Basic-Broad-Yorkshire-Arnold-Kellett/dp/1870071824
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    "13,000 excess deaths" - a Zombie statistic.....

    http://www.theguardian.com/society/2013/aug/07/nhs-health?CMP=twt_fd
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    The only sense I've read today on Bloom:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/2013/aug/07/godfrey-bloom-bongo-bongo-land-ukip

    "Ignore Godfrey Bloom's 'bongo bongo land' comments – he's trying to provoke
    The Ukip MEP's posturing should not be taken too seriously, and nor should his party"

    When the real election comes in 2015 disaffected Tories will have to decide whether they hate David Cameron more than they hate Ed Miliband. By voting for the likes of Godfrey "Ray-Bans" Bloom they risk splitting the core Tory vote and making Ed our next PM. It's a no-brainer, even for disaffected Tories who tend not to believe in what lefties call revolutionary defeatism (lose now, to win better later)."
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,047
    @carlotta

    Re the Jews comment on the other thread. Another line has been added which makes it marginally less offensive but it also makes it read like gibberish.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,090
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    The 2010 Hazel Grove result is very similar to the 2010 Eastleigh.

    Eastleigh: Con: 39, Lab: 10, LD: 47, UKIP: 4
    Hazel Grove: Con: 34, Lab: 12, LD: 49: , UKIP: 5

    http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/eastleigh/
    http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide/hazelgrove/
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    @Roger - the edited quote was disgraceful - but also misleading as it was stripped of context - and Plato backed her general comment with a specific example - I guess few would be as willing to defend David Ward as were keen to condemn Plato on the basis of an edited quote.....

    Did you read Tim Stanley on the EDL and Islam? Sadly - or perhaps wisely, the Telegraph did not enable comments!
  • The 2012 district results in Hazel Grove wards

    LD 42.0% Con 26.9% Lab 22.5% UKIP 5.2%

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    The announcement embargoed until Midnight....which was on the ITN 6.30 news:

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/prime-minister-announces-500-million-to-relieve-pressures-on-ae
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,573
    edited August 2013
  • Borough...HG is in a Borough
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,090
    Hazel Grove is a constituency that prospective LD candidates from all over the country will be drooling over.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    edited August 2013
    Oddly enough I'm tentatively planning a trip to the UK then - the second day of the Tour de France goes right past my boyhood home, and the first day ends in Harrogate, where I used to live until a few years ago.

    I might even take in the Open Championship.
  • JohnLoonyJohnLoony Posts: 1,790
    Of core snot! What on Earth for? Don't you realise that the vast majority of ordinary normal decent people live in London? Why would we want to go anywhere near Godfrey Bloom?
  • AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited August 2013
    tim said:

    If this is true then it's the most important story around, Lib Dems to spike Osbornes house price inflation plan?

    @SamCoatesTimes: Tory anger as Lib Dems cast doubt on Osborne’s mortgage guarantee scheme http://t.co/ukijReFW05

    They flunked the chance to kill off Lansleys madness, maybe this time they'll act in the national interest and neuter the bubble policy

    My, oh my, you (and the Times) are clutching at straws, tim.

    A special adviser who works on policy in Nick Clegg’s office told a private meeting with representatives of the major banks that the Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme outlined by the Chancellor in the Budget did not have the full support of the Liberal Democrats.

    You only have to read yesterday's BoE Quarterly Inflation Report to see how critical investment in private sector dwellings and activity in the housing market is to sustaining growth in the economy.

    Or, if this long and somewhat dry document is not to your taste, watch the Sky News interview of Carney and revel in the utter disdain with which the Governor politely dismissed Ed Conway's suggestion that the Government's Help to Buy scheme might create a bubble and cause the Bank to terminate it early.

    Why Conway, who is a good (but wrongheaded) economist, sullies his editorial role at Sky by labouring party political points is beyond comprehension. Ed, please, please leave the politics to Joey and Sophie and concentrate on the economics.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Please Miss Carola, I find it hard to take you seriously when you defend the bully who tries to undermine my intelligence through the prism of my politics. Especially when he goes onto heap praise on you and your intelligence as a result of your politics which matches his world view. I know you selling yourself as a self sacrificing sole of the private sector who has given it all up for the joys of being on the coal face as a teacher. Yawn, I was staff nurse back in the 80's and 90's under Thatcher, and it wasn't quite as desperate and self serving as you make out.

    The sad fact is that in all the years I have posted on this site, I have never felt the need to personally page 'Tim' with a link to a story that might make him happy. It makes you come across as needy of his praise by the way, but never felt the need to point that out before as it might undermine your feminism stick. But you do feel the need to be his cheerleader, and you seem to revel in it, bless. Really puts your politics, feminism and intelligence into perspective in future political debates on this site. Hopefully you will manage to rise above it and finally what a hypocrite it makes you in your attacks on other female posters on this site.

    @Plato, dontcha just love being lectured by our usual trolls and their pom pom waving cheerleaders on this site when most of them turn out to be so thin skinned they cannot cope with being challenged on their hypocrisy. Still, Tim heaped high praise on Carola because she as a teacher noticed Theresa May's weight loss as an indication of her leadership ambitions. And yet, I as a former nurse understood the immediate implications of her weight loss due to the announcement she had developed insulin dependent diabetes when it came to light, and despite the ignorance of some who didn't understand that insulin dependent diabetes doesn't have a set age profile that it adheres too.

    My sister in law became an insulin dependent diabetic in her early twenties, she collapsed at a wedding where she was bridesmaid. With my own personal family history, it was a worry that I suffered gestational diabetes, I had to undergo tests after 10 years to check if I had developed this condition. Luckily I had not, but my grandmother and all her siblings did, my great Aunt and her son both ended up totally blind due to their diabetes by the time they were forty.
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    I'm glad I'm unlikely to ever be made a Mod on here, I think I'd probably just ban nearly everyone.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    tim said:

    If this is true then it's the most important story around, Lib Dems to spike Osbornes house price inflation plan?

    Given your interest in the topic, I'm surprised you haven't posted the BofE's comments today.

    In other news, Carney and his men rejected out of hand the suggestion that the Help to Buy scheme is starting another unsustainable housing boom, which will please Osborne no end.

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2013/08/interest-rates-set-to-stay-low-for-the-foreseeable-future/
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    FPT:

    "Interesting Twitter convo between Dan Hodges & Will Jennings:

    A pretty pedestrian debate. Take any set of numbers and there will always be an average. The average number of legs in the human population is about 1.99, but I can assure you no-one has 1.99 legs...

    The clever thing to do is to identify a proxy variable, e.g. by-election swing or PM approval which can be shown to predict the future (election outcome) with a fair degree of accuracy.
  • Re: proposed PB event at Ilkley in July 2014 - would this perchance take in dinner at http://www.theboxtree.co.uk/ ?

    If so, you can definitely count me in along with 'Er Indoors.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,845
    I'd be tempted to go - I love the moors around Ilkley (including having wild camped near the stone circle).

    However two things concern me: firstly, will accommodation be scarce and expensive because of Le Tour?
    Secondly, although I had no interest in the Olympics, I do rather fancy seeing Le Tour, which also passes through Cambridge on the 7th, so I'd rather be down here to watch it.
  • CarolaCarola Posts: 1,805
    @fitalass

    I won't bother with the rest as, really, it speaks for itself. But May said that she'd been making a conscious effort to lose weight etc before the diagnosis (which was when I first spotted/commented on it - and, importantly, in the broader context of her going through a makeover). I posted the link at the time.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,090
    I could be available - assuming I'm not watching the tour on the top of Holme Moss.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    edited August 2013
    Sounds like a good idea - hope the beer is good. Betty's is a good place for an afternoon tea party.
  • Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019
    I'd love it just let me know where and Ilkley is a super location. Bar T'at does great beer.
This discussion has been closed.