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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A prolonged suspension of the campaign at this critical stage is bad for democracy

We are just two weeks and two days from the General Election and next week, with the Spring bank holiday, sees large numbers, particularly parents of school age children, going away.

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Philip_Thompson

On the question of politics I suspect that even if this atrocity doesn't sway any votes the narrative will be that it has done.

Logic being that the polls released recently showing a Labour surge showed it coming from non-voters. Also the Tory wobble was coming to an end as the u-turn had happened. If as was predicted by many here before the attack Labour closing the gap was a polling error ... or as has normally happened there was a pro-Labour polling error again anyway ... then there will be a change between the polls last weekend and the final results. Even if not a vote is different due to last night.

But last night's atrocity will be a peg on which to blame any errors, to say it caused a swing. It will also be a peg for the left to blame any eventual defeat on (like many blame Britain winning the Falklands war still for the Tories winning 83).