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CON majority slips back & no overall majority gets tighter on Betfair GE2015 outcome market pic.twitter.com/XDdtvQMYDj
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Companies which underprice their services tend not to stay in business for long.
Even if the pricing does turn out to be wrong, then repricing or further cost-engineering is an option, with market exit a last resort.
Markets are better at finding correct pricing levels than any form of administrative planning process.
I am enjoying reading your posts on the NHS.
"111 is merely a patient interaction process for which market driven cost-engineering options should find optimum price levels"
Why oh why, Tories ask, don't the public trust us to look after the NHS?
Edit. They also went on and on about the Supreme Court case today about whether work experience amounted to forced labour. In about an hour I heard one brief acknowledgement that the respondent's argument that this amounted to a breach of her human rights was rejected by the Court of Appeal who decided the case on highly technical grounds.
For a bit of variety that well know neutralist Richard Bacon had the Chief Scientific Advisor on and spent all his time trying to get him to admit that some Ministers were sceptical about AGW. And he caught up with his inner Tim by going on about homeopathy as well.
It felt distinctly like panic to me.
And nurses are generally not trained to do medical diagnostic work so wouldn't necessarily add value if or when diagnosis is required.
Nurses on hand in a second tier referral can help for care or self-treatment advice when needed but the vast majority of calls will not need nurse interaction.
You don't need to be a medical professional to know this. It applies to all similar pre-screening systems.
If your computer won't boot you don't need to speak to Steve Ballmer or Tim Cook. You probably don't even need to speak to a software engineer. Even Fluffy would be overkill.
Mr. LP, whilst no fan of Labour or their behaviour during and after Stafford that's a rather coarse way of putting things.
Bit more on the Alonso/Montezemolo spat: apparently when Alonso was asked what he wanted for his birthday he said "Someone else's car". Amusing, and probably true, and over that Montezemolo's gone into the public domain. Right now, Alonso is Ferrari's biggest asset.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/23495111
Currently making daisy chain wreaths to lay at the gates of Stafford District General.
[Go for it Hortence]
And nurses are generally not trained to do medical diagnostic work so wouldn't necessarily add value if or when diagnosis is required.
Nurses on hand in a second tier referral can help for care or self-treatment advice when needed but the vast majority of calls will not need nurse interaction.
Stop making a fool of yourself.Have you never been to a Minor Injuries/Urgent Treatment Centres where investigations are done,fractures diagnosed and casts used for treatment entirely by nurses.I am starting to suspect you don`t really use the NHS.
This is about the systematic processing and pre-screening of public telephone inquiries relating to health care and treatment.
If the caller has a fractured bone needing diagnosis and remedial treatment by means of a cast, he or she should probably not be calling 111 in the first place.
It is like treading on a slug.
PB Moderator: Avery, your comment re Andy Burnham was potentially defamatory and has been moderated.
Please refrain doing so in future.
Well it shouldn't be. That explains many of the problems.
India may well be ditched, with Germany and Spain possibly going too. Korea also seems like it could end up leaving sooner or later:
http://joesaward.wordpress.com/2013/07/29/the-f1-calendar-for-2014/
Are there any implied probabilities for a LibDem majority?
While behind the scenes Cameron and Hunt, a Cabinet minister who strained to deliver BSkyB into total control of media-tycoon-turned-police-supergrass Rupert Murdoch, carve up the NHS into bite-sized chunks for privatisation.
Fragmentation will be a costly catastrophe for patients and a lottery bonanza for corporate vultures circling over the corpse of the NHS.
Maguire really should have auditioned for a leading role in Danny Boyle's opening ceremony.
The key paragraph is as follows:
But critics believe it is built on a fundamental flaw. Instead of using expensive nurses and GPs to assess patients, lay call handlers, who are cheaper, follow a script of questions that leads them to a decision about where to send the caller. handlers have no clinical experience, the system has to default to the least risky option – which means sending people to A&E or calling an ambulance if there is any doubt. Any money saved is simply added to the bill in more expensive care elsewhere.
Do you really believe that the nurses and GPs answering calls in the NHS Direct service were not using a prescripted prompt system? Allowing nurses and doctors to use their own experience and discretion to provide 'unique' answers to common problems is an idiotic concept.
The purpose of the call centre is to screen out calls which do not need the attention of medical professionals and to forward those that do.
Getting a system which sets the dividing line in the right place is the core design problem. In its early stages one would expect the systems to default on the side of safety by referring more than it needs. This balance will no doubt be tweaked to be more efficient and effective with collective experience.
The argument that pre-screening adds to cost is nonsensical. The telephone call is the lowest cost presentation possible. Would you prefer the caller to have called for an ambulance or walked into an A&E centre without first establishing whether such action is necessary or even possibly necessary?
"Andy Xie, a financial commentator at news website Caixin, said reliance on land sales to fund regional spending was an accident waiting to happen. “While household income may have tripled in a decade, the average land price has risen by over 30 times. Income growth to come cannot justify the current price of land. Nor can a supply shortage. China has no shortage of land. The sustainable land value is probably 70pc to 80pc below current levels,” he said."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/china-business/10209560/China-orders-urgent-audit-of-debts-after-IMF-warnings.html
Now that is what you might call a bubble. Even Gordon Brown did not manage anything quite like that. China is going to have a serious set back and soon. It is inevitable after such prolonged extraordinary growth. Any student of 19th century US or 18th century UK would know it is inevitable. Doesn't mean they will not recover strongly but a major set back at some point, probably very soon, is inevitable.
"Terrifies them"
Do you actually believe this? I really can't wait till the general election. I am looking forward to your excuses as to why the Tories have failed to win 5 general elections in a row.
I am looking forward to your explanations for Ed failing to move into substantially positive ratings territory!
SNP Euro ranking today
1. Ian Hudghton MEP
2. Alyn Smith MEP
3. Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh
4. Stephen Gethins
5. Toni Giugliano
6. Chris Stephens
Conservative Euro count on Wednesday
Labour Euro lists to be published on Friday
“While the Westminster system obsesses with a referendum to wrench the UK out of Europe, it is increasingly clear that Scotland needs a direct voice in Europe to protect and promote our interests.”
I had a text from the GMB asking me to vote for Kamaljeet Jandu for the London list. Obviously I dont have a vote in it so that was a wasted message but it's the first time I've noticed that level of activism in a selection.
Incidentally, the Lib Dems really missed a huge opportunity with the NHS. If they had killed the Tory top-down reorganisation / privatisation chaos stone dead, what a thing they'd have to sell to tacticals / undecideds in 2015.
I believe all Labour members are celebreting that Wednesday is the last voting day and so they won't receive texts and emails by MEP hopefuls anymore!
I can make a prediction for top spots just to see how many I can get wrong...
All Southwark council candidates in one pic:
http://twitpic.com/d57y13
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/07/28/poverty-unemployment-rates_n_3666594.html
The things you learn on PB.
Coming next: a battle over the perils of the EU terrifies UKIP, a battle over immigration terrifies the Tories, a battle over Scottish independence terrifies the SNP, arboreal toilets terrify bears.
Reckitt have made a £225m provision in their accounts which is believed to be related to the action started by Lansley for abuse of a dominant market position in relation to Gaviscon. If this action is successful it will make a very interesting precedent.
Yup got that wrong. But on the more substantive point about the next election I am right. The membership and income figures were a important political event but the fact that so few PB Tories even noticed explains why they get so much wrong.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2013/07/29/richard-iii-coffin_n_3670238.html?icid=maing-grid7|uk|dl1|sec1_lnk2&pLid=197788&utm_hp_ref=fb&src=sp&comm_ref=false#sb=2696121,b=facebook
Labour failed on the NHS, This is not a matter of political opinion. The evidence is contained in the independent reports into the fiasco at Stafford General Hospital and the more recent Keogh report. It is there in black and white and stares at you menacingly as it catalogues errors in patient care and clinical performance.
But the biggest deception is not Labour governing as hospitals failed but the party's attempt to cover up errors by treating the NHS as a national religion rather than a health care system and to divert attention away from NHS failings by asserting that patient satisfaction surveys were more important than objective measurements of clinical outcomes and proper assessments of care quality.
The myth of the NHS being safe under Labour has now been fully busted. It is no longer believed by the public. The NHS is now yet another mess left to the Coalition government to clean up.
This process may be traumatic but it is long overdue and necessary. The public are now focussed on real outcomes not fantasy.
Remember most of the public didn't recognise that Brown was destroying the economy until the bubble burst and the public finances crashed.
We are only now realising that the same path was being followed by Burnham with the same results.
What is your prediction anyway? I only see you going as far as the Tories failing to win a majority on this thread. Is that the limit of your hopes or are you expecting a Lab majority?
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/retailandconsumer/10209651/Reckitt-Benckiser-takes-225m-legal-hit-amid-NHS-claim.html
Increased credit going to small businesses in June is truly good news and should show through in the investment figures quite quickly. An excellent start to Q3.
The large corporates are going to have to invest their cash mountains soon. If Carney is brave he may well follow the Swedish precedent of setting negative interest rates to incent investment!
[PS The Telegraph link to the Reckitt article isn't complete]
Good choice...Italians must conquer the Euro lists. The Italian lady has more chances than the Italian guy though.
In East Midlands, I would predict Rory Palmer to get second spot.
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/localgovernment/2013/07/tory-councillors-attack-ad-van-message-for-illegal-immigrants.html
It is clearly most unfortunate that the Home Office should take actions which were bound to be controversial, about highly sensitive matters, without very careful discussion with the affected communities.’
"If we had been consulted, we would have warned strongly that, whatever effect this campaign might be intended to have on people who are in the country unlawfully, that message is far outweighed by the negative message to the great majority of people, from all backgrounds, who live and work together in Redbridge, peacefully, productively and lawfully.
"We ask the Home Office to withdraw the campaign."
Another Richard too if he isn't still sulking.
Only by putting patients first and trusting professionals will we drive up standards, deliver better value for money and create a healthier nation
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/213823/dh_117794.pdf
Of course, to be fair to the LibDems, they have had to compromise in coalition, so you can't blame Nick Clegg for having failed to get everything he wanted:
'I think breaking up the NHS is exactly what you do need to do to make it a more responsive service.'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/election/article-1269045/General-Election-2010-Nick-Cleggs-demand-NHS-broken-up.html
Should be interesting.
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/platform/2013/07/lord-flight-1.html
"Unfortunately, I fear the Coalition’s funding for lending and help to buy policies will end in tears as this also serves to drive up prices. What will happen when, on the back of £380bn of quantitative easing money printing, higher inflation and much higher interest rates come round in due course?"
My point is more about the long term structural weakness of the Tory party that many on here simply seem unwilling to face up to. Instead PB gets people like Stark Dawning saying Labour is terrified of campaigning on the NHS!
It also amazes me how many on here are dismissive of the relevance of Scottish and North of England voters, not to mention 6 million trade unionists. But then obsess about how Labour are complacent by just pointing out electoral reality.
Tom Newton Dunn @tnewtondunn 21m
YouGov/Sun poll tonight: Brits narrowly back Home Office ad vans telling illegal immigrants to go home by 47% to 41%. Details in tmrw's Sun.
I would also point out with the exception of Bradford West ( I said a Lab 2k majority!) have been right on the by elections. In fact I have won several bets against PB Tories on these issues for the benefit of the site.
So you got all the by-elections right except the one Labour lost? It would be impolite to mention Cornwall
The way PBTories were behaving in the last few days you would have assumed that the support was overwhelming.
If this fails, of course, the Tories could ask some people to wear a green crescent or a spinning wheel on their sleeves for easy identification.
The largest single authority given by the Treasury to the BoE was also in 2009. There is no evidence to date that QE has yet caused general inflation and the BoE and most independent economists are sceptical that it will ever have a significant inflationary impact.
There have been arguments that asset prices, in particular equities, have increased in value faster than they would have done had QE not been adopted as a central bank policy, but this is heard more in the US where QE has been much larger in scale and more persistent than in the UK.
Cornwall. You mean the one where I pointed out the Tories weren't doing much and they went from 1st to 3rd overall. Ask Mike, who lives in a marginal seat, how much work the Tories can do on the ground. Nada.
Someone wrote here a few days back that the report two weeks back had "neutralised" the Labour lead on the NHS !!
Someone dial 111.
Wedge inserted.
No accounting for the appeal of bad taste to the British public.
We gained all those 8 and no one got more than 25% of the vote.
How many gains do you predict for Labour in 2014 Euros? I would say 4 in a poor night. Up to 8 in a decent but unremarkable night. Low 10s if you win over UKIP.
Come on, IOS, you came 5th in vote share and the Tories came 1st. If that's what the Tories can do when they are being outworked by you I fear for you guys when they start trying!
Congratulations on your Victor Lodorum for the most flags for trolling. It must have been quite a post! Tim can only look on misty eyed at the thrusting Tory talent now coming through.
Kevin Mcguire deserves a mention too for lighting your touch paper with his uncharacteristically perceptive comment.........
"The NHS remains the nearest we have to a national religion. The backlash when it comes, and it will, is going to be ferocious."
And have we had it yet ?
I missed the one when Labour applied it to private renters....
Vote shares don't matter. Seats do! They came 3rd and we came 4th.
I can play this game all night!
"Will that be bigger than the spare room subsidy backlash?"
Much bigger!
Wars are fought in the name of religion.
'Spare room subsidies' just doesn't cut it
Now, Roger, I really must pick you up on your Latin. You obviously failed to pay attention in class at your Welsh prep school.
Victor Lodorum = Victor Ludorum
Reducto ad absurdam = Reductio ad absurdum
No doubt you will seek revenge by hurling insults back at me in Japanese,
As for the NHS, we need simple improvement of outcomes and care quality, not a jihad. This is where Lansley and Hunt will be seen to have delivered in 2015.
I look forward to picking this up at a later date. Maybe then you can tell me how badly mistaken the Tories were for selecting on the old boundaries. Oh wait .. they didnt!
If illegal immigrants then the government have every justification in piloting unusual methods of communication.
As I said on a previous thread the tactic is near identical (and probably as ineffective) as the BBC patrolling council estates with Television Licence Detector Vans.
Although it has kept us occupied during the silly political season it is not a government action I would go to war to defend.
The more complex the layers of meaning and intent the more fun.
And the more plausible the deniability the angrier become your opponents.
"If illegal immigrants then the government have every justification in piloting unusual methods of communication."
This made me laugh out loud! Was it supposed to be funny or are my 'teach yourself Japanese while you do the ironing' CD's colouring everything?
ろじゃー
We shall have to wait for Edmondo to see whether it is understandable or rude.
I have given up on trying to work out what are jokes or not.
The things I find most funny pass through without comment on PB whereas my most serious political comments cause either howls of laughter. derision or moderation.
For example, I was rather pleased with coining Carola de Fenestrata as a name and I giggled every time I typed it but no one has remarked on it at all.
Humour is very private, Roger.
Will ethnic minority voters, small-l liberals and even centrist Conservatives be repelled?
Where are Lord Ashcroft's subsamples when you need them?
The British public find this all rather effete and uninspiring. They want a true fight where opponents have their noses rubbed in the dirt of defeat. They yearn for the clarity of belief and aggression of the late departed and saintly Margaret.
Margaret would definitely have approved of the illegal immigrant detector vans and anyone who dared to oppose them on the grounds of taste and decency would have been labelled as "not one of us".
And so it came to pass that Cameron and Osborne decided to import Lynton Crosby to take over their messaging.
All that matters now is:
Do a majority support the policies and actions? Yes.
Are the nose of Tory opponents rubbed in the dirt of defeat? Yes.
Do Cameron, Osborne and May appear "strong" as a result of the stunt? Yes
It may not be my 'cup of tea' but it is what we are all going to be drinking between now and the general election.
Somewhere along the line he even traded Lansley to get them through.
And history is already beginning to be kind to the Lansley reforms. As we see from the 111 events they are beginning to work. Monolithic state provision of health services at inflated cost is being broken down into GP commissioned alternate sources of supply.
The noise off left will continue but the main stage will see Lansley's posthumous triumph.
Now one swallow does not a summer make but I suspect there will be much 'resist then embrace' at the professional level. It will not be the politics but the outcomes that count.
"The first results of a system allowing patients to rate the hospital ward or department they have been treated in are to be published later.
Hundreds of thousands of patients have taken part in the NHS Friends and Family Test during April, May and June 2013.
They were asked for their views after staying in hospital overnight or visiting an A&E department.
It is the first time a national health service has published a single measure of patient satisfaction for every hospital.
They all answered one simple question. "How likely are you to recommend our ward/A&E department to your friends and family if they needed similar care or treatment?"
Tim Kelsey, NHS England's National Director for Patients and Information, said: "At the heart of the tragedy of Mid Staffordshire was one simple lesson: the NHS has got to do better at listening to patients and doing something about what they say.
"This is a radical response, a potential game changer. It creates a direct conversation and gives NHS staff the opportunity to respond quickly to what they are being told.
"We hope to encourage a patient-led revolution in healthcare, driven by the transparency, better information and public participation in design of services."
The test was announced by David Cameron in January 2012 with the aim of giving patients a stronger voice when deciding whether their care is good enough."
Not sure they will all be Estonians. A fair few grocers and shopkeepers might be making up the numbers though.
http://www.maureenduffy.co.uk/novels.htm#gorsaga