July 2013 may well come to be seen as the turning point in this parliament. The economy looks to have decisively turned the corner. We only hear talk of triple-dip recessions in the context of no longer talking about triple-dip recessions. Employment is rising, unemployment is falling, growth is accelerating and confidence is returning. One would expect that to feed through to the key bat…
Comments
And, First !
It is better than some flunky paying millions. Do you think he is paying without some self interest ?
I am not a supporter of UKIP, but they would be severely - and unjustly - disadvantaged under a past vote weighted payment system.
Far better to simply cap donations at a low level - say £10,000, but I could be persuaded by any lowish amount - and ban any "political" spending by non-registered parties during a period (let's say 6 months) running up to a general election.
"Falkirk vote-rigging inquiry could hang over Labour for months"
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/political-news/falkirk-vote-rigging-inquiry-could-hang-over-labour-for-months.21710607
It's not only General Elections; the EU referendum is a good example of where spending is going to be an issue. Formal and informal, transparent and opaque groups spending money on targeted campaigns and sponsoring individuals are likely to be a growing part of our democracy in the next decade.
We should look to decide what we want to happen and legislate in advance of events now rather than firefight later.
Each party will be looking to add little clauses and details that will allow them to get those few extra pounds, or prevent their competitors from getting them. This is the problem that has dogged the funding issue for so long.
We should look at the American system, decide that $2.6 billion dollars for an election campaign is not democracy, and do the polar opposite.
The first attempt at legislation in the US was the Tillman Act in 1907 which banned corporations donating to campaigns. The fact is that from that well intended start it only took 100 years to hit the $2.6 billion dollar campaign you refer to.
David Herdson has written a typically neutral and informative header. I fear though that the genie in the bottle is much larger and more potent than he concludes. If the US is anything to go by, this could shape UK politics for decades in unintended ways too.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-23474404
If a party cannot drum up enough supporters willing to pay for its activities = then it clearly isn't doing its job or isn't popular enough to deserve being propped up, just like any failing business. It also supports the status quo giving established parties a guaranteed income base that newcomers like UKIP would never have had.
Re donations - I'd be happy with a cap of £25k. It's big enough to be substantial for a personal donor, but small enough to remove much chance of major influence.
How small parties get off the ground is the biggest challenge. Without Jimmy Goldsmith bankrolling the Referendum Party - we'd never have pre-UKIP, and without Stewart Wheeler we wouldn't have UKIP still alive now.
Perhaps smaller parties up to a certain number of councillors could be exempt from the rules?
And of course there is Short Money to take into the mix.
One thing Mr Herdson has really hit on is that whoever is doing the negotiating - they'll need to be sharp as a tack.
If political parties can't raise enough money because they simply aren't popular enough, then like any other organisation they need to learn to cut their cloth according to their means.
The question of caps on donations is subordinate to these two vital points. Any cap should be set relatively high, because the vice you're seeking to stop is the buying of influence, so you shouldn't set an arbitrarily low cap. Perhaps it should be set at the level of an MP's salary.
- people or businesses giving v cheap loans/loans that aren't really loans shouldn't be allowed, its been abused as we all know
- breaking one big cheque into 650 little ones by turning LCP/CCP/LDCP into mini-orgs as an administrative smokescreen
- allowing donation equivalents over the threshold via pro-bono work to hide interns etc. Parties could easily get large businesses to hand over staff to do their party work for *free*
- ditto product in kind like advertising or leaflets given over the threshold
It's not beyond the wit of the parties to come up with a laundry list of tricks that they've all used/come a cropper over - without the playing field being fair, it won't work. And its in their best interests to have as many genuine donating members as possible.
As a result they are forced to depend on the media markets but, lacking a requirement for TV stations to screen a certain number of political ads, the candidates are forced to buy the spots at vast cost. Barack Obama, for instance, spent $68m on TV ads in Florida alone.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/track-presidential-campaign-ads-2012/whos-buying-ads/
The UK will never have that problem: fundamentally, we are the size of Oregon.
Play nice.
So a different solution may be to limit the total funding that parties can get. For instance, put a cap of £4 million a quarter per party. Conjoined party tickets (e.g. Labour/CoOp and Conservative / Unionist for some elections) are not allowed.
How they raise the money is up to them, but it is subject to the same rules as at present, or perhaps slightly tightened. For extra devilry, make the spending limit increases in line with the state pension. ;-)
All spending needs to be declared, and include at least minimum-wage pay for all staff and commercial rates for services.
(1): http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/news-and-media/news-releases/electoral-commission-media-centre/news-releases-donations/parties-spend-31-million-at-uk-general-election
I agree.No to state funding and no to Short Money as well.
The charities are very good at getting income using a DD of £2.50 per month - political parties can do the same.
Also local party branches are often quite difficult to locate - almost as if those in charge do not want any newcomers to wake up their cosy set-up. In my constituency I know where the LD and PC are - the Cons are like a private club and have not been able to find Labour or UKIP. Where my MEP is based I haven't a clue.
Also, no to a cap on donations - you can give as much as you like to a political party or set up your own, but the public still has to vote for them/you. But make all donations personal and not corporate/union. The only exception might be donations from a party local branch but that opens loopholes.
Political parties are mass-membership movements when they are any good. They decline when they are crap. Eg. look at Scotland:
Con, Lab, LD = declining membership, and SLDs probably well below 50 members per constituency.
SNP = growing membership, and largest party in the country in terms of membership.
Draw your own conclusions.
That creates a load of messy nit-picking that fails to address the basic fact that large donors dominate all the parties and that's hiding the fundamental problem of falling memberships/lack of engagement.
EdM getting union members to join Labour directly is one way to address it - but its just shuffling the same people about from paying a DD one way to paying another.
Until the parties actually do a Kipper and recruit real new members not recycling old ones, the spiral will continue downwards. When orgs like the NTrust or RSPB have millions of members - but political parties are bobbing around a 10th of that or less, it shows that voters do care about single issues and will pay for the priviledge - but politics has lost their faith and interest.
"Nearly half a million immigrants have been given taxpayer-funded homes over the past decade.
The revelation comes as the number of families on the waiting list for social housing hits a record 1.8million. Most are British born.
New figures reveal 469,843 of the 4million migrants who arrived in the UK between 2001 and 2011 were given council homes Around 1.2million foreigners now live in social housing – one in eight of the total. In London the figure is thought to be as high as one in five...
According to the census, 105,506 of the immigrants who found social housing after 2001 were from Eastern European states that joined the EU in 2004, most of them Poles. In the mid-2000s, Whitehall officials estimated that the cost to taxpayers of maintaining a single social housing unit was £620 a year.
Assuming each unit is occupied by four people, that would put the housing costs of post-2001 migrants at between £5billion and £8billion. Sir Andrew Green, of the MigrationWatch think-tank, said: ‘The figures serve to underline the huge costs of mass immigration – costs often ignored by the immigration lobby.’
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2379478/Revealed-How-500-000-immigrants-given-social-housing-decade-number-families-waiting-list-hits-record-high.html#ixzz2aE1pjlAm
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" When orgs like the NTrust or RSPB have millions of members - but political parties are bobbing around a 10th of that or less, it shows that voters do care about single issues and will pay for the priviledge - but politics has lost their faith and interest. "
One of the reasons for this may be that so many MPs now do not come from the locality of their constituency but are parachuted in by the Party chiefs as they will toe their line - or the constituency is used as a career base for a rising star.
As a child, I remember our MP who was always visible locally and my father giving his annual subs to the agent who came round to collect them and so knew the supporters personally. Much of those connections have been lost and parties need to revive them to reconnect with the electorate.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2379632/Hugh-Grant-blonde-lawyer-Hacked-Off-s-cosy-links-ruthless-law-firm-investigators-illegally-invaded-people-s-privacy.html#ixzz2aE5Nh2Jr
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Populus poll: Con 32% (232 -74) Lab 39% (368 +110) LD 11% (25 -32) UKIP 10% (0) Green 3% (0 -1) SNP/PC 4% (7 -2) BNP 1% (0) Other 0% (0 -1)
Political parties must live within their means like joe public. I'd cap donations at a maximum of £25K per year per person. All donations over £1K to be made public and no foreign donations. No company or union donations at all.
Sorted.
COMMENTS ON THIS SUBJECT ARE NOT BEING ACCEPTED AT THIS TIME
In other words you are saying that SNP/PC will lose 22% of their MPs by increasing their vote by 74%. Arithmetically possible, but profoundly unlikely in practice.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/multimedia/archive/00435/Brookes_27_435614a.jpg
The NRA is one of hundreds of high profile lobby groups who assess candidates at a State level and smaller. Their support and money swing races.
@Financier references the NTrust. I became very disillusioned with their political stance on hunting and dropped my membership. But what would the implications have been of them, say, endorsing or even funding candidates? Okay, okay, I bet that was a bad specific example for some reason and I only picked them because they took a non-neutral political stance. But the general point applies.
You're going to have to be very careful how any new rules shape up, otherwise you'll get PACs sponsoring individuals with cash or in kind and bypassing the party structure altogether.
But someone somewhere will still have to make that choice.
No to state funding.
Political parties need to learn to cut their cloth according to their means.
And politicians can get stuffed.
Con/Lab/LD/UKIP
32/39/11/10
32/39/12/9
31/39/12/10
31/38/13/10
How it compares with their phone polling is the rub - they were pretty good there IIRC.
One of our worst slum landlords , he built a monstrous mansion in Sussex and had a rival murdered. Now the Mail can reveal Nicholas Van Hoogstraten's astonishing new life
Nicholas Van Hoogstraten is flourishing under Mugabe’s murderous regime
He has become Zimbabwe’s biggest landowner
British exile owns two sprawling homes with tennis courts
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2379698/Mugabes-British-henchman-One-worst-slum-landlords--built-monstrous-mansion-Sussex-rival-murdered-Now-Mail-reveal-Nicholas-Van-Hoogstratens-astonishing-new-life.html#ixzz2aEBCkGSt
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I quite agree with those against state funding.
In other news, Mercedes look to be in trouble on long run pace, about 0.8s per lap slower than Red Bull, and it's probably going to be hotter on race day (which will hit the Silver Arrows most of all):
http://www.espn.co.uk/hungary/motorsport/story/118175.html
The presenter was put her in place many times if she tried to ask anything the teeniest bit impertinent. I wouldn't want to be in her shoes in a million years.
Wish they'd repeat it - I'm amazed he agreed to it at all. I got the impression he felt those around him were insects.
More than 100 ‘outstanding’ schools have been downgraded since Ofsted introduced tough new rules about quality of teaching last year.
Schools were previously able to achieve the top ranking even if lessons weren’t of the highest standard.
This was changed last September to introduce more rigour to the classroom.
Some 91 were downgraded to good, 18 were told they needed to improve and two were given the lowest rating of inadequate.
In August last year, 21 per cent of all schools in England were ‘outstanding’ overall – 4,442 in total. Of these, 24 per cent had ‘good’ teaching.
Based on the performance of the schools inspected so far, more than 750 face being downgraded.
Chris McGovern, of the Campaign for Real Education, said: ‘There is no way any school should be classed outstanding unless they have outstanding teaching, so I totally agree with it.’
Outstanding schools are not subject to regular inspections, although inspectors can be sent in if there are concerns about exam results or major changes, such as the addition of a sixth form.
Good schools are checked at least every five years.
They are inspected in four categories – achievement, quality of teaching, behaviour and safety of pupils, leadership and management.
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2379731/More-100-outstanding-schools-downgraded-Ofsted-brought-tough-new-rules-quality-teaching.html#ixzz2aECEGY00
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The last ARSE 2015 GE projection before the Summer recess will be exclusively published on PB on Monday at 9.00am.
In the finest traditions of Mike Smithson it might be that there are some interesting results !!
".... a £3k suit ...."
Tsk .... how vulgar. Much like a second hand car salesman whose won the lottery !!
My last suit .... no it wasn't a demob one !! .... a country one with two pairs of trousers and different waistcoats rushed me for about 800 guineas and still gives good service !!
We were at his daughter's wedding and it was like Coronation St meets Dynasty. I can't recall how many times we were told that it was REAL salmon on enormous silver platters. That was about 20yrs ago and it's a vivid memory!
My favourite wedding reception was held above the swimming pool in a leisure centre/all we could hear during the speeches were the screams of small children dive bombing their friends - the wine was from Châteaux Sarsons and the bride/groom drank *champagne* that was actually vintage Sarsons with lemonade to make it fizz.
The happy couple were delighted by it all. Even the lino and smell of chlorine didn't detract from the merriment.
According to your own admission last week, you have never before published your guesses two years before a UK GE. Thus we have zero track record upon which to judge your guesses.
"It is a new wheeze by Downing Street to connect David Cameron to the voters. Whatever you do, though, don’t label it “Call Dave”. The Prime Minister has decided to follow in the footsteps of his deputy, Nick Clegg, and embrace a campaigning radio revolution, broadcasting to voters once a week.
Aides to Mr Cameron have installed a broadcast studio in No 10 to make it easier for the Prime Minister to host phone-ins and engage in banter with local radio presenters the length of the country. The innovation has been kept quiet until now. The Prime Minister’s recent interview on Woman’s Hour on BBC Radio 4 is the only example so far of a national broadcast from No 10.
His aides say that the intention is to focus on local radio, and they are hoping that he will be able to do broadcasts with a different regional station, preferably in a marginal seat, each week. The first regional broadcast took place earlier this month in Yorkshire, a key target area... http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/politics/article3826824.ece
In contrast one of the best weddings I have ever attended was a simple registry office affair with a modest country pub reception after. The bride was divorced and at the time the CoE was sniffy and one of the parents didn't approve, wouldn't help financially and didn't attend.
However it all went off splendidly. All there were hugely pleased for the couple and the simple country reception was intimate, hugely entertaining and the home cooked food wonderful. But most of all it was plain to all that the bride and groom were made for each other - truly a match made in heaven - even if it wasn't a CoE one. They remain blissfully happy to this day.
Look just chill out, enjoy the ride, my ARSE is there to be enjoyed even by the odd curmudgeonly Scot whose fallen out of bed the wrong side this morning.
Smile man, you've a referendum to look forward to !!
http://28dateslater.blogspot.co.uk/2013/07/date-26-video-gamer-and-zombies.html
Worth having a look at Kate Allen's twitter feed (stats journalist on the FT). That's if you're interested in what's behind the DM/Telegraph take, obv.
Not bothered about reform. Let me be a naysayer and say if Unite wants to bankroll Labour and have influence, let the public know it. They do.
All income should be properly declared so we know who is giving what to whom but beyond that let them deal with it - and let the public decide accordingly.
Sorry for the late reply but just had my breakfast served.
As inspections were only every 5 years,it could be possible at a stretch. Of course it could be a measure of how far the rot had spread. In Wales they have just woken up to the fact that "average" is not really good enough.
Re:Mr van H. Had met him several times and some of his 'cousins' who were in the same game. They used to 'employ' hard men from Brixton who collected their debts, in cash or goods, armed with an electric drill.
Tweets MPs Delete @deletedbyMPs
DT @andyburnhammp: Despite media silence, people are seen through Tory #NHS strategy: run down #NH... pltw.ps/19o5Stn
The current system favours the Conservative Party and any change that is designed to hit Labour risks retaliation after 2015, so probably nothing will happen.
Voters need to feel that the future is likely to be better than the past, and the Tories are on a concerted charm offensive."
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/jul/26/gdp-labour-new-plan-attack
A "family of 4" typically has 2 adults and 2 children - 2 adults if giving 5k a year for 5 years (thus no spike at general election as normally happens) can't possibly give £100k.
Or are you proposing either that kids get 5k a year in pocket money they'd choose to give to their parents party? Or are you proposing that the "Head of the Household" really gives all the money but just uses other people's (even childrens) names to do it.
So before rules are even agreed you're looking for ways to violate them? Typical.
It's not so much the fixed term aspect, after all the two US presidential election were fixed term as was to all intense and purpose was our 2010 GE, but I've branched my ARSE out to more long term projections.
Previously the longest my ARSE has gone was the 12 months before the 2008 US election and that was just for Obama to win both the nomination and the November election.
Onward and upwards ....
"Labour’s controversial “tax efficient” £1.65million donation of company shares was arranged after talks with the party, millionaire businessman John Mills has said." http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/10153326/Labour-helped-me-arrange-tax-efficient-1.65million-donation-in-shares-says-John-Mills.html
" Labour’s “tax efficient” £1.65million donation of company shares was arranged after talks with the party, millionaire businessman John Mills has said.
The remarks appear to contradict Labour, which is insisting that the idea for a donation in shares from Mr Mills' company JML was not discussed with anyone at the party.
In February Mr Mills gave a £1.65million donation to the Labour in shares in his shopping channel company JML. Last month, Mr Mills described the type of donation as “tax efficient” in an interview with The Daily Telegraph.
He explained that the donation was made in shares rather than cash so the tax on the deal would be significantly reduced, causing a major political headache for Labour leader Ed Miliband who has criticised tax avoidance among multi-national companies.
Speaking at a press conference, Mr Mills said that he “had no personal advantage out of all of this. Nor did the Labour Party.” < really.
Just occurred to me (must be the effects of a full cooked breakfast served by a very pretty waitress), if voting became compulsory in the UK (like Australia, Brazil, Singapore etc 10 countries enforce it and 13 do not enforce), how would you approach political party funding and what would be the entry criteria?
I'd also say a considerable reduction in personal donations and no business donations would hurt the Conservatives.
The essential principle should be that political parties should not be reliant on business, unions or excessively large individual donations.
Do you know this chap?
Daniel Furr @DanielFurrUK
Sir Jon Cunliffe to join Bank of England as deputy governor via @Telegraph fw.to/AGh30yl
That partisans on either side can point to individual donations that look a bit iffy does not alter the underlying arithmetic which favours the Conservatives over Labour and that pair over the rest.
http://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/party-finance/party-finance-analysis/party-funding
http://www.ukpolitical.info/Donations.htm
The figures are collated by the Electoral Commission and the Tories invariably receive more in donations than Labour, so there is no financial incentive for the Conservatives to change the rules, especially if it risks Labour retaliating after the next election, or a move to state funding, which would probably favour established minor parties like the LibDems and UKIP.
Interesting article. Who had what good idea first is moot - but the point is clear, HMG's make the most of Good Ideas because they can actually do something about it.
"Meanwhile, Labour's rhetoric is shrewdly picked up and amplified by the coalition. Miliband talks of "predatory capitalism", then David Cameron warns Starbucks to "wake up and smell the coffee" and makes cracking down on tax avoidance the centrepiece of his G8 presidency. Labour calls for a British investment bank, then Vince Cable announces that he will set one up. It may be smaller and less powerful than the opposition's blueprint, but voters are hardly likely to notice the nuances.
Similarly, Miliband's notion of "pre-distribution" remains a vague and woolly aim, while David Cameron happily embraces the notion of a living wage and promises to "build a recovery for hard-working people".
Labour's recent decision to match the Tories' spending plans for the first year of the next parliament may have been a shrewd political tactic; but it makes the task of differentiating themselves from the government even tougher. They need to show how they will build a fairer tax system; a banking sector that serves society; enough homes to put the housing market on an even keel; and, most importantly, an economy that delivers more and better jobs..."
Am I volunteering to be the first not to use direct mail? No - while it exists we all have to use it. But essentially parties who want to gain a local edge should get off their arses and work the patch locally, not just write a cheque for XYZ Marketing plc to phone-canvass and mail the constituency to death.
- Absolutely no to state funding as a matter of course. Like too many failing organisations with good political connections, being propped up by a state subsidy 'in the national interest' is too easy an option. Particularly in the Facebook / Paypal age, it should not be too difficult for parties / candidates to reach out way beyond their existing membership, though that takes effort and inclination, and too many are wedded to the old ways. (I would make an exception for Short Money - the party/ies in government shouldn't effectively have an advantage in policy formation and research with free access to the Civil Service when others don't, and it's not realistic to give them that same access).
- A cap of £25k has been suggested a few times on the thread and I'd agree with that as a sensible ballpark figure. The key point, as Plato says, is to prevent the buying of influence. I would however suggest a lower limit - certainly no more than £5k, perhaps less - for donations to an individual constituency organisation (i.e. if an individual wants to donate more than £5k in a year, they'd have to either spread it around or donate to a party centrally).
- Donations would need to include cash and in kind.
- The limit should apply as a cumulative figure for any individual's or organisation's donations within a calendar year to all registered parties / party components. Likewise, the cap should apply to all donations made by sub-units of an organisation (so a business couldn't donate £25k x n, where n is the number of its subsidiaries).
- Donations via third parties should be pro-rataed off against that person's limit e.g. if an individual donates £1k to charity X and charity X donates £25k out of an income of £250k to Party Y, that counts as a £100 donation. However, it should be an offence to make a donation via a third party with the intention or effect of circumventing the cap (e.g. making ten donations of £25k to ten groups who that then pass the whole amount on where they would not otherwise have done so), and where the person knows, or has reasonable grounds to know, that this is the effect of the donation/s.
Neither party has anything to rest on their laurels over.
If people are desperate enough, have nothing more to lose and feel that life is not worth living anymore, then they will turn for help to get out of that misery.
I believe,that in such an instance the associates were witnessed in action by those in authority,and to save their skins, blabbed all. Probably his greatest mistake was to try and eliminate some of the competition.
- There'd need to be severe limits on political campaigning by non-PPRA organisations in the six months before an election where the intention or likely effect of the campaigning is to influence the public in favour or against a particular party or candidate (to avoid PAC-like activity).
- Should there be an exemption for new or very small parties? To introduce one is screaming 'loophole' to me and I'm instinctively inclined against though I can see the logic about start-up costs. I'm not convinced, not least because most small parties that have broken through have done so organically from humble origins rather than being heavily bankrolled and buying their way in. In any case, I'm not convinced that an overly-diverse party structure is a healthy thing for democracy and accountability.
I don't think that Cammo has kept a single political promise in its entirety. Below is another massive promise made that he has never kept and in all probability, never meant to keep.
Tories and others hoping that Cammo will keep his referendum promise know in their hearts that with the PM its all smoke and mirrors.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-2379379/Coalition-colludes-sham-Recall-Bill.html
In any case, it's far better for people to vote because they believe it is a valuable act in its own right rather than because they will be punished if they don't.
I also doubt that dragging, say, the disinterested 60-70% of the electorate to the polls at a local election who don't currently vote would improve the overall decision-making process.
Mercedes could go back dramatically in the race, so I'll consider that when betting.
If parties have the support the cash will follow it. The SNP have operated on a shoe string for decades and are now governing alone and accordingly attract wider financial support.
I was just quoting from the Mail and did not offer an opinion or even an anecdote in that post.
So just do not try to put words in my mouth and I am afraid you will have to do your research to find the answer.
Things may be different now, since the state has little apparent interest in stopping gangs overunning entire estates.
UKIP's income is marginal to the second and third points and only modestly related the first. The Greens in 1989 had a massive but short-lived breakthrough when they were in the right place at the right time, despite having virtually no income or national presence. Similarly, the BNP started to receive strong support in the second half of the last decade across some communities despite their minimal central organisation or income. If there is the mood, the public will find a way.
They'd be much better off actually making arguments that Labour could use - if OGH is right and there are lots of eyes watching from The Village - they'd at least be helping their Blank Sheet cause.
he has an 8,000 majority but in government is coming across as ed windmills. Plus the lib dems might lose left orientated votes to labour.
Personally I'd rather one large donation being publicly visible as to who it came from than one relatively large donation being obscured into many tiny ones and not having a clue who's really behidn it.
Gareth Baines @GABaines
Can you imagine a Labour Government post 2015? The same old ghouls from 13 ruinous years pic.twitter.com/LGGMgAsVgb
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BQK51LKCMAAgJxs.jpg:large