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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Lib Dem local by-election roller-coaster continues with tw
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Lib Dem local by-election roller-coaster continues with two new gains – both from CON
Kingswood and Hazel Leys on Corby (Ind defence, elected as Labour, caused by disqualification of sitting member) Result: Labour 610 (65% +11%), Conservative 252 (27% +13%), Green Party 82 (9% -1%) Labour HOLD with a majority of 358 (38%) on a swing of 1% from Labour to Conservative
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Edit: with a swing from Tory to him.
Personally I find Skype video calling rather strange. I hate video calling.
Let's see how things stack up after a couple of Parliamentary by-elections...
And libdems on more than 8%. Guess we will see in May locals. Have a feeling they are able to send all of their activists to one ward and bombard it whereas won't be abe to do that with all out local elections.
http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21716629-bitter-argument-over-money-looms-multi-billion-euro-exit-charge-could-sink-brexit?fsrc=scn/tw/te/bl/ed/frombrusselswithlovethemultibillioneuroexitchargethatcouldsinkbrexittalks
Putting that to one side the Lib Dems are weaker in local government than they have been for a couple of generations and have a lot of room to recover from the calamity of the Coalition.
It was the one of the best governments we'll ever have - & I've concluded that the Lib Dems played a massive part in that.
That said, I agree entirely that Lamb would be better than Farron.
Informal meetings between British and European officials have already witnessed blazing rows.
Its going to be bare bones BrExit as I have been saying for some time.
Name a policy the public currently associates with the LibDems, apart from ignoring the democratic mandate to leave the EU.
Also Clegg was quite clear. He wanted a BETTER Brexit than the one May was offering ^_~
I If the government sunk Brexit you can guarantee it would be UKIP making gains not the LDs!
What I don't understand is - what is the end point of the local government base strategy?
It never translates into securing anything like a parliamentary majority. With the SNP in situ it won't even be likely to see a LD 3rd party in the near future.
* NB those rules also need to be agreed with the EU, and others.
So, no mandate has been ignored.
(unless, of course, the said accountant or lawyer is from one of the 27...)
There is also the reality of where the EU will be in 2 years time, believing it has got rid of the brake on integration (us) it will have forged ahead with new measures that will be completely unacceptable to even moderate remainers in the UK. See Tusk's speech last week.
What is going on between Trump and Russia? Some talk of Senators putting together a veto proof majority to prevent him from lifting sanctions... Now his adviser cant recall definitely not discussing them with the Russians?
Is there such a thing? If there's an election surely the thing for a political party to do is to fight it, win it and wield power - at whatever level that may be. If there's a Parliamentary by-election going fight that too. Haven't the Lib Dems been doing well in those also?
The remain vote is more motivated to come out and vote and this will create a differential turnout effect in low turnout areas.
As for next year they must be odds on now to take back Kingston and Richmond councils in london and will probably do some major damage in Camden.
The question comprehensively misses the point.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ch6r9Otc75k
No lesson seems to be so deeply inculcated by the experience of life that you should never trust experts. If you believe doctors, nothing is wholesome: if you believe the theologians, nothing is innocent: if you believe the soldiers, nothing is safe. They all require their strong wine diluted by a very large admixture of insipid common sense
Experts, eh!
If you want to see what happens to LibDem seats they win in by-elections then lose in general elections, have a look at Newbury.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newbury_(UK_Parliament_constituency)
Scotland should get all the physical assets in Scotland and its share of UK wide assets such as submarines. Institutions are not Assets, they are assets. See?
Our analysis shows that if the UK leaves the EU without a trade deal UK exporters could face the potential impact of £5.2 billion in tariffs on goods being sold to the EU. However, EU exporters will also face £12.9 billion in tariffs on goods coming to the UK.
The biggest impact will be on exports of goods relating to vehicles, with tariffs in the region of £1.3 billion being applied to UK car-related exports going to the EU. This compares to £3.9 billion for the EU, including £1.8 billion in tariffs being applied to German car-related exports.
Definitely becoming an unwieldy acronym, and it was unpronounceable already, which was ok when sounding out 4 letters.
For this election all current members of the House of Lords are entitled to vote, so a larger electorate than normal for these by-elections.
Candidates' statements are published on 1 March and voting takes place on the 21 March.
http://www.parliament.uk/documents/lords-information-office/2017/Notice-by-election-07-02-17.pdf
I can certainly understand why as a matter of the exit agreement and/or ongoing relationship we might take on some liabilities and claim certain payments, but I don't see how we're at that position yet. I don't think any payments due, or owed, will bare much resemblance to the assets and liabilities as they stand now.
I suspect large parts will be ignored to netted off completely, leaving the UK probably with a net payment now (which we may forego as a bribe) and a liability into the future for pensions but that discussion as I say will be very different from this £60bn or €30bn or whatever.