On topic, Hammond should have stood this year, rather than leaving the Remainer side of the contest as a free run for May. If he ever wanted to be PM.
The fact he didn't suggests that occupying No. 11 is the height of his ambition, and I think he will leave the cabinet at the same time as May.
He's a politician. If a faction in the party spontaneously emerged that saw him as the best way of stopping Johnson or whomever else, do you really think he would decline the chance to be PM?
Mr. K, a TV series is a great thought but I think that must follow a stack of sales rather than precede it (unless you have an HBO contact you'd like to share, of course).
Funny that.......you've just struck a sentimental chord with me...........Hammond reminds me of my dad too....... And that perhaps is the most positive thing I have ever said about a politician........
Before the PB hagiography hits the stratosphere, Hammond is ridiculously complacent on the state of NHS and social care finance.
Yeah yeah yeah, NHS doomed etc etc. It must be that time of year again.
What is the point? Bush vs Gore was down to 500 votes and the outcome wasn't changed.
Trump is up around 10k votes in Michigan, 28k in Wisconsin and 68k in Pennsylvania. The odds of all 3 of these states being overturned have to be miniscule.
And if any were overturned, no doubt Trump could ask for recounts in New Hampshire (Clinton by 3k) and Minnesota (Clinton by 40k).
What is the point? Bush vs Gore was down to 500 votes and the outcome wasn't changed.
Trump is up around 10k votes in Michigan, 28k in Wisconsin and 68k in Pennsylvania. The odds of all 3 of these states being overturned have to be miniscule.
And if any were overturned, no doubt Trump could ask for recounts in New Hampshire (Clinton by 3k) and Minnesota (Clinton by 40k).
New Hampshire votes are certified, so he can't ask in New Hampshire. Minnesota he could - again it would be a waste of time.
Funny that.......you've just struck a sentimental chord with me...........Hammond reminds me of my dad too....... And that perhaps is the most positive thing I have ever said about a politician........
Before the PB hagiography hits the stratosphere, Hammond is ridiculously complacent on the state of NHS and social care finance.
I reckon it's the boy who cried wolf syndrome.
Every winter there's stories and warnings that the NHS is about to keel over because of under funding, whilst the NHS is the second largest spending department, and one of the few departments to have its spending been ringfenced
Unfortunately the NHS is crumbling from internal problems as well as underfunding from misspent billions in the past two or three decades. The NHS needs a root and branch reform - less bureaucracy, fewer dizzy but more able managers and more experienced nursing and medical staff.
What is the point? Bush vs Gore was down to 500 votes and the outcome wasn't changed.
Trump is up around 10k votes in Michigan, 28k in Wisconsin and 68k in Pennsylvania. The odds of all 3 of these states being overturned have to be miniscule.
And if any were overturned, no doubt Trump could ask for recounts in New Hampshire (Clinton by 3k) and Minnesota (Clinton by 40k).
New Hampshire votes are certified, so he can't ask in New Hampshire. Minnesota he could - again it would be a waste of time.
Funny that.......you've just struck a sentimental chord with me...........Hammond reminds me of my dad too....... And that perhaps is the most positive thing I have ever said about a politician........
Before the PB hagiography hits the stratosphere, Hammond is ridiculously complacent on the state of NHS and social care finance.
Yeah yeah yeah, NHS doomed etc etc. It must be that time of year again.
You dont live in the UK do you?
Yes I do, although currently part time because of the cold, the rain and the anti-Semitism.
I pay UK tax both as an individual and as director of a UK company, own my UK house, registered with my local UK GP and am on the UK electoral roll.
Just out of morbid curiosity; what point were you headed towards if you hadn't been so wrong?
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
@georgeeaton: For first time since 2010, Tories outflanked by Labour on pensioners - McDonnell commits to the triple-lock.
I don't think it will make much difference. Corbyn is poison for older voters, I think that's why Hammond is taking rhe calculated risk of axing the triple lock.
@georgeeaton: For first time since 2010, Tories outflanked by Labour on pensioners - McDonnell commits to the triple-lock.
On the radio this morning McDonnell was complaining that the Tories weren't investing in the economy.
Welfare and pension spending is the antithesis of capital investment for the economy.
Are Labour being deliberately thick ?
It's almost like Labour have looked at the polling and seen which age group turns out to vote more than others.
Why bang on about investment if you're just going to bung the money to pensions and welfare though. Combined that is an enormous slice of the Gov't budget.
It'd be better off going to the NHS (Capital investment), and no not into staff pay packets. No PFI either.
I think it's unlikely Phil will remain CoE for the whole of this Parliament. Can't see him being next PM.
There is an opening for Labour if Tories restart their Euro wars on the fallout of Brexit: Leaver headbangers versus Remainers undermining the project. I don't see Corbyn taking advantage of the opening however.
I think it's unlikely Phil will remain CoE for the whole of this Parliament. Can't see him being next PM.
Now that all of the bad news is out of the way he will stick around on the basis if beating his current targets and Brexit being much better than feared. Yesterday was an exercise of expectations management, nothing else. Look at how little red meat and policy action there was. A small change to lettings agency fees, a couple of billion for housing and a couple of billion for road infrastructure. Everything else was just forecasts based on nothing.
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
The CSU and CDU are practically the same party. The grand coalition is between CDU/CSU and the SPD.
The Chief Executive of Pink News was just on R5L, talking about the murders of the four gay men in London, and the reporting thereof. It was a very good interview, and he came across very well. If only other media figures were quite as reasonable.
Yeah you keep banging out this line, but ignore that they're better placed to know what's good for them than you are.
If 2 decades of being in the EU have only delivered stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund regions then why would people vote for more of the same ? When you've faced up to those hard facts then maybe you can come back and tell us why staying in the EU would be different this time.
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
The CSU and CDU are practically the same party. The grand coalition is between CDU/CSU and the SPD.
Yes, I know the situation. The CSU represents the centre right in Bavaria, while Merkel's CDU does so in the rest of the country. I meant that if there were to be another grand coalition (with the SPD), then the coalition would likely have a majority even without the CSU. Sorry if I wasn't being clear.
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
The CSU and CDU are practically the same party. The grand coalition is between CDU/CSU and the SPD.
Yes, I know the situation. The CSU represents the centre right in Bavaria, while Merkel's CDU does so in the rest of the country. I meant that if there were to be another grand coalition (with the SPD), then the coalition would likely have a majority even without the CSU. Sorry if I wasn't being clear.
And chunk of the German righties will ask why they're voting CDU to put the SPD in to power and the AfD vote will just get bigger. Merkel has to face up to why the AfD are taking votes across the Laender, currently she has no plan.
What is the point? Bush vs Gore was down to 500 votes and the outcome wasn't changed.
Trump is up around 10k votes in Michigan, 28k in Wisconsin and 68k in Pennsylvania. The odds of all 3 of these states being overturned have to be miniscule.
And if any were overturned, no doubt Trump could ask for recounts in New Hampshire (Clinton by 3k) and Minnesota (Clinton by 40k).
Yup, I think the theory is that they'll uncover voting-machine-related skulduggery, but even if such a thing had happened, it's not clear that you'd be able to unambiguously detect it (this is what technical people are always bitching about) and even if you'd detected it, it's not obvious what you could do about it; You can't really rerun the election, and all the states in question are run by Republicans so they're not going to consent to anything that would change the outcome.
That said, there's something to be said for some extra scrutiny on American's abysmal voting machines, and presumably Stein will be able to buy something nice with the money she's raising off it.
Farage at 15-1 is awful odds... Sadiq at 50-1 is tempting...
Assuming a corbyn loss- Sadiq would have a good platform to run. He can tell Corbynite that he helpede put Corbyn on the ballot; and tell the rest he is an election winner. He has a great back story too...
Yeah you keep banging out this line, but ignore that they're better placed to know what's good for them than you are.
If 2 decades of being in the EU have only delivered stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund regions then why would people vote for more of the same ? When you've faced up to those hard facts then maybe you can come back and tell us why staying in the EU would be different this time.
Of course the status quo means no difference. I am dismayed that those that benefited from EU membership and globalisation didn't stop to help those left behind while they had the chance. The people not facing up to hard facts are those that sold the idea of leaving the EU as a way of doing something about stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund industries, and still haven't explained why leaving the European trading system and turning away from eight out of our ten most important markets will help those situations, rather than make them worse.
But I agree on your main point. Democracy means we get the result we asked for. It doesn't protect us from our dumb decisions, nor should we try to circumvent it.
Yeah you keep banging out this line, but ignore that they're better placed to know what's good for them than you are.
If 2 decades of being in the EU have only delivered stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund regions then why would people vote for more of the same ? When you've faced up to those hard facts then maybe you can come back and tell us why staying in the EU would be different this time.
Of course the status quo means no difference. I am dismayed that those that benefited from EU membership and globalisation didn't stop to help those left behind while they had the chance. The people not facing up to hard facts are those that sold the idea of leaving the EU as a way of doing something about stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund industries, and still haven't explained why leaving the European trading system and turning away from eight out of our ten most important markets will help those situations, rather than make them worse.
But I agree on your main point. Democracy means we get the result we asked for. It doesn't protect us from our dumb decisions, nor should we try to circumvent it.
The people who didnt share the benefits are the same people who were camapigning for Remain and who made it clear we were voting for more of the same if they won.
Brexit was the only way to get rid of the buggers and the populace took it.
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
The CSU and CDU are practically the same party. The grand coalition is between CDU/CSU and the SPD.
Yes, I know the situation. The CSU represents the centre right in Bavaria, while Merkel's CDU does so in the rest of the country. I meant that if there were to be another grand coalition (with the SPD), then the coalition would likely have a majority even without the CSU. Sorry if I wasn't being clear.
And chunk of the German righties will ask why they're voting CDU to put the SPD in to power and the AfD vote will just get bigger. Merkel has to face up to why the AfD are taking votes across the Laender, currently she has no plan.
According to the opinion polls, support for the AfD seems to have been steady at about 12-13% since about March of this year. It now seems, if anything, to be dwindling a little. Merkel still commands a great deal of respect, even outside of her own party, and shouldn't be written off yet.
Yeah you keep banging out this line, but ignore that they're better placed to know what's good for them than you are.
If 2 decades of being in the EU have only delivered stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund regions then why would people vote for more of the same ? When you've faced up to those hard facts then maybe you can come back and tell us why staying in the EU would be different this time.
Of course the status quo means no difference. I am dismayed that those that benefited from EU membership and globalisation didn't stop to help those left behind while they had the chance. The people not facing up to hard facts are those that sold the idea of leaving the EU as a way of doing something about stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund industries, and still haven't explained why leaving the European trading system and turning away from eight out of our ten most important markets will help those situations, rather than make them worse.
But I agree on your main point. Democracy means we get the result we asked for. It doesn't protect us from our dumb decisions, nor should we try to circumvent it.
The people who didnt share the benefits are the same people who were camapigning for Remain and who made it clear we were voting for more of the same if they won.
Brexit was the only way to get rid of the buggers and the populace took it.
Sure. Nevertheless they will be screwed. Even more than before.
The CSU has set a limit of 200k asylum seekers per year as a condition of going into a governing coalition with the CDU after the German election.
I don't suppose Merkel is losing much sleep over this. The CDU is unlikely to need the CSU for another grand coalition, and it's hard to imagine the CSU sitting on its hands and allowing, say, a red/red/green coalition to take over. Seehofer, the CSU leader, can say what he likes, but he has no real power to dictate policy.
The CSU and CDU are practically the same party. The grand coalition is between CDU/CSU and the SPD.
Yes, I know the situation. The CSU represents the centre right in Bavaria, while Merkel's CDU does so in the rest of the country. I meant that if there were to be another grand coalition (with the SPD), then the coalition would likely have a majority even without the CSU. Sorry if I wasn't being clear.
And chunk of the German righties will ask why they're voting CDU to put the SPD in to power and the AfD vote will just get bigger. Merkel has to face up to why the AfD are taking votes across the Laender, currently she has no plan.
According to the opinion polls, support for the AfD seems to have been steady at about 12-13% since about March of this year. It now seems, if anything, to be dwindling a little. Merkel still commands a great deal of respect, even outside of her own party, and shouldn't be written off yet.
Farage at 15-1 is awful odds... Sadiq at 50-1 is tempting...
Assuming a corbyn loss- Sadiq would have a good platform to run. He can tell Corbynite that he helpede put Corbyn on the ballot; and tell the rest he is an election winner. He has a great back story too...
As with Ed Balls, there's a question over how he'd be back in Parliament in time. Balls at 100/1 I just about thought worth a punt, Khan at 50/1 I'm not so sure.
EDIT: To clarify, that's Balls @ 100/1 for next Labour leader, not next PM.
I still can't get over Reddit CEO personally editing posts, he didn't even show that he did. Imagine what damage a mere mod could do to someone's reputation, nevermind the CEO?!
I've been reviewing the PSF release from yesterday, working out where the OBR get their fantasy figures from, it's not easy. I think we're looking at an annual deficit of about £61-65bn this year, vs £68.2bn outlined by the OBR. The improvement in tax receipts for September and October have been huge and given how much self employment there is I think January will be another record for self-assessed income. Depending on where the final figure comes in, if I'm right £122bn additional borrowing could become £87bn additional borrowing. What would the cost of Brexit be in that scenario?
The Mail are somewhat sympathetic to that being a motive for murdering Jo Cox,as are those that comment there.
And as Thomas Mair seems to be a mentally damaged individual, it raises the question of who might have been manipulating him and whether there should be other people behind bars.
Mr. Eagles, that Mail headline is astoundingly bad.
On your other post - the far right has been greatly helped by the playing of the race card over migration and 'cultural sensitivities' over Rotherham and the like. I also think the media are salivating over far right hatred and terrorism whilst being rather less gungho over Muslim terrorism. Unless they treat such things with an even hand, that'll only help the Neo-Nazis by fostering resentment at yet more double standards.
And as Thomas Mair seems to be a mentally damaged individual, it raises the question of who might have been manipulating him and whether there should be other people behind bars.
Whilst we fret about whether Hammond will be PM or not, the world sea ice density has undergone a strange, so-far unexplained, effect leaving at at record lows:
Mr. Eagles, I didn't say the playing of the race card and so forth had led to the murder of Jo Cox or the killer becoming a nutcase. I said it had helped the far right.
If you were referring to the media, I should've been a little clearer (I mostly meant broadcast, rather than print, media).
Also worth recalling the FT article (think it was Lionel Barber) after the Charlie Hebdo attack that sought to all but blame the victims for having the temerity to exercise free speech.
I suspect the Cabinet is ram-packed full of ministers rueing their decision not to stand against juggernaut Boris.
I suspect there are more thanking their stars they can wash their hands of the Brexit disaster as it unfolds and collect the crown as the "I told you so" candidate
Mr. Eagles, I didn't say the playing of the race card and so forth had led to the murder of Jo Cox or the killer becoming a nutcase. I said it had helped the far right.
If you were referring to the media, I should've been a little clearer (I mostly meant broadcast, rather than print, media).
Also worth recalling the FT article (think it was Lionel Barber) after the Charlie Hebdo attack that sought to all but blame the victims for having the temerity to exercise free speech.
Apologies, vanilla managed to save and post my draft of another with that post, I had edited, so it wasn't replying to you.
Try to wangle an invitation to shadsy's Christmas party. It will be a good one this year as he's persuaded some clueless mug to put enough on Farage for next PM to cut him to 16/1.
@PaulBrandITV: Paul Johnson of IFS pulls no punches:By 2021 wages STILL below 2008, worst growth for 70 yrs "One cannot stress enough how dreadful that is"
Poll finding of the week. LEAVE voters more likely to NOT to wash their pants/knickers after each wear
Not entirely surprising. If Leave voters are poorer then they are less likely to have their own washing facilities or have as many duplicates they need until they can re-wash them.
Reading between the lines 'good relationships at all levels' etc. it would appear that Hammond et al are still going to be getting their orders from somewhere, endeavouring to circumvent/ignore Trump like the proverbial elephant in the room.
Poll finding of the week. LEAVE voters more likely to NOT to wash their pants/knickers after each wear
Not entirely surprising. If Leave voters are poorer then they are less likely to have their own washing facilities or have as many duplicates they need until they can re-wash them.
I think it's probably the male/female split, men were more likely to he leave voters and women broke for remain.
Poll finding of the week. LEAVE voters more likely to NOT to wash their pants/knickers after each wear
Not entirely surprising. If Leave voters are poorer then they are less likely to have their own washing facilities or have as many duplicates they need until they can re-wash them.
Scott likes to laugh at the less well off, it's "intellectual" .
Poll finding of the week. LEAVE voters more likely to NOT to wash their pants/knickers after each wear
Not entirely surprising. If Leave voters are poorer then they are less likely to have their own washing facilities or have as many duplicates they need until they can re-wash them.
Scott likes to laugh at the less well off, it's "intellectual" .
Comments
Will he resign as an MEP?
His head will be on the chopping block before many months have past.
Edited extra bit: and thanks
Trump is up around 10k votes in Michigan, 28k in Wisconsin and 68k in Pennsylvania. The odds of all 3 of these states being overturned have to be miniscule.
And if any were overturned, no doubt Trump could ask for recounts in New Hampshire (Clinton by 3k) and Minnesota (Clinton by 40k).
https://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/9404/wilders-trial-closing-statement
I pay UK tax both as an individual and as director of a UK company, own my UK house, registered with my local UK GP and am on the UK electoral roll.
Just out of morbid curiosity; what point were you headed towards if you hadn't been so wrong?
Welfare and pension spending is the antithesis of capital investment for the economy.
Are Labour being deliberately thick ?
It'd be better off going to the NHS (Capital investment), and no not into staff pay packets. No PFI either.
Surely Theresa May can't be on her final days already?
And... Depressing, but entirely predictable, the people who will pay for Brexit are those that voted for it, so things would change.
Worth catching up on if you get the chance.
If 2 decades of being in the EU have only delivered stagnant salaries, dying industries and moribund regions then why would people vote for more of the same ? When you've faced up to those hard facts then maybe you can come back and tell us why staying in the EU would be different this time.
That said, there's something to be said for some extra scrutiny on American's abysmal voting machines, and presumably Stein will be able to buy something nice with the money she's raising off it.
Assuming a corbyn loss- Sadiq would have a good platform to run. He can tell Corbynite that he helpede put Corbyn on the ballot; and tell the rest he is an election winner. He has a great back story too...
But I agree on your main point. Democracy means we get the result we asked for. It doesn't protect us from our dumb decisions, nor should we try to circumvent it.
Brexit was the only way to get rid of the buggers and the populace took it.
http://www.sonntagsfrage-aktuell.de/index.php?site=aktuelles
I regret that, but it's irrelevant, I guess.
Yesterday FAZ was bewailing the strength of the AfD in the East where even on the iffy polling they are in second place.
http://www.faz.net/aktuell/politik/inland/umfrage-afd-kommt-in-sachsen-auf-25-prozent-14539303.html
EDIT: To clarify, that's Balls @ 100/1 for next Labour leader, not next PM.
So £60bn (so far) to swap a Tory PM for a Tory PM
Bargain...
https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/2252970/now-reddit-is-censoring-the-alt-right-after-founder-gets-fed-up-of-being-called-a-paedo/
It's about as likely as politicans "learning the lessons "
king
hell
https://twitter.com/MichaelPDeacon/status/747000584226607104/photo/1
https://twitter.com/thetimes/status/801757260041089024
The moral of the story?
Never, ever trust a Tory ;-)
No, not after actually leaving or triggering Article 50.
Steven Avery, the man at the center of Netflix's "Making a Murderer," could be one step closer to freedom https://t.co/FBG7KtbZKZ
king
hell
The Mail are somewhat sympathetic to that being a motive for murdering Jo Cox,as are those that comment there.
And as Thomas Mair seems to be a mentally damaged individual, it raises the question of who might have been manipulating him and whether there should be other people behind bars.
On your other post - the far right has been greatly helped by the playing of the race card over migration and 'cultural sensitivities' over Rotherham and the like. I also think the media are salivating over far right hatred and terrorism whilst being rather less gungho over Muslim terrorism. Unless they treat such things with an even hand, that'll only help the Neo-Nazis by fostering resentment at yet more double standards.
Hardly surprising.
Also playing into this will be the various and numerous military figures who have applied for asylum within the EU.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38075644
https://twitter.com/paddypower/status/801763737153765376
Twenty-two paragraphs in: white supremacist links going back to at least 1991. BUT NEVER MIND THAT.
https://twitter.com/dhothersall/status/801748456847114240
http://tinyletter.com/sciencebyericholthaus/letters/today-in-weather-climate-sea-ice-tipping-point-edition-monday-november-21th
If you were referring to the media, I should've been a little clearer (I mostly meant broadcast, rather than print, media).
Also worth recalling the FT article (think it was Lionel Barber) after the Charlie Hebdo attack that sought to all but blame the victims for having the temerity to exercise free speech.
George Osborne paid £320,000 for delivering speeches in America
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/24/georgeosborne-paid-320000-delivering-speeches-america/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
Tube drivers will strike for 24 hours on same day as rail walkout
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/801769874854973440
@PaulBrandITV: Paul Johnson of IFS pulls no punches:By 2021 wages STILL below 2008, worst growth for 70 yrs "One cannot stress enough how dreadful that is"
Poll finding of the week. LEAVE voters more likely to NOT to wash their pants/knickers after each wear
Not entirely surprising. If Leave voters are poorer then they are less likely to have their own washing facilities or have as many duplicates they need until they can re-wash them.