politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What happened when Yvette Cooper made a last minute appeal

One feature that has characterised this LAB leadership campaign has been the sheer nastiness that we have seen on social media. The above Tweet this afternoon is just the latest example.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
And yes, I agree, you should see the abuse people like Mike, Britain Elects, and myself receive from the Corbynites when we tweet polling that's bad for Jez.
I'm afraid it's the new normal, and not just for Labour: all any party can do is throw out anyone who's caught doing it.
It's getting a bit boring now but August 2016 was the warmest August ever recorded globally. The June to August season was the warmest ever and the year to date (Jan-Aug) was the warmest ever. The UN's soft ceiling of limiting temperature rises to 1.5C above pre-industrial levels is looking very stretching to say the least.
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201608
Anyway, this is PB and some of the Breibart reading loons will continue to sprout out garbage such as "AGW Tough" and so on. The facts are the facts - take note!
"what sort of cheese was that?"
If reports are right, though, online abuse might well intensify over the coming weeks as today's NEC meeting does not seem to have gone entirely Corbyn's way. It may actually turn out that thanks to new Scottish and Welsh places, the NEC that takes over after conference will have a non-Corbyn majority. If that is the case, rule changes the hard left had been hoping for will be much harder to get through. Cue fury.
Of course, Corbyn has had it in his power for a while to curb abusive behaviour. He could, for example, have insisted that his supporters did not boo and shout at Owen Smith during the hustings. He chose not to.
You could say that this is a positive move - demonstrating that Scottish Labour isn't a branch office - or a negative one - a sop to separatism. Either way, I'm not at all convinced that it will help them to wrest the initiative on the Left back off the pro-independence parties.
http://polls.saintleo.edu/new-saint-leo-survey-shows-presidential-race-between-clinton-and-trump-narrowing-in-florida-and-across-u-s/#utm_sguid=154855,3e0b2b2c-59d3-6fef-5af2-aa0c5cdd0957
"I would not confuse abusive Twitter warriors with ordinary Corbyn backers."
Odd... Brexit Twitter warriors in the run up to the ref were aligned directly and consistently with genuine Brexiters ...... Even on this blog. They still are. ...... (Reference Tysons every other post)
Oh well...
Still the CDU/CSU have worked it out for yonks ( even strained right now thanks to Mutti Merkel) so it is doable, if all are prepared to play nicely. Hmm.
CDU/CSU-EPP: 30% ↓
SPD-S&D: 22%
AfD-ENF: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 10%
FDP-ALDE 7%
These figures are not unlike those seen in many recent surveys. With the hard left and hard right both on the march, the age of the permanent, locked centrist coalition may have dawned in Germany. Interesting times.
Under EU-wide regulation, asylum claims must be made in the first safe country a person reaches, but children can have their claim transferred to another country if they have family members living there.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-37423039
So why didn't he claim asylum in France?
On a South West trains service and the loo has a sign
"Do not flush while seated ".
More used to don't flush in a station?
#errodedtraditions
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3798726/Pictured-Pakistan-trip-changed-tubby-terrorist-brother-posted-pro-jihad-messages-online.html
NOAA doesn't talk about the weather. He just builds a bloody big boat and rides it out.
You should also see my basket weaving skills as well. Can't think where I got those from....
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/exclusive-george-hw-bush-to-vote-for-hillary-228395
I think that will mean John Ashworth will be replaced by Jezza. Lewis my tip for NEC 18-17.
Meanwhile GMB entryists will soon be in a position to overturn their Anti Corbyn stance. I predict 21-14 in 12 months time.
https://twitter.com/mikeysmith/status/777995273150861312
But, really is "Drop Dean Yvette" any better or worse than "I'll Knife Corbyn in the Front" (Jess Phillips) or "I'll Smash Teresa May Back on Her Heels" (Owen Smith) ?
Corbyn has some abusive followers, but there is plenty of abuse on the other side as well.
Whatever floats your Arc I suppose?
Don’t see things improving soon sadly. Women especially seem to be targeted for abuse.
https://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2016/09/20/eu-accepts-bosniaherzegovina-membership-application/
https://www.scribd.com/mobile/document/324685567/ND-Pres-DFM-Research-Sept-2016
Trump +9 which is the margin McCain won by.
GISS Surface Temperature Analysis (GISTEMP)
It's worth checking out the FAQ first.
A Conservative Remainer MP referred to people who voted LEAVE as Neanderthals. This will be widely communicated by the time their reselection comes up to the selectorate.
Greece, Alco poll
ND-EPP: 32%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 23% ↑
XA-NI: 10%
KKE-NI: 7% ↓
PASOK-S&D: 6% ↑
EK-ALDE: 4%
PE-NI: 4% ↑
LK-LEFT: 3% ↓
ANEL-ECR: 3%
Genuine Neo-Nazis poll in third place in economically ruined Greece, followed by hard line Marxists. Rather like the National Front and the SWP polling nearly a fifth of the vote between them in Britain. Horrible.
Ahmad Khan Rahami's father told police that his son was a terrorist in 2014 after a domestic dispute https://t.co/6wMjDubd0G
But perhaps the bigger issue is a very unpleasant trend over the last three or four years for increasingly threatening behaviour towards MPs of all parties, and by no means only from Corbynistas. This is manifested in a particularly vicious way towards women MPs; the appalling Jo Cox murder was of course the most extreme example, but women MPs of all parties are getting some very nasty abuse. Jess Phillips and others have gone public about it, and even received further abuse for taking sensible precautions. Others, such as my own MP Nus Ghani - not only a woman, but also a Muslim, and therefore doubly a target for some of the nutters out there - haven't said much in public but nonetheless have good reason to be very concerned for the safety of themselves, their families and their staff.
We have, in the UK, a very accessible political class; you can meet MPs and even senior cabinet ministers without much if anything in the way of security. This long tradition of tolerance and openness is under threat.
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/stdata/
The software used to determine the global temperature from the station data is available here:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/sources_v3/
There's more information in FAQ, but the main reasons for adjusting data are to account for variations in the time of day at which measurements were taken, and to compensate for station moves. It's also necessary to compensate for such things as encroachment by urban areas or stations becoming overgrown. The general idea is to determine, as well as possible, what a historical temperature would have been if it were taken under standardised conditions.
I don't know if anyone else listens to Dan Carlin's podcast Common Sense, but this is something he has been saying for a couple of years now at least.
As any trader will tell you, if you are stuck lower, you want volatility, uncertainty. No matter how it comes. Put another way. Your downside is flat, your upside isn’t. Break the system.
Trump is a box of dynamite for blowing apart a cosy consensus between two parties that have ignored a lot of ordinary Americans, whilst those parties gorge themselves on money from lobbyists who mostly represent the elite/establishment/rich.
So whenever someone like Clinton says "Trump's a horrible racist who will cause all kinds of trouble," that's actually part of his appeal. The worse Trump is the more likely he is to end the current political consensus, and force Republican and Democrats to pay attention to those who vote for him.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bosnia_and_Herzegovina#Ethnic_groups
http://www.oldnorthstatepolitics.com/2016/09/nc-absentee-by-mail-in-ballots-as-of-9.html?m=1
"They found that among 1,125 BBC senior broadcast journalists, a rank that covers many junior reporters and producers, the median pay was £49,000, forty per cent more than the average of £35,000 earned by those in comparable roles in the private sector."
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-09-20/gaming-the-six-week-election-day
Transplanting huge and unsustainable numbers of people from poor and unstable societies to rich and stable ones won't improve the quality of life for the recipient nations - it will simply make them more like the ones from which the migrants originated, that's all.