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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » According to Michael Crick Steven Woolfe has failed to get
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » According to Michael Crick Steven Woolfe has failed to get on the UKIP ballot
On seeing Crick’s Tweet I managed to lay as much was was avaiailable on Betfair. If this is indieed the case I’m £666 up on the afternoon.
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"His form came in 20 minutes late"
Er...
Oh and first... Not like Steven Woolfe.
All of the people interviewed said how happy they were and how successful the bringing together of the two families was. In similar programmes I've heard people describe how they raised their children to follow two religions or some kind of combination of religions. Well it's good to hear that they are happy, and the very best of luck to them.
But unfortunately not once have I ever heard interviews with people whose intercultural marriages have failed in large part because one family wouldn't accept their relative's choice of spouse, causing them (it's more often a woman) to be torn between blood family and chosen beloved - and causing hell to ensue, including for the children. Sometimes the pressure takes years or even a decade or two to have its explosive effect.
Clearly to describe such a very common experience would be to go off-message.
No BBC producer or programme producer aiming to sell to the mainstream would have the guts to want to go anywhere near here.
On the rare occasion when there is mention of a relative who was less than approving of the union, they are always described as being in two minds at first, or a little bit iffy early on - never as threatening to kill themselves, as upset or critical or nasty, or as raising serious points. Then they see the light, realise that love conquers all, and everything is then hunky-dory and the two families are now as one.
What a load of crap.
Even to intervew half a dozen divorced people and to ask the ones who married interculturally whether that had anything to do with their marriage's failure would be called "racist" or "phobic".
I have had it confirmed that Steven Woolfe has been told his nomination for Ukip leader was disqualified as it arrived beyond noon deadline
Part of Trump`s appeal to his audience is that he is not a lawyer and he is prepared to take on the politically correct establishment.
The mainstream media like Woolfe and Suzanne Evans because however talented they are they are also essentially PC people.
UKIP should target the sizeable anti- political correctness audience as with the Tories now electing the ultra PC Theresa May following the ultra PC Cameron basically UKIP are the only party left now who might question PC to any degree
Gotit.
It's certainly a close run thing between the lot of them.
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2016/07/germany-post-race-analysis-2016.html
Not clear if anyone else succeeding in a last minute bid, although it looks impossible from the rules, plenty of support for Diane James on betfair for some reason...
(This comment was self-censored so as not to be un-PC in choice of lexicon; the original mentioned the colour of hats worn by celebrants at a wedding.)
NEW: Steven Woolfe's spokesman says he is still a candidate. Says he submitted his papers on time.
An unknown councillor, a chess geek and a golly-knitter
The suspension of Evans would have ran out, and Carswell would have locked 2 years as a UKIP member.
Steven Woolfe 2.4700
Lisa Duffy 200.8000
Jonathan Arnott 97.3000
Bill Etheridge -45.7000
Diane James -25.7500
The Field -95.7000
When speaking she does not come across as remotely credible as the leader of a major political party.
It's a well known trick in some places.
Chicken counting I fancy. Put that next French/Spanish holiday on hold Mike, at least for now!
Didn't lay as much as Mike though...
They increase in number during the Blair boom, the Brown recession, the Coalition years and now.
How about the Peelite split from the Conservatives? Or the Liberal Unionist split from the Liberals?
As a political party, however, they are of course a joke.
Is it AV or a less perfect voting system?
At what point does Farage un-resign?
"I'm totally neutral in Ukip leadership contest – and indeed rows. Disinterested and possibly uninterested."
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/ukip-membership-nigel-farage-steven-woolfe-leadership-farce-membership-a7162156.html
Anti-Faragist forces on UKIP’s National Executive Committee are working to keep Steven Woolfe off the ballot, according to sources in the room. The NEC is dominated by supporters of Neil Hamilton and Douglas Carswell who want to stop the Farage candidate and install Lisa Duffy as leader.
Woolfe is Farage's prefered candidate.
http://www.oxfordreference.com/view/10.1093/acref/9780199916214.001.0001/acref-9780199916214-e-0268
Corbyn really is Monty Python's Black Knight (that was an inspired PMQ joke)
However Duffy Arnott and Etheridge have definitely attempted, and lots of rumours re: James, who is now favorite/second favourite.
http://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/jul/31/bugging-byron-activists-release-cockroaches-and-locusts-at-burger-chain
Theresa May should get on top of this asap. It was a big risk bringing back Liam Fox and David Davies, two of the biggest egos in politics.
I believe Will Straw is only 32 years old, what an insult giving him a gong.
In actual opinion polling this month UKIP have polled 13% with ICM, 12% with Survation, 13% with Yougov and 15% with Opinium, ie virtually unchanged from the 12% they won in 2015 and with Opinium actually slightly up.
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/
I recall that the kippers have a long and inglorious history of farcical leadership contests. Their devotion to keeping up the tradition is admirable.
Is it like the Foxinsoxuk beer fund, a worthy and needy cause if ever there was?
Clinton 50% Trump 45%
Clinton 46% Trump 41% Johnson 6% Stein 2%
Obama would beat Trump 53% to 44% if he could run for a third term
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_7302016.pdf
The LibDems, more than any other party, is made up of foot soldiers. The unpaid volunteers who man committee rooms, knock up potential voters, and deliver endless Focus leaflets. Where there are councillors, there are volunteers and an activist base.
If the LibDems are to recover - and there is nothing that says they will or they must - it will be on the back of a recovery in local government. Detoxification means first voting for a LibDem councillor, and later for a LibDem parliamentary candidate.
Success in council by-elections tells you the LibDem ground machine is beginning to move again. It tells you that volunteers are working again. It tells you people are signing up to the party, and thanklessly delivering leaflets.
This is not to say the LDs are on the very of anything; but LD council by-election successes areis a necessary condition of recovery, if not a sufficient one.
The plan is probably to have Liza Duffy or whoever as leader, and have her resign in a year when Evans, Carswell or even Farage might run.
It seems pretty unlikely to just be 'coincidence'.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/eu-referendum-final-opinium-poll-shows-leave-ahead-by-one-point-a7095811.html
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3753/Final-EU-referendum-poll-update.aspx
https://morningconsult.com/2016/07/31/presidential-poll-hillary-clinton-donald-trump/
UKIP won.