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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Odds-on UKIP leadership favourite, Steven Woolfe, should k
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Odds-on UKIP leadership favourite, Steven Woolfe, should know today whether or not he’ll be allowed on the ballot
Steven Woolfe MEP is the red hot odds on favourite to become UKIP leader in succession to Nigel Farage who stood down after the referendum. He’s said to have the backing of Arron Banks.
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Good morning everyone, the master is back.
He appears a somewhat isolated figure in the Purple Party and indeed within the HoC. With Cameron now gone and the Tories firmly committed to Brexit, whilst UKIP seem likely to take a turn to the left under their likely new leader, would now not seem a sensible time perhaps for Douglas to return to the Blue Team. With their wafer thin majority, I imagine he would be made quite welcome by La May and others.
Joff can also poss off with his mockery of Clegg. He had more moral compass in his little finger than the entire Labour party from Blair to Corbyn.
People can see the sacrifice the LDS made, hence the local election results. More noble a cause than anything Labour have conjured up since about 1992
Has any other candidate declared.
Kipper leaders (other than Farage) have not had a great track record in the past.
Steven Woolfe MEP
Jonathan Arnott MEP
Lisa Duffy
Bill Etheridge MEP
Liz Jones
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/30/ukip-looks-for-new-leader-and-an-identity-nigel-farage
Clinton 50 .. Trump 45
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2016/07/clinton-image-improves-following-conventions-leads-trump-by-5.html
Suppose the Speaker asks JC for an interview and JC finds he's "too busy" to meet with the Speaker? What happens next?
Also problematic for Trump is that the issue of him releasing his tax returns isn't going anywhere. 62% of voters think he needs to release them to only 23% who think it's not necessary. That includes Democrats (85/8) and independents (60/22) overwhelmingly thinking Trump needs to release them and Republicans (37/43) being pretty evenly split on the issue."
Etheridge is surely the kipper Corbyn!
Embarrassing performance by the Foxes (PSG 4 LCFC nil)
On the plus side for Leicester they won't be drawn with PSG or any other (decent) league champions or Real Madrid in the Champions League. Will you be doing any away trips? Should you draw Dortmund I would thoroughly recommend going to the away game.
..........come to think of it
He would pull down all that thousand quid roll wallpaper that the incumbent put up at public expense and replace it with whitewash and Che Guevara Yasser Arafat posters!
Or, as I suggested yesterday 160 Labour MPs could resign the whip and/or form a new party and the opposition. I simply don't know why they are accepting the notion of fighting the next election on hard left principles....it will lose some of them their seats.
- UKIP has around 42,000 members, as of January 2015.
This is a bit silly. Between this and Evans, and Nutall not standing, it appears UKIP are doing the political re-enactment of Sideshow Bob stepping on 17 rakes in a row.
F1: my pre-race piece (with an important update relevant to the bit and exciting comments) is up here:
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2016/07/germany-pre-race-2016.html
Edited extra bet^:ahem, the bet*. Not the bit.
^bit, not bet.
Most Leicester fans are realists though. Last years season was no flash in the pan (38 games with 3 losses is not luck!). We should make top half and I think top six a realistic target. As long as we do not get bottom of the CL group, then I am happy. There is novelty in this for us as we last played in Europe 2 decades ago.
Are you up for the Leicester game on the 20th?
Donald Trump
Can you imagine if I had the small crowds that Hillary is drawing today in Pennsylvania. It would be a major media event! @CNN @FoxNews
Given that, a one place grid penalty is harsh, when Mercedes got none for an unsafe release in P3. Can't believe errant paperwork is a more grievous crime than a near collision in the pitlane.
Where are Evans and James ? Are they bonafide members too ? Do UKIP Members know about an banking instrument called standing order or direct debit ?
I know a few Kippers don't like him because he's not Nigel, however he seems a really strong candidate professionally, academically and great on the TV. His back story also negates many of the stones thrown at UKIP.
If he's ruled out - I can't see the others lasting long/commanding enough respect after Farage.
I am not a party member, but from the outside the difference in campaigning is interesting as well, Arnott appears to be lining up endless backers of social media and twittering with the best of them, Woolfe seems to be going more for the rubber chicken circuit and pressing the flesh at local associations.
Or something.
I will be at the game on the 20th, a similar result to last season would be very welcome!
No new polls. Clinton leading in Missouri ? Even as an outlier, it is interesting. I am keeping an eye on Georgia and Arizona .
** might be classed under driver / race safety of course.
The Button issue was a brake pedal not working properly. Getting a penalty for receiving advice on that is crackers.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/olympics/36934760
The only firm decision they appear to have made is that the whistleblower (herself a cheat, as I understand it) can't compete.
They have form. They did the same to Obama in 08 and 12 until the last weeks of the election. Accordingly caution is required.
We have Barca in Stockholm midweek before the Community Shield on Sunday. Arsenal is our first home game on the 20th, so should be a good atmosphere. Vardy to score at that one ;-)
My Greek friends are PAOK supporters, and they have some Russian money behind them. Away games there are intimidating so they should beat Ajax.
The IOC seems bloody inept. The Olympics are only a few days away from starting and there still isn't clarity.
Never the less his approval ratings have been stellar this year beating Beloved Regan due to not having Iran Contra to drag him down.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/focus/priest-killing-leads-to-call-for-french-guantanamo-9tbvpcklj
In terms of the Diadochi, I think I'm correct, though.
(Albion auto-corrected to Albino!)
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/jul/30/jeremy-corbyn-scrap-labour-union-laws-pledge#comments
And it's a fucking stupid one to boot, he just reached back to his formative days in politics and dragged this nonsense out to please the unions.
The more the Corbynites make this a personality cult the more they put themselves in a box for later elections, he has no policies because that would mean making a decision rather than being a the hippy geography teacher he is trying to be.
Him v May will be blood on the carpet each week, and he won't even care.
In a general election, voters in the north - and elsewhere - will need to hear a lot more.
You Gov: Labour are -12 from first, +15 from third
ICM: Labour are -16 from first, +14 from third
Opinium's re-weightings turned an 11 point deficit from raw data into 6 points, compared to a 13 point lead on third.
Ipsos' comedy 55% leftist bloc needs no consideration.
Woolfe would represent a real threat to Labour. He will be able to cut through in ways that Farage never could.
EU bans our top pond plant - to protect Spain: Water hyacinth added to banned list meaning it cannot be grown or sold anywhere within union
It's Britain’s best-loved pond plant, but it faces extermination by the European Union – because it is hated in Spain and Portugal.
The water hyacinth has been added to the EU’s Invasive Alien Species Regulations, meaning that it cannot be grown or sold anywhere within the EU.
Here, the water hyacinth is a favourite of pond owners because it protects fish from predators such as herons and kingfishers, oxygenates water, and prevents algae from clogging ponds.
And since it doesn’t seed, it cannot escape into waterways and it dies off completely following the first winter frost.
However, in warm climates such as Spain, Portugal and South Africa, it grow very quickly, creating thick floating mats on lakes and affecting water sports, boating and irrigatio
They lobbied for the EU-wide ban, which starts on Wednesday.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3716319/EU-bans-pond-plant-water-hyacinth-adding-banned-list-meaning-grown-sold-union.html
http://www.cbssports.com/olympics/news/heres-a-list-of-all-the-issues-surrounding-the-2016-rio-olympics/
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1CYuwBcPObQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PQQw5T2T94M
The problem with UKIP is that very few people have any concept of what they stand for apart from Brexit and in addition very few of their "leader" are recognisable to the general public beyond Farage.
I don't like Corbyn at all but the PB right wingers are getting a little carried away - even under him Labour are likely to return well over 100 MPs in 2020 and about 25-30% of the vote. This notion of UKIP sweeping to victory in Northern Labour heartlands has been around for ages - it never materialises - weren't they going to win or run Labour very close in the Oldham by-election? Exact opposite happened even with Corbyn as leader.
I would also argue that if anyone is going to challenge Labour for the opposition mantle it will be the Lib Dems as they are gaining ground in local by-elections, often spectacularly, while UKIP are going backwards.
I think it far more likely that UKIP becomes an irrelevance after Brexit than the "real opposition"
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
If Corbyn Labour falls to 27% as some polls are showing you could end up with a situation close to 1983 when Labour got 27% and the SDP 25%. It only takes 1 or 2% more and UKIP overtake Labour in voteshare. The LDs may win the odd council by-election but they are going nowhere in the polls. They might pick up the odd diehard EUphile who wants to stay in the single market with free movement as it is now but they are not as big a block as anti single market and anti free movement voters, coupled with the fact the LDs got 5% less than UKIP at the general election.
http://www.comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/BBC-News_Tables_Brexit-Expectations_11072016.pdf
If I'd bummed oligarchs, brownnosed central bankers fellated City spivs and sold my arse to the Chinese I could be a Companion of Honour now 2m