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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Alastair Meeks says George Osborne’s star is dimming

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Comments

  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Mr. Jessop, the time when Cameron could've swayed me from a probable Leave was the negotiation, which he failed at utterly and has misrepresented since. There's still the possibility of a black swan, but otherwise I'm very likely to vote Leave.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,714

    TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    If you were a proud englishman you wouldn't be a lawyer in the first place.

    I've got you down as actor for hire - sheep impersonations considered.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    Wanderer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    YouGov
    Donald Trump is now supported by a majority of Republican primary voters nationwide – https://t.co/fCtQPrTT8n https://t.co/pNmKpGiB4X

    It was always going to be either Trump or Cruz, but Cruz is probably a bit too right wing to win in November.
    President Donald Trump knows how to make America great: deal with strength or get crushed every time.
    He's impressed me in the debates by going so completely off book. South Carolina was the pinnacle I think...

    Defending planned parenthood, attacking Dubya over 9-11 and Iraq, not being worried about kipping what many see was a critical debate (Short term perhaps harmful, long term has worked out fine). He's a politician dealing in conviction, not the minutiae of game theory that alot of others (See Ed Miliband here) do - particularly in debates do.

    The other thing I note is that he is leading the narrative ~ the other candidates all remarkably are talking about a wall now, and alot of his positions are not just politically convienient (Abortion might be the big exception to win the GOP primary) but are perhaps what he genuinely believes.

    Some of his more 'left wing' (Trade, women's health, healthcare) stances vs GOP norm are the most interesting for me.

    By ignoring all the minutiae of game theory x, y, z he's actually ending up in a very strong position.

    "He's breaking all the rules" is a cliche, but it is true in this case.
    It is. He's complex. Remains to be seen if he'll win, though.

    Also, Rubio (your favourite) has impressed me more recently. Very good interview posted on thread last night where I thought he sounded measured and sensible and far less robotic, more human, than usual.

    If Republicans fail in November I don't rule him out for 2020

    (Although he did also look tired and stressed)
    I didn't see that interview but I agree that he has good prospects for 2020 if Hillary wins. In the short term, though, he needs to lose with dignity, ie bow out gracefully if he loses in his home state.
    He'll probably win Florida after all this !

    That'd delight some and terrify others here. It'd be midly annoying for me.
  • LondonBobLondonBob Posts: 467
    edited March 2016

    ABC
    NEW: Donald Trump wins Northern Mariana Islands Republican caucuses, according to N. Mariana Islands GOP, snagging nine pledged delegates.

    You mean Hitler, not Donald Trump.

    https://twitter.com/GregGutfeldShow/status/

    Still have hopes Trump will take Ohio, Romney has been campaigning for Kasich there.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    How about we cut off the Welsh too and are just England free and proud?

    On a completely unrelated bonus our 12 seat majority would be a 105 seat majority and that's before boundary reforms too.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Always knew he was a German spy. It's in the genes. (see Family in WikI)
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    Enjoy the names while you can!
    More than a few of them will be called 'Tesco Value Burger' by the morning.
  • TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    If you were a proud englishman you wouldn't be a lawyer in the first place.

    I've got you down as actor for hire - sheep impersonations considered.
    I regularly do sheep impressions when England take on Wales.

    Can't imagine why the Welsh don't like me.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,944

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    I thought it was Nick Clegg who said that? – still makes absolutely no sense whomever said it
    If you believe that it's best for Britain to stay in the EU, then of course it's patriotic to advocate it.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    As a matter of interest, what could Cameron (or anyone else) say that you would see as persuasive?

    If the answer is nothing, then you are clearly not the target market for the comments.

    (That is not a dig, btw).
    I started this campaign as a Remain voter. I'd like to see something positive of why the EU is good for us rather than clearly BS negativity. The Remain campaign is driving me further and further away as I know it's BS, you know it's BS and they must know it's BS. But if that's the best Remain can come up with then let's just go with having our sovereignty and sort it all out from there.
  • GeoffM said:

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    Enjoy the names while you can!
    More than a few of them will be called 'Tesco Value Burger' by the morning.
    Lol
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    edited March 2016

    TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    How about we cut off the Welsh too and are just England free and proud?

    On a completely unrelated bonus our 12 seat majority would be a 105 seat majority and that's before boundary reforms too.
    Nah, we need the Welsh and the Scots. I like reminding them England keeps on subsidising them, I mean last week we found out we subsidised the Scots to the tune of £15 billion per year.

    Allows me to feel all smug and superior
  • LennonLennon Posts: 1,784
    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    As a matter of interest, what could Cameron (or anyone else) say that you would see as persuasive?

    If the answer is nothing, then you are clearly not the target market for the comments.

    (That is not a dig, btw).
    I started this campaign as a Remain voter. I'd like to see something positive of why the EU is good for us rather than clearly BS negativity. The Remain campaign is driving me further and further away as I know it's BS, you know it's BS and they must know it's BS. But if that's the best Remain can come up with then let's just go with having our sovereignty and sort it all out from there.
    Actually, I don't see all of it as BS. There is clearly some BS amongst it, but IMO the same can be said for leave.

    For instance, telling some people we will have full control over borders to stop immigration, whilst telling others we'll be in the EEA, is the height of dishonest BS. Leave's dishonesty on this makes remain look like paragons of virtue.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,944
    Climate change deal: 'Zero carbon' laws promised by government
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35809144
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    edited March 2016
    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    For the Senate

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

    for the House

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    This is a good place to start:

    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate/

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    RodCrosby said:
    Yes, a really chilly article that could easily prove clairvoyant.
  • Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Yuk.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    edited March 2016
    Gruesome doings on the Macedonian border.

    https://twitter.com/BreitbartLondon/status/709705326669512709
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    I backed that one too, I couldn't watch it as I was singing Handel's Messiah as a soprano. My parents came into the church and gave me a thumbs up - that was when I knew I'd won £10 or something :)
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited March 2016
    Does anyone.in any Government anywhere really understand exactly what "Zero Carbon" means..
  • LennonLennon Posts: 1,784

    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    For the Senate

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

    for the House

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls

    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    This is a good place to start:

    http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/2016-senate/

    Thanks both - much appreciated. Knew PB would have the answer... :-)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @pauloCanning: Why, after 9yrs, I am leaving Labour. Last straw? Antisemitism +hate. By @jonwillchambers https://t.co/5pQmsQaCkl https://t.co/TzzZ3TVzNe
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I hope they're charged, totally irresponsible.
    Those responsible are thought to be mostly German activists, who were photographed assisting the migrants across the river. Those pictures had blond hair, piercings, dreadlocks, and hippy-like attire.

    According to Sunday Times journalist Bojan Pancevski, they were find just €250 and set free.

    Most shockingly, however, three migrants died during the escapade – reported to be a pregnant woman, her teenage sister and a man. It is not know if the allegedly German activists will be investigated for manslaughter.
    http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/03/15/pictures-hippies-coordinate-mass-illegal-crossing-by-migrants-in-greece-thousands-detained/
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:


    It is. He's complex. Remains to be seen if he'll win, though.

    Also, Rubio (your favourite) has impressed me more recently. Very good interview posted on thread last night where I thought he sounded measured and sensible and far less robotic, more human, than usual.

    I think Rubio is done now, after covering him at ~ 17s (Hah !). My main annoyance with him has been that I like hassle free winners in political betting and his backers have caused trouble on Betfair way beyond his normal price.

    Of course it's provided some magnificent opportunities to take advantage of, but it's been irritating and a bit worrying at times.

    If only I had the courage of my convictions !
    To be honest, I just want someone to win now.

    I'm bored of the whole race and just want my winnings paid out ;-)
    Cruz would win me the most (slightly), but Trump was my most recent bet to get him into 4 figures (just) for the nomination.

    Which leads to a psychological flaw - I'd subconsciously rather win less with Trump than with Cruz right now as Cruz was higher and Trump lower. Which is a nonsense.

    If Trump wins Ohio, I might try and reback Cruz for £50 or something tbh.
    You are less lazy (and more skilled) than me

    I put a lot of effort into GE2015

    On the US race I've basically just tried to read the markets and the race, and pick a winner (trading very occasionally along the way where there be value)

    But that's all I've done.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    edited March 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    I backed that one too, I couldn't watch it as I was singing Handel's Messiah as a soprano. My parents came into the church and gave me a thumbs up - that was when I knew I'd won £10 or something :)
    Looking at wiki, I reckon our parents fleeced us. Party Politics SP was 14/1.

    I got £20 out of that and spent it on Now That's What I Call Music 21 CD, was an awesome CD, had Bohemian Rhapsody and 2 Unlimited on it.

    One of the best Nows ever.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Miss Plato, aching hearts and empty heads.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    We need to enter a horse called Alternative Vote.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Oh dear, Bojo does the Hokey Cokey again

    @politicshome: NEW: Boris Johnson cools backing for Canadian-style EU deal: https://t.co/sFxD6ZfC0y https://t.co/PQWfSViUsv
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    As a matter of interest, what could Cameron (or anyone else) say that you would see as persuasive?

    If the answer is nothing, then you are clearly not the target market for the comments.

    (That is not a dig, btw).
    I started this campaign as a Remain voter. I'd like to see something positive of why the EU is good for us rather than clearly BS negativity. The Remain campaign is driving me further and further away as I know it's BS, you know it's BS and they must know it's BS. But if that's the best Remain can come up with then let's just go with having our sovereignty and sort it all out from there.
    Actually, I don't see all of it as BS. There is clearly some BS amongst it, but IMO the same can be said for leave.

    For instance, telling some people we will have full control over borders to stop immigration, whilst telling others we'll be in the EEA, is the height of dishonest BS. Leave's dishonesty on this makes remain look like paragons of virtue.
    No that makes Leave not a single uniform alternative. If you're talking about a single individual suggesting we will have full control over our borders, while you have the same person saying we'll be in the EEA, then that's dishonest.

    If you've got someone saying we should Leave so we can control immigration they're telling their truth.
    If you've got someone saying we should Leave and join the EEA they're telling their truth.

    No dishonesty, just disagreement. That's called democracy, if we Leave at any General Election we can fight over and resolve these disagreements.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    How about we cut off the Welsh too and are just England free and proud?

    On a completely unrelated bonus our 12 seat majority would be a 105 seat majority and that's before boundary reforms too.
    Nah, we need the Welsh and the Scots. I like reminding them England keeps on subsidising them, I mean last week we found out we subsidised the Scots to the tune of £15 billion per year.

    Allows me to feel all smug and superior
    I'd rather feel all smug and superior as we keep our own £15 billion and grow better than them.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    My first win was West Tip in the National. Mid 80s?
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    I backed that one too, I couldn't watch it as I was singing Handel's Messiah as a soprano. My parents came into the church and gave me a thumbs up - that was when I knew I'd won £10 or something :)
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,080
    Mr. Eagles, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

    Lyrics of which to be proud.
  • TGOHF said:

    Dave saying it is the patriotic thing is to remain in the EU

    Patriotic for which country ?
    The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
    France.

    They've got all those farmers to subsidise with wine nobody drinks.
    Brexit leads to an Independent Scotland and Northern Ireland joining the Republic of Ireland.

    As a proud Englishman, I don't want to be left with the flipping Welsh.
    How about we cut off the Welsh too and are just England free and proud?

    On a completely unrelated bonus our 12 seat majority would be a 105 seat majority and that's before boundary reforms too.
    Nah, we need the Welsh and the Scots. I like reminding them England keeps on subsidising them, I mean last week we found out we subsidised the Scots to the tune of £15 billion per year.

    Allows me to feel all smug and superior
    I'd rather feel all smug and superior as we keep our own £15 billion and grow better than them.
    I'm a One Nation Tory, paternalism is in my nature (plus it annoys the Nats)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PolhomeEditor: BREAKING: Vicky Kirby to be suspended by Labour for a second time over anti-Semitic tweets, Politics Home has learned.

    ...but not expelled
  • Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    We need to enter a horse called Alternative Vote.
    Yes we do, it might not finish first, but it still might win.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,262

    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    For the Senate

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

    for the House

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls
    Of course, if the Senate was proportionate rather the granting every state two senators, then Republican majorities would be as hard to achieve in it as they are in the Presidency.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,944

    Scott_P said:

    Nobody else betting on Cheltenham?

    TSE's glue predictor

    13.30: Mister Miyagi

    14:10 Game Changer

    14:50: Un Temps Pour Tout silkUn Temps Pour Tou

    15:30: Sempre Medici

    16:10: Bitofapuzzle

    16:50: Waldorf Salad

    17:30: Five In A Row
    Like a lucky dip.

    Only horses I do are at the National.
    I do Cheltenham, The Grand National and Goodwood, I generally pick the horses by which name amuses me the most
    I won on Sardam Hussein back at Aintree in 2002.

    I was like, well, no one else is backing him right now.
    My first ever bet was on Party Politics winning the 1992 Grand National.

    I was 13 at the time, and my Dad asked me which horse he should put his money on, he gave me a list of names, and I thought there's a General Election in five days time, I'm backing Party Politics
    We need to enter a horse called Alternative Vote.
    Yes we do, it might not finish first, but it still might win.
    Surely the favourite would always win.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663



    We need to enter a horse called Alternative Vote.

    Lying Ted
    Little Marco
    Big Don

    would be amusing names now. Perhaps more likely for US racing though.
  • Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    For the Senate

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

    for the House

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls
    Of course, if the Senate was proportionate rather the granting every state two senators, then Republican majorities would be as hard to achieve in it as they are in the Presidency.
    If I was a Californian, I'd be so pissed off with that, my state (population 50 odd million) gets as many Senators as tiny little Wyoming with their five hundred thousand population.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Maomentum
    With Tories divided, it's surely now time for @UKLabour to unite and fight the real enemy: people who complain about anti-Semitism.
    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: BREAKING: Vicky Kirby to be suspended by Labour for a second time over anti-Semitic tweets, Politics Home has learned.

    ...but not expelled

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016

    Does anyone.in any Government anywhere really understand exactly what "Zero Carbon" means..

    Does anyone.in any Government anywhere really understand exactly what "Zero Carbon" means..

    Is it a new flavour of coke cola?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    Pulpstar said:
    I remember when George Zimmerman was tried for killing Trayvon Martin, that some of the comments from media and left wing politicians were appallingly irresponsible, in deeming him guilty after he'd been tried and acquitted. Some of them seemed to me to be inciting people to go after him.
  • Pulpstar said:



    We need to enter a horse called Alternative Vote.

    Lying Ted
    Little Marco
    Big Don

    would be amusing names now. Perhaps more likely for US racing though.
    Cameron's Pig

    Ed's Bacon Sarnie
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Pulpstar said:

    ABC
    NEW: Donald Trump wins Northern Mariana Islands Republican caucuses, according to N. Mariana Islands GOP, snagging nine pledged delegates.

    :+1: He had the backing of the governor there so it always looked likely, but 9 welcome delegates nonetheless.
    Yeah, I though that could be one of the liliputian places that might be stitched for Cruz to get through the 8-state gate at the Convention...

    What's the latest on American Samoa?
  • dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596

    Mr. Eagles, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

    Lyrics of which to be proud.

    I thought it was going to be this, till i read down thread:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2oBUF4oh8w

    (chorus at 1:25 or so)
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    As a matter of interest, what could Cameron (or anyone else) say that you would see as persuasive?

    If the answer is nothing, then you are clearly not the target market for the comments.

    (That is not a dig, btw).
    I started this campaign as a Remain voter. I'd like to see something positive of why the EU is good for us rather than clearly BS negativity. The Remain campaign is driving me further and further away as I know it's BS, you know it's BS and they must know it's BS. But if that's the best Remain can come up with then let's just go with having our sovereignty and sort it all out from there.
    Actually, I don't see all of it as BS. There is clearly some BS amongst it, but IMO the same can be said for leave.

    For instance, telling some people we will have full control over borders to stop immigration, whilst telling others we'll be in the EEA, is the height of dishonest BS. Leave's dishonesty on this makes remain look like paragons of virtue.
    No that makes Leave not a single uniform alternative. If you're talking about a single individual suggesting we will have full control over our borders, while you have the same person saying we'll be in the EEA, then that's dishonest.

    If you've got someone saying we should Leave so we can control immigration they're telling their truth.
    If you've got someone saying we should Leave and join the EEA they're telling their truth.

    No dishonesty, just disagreement. That's called democracy, if we Leave at any General Election we can fight over and resolve these disagreements.
    Sorry, but that's rubbish because the two options are mutually exclusive. Leave are dishonestly trying to create a big tent in which large segments will be discontent after the vote. Leave are ignoring this issue when it should be front and centre.

    Worse, it's setting up massive arguments amongst leave supporters if leave win. What does the vote even mean? Many will say it means the EEA approach, whilst others will argue against that. And our negotiations with the EU will have to be undertaken in such an environment.

    If Remain are selling a false prospectus, then Leave's isn't even a prospectus. It's a load of disjointed grumbles.

    As I've said many times before, the fear (and that is the right word) of further integration is pushing me towards voting leave. One of the factors pushing me back towards remain is the fact that Remain are to stupid to know, or dishonest to say, what a leave vote means.

    For the moment, the former factor is heavier than the latter.

    For the moment.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    edited March 2016

    Lennon said:

    Totally O/T - but does anyone have a link to polls / predictions for the Congress and Senate races? I appreciate that we're all focused on the Presidental, but I suspect that there are some really interesting races down the ticket and am just not sure where to start looking for details etc.? Cheers.

    For the Senate

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/senate/

    for the House

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html#polls
    Of course, if the Senate was proportionate rather the granting every state two senators, then Republican majorities would be as hard to achieve in it as they are in the Presidency.
    Two thirds of Senators get elected in non-Presidential years so probably not. It's worth noting that until very recently, Democrats were competitive at Senate level, in small rural States, that vote Republican at Presidential level, such as the Dakotas, Nebraska, Arkansas, etc. but they no longer seem interested in trying to appeal to such voters.

    If the Republicans hadn't picked some dire candidates for the Senate in recent years, they'd have a real hammer lock on it.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Paul Kirkby
    Which countries have the most doctors per capita? Some have 3 times more than others.
    @OECD chart https://t.co/SbIkukTh4P
  • Mr. Eagles, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

    Lyrics of which to be proud.

    I thought it was going to be this, till i read down thread:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2oBUF4oh8w

    (chorus at 1:25 or so)
    I absolutely adored 2 Unlimited

    This was their finest hit

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WvTm_BhZdOE
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016
    Sean_F said:

    Pulpstar said:
    I remember when George Zimmerman was tried for killing Trayvon Martin, that some of the comments from media and left wing politicians were appallingly irresponsible, in deeming him guilty after he'd been tried and acquitted. Some of them seemed to me to be inciting people to go after him.
    The press conference at the release of the report into the ferguson incident was particularly bad. The police officer was still being treated as guilty despite the evidence of the official report that said the opposite including testimonials from many eye witnesses.

    They then released all the evidence and nobody has challenged it's accuracy, but some.parts of the media still.tall about it in tones the the officer was guilty.
  • On topic

    Public confidence in the economic recovery is falling, it was revealed today on the eve of George Osborne’s eighth budget.

    More people now feel their families are getting worse off, and fewer think the Chancellor can steer the country away from the rocks, according to a study by BMG Research.

    The findings come as Mr Osborne is expected to unveil more pessimistic forecasts for growth and borrowing in tomorrow’s Budget speech.

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/more-people-feeling-worse-off-as-confidence-in-economy-slumps-a3203591.html
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,663
    RodCrosby said:

    Pulpstar said:

    ABC
    NEW: Donald Trump wins Northern Mariana Islands Republican caucuses, according to N. Mariana Islands GOP, snagging nine pledged delegates.

    :+1: He had the backing of the governor there so it always looked likely, but 9 welcome delegates nonetheless.
    Yeah, I though that could be one of the liliputian places that might be stitched for Cruz to get through the 8-state gate at the Convention...

    What's the latest on American Samoa?
    No idea, I put £2 on Rand Paul when John Yob won the Virgin Islands though :p
  • Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8
  • DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    kle4 said:



    Interesting. I do wonder how a Green party here would do if they were not so overwhelmingly left wing. I suppose it wouldn't make that much difference, dominated by the big three (now two) as we are, you'd still get the big two full of very Green members among the non-greens.

    The Green candidate who stood against me in 2015 because he thought I was insufficiently left-wing, snaffling enough votes to be half of the Tory majority, has now rejoined Labour. Better late than never, I suppose (grump!).
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,347

    On topic

    Public confidence in the economic recovery is falling, it was revealed today on the eve of George Osborne’s eighth budget.

    More people now feel their families are getting worse off, and fewer think the Chancellor can steer the country away from the rocks, according to a study by BMG Research.

    The findings come as Mr Osborne is expected to unveil more pessimistic forecasts for growth and borrowing in tomorrow’s Budget speech.

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/more-people-feeling-worse-off-as-confidence-in-economy-slumps-a3203591.html

    So those of us who said he shouldn't have spent the phantom £20bn the OBR came up with and pressed ahead with the cuts were right. Osborne bottled it in October to protect his chances of becoming PM. Ruining the national finances to become leader. As bad a Brown.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    As a matter of interest, what could Cameron (or anyone else) say that you would see as persuasive?

    If the answer is nothing, then you are clearly not the target market for the comments.

    (That is not a dig, btw).
    .
    Actually, I don't see all of it as BS. There is clearly some BS amongst it, but IMO the same can be said for leave.

    For instance, telling some people we will have full control over borders to stop immigration, whilst telling others we'll be in the EEA, is the height of dishonest BS. Leave's dishonesty on this makes remain look like paragons of virtue.

    If you've got someone saying we should Leave so we can control immigration they're telling their truth.
    If you've got someone saying we should Leave and join the EEA they're telling their truth.

    No dishonesty, just disagreement. That's called democracy, if we Leave at any General Election we can fight over and resolve these disagreements.
    Sorry, but that's rubbish because the two options are mutually exclusive. Leave are dishonestly trying to create a big tent in which large segments will be discontent after the vote. Leave are ignoring this issue when it should be front and centre.

    Worse, it's setting up massive arguments amongst leave supporters if leave win. What does the vote even mean? Many will say it means the EEA approach, whilst others will argue against that. And our negotiations with the EU will have to be undertaken in such an environment.

    If Remain are selling a false prospectus, then Leave's isn't even a prospectus. It's a load of disjointed grumbles.

    As I've said many times before, the fear (and that is the right word) of further integration is pushing me towards voting leave. One of the factors pushing me back towards remain is the fact that Remain are to stupid to know, or dishonest to say, what a leave vote means.

    For the moment, the former factor is heavier than the latter.

    For the moment.
    People will vote Leave for differing reasons. Leave are under no obligation to tell one or other group of supporters that they don't want their votes.

    In the same way that there are people who will vote Remain because they think that David Cameron has prevented further integration, and there will be people who will vote Remain because they think we're heading for a United States of Europe. There'll be people who vote Remain because they think the EU entrenches liberal capitalism, and people who will vote remain because they think it entrenches social democracy.
  • dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596

    Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8

    hmm. no think they were out of ideas by this one. connaisseurs (sp?) prefer the KLF
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,001
    Philip Thompson - is that true about a £15bn subsidy? Or is that the prospective fiscal deficit of an independent Scotland - not the same thing!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
  • dugarbandierdugarbandier Posts: 2,596
    altern8 was the first cd (as opposed to other formats) that i bought :)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,433
    edited March 2016

    Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8

    hmm. no think they were out of ideas by this one. connaisseurs (sp?) prefer the KLF
    I liked the KLF too, I was often up until 3am listening to their music
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554

    Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8

    hmm. no think they were out of ideas by this one. connaisseurs (sp?) prefer the KLF
    I liked the KLF too, I was often up until 3am listening to their music

    Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8

    hmm. no think they were out of ideas by this one. connaisseurs (sp?) prefer the KLF
    I liked the KLF too, I was often up until 3am listening to their music
    I bet they now wish they hadn't burned that million quid...
  • PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    Actually maybe Twilight Zone was better

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C2VfmhAlTO8

    hmm. no think they were out of ideas by this one. connaisseurs (sp?) prefer the KLF
    I liked the KLF too, I was often up until 3am listening to their music
    A joke both unjustified and ancient.
  • DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @DPJHodges: We're entering the "Knowing" phase of the referendum campaign. The moment people feel compelled to say knowingly "Brexit may just win".
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999

    Mr. Eagles, no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

    Lyrics of which to be proud.

    I thought it was going to be this, till i read down thread:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t2oBUF4oh8w

    (chorus at 1:25 or so)
    I absolutely adored 2 Unlimited

    This was their finest hit

    (Snip)
    Back in about 1994, I remember being dragged out of one club and into another which seemed to play nothing but 2 Unlimited for hours, including the same track on repeat for about half an hour. (*)

    You'd have loved it.

    (*) how could anyone notice? ;)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @LadPolitics: Fancy any of these to get a mention in The Budget? #BuzzwordBingo
    https://t.co/DtGI4e41sH https://t.co/Ag373x20zn
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Matt Hone
    This is wonderful. It is my birthday and Christmas rolled into one. Private Eye takes down hideous fraud Mo Ansar. https://t.co/Ozg2D4cnf3
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,714

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    Nah, politicians are an odd bunch, one minute they’re shouting at each other across the dispatch box and the next minute it's best mates in the subsidised member’s bar.

    It’s all pantomime.
  • DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

    Nonsense, he was like William III just before the Battle of the Boyne

    (Sorry JackW)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,554
    edited March 2016

    Matt Hone
    This is wonderful. It is my birthday and Christmas rolled into one. Private Eye takes down hideous fraud Mo Ansar. https://t.co/Ozg2D4cnf3

    He isn't still on the scene is he? I thought Iain dale expose on him should have been enough to.send.him back to the real world.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Ukip guy on DP very measured and solid. Stephen Woolfe IIRC
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999

    Matt Hone
    This is wonderful. It is my birthday and Christmas rolled into one. Private Eye takes down hideous fraud Mo Ansar. https://t.co/Ozg2D4cnf3

    And if you want to know more:
    http://www.jeremy-duns.com/moansar
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

    Big hammy face glowing bright red like a baboons bottom.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Oh dear...

    @RKWinvisibleman: In suspending this woman from membership again, @UKLabour described her tweets as "anti-Israeli". #euphemisms https://t.co/kEFn3LYDTo
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @politicsmarkets: William Hill Budget Bingo: 'Oil Price' 8/11, 'Hard Working Families' 7/4, 'Brexit' 2/1, 'Junior Doctors 5/1, 'Boris' 7/1, 'Trump' 33/1.
  • NormNorm Posts: 1,251

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

    I'm amazed at how much time DC has appeared to have to devote to the "renegotiation" and campaign already - makes you wonder what he does the rest of the time.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    kle4 said:

    I wonder just how many of those for remain or leave are genuinely conflicted and will accept the will of the people without recourse to acrimony to the losing side.

    On here and among the political commentariat? Not as many as the public at large.

    I was a reluctant remain for a long time, and can admit that as I have a spine like jelly a part of me is worried about the uncertainties of Leave and a guilty part would not mind being able to vote the way I want, Leave, and not suffer any potential consequences as a result, and part of the reason I admit it is to shore up my resolve to vote Leave. But for acrimony it's not a problem for me - the worse acrimony appears to be an internal Tory battle of which the EU is the largest element but not the entirety of it (for some at least, there are die hard Cameroons angry with him over this), and at the end of the day I think no matter the tactics of either side, there are enough voices being heard putting out the proper arguments that if we vote Remain the only people to 'blame' are the public themselves, and that's not a position I would want to be in, being angry at the public as a whole.

    However, irrespective of the final outcome I do not see David Cameron leaving the Government as he is the only politician remotely suitable to preside over a unity cabinet, post referendum. He is not in a contest with Boris or anyone else for Prime Minister as he is clearly standing down in the next few years. There are some who want David Cameron to go as they simply do not like him or more likely think it will aid their own political views, especially labour and lid dem supporters. .

    On this though I don't know that I can agree - Cameron might be the most suitable to reside over a unity Cabinet, but if the campaign gets any more poisonous, a unity cabinet might not be an option. That he is not personally standing again is immaterial, as he is crucial to the contest of those who will be PM after him, and when that will be, so that some people as you say want him to go simply as they do not like him or think it will aid their politics is pretty relevant when combined with the demands that will occur for him to go if Leave wins from more than the usual suspects. It's too much to withstand, I think.
    I think you demonstrate the difficulties we all have with this decision and the only redeeming feature as far as I can see is that 23rd June is not far away and there will be 4 years for the Conservative party to resolve it's issues and get on governing the country. At 72 years I finally joined the Conservative party last week.
    I hope that is not a sign of dementia developing.!
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited March 2016
    Well said. We've Jeremy Clarkson wanting standardised plugs and a single army, then expats choosing immediate safety first for themselves.
    Sean_F said:

    Mr. Max, I saw some of his speech. It was about as persuasive as a phone call from Blair offering to sell me PPI.

    .
    .
    Actually, I don't see all of it as BS. There is clearly some BS amongst it, but IMO the same can be said for leave.

    For instance, telling some people we will have full control over borders to stop immigration, whilst telling others we'll be in the EEA, is the height of dishonest BS. Leave's dishonesty on this makes remain look like paragons of virtue.

    If you've got someone saying we should Leave so we can control immigration they're telling their truth.
    If you've got someone saying we should Leave and join the EEA they're telling their truth.

    No dishonesty, just disagreement. That's called democracy, if we Leave at any General Election we can fight over and resolve these disagreements.
    Sorry, but that's rubbish because the two options are mutually exclusive. Leave are dishonestly trying to create a big tent in which large segments will be discontent after the vote. Leave are ignoring this issue when it should be front and centre.

    Worse, it's setting up massive arguments amongst leave supporters if leave win. What does the vote even mean? Many will say it means the EEA approach, whilst others will argue against that. And our negotiations with the EU will have to be undertaken in such an environment.

    If Remain are selling a false prospectus, then Leave's isn't even a prospectus. It's a load of disjointed grumbles.

    As I've said many times before, the fear (and that is the right word) of further integration is pushing me towards voting leave. One of the factors pushing me back towards remain is the fact that Remain are to stupid to know, or dishonest to say, what a leave vote means.

    For the moment, the former factor is heavier than the latter.

    For the moment.
    People will vote Leave for differing reasons. Leave are under no obligation to tell one or other group of supporters that they don't want their votes.

    In the same way that there are people who will vote Remain because they think that David Cameron has prevented further integration, and there will be people who will vote Remain because they think we're heading for a United States of Europe. There'll be people who vote Remain because they think the EU entrenches liberal capitalism, and people who will vote remain because they think it entrenches social democracy.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Sorry, but that's rubbish because the two options are mutually exclusive. Leave are dishonestly trying to create a big tent in which large segments will be discontent after the vote. Leave are ignoring this issue when it should be front and centre.

    Worse, it's setting up massive arguments amongst leave supporters if leave win. What does the vote even mean? Many will say it means the EEA approach, whilst others will argue against that. And our negotiations with the EU will have to be undertaken in such an environment.

    If Remain are selling a false prospectus, then Leave's isn't even a prospectus. It's a load of disjointed grumbles.

    As I've said many times before, the fear (and that is the right word) of further integration is pushing me towards voting leave. One of the factors pushing me back towards remain is the fact that Remain are to stupid to know, or dishonest to say, what a leave vote means.

    For the moment, the former factor is heavier than the latter.

    For the moment.

    So what if it sets up an argument afterwards? That is what democracy is for. Should we scrap all future elections because people may have disagreements and there's more than one opposition party?

    There is no dishonesty as the necessary prerequisite for both options it to Leave first. If you want to control immigration then vote Leave. If you want to join the EEA then vote Leave.

    If there is a Leave vote then we have democracy to sort out our own future.
  • nigel4englandnigel4england Posts: 4,800

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    Nah, politicians are an odd bunch, one minute they’re shouting at each other across the dispatch box and the next minute it's best mates in the subsidised member’s bar.

    It’s all pantomime.
    I was in the Executive Lounge at Chelsea 20 odd years ago, and David Mellor and Tony Banks were on the same table, laughing and joking. I mentioned it to someone and he said they are always together at matches, they are good mates.
  • Steven Woolfe played a straight bat against Caroline Fairburn the head of CBI. She left looking very shifty. "wrong on ERM, the Euro and now the EU".

    BBCDP in their usual balanced way now have Caroline Lucas (pro EU) following pro EU Caroline Fairburn...
  • DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    Nah, politicians are an odd bunch, one minute they’re shouting at each other across the dispatch box and the next minute it's best mates in the subsidised member’s bar.

    It’s all pantomime.
    I was in the Executive Lounge at Chelsea 20 odd years ago, and David Mellor and Tony Banks were on the same table, laughing and joking. I mentioned it to someone and he said they are always together at matches, they are good mates.
    Tony Banks was good mates with John Major, they used to be Lambeth councillors in the 70s as well as Chelsea fans.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,714

    DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

    Nonsense, he was like William III just before the Battle of the Boyne

    (Sorry JackW)
    A gay man with a his bottom astride on a lump of throbbing flesh ?

    It's a view I suppose.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 63,567

    kle4 said:



    Interesting. I do wonder how a Green party here would do if they were not so overwhelmingly left wing. I suppose it wouldn't make that much difference, dominated by the big three (now two) as we are, you'd still get the big two full of very Green members among the non-greens.

    The Green candidate who stood against me in 2015 because he thought I was insufficiently left-wing, snaffling enough votes to be half of the Tory majority, has now rejoined Labour. Better late than never, I suppose (grump!).
    Presumably because he thinks Lab are now sufficiently left wing.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,999
    Sean_F said:

    People will vote Leave for differing reasons. Leave are under no obligation to tell one or other group of supporters that they don't want their votes.

    In the same way that there are people who will vote Remain because they think that David Cameron has prevented further integration, and there will be people who will vote Remain because they think we're heading for a United States of Europe. There'll be people who vote Remain because they think the EU entrenches liberal capitalism, and people who will vote remain because they think it entrenches social democracy.

    Leave may not be under any obligation to tell people they don't want their votes, but they are under an obligation to say what Leave means, and let people decide from that. Instead, they are being dishonest.

    As for your second paragraph: IMO the chasm that lies at the heart of Leave is far deeper than Remain's rift. For one thing, if you want to know what Remain means, there's a solid track record (which is why I'll probably be voting Leave). If you vote remain, expect more of the same.

    The same cannot be said for Leave. Who knows what the f a Leave vote means?

    This ridiculous situation has come about because after decades of complaining and grumbling, the hardcore outers have suddenly found themselves utterly unprepared for an historic opportunity. I do wonder if this has occurred through rank incompetence, or because some of the outers get money and/or influence from the current situation?

    And this matters. I'm really concerned about the chaos that may occur after a leave vote when one batch of leave voters or the other realise they've been sold a pup.
  • DAVID Cameron has hit out at Boris Johnson and the Leave campaign accusing them of "making it up as they go along" on Brexit.

    The Prime Minister said those who want to vote out in the upcoming referendum cannot say what Britain will look like outside the EU.

    He didn't refer to him by name, but his attack on the "leaders of the Leave campaign" was clearly meant as a swipe at the Mayor of London.

    http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7001890/Cameron-accuses-Boris-of-making-it-up-as-he-goes-along-over-Brexit.html?CMP=spklr-_-Editorial-_-TWITTER-_-SunPolitics-_-20160315-_-Politics-_-396984721-_-Imageandlink

    Cameron Christmas card list is going to be a hell of a lot smaller this year & I don't think he will need to find as much room for incoming ones either.
    He was really pumped up today. That should frighten Leave.
    He was really pumped up today

    so full of wind then ?

    Nonsense, he was like William III just before the Battle of the Boyne

    (Sorry JackW)
    A gay man with a his bottom astride on a lump of throbbing flesh ?

    It's a view I suppose.
    Definitely time for me to do my Cameron as Jesus thread this weekend.
  • Thank goodness for Guido!

    “Vicki Kirby has been suspended from the Labour Party pending an investigation.”
    "Two Labour extremists suspended in six days following stories from Guido’s anti-extremism Labour Party vetting service…"
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,944
    Pulpstar said:

    He's impressed me in the debates by going so completely off book. South Carolina was the pinnacle I think...

    Defending planned parenthood, attacking Dubya over 9-11 and Iraq, not being worried about kipping what many see was a critical debate (Short term perhaps harmful, long term has worked out fine). He's a politician dealing in conviction, not the minutiae of game theory that alot of others (See Ed Miliband here) do - particularly in debates do.

    It's remarkable how many commentators fail to see this and instead still churn out copy about how no-one knows what Trump believes. Anyone outside a narrowly drawn managerial political spectrum doesn't compute for them.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I'm sure Remain will be most vociferous about this.

    Sean_F said:

    People will vote Leave for differing reasons. Leave are under no obligation to tell one or other group of supporters that they don't want their votes.

    In the same way that there are people who will vote Remain because they think that David Cameron has prevented further integration, and there will be people who will vote Remain because they think we're heading for a United States of Europe. There'll be people who vote Remain because they think the EU entrenches liberal capitalism, and people who will vote remain because they think it entrenches social democracy.

    Leave may not be under any obligation to tell people they don't want their votes, but they are under an obligation to say what Leave means, and let people decide from that. Instead, they are being dishonest.

    As for your second paragraph: IMO the chasm that lies at the heart of Leave is far deeper than Remain's rift. For one thing, if you want to know what Remain means, there's a solid track record (which is why I'll probably be voting Leave). If you vote remain, expect more of the same.

    The same cannot be said for Leave. Who knows what the f a Leave vote means?

    This ridiculous situation has come about because after decades of complaining and grumbling, the hardcore outers have suddenly found themselves utterly unprepared for an historic opportunity. I do wonder if this has occurred through rank incompetence, or because some of the outers get money and/or influence from the current situation?

    And this matters. I'm really concerned about the chaos that may occur after a leave vote when one batch of leave voters or the other realise they've been sold a pup.
This discussion has been closed.