Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So far in South Shields a lot of the bets have been on Ukip
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So far in South Shields a lot of the bets have been on Ukip
Latest South Shields betting showing best prices and where money is going.Ukip being well supported twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st…
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
http://news.bbcimg.co.uk/media/images/66529000/gif/_66529019_rising_costs2_1948-2012_624.gif
@Socrates
Trick question - everyone knows the 1990s were a hellish nightmare of barbarity akin to MadMax
My hatred of the Labour party is reaching Bin Laden vs The west level now. Total fecking bs on a daily basis with only one goal in mind. Lie cheat and deceive their way back into power at any cost. That includes, nay demands, the total destruction of the UK economy and society when they get there.
If Labour look like like winning in 2015 I'm up for backing a right wing coup to keep the buggers out.
"So you're telling me there's a chance? YEAH!!!!"
- Jim Carrey.
Or is Ed Balls just talking shite again?
When Ed talks it's always balls,there's a reason why he's the third choice shadow chancellor.
This is the genius that didn't realize Labour were running a structural deficit.
Socrates said:
Instigate a salary cap to promote parity.
Rather socialist for you, no?
Not at all. If the team owners vote for it, so be it. If done right it works on several levels - you get a more competitive league, which means a better product on the field, it makes assembling a team more complex than merely stroking checks, will lead to more locally developed talent, and will help the team bottom line.
If you do it badly then you end up with either the financial disaster that is the NBA, or the financial and ratings disaster that is Major League Baseball.
SeanT made the point that the Premiership is the world's most popular sports league, and I'm sure that's true, even if it's basically a Man U, Arsenal and Chelsea league, with some other team scraping through (Blackburn Rovers and Man City) when nobody's looking.
What is also true is the utter incompetence of the league at running its business and monetizing it to the maximum.
The world's most popular sports league earns less than a third of what the NFL earns each year. Going from memory, (so I might be wrong) I think even the NHL earns more than the EPL.
They seem unable to negotiate serious TV contracts for some reason, and the various 'FA's have all kinds of mind numbingly dumb rules as to what can and cannot be broadcast.
Every NFL game is shown live on TV and all sell over 80% capacity, most sold out. If a game is less than 80% sold out 48 hours before kick off, the game is blacked out in its home market, which helps achieve it.
Give people a reason to go the stadium- decent food, huge jumbotrons showing replays, fantasy football stats, and so on - and they will go.
http://www.bdpost.co.uk/news/crime-courts/barking_men_accused_of_running_child_prostitution_ring_1_1974781
but only if the Tories had made an issue of it.
A second danger is if Ukip can find someone as good as Diane James who is able to tap the anti-politics mood.
Have you ever conceded a point ever, tim?
Although actually, thinking about it more, if the Cameroons had made more of an issue out of it then it wouldn't be as good to Ukip as an example of the political class colluding as a caste to cover up the biggest child abuse scandal since Victorian times - so from a Ukip point of view i guess that's a catch 22.
'Ignoring 100s of incidents like this over years'
It seems to have reached pandemic levels in the UK,almost every week another vile revelation.
David Miliband said: “I wish Sunderland AFC all success in the future. It is a great institution that does a huge amount for the North East and I wish the team very well over the next vital seven games. However, in the light of the new manager’s past political statements, I think it right to step down.”
Odd that he didn't wait to convince Di Canio of the error of his ways.
Sunderland supporters must be gutted.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/1506262/Im-a-fascist-not-a-racist-says-Paolo-di-Canio.html
I wouldn't want to be associated with him.
Those in the boxes, United supporters naturally, just gasped and broke into spontaneous applause. It was probably the most outrageous piece of individual skill I have been lucky enough to witness although a goal by Eamon Bannon came close. He was some player.
Anyway, OGH speculates that Labour would only be at risk if they chose a bad candidate. Worse than David Miliband? How bad are we talking here? Maybe not conversant with English?
The OBR's 2014/15 forecast £70bn.
That's total benefits excluding the state pension and pension credit. Now a fair comparison would adjust the latter figure down by about 10% , due to population growth, but even then, it's still more generous.
So was the 1990/91 some cruel, "evil" system, as some on here have labelled the 2015 situation?
[Edited to include pension credit.]
It's not like mass sexual slavery and gang rape of young teens.
Two little boys had two little - beep
Great big wolf hound standing looking at me, Licking his - beep
They also did the Julie Andrews dirty sing book -
I could have - beep - all night
etc....
The Alice in Sunderland skit was also very good.
I've never been able to listen to I Could Have Danced All Night without a smirk on my face.
Sir Otto of Wensleydale, who consumed his arrow with butter and jam, is thus declared the winner of this year's eatin' 'n' arrow match.
Some of those Prune Playhouse opuses were truly awful.
You're in tune with Prune!
(very quietly) bum
I am Lewis Carroll and not a dirty old man is disguise.
Oh, what a pity.
The By Election special was very good.
I hereby declare that the winning candidate is the name on the cheque which has just been passed to me...
or something very similar.
In Rotherham they probably got it right in the end (a smiling woman running a children hospice who was even a party member before 2010 compared to someone associated with the Council).
They even managed to get the 'Di Canio is a Nazi' dig in. Didn't see anything about the arrests for child abuse in Peterborough though.
It really is a disgrace.
I know you're psychologically flawed and incapable of ever admitting a mistake or conceding a point, but reality is reality.
Congratulations Cllr Denis Allen
Posted on March 28, 2013 by UKIP Telford & Wrekin
UKIP Telford & Wrekin Chairman, Denis Allen, has won tonight’s by-election for the Dothill ward of Wellington Town Council.
Denis secured a whopping 46.25% of the vote, not just beating the Labour, Conservative and Lib Dem candidates but taking more than double the votes of the second placed Labour candidate.
The results were:
Denis Allen
UKIP
303 (46.25%)
Margaret Malcolm
Labour
151 (23%)
Ed Bird
Conservative
108 (16.5%)
David Holloway
Lib Dem
90 (13.75%)
Emnid:
CDU/CSU: 39.5%
SDP: 26.5%
Greens: 15.5%
Linke: 6.0%
FDP: 6.0%
Pirates: 2.5%
Others: 4.0%
http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/index.htm
A couple from the Sherlock Holmes play -
announcer - Sherlock Holmes was standing in the fireplace
Oddie - Aha! The great detective
announcer - In London, Queen Victoria was still on the throne.
sfx - door knob rattling, and man with very anxious voice - Hurry up!! Hurry up!!
announcer - London was in the grip of a dense fog.
Cleese (in dense fog voice) GOTCHA!!!! ha ha ha
Cleese - This fog is a real.. a real...
Garden - Pea souper?
Cleese - No thanks sergeant. I went before I left home.
As I recall Jack the Ripper was ripping off skirts, and - of course - eventually Lady Constance de Coverlet is the victim.
Graeme Garden's Eddie Waring impressions were fantastic. They would start at the most odd moments.
For example - announcer "One thing leads to another"
Waring - Ha ha well, Speaking of Leeds, they had a great game against Hull kingston Rovers (etc etc and always ended) and that's all you're getting.
Frequently early baths and up and unders were mentioned.
Perhaps the best was when they did Guerre sans Frontiers, or It's a Wash Out.
Waring was interviewing a German athlete Fritz (Cleese).
Waring - and what do you do for a living, Fritz?
Fritz - Ich bein ein chartered accountant, Herr Varing
Waring - well, he's a nice lad, but he does have a funny accent.
- and there I'll stop. The show always ended with Bill Oddie's Angus Prune Tune, usually with considerable audience involvement.
My name is Angus Prune
and I always listen to I'm Sorry I'll Read That Again
(You Don't!)
My name is Angus Prune
and I never miss I'm Sorry I'll Read That Again
(Get Away!)
I sit in my bath
And I have a good laugh
Cause the sig tune is named after me
(Tell us yer name!)
My name is Angus Prune
And this is my tune
It goes I-S-I-R-T-A
I'm Sorry I'll Read That AGAIN!
There may be some clips from ISIRTA on Youtube. I haven't checked them out yet.
Professor Prune came to an African water hole, where there were lions, elephants, springboks and wolves too, aston villa 3.
Who can forget Stanley Stamps, author of Stanley Stamps Gibbon Catalog?
- and let's not forget that seminal work, Edward Empire's Decline and fall of the Roman Gibbon, gibbon half a chance.
All together, sing "oh, stuff that gibbon, oh, stuff that gibbon"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b009zbr2
Since 1935, when they managed a mere 48% of the total vote, Labour has never ever slipped below 50% here, except in 1983 when the SDP split the left and took them as low as 48% again. Often they've scored over 60% of the vote. In 2010, at a low point in Labour support and with left-leaning voters drifting to the LibDems, David Miliband was down to a paltry 52%. That must be seen as the lowest possible figure they might achieve; there is not a snowflake's chance in hell that their performance in a mid-term by-election, when they are the main opposition and doing well in national polls, will be worse than that. I'm expecting a Labour vote share more like 60%.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/9964241/Pilates-tennis-and-organic-food-in-Chris-Huhne-jail.html
Someone won't be happy about publication of these pictures. Perhaps the Cameroonies are trying to discredit Theresa May.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/9964348/David-Cameron-wades-into-swamp-to-rescue-sheep.html
Others made the point it's pretty difficult for Independents to shine in a constituency wide by-election without imported footsoliders being able to cover the whole constituencies in a short campaign.
Since 1992, in Great Britain, the only Indy win has been Dai Davies in Blaenau Gwent. Infact, the only other saved deposits have been:
Tony Devoy 5.2% in Barnsley Centeal 2011
Paul Gittins 6.7% in Sedgefield 2007
Stephen Mungall 5.5% in Hamilton South 1999
Terrible UK current account figures last week which hardly got a mention in the wider press - around £58bn in the red for 2012 which is around 3.7% of GDP. Only 4 years since 1948 has the UK current account been over 4%, the last time being in 1989. Some rebalancing going on there Mr Osborne!
I'm not taking you up on your UKIP bet - I can see somewhere around 25%, possibly 28%, but 35% no way, especially when I can't see Labour much below 60%. Drop your UKIP share to 27 / 28% and you might have some takers! Not me though!
I held on - will exchange this week. Thanks for the advice.
As for ukip %age, imo they'll have a hard task meeting pb expectations in SS. I have decent stake on ukip<22% courtesy of PP & i'm happy with that.
To get to 35% most of these cards would have to fall into their lap;
Lab parachute in outsider
Tories give up & field crap candidate
Ukip find a local non-fruitcake who stands up to scrutiny.
Turnout low
Ukip Build a decent GOTV operation pretty much from scratch
Lab post vote & GOTV operation underperforms
No credible independent spoilers for the NOTA vote
Those are the unknowns at this point & my instinct is to bet against the high expectations.
Apols for the slightly disjointed & craply edited post - vanilla on chrome for iphone isn't great
" The prime minister became the hero of the hour when he plunged waist-deep into a swamp to save a ewe that got stuck in the mud.
Cameron was on his way home from visiting a neighbouring farmer near his house in Chipping Norton when he heard a sheep bleating at around 6pm.
He discovered the ewe immersed in the muddy swamp, after she had followed her two lambs in to save them, both of whom drowned.
After alerting the farmer, Cameron waded into the swamp, together with his two armed police guards, and proceeded to push the ewe out of the mud to safety.
“When I got there, David was in the swamp, waist-deep in mud, along with the two police, who had all gone in there to help drag this sheep out,” said farmer Julian Tustian"
"Lab parachute in outsider
Tories give up & field crap candidate
Ukip find a local non-fruitcake who stands up to scrutiny.
Turnout low
Ukip Build a decent GOTV operation pretty much from scratch
Lab post vote & GOTV operation underperforms
No credible independent spoilers for the NOTA vote"
The only thing that *possibly could* shift a seat like that would be something like the grooming but that doesn't mean there's much chance it will.
http://politicalbetting.vanillaforums.com/discussion/comment/6558/#Comment_6558
I remember the balance of payments was always a major news item in the 1970s each month. Nowadays, they seem to be virtually ignored.
Will you notice the difference?