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  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474

    She really is an objectionable human being - with friends to suit. No wonder she is climbing the greasy Corbyn pole
    Moneygrubber taking more cash from the ambulance chasing enemies of British troops.

    Is there anyone more unsuited for the role of Shadow Defence Minister, bar Corbyn and McDonnell?
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I'm still paying into a pension and I support this, although it would cost me personally. I have won from the recent changes re annuities, so I will be happy later.

    There is a better argument to give those earning below the 40% threshold a larger tax relief as they can not afford such large contributions. We should encourage them to contribute with incentives, it will have a greater proportional effect on the standard of living they enjoy in old age. Those on the higher rate should have relief at the lower rate.

    Tough on those who only just get into the higher rate, but fair in my opinion.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,287

    TOPPING said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    @Theuniondivvie listen to the programme. You will be surprised. It was a study, whichever or whenever it was, and no "oh things are much better now" really could or should negate, you know, a study.

    More or Less is a great programme and usually doesn't shirk from probing and often dismantling prevailing myths. I think it probably tried to do that with the 20%/stroke stat (it has certainly done it about weekend mortality in general) but sadly found that it was accurate.

    Is the fact that you are 20% more likely to die if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend with a stroke sufficient to determine the outcome of the junior doctors' dispute? Probably not, but it is all part of the 7-day NHS story so Cam can be forgiven for using it.
    I did listen to it. I guess we all hear what we want to hear, but their conclusion seemed a lot more..well..inconclusive than you suggest.

    The study data was more than 5 years old and which was confirmed by Charlotte McDonald, one of the presenters not a 'whining doctor', therefore you are statistically 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend only if you can invent a time machine.
    Did she quote the study that refuted and updated that one?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...
  • TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    taffys said:

    ''Unless you've been asleep, there is no credible Opposition. The wreckage is busy squabbling over whether we have submarines armed with potato guns, or flags that spell 'Bang'.''

    Correct, but I am advocating we replace George Osborne with a conservative.

    Good idea.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    2 weeks on the trot?

    What is the normal attendance record for a leader?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354

    Prof O'Hara

    My blog's projection for GE2020 four years out - between a quarter and a third of #Labour MPs cd lose their seats:

    http://publicpolicypast.blogspot.co.uk/2016/01/so-how-are-labour-doing-now.html?m=1

    Blimey. Did he do a projection in the last Parliament?
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780
    In 2015 there was a huge change in the way people register to vote thanks to the introduction of Individual Electoral Registration. The polling companies made no changes to their methodology - in particular no effort was made to check whether respondents were registered to vote (in contrast for example to the US).

    It's quite possible that the unforeseen difficulties with IER and the failure of the polling companies to react to it helped upset the polling applecart.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,755
    runnymede said:

    'Lord Lawson has a history of being spectacularly wrong on the EU unlike Nick Herbert who opposed the Euro as Chief Exec of Business for Sterling.'


    zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzpin

    Fact.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    edited 2016 18
    philiph said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I'm still paying into a pension and I support this, although it would cost me personally. I have won from the recent changes re annuities, so I will be happy later.

    There is a better argument to give those earning below the 40% threshold a larger tax relief as they can not afford such large contributions. We should encourage them to contribute with incentives, it will have a greater proportional effect on the standard of living they enjoy in old age. Those on the higher rate should have relief at the lower rate.

    Tough on those who only just get into the higher rate, but fair in my opinion.
    I think you make a fair point. People who do not save end up costing the taxpayer in the long run. Some sort of big bang event would perhaps be best, but there would inevitably be losers. We do need to encourage pensions. Tax efficiency ought not to be the driver for savings. But that in turn is driven by high taxes and low thresholds
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,624
    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    LOL. What a joke.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,755
    DavidL said:

    Prof O'Hara

    My blog's projection for GE2020 four years out - between a quarter and a third of #Labour MPs cd lose their seats:

    http://publicpolicypast.blogspot.co.uk/2016/01/so-how-are-labour-doing-now.html?m=1

    Blimey. Did he do a projection in the last Parliament?
    He was a hung parliament but kept on flagging up Ed's poor ratings and the Tory trust on the economy
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I suspect they'd prefer to throw their shoes.

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    LOL. What a joke.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Maomentum_: Arming nukes with croissants will NOT deter French, warns Leave campaign. https://t.co/rfVBnfTWcX
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    Just like MIRAS eh? No one would dare abolish Mortgage Interest relief in our property owning democracy.

    This is coming and those lucky enough to have a few quid for pensions might want to think about how soon they pay them in.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    Indeed - and removing the higher rate tax relief is long overdue and fair.
    No it isn't. It's just another tax increase.

    Paying income tax at 40% certainly doesn't make you rich.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,551
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    @Theuniondivvie listen to the programme. You will be surprised. It was a study, whichever or whenever it was, and no "oh things are much better now" really could or should negate, you know, a study.

    More or Less is a great programme and usually doesn't shirk from probing and often dismantling prevailing myths. I think it probably tried to do that with the 20%/stroke stat (it has certainly done it about weekend mortality in general) but sadly found that it was accurate.

    Is the fact that you are 20% more likely to die if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend with a stroke sufficient to determine the outcome of the junior doctors' dispute? Probably not, but it is all part of the 7-day NHS story so Cam can be forgiven for using it.
    I did listen to it. I guess we all hear what we want to hear, but their conclusion seemed a lot more..well..inconclusive than you suggest.

    The study data was more than 5 years old and which was confirmed by Charlotte McDonald, one of the presenters not a 'whining doctor', therefore you are statistically 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend only if you can invent a time machine.
    Did she quote the study that refuted and updated that one?
    Refuted the 5 year old William Palmer study that said you're 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend? Well, she did mention another researcher that said it was the case mix that really mattered relating to weekend admissions, and that lack of specialist nurses may also be a major factor for these stroke outcomes.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    DavidL said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    Just like MIRAS eh? No one would dare abolish Mortgage Interest relief in our property owning democracy.

    This is coming and those lucky enough to have a few quid for pensions might want to think about how soon they pay them in.
    They might wonder whether it's worth bothering with a private pension at all.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,844
    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    He is the leader of the Labour Party - not the the leader of Labour in Parliament. That much is totally clear now. He has no respect for Labour MPs
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    philiph said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    2 weeks on the trot?

    What is the normal attendance record for a leader?
    I was wondering that. Is this unusual or are we making something out of nothing?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited 2016 18
    DavidL said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    Just like MIRAS eh? No one would dare abolish Mortgage Interest relief in our property owning democracy.

    This is coming and those lucky enough to have a few quid for pensions might want to think about how soon they pay them in.
    One wonders how anyone can save for their retirement. Returns are terrible. Osborne's clobbered the landlords saving through BTL, small businesses and now this.

    With a credible leader, Labour could win in 2020.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited 2016 18
    Have I missed some announcement by Osborne about pensions, or are people getting their moans in early on the off-chance that he might make an announcement they don't like?
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited 2016 18
    Sean_F said:

    DavidL said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    Just like MIRAS eh? No one would dare abolish Mortgage Interest relief in our property owning democracy.

    This is coming and those lucky enough to have a few quid for pensions might want to think about how soon they pay them in.
    They might wonder whether it's worth bothering with a private pension at all.
    Hardly. Probably better off saving elsewhere now. Or just dying before 65.

    The Pensions Industry is another Rip Off Racket.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''They might wonder whether it's worth bothering with a private pension at all.''

    Absolutely. Give money over to some reckless 28-year old whose only real interest is where his next Ferrari and toot of coke are coming from?? with no tax breaks??? No way.

    Osborne is not a conservative. His last budget showed that in spades.

    Having spent 26 billion, he is now after the aspirational middle class for money.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    43k a year is more than 50% above the average. There is no reason to give them extra subsidies for pension payments.
    There is no extra subsidy. This is removing existing reliefs from people working hard trying to do the right thing for their retirement.

    You may well point out £43k is above the national average. I may point out that it doesn't go very far for aspirational workers in the south east paying £3-5k a year for a season ticket who are heavily mortgaged, and also trying to repay student loans.

    We have a pensions savings crisis as it is. These proposals will make it worse and hit plenty of people in marginal seats.

    Which is why I don't think they will be as advertised.
    There are plenty working hard on half of 43k a year and it is right to focus on them in giving tax relief. If you choose to work in the southeast you live with the extra costs and benefit from the higher wages.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755

    Have I missed some announcement by Osborne about pensions, or are people getting their moans in on the off-chance that he might make an announcement they don't like?

    I think this relates to Mr Meeks' post.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354
    edited 2016 18
    watford30 said:

    DavidL said:

    taffys said:

    Just like MIRAS eh? No one would dare abolish Mortgage Interest relief in our property owning democracy.

    This is coming and those lucky enough to have a few quid for pensions might want to think about how soon they pay them in.
    One wonders how anyone can save for their retirement. Returns are terrible. Osborne's clobbered the landlords saving through BTL, small businesses and now this.

    With a credible leader, Labour could win in 2020.
    One wonders how anyone can save for their retirement. Returns are terrible. Osborne's clobbered the landlords saving through BTL, small businesses and now this.

    With a credible leader, Labour could win in 2020

    I said:

    No they couldn't in the same way that the Tories could not win whilst Blair hogged the centre ground making the Tories look more right wing than they were.

    You have to appreciate that Osborne is not going to do this because he is a nasty person who has a public sector pension himself. He is doing this because a HRT who gets the maximum pot of £1.4m (coming down) has saved, at 40%, £560K worth of tax. It is a staggering figure and frankly not affordable. I personally also question the morality of such relief at a time when benefits are being cut because there is no money.

    The last point is key. Would such a hypothetical Labour government spend more or less? Tax more or less? Want to penalise the well off more or less? The choice is between bad and awful. As usual.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,362
    philiph said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Jeremy Corbyn WON'T be at tonight's PLP meeting, I gather. There probably wasn't much that MPs wanted to ask him about, to be fair ...

    2 weeks on the trot?

    2 weeks for the Trot.

    To be fair, what has Corbyn got in common with the PLP? They'll just want to moan at him....
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    edited 2016 18
    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Apparently, owning £573,000 puts you in the top 1% worldwide, £50,000 puts you in the top 10%.

    Of course, the statistic's meaningless, given variances in property prices around the world. £573,000 will buy you a nice flat in central London. In Sri Lanka or Philippines, it would buy you an estate.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7fecf162-bd18-11e5-9fdb-87b8d15baec2.html?siteedition=uk#axzz3xaSjBd8B

    "The campaign to leave the European Union will be led by a Tory cabinet minister, former chancellor Lord Lawson said, as a new poll gave a six-point lead to the “Out” side.

    The peer, who is president of Conservatives for Britain, a Eurosceptic group, said on Sunday he would not reveal the identity of the senior minister but it would emerge “in due course”."

    In that case, I wonder if it might not be Theresa May. I think she'll wait until the outcome of the renegotiation.

    I very much doubt it will be either IDS or Grayling. It obviously can't be Fox.

    It could be Theresa Villiers, Whittingdale or Patel. Javid perhaps if Osborne is being particularly canny and has given him licence to dissent.

    Or possibly even Greg Hands..
    Is this the same Lord Lawson that secretly shadowed the deuchmark?
    Yes, and your point is?
    Lord Lawson has a history of being spectacularly wrong on the EU unlike Nick Herbert who opposed the Euro as Chief Exec of Business for Sterling.

    Full disclosure. I've met Nick Herbert, top bloke. My kind of Tory and should be in the cabinet.
    I have met Nick Herbert on more than one occasion and corresponded with him too, he is my MP. Very soon after he was first elected to Parliament he developed a serious case of SafeSeatitis which has only got worse in subsequent years. That said, I found him personally a very nice chap and politically very astute.

    Probably the reason why he is not in the cabinet is that he couldn't hack the pressure as police minister. A lot of that pressure was straightforward, disgusting homophobia from the police representatives at all levels, not just the oiks in the Federation. It is to Herbert's credit that he has never gone public with what happened to him and the fact that Cameron refused to give him any support. If you can't take the heat get out of the kitchen was, essentially, Cameron's response.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755
    Sean_F said:

    £573,000 will buy you a nice flat in central London.

    Does it still ?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    Indeed - and removing the higher rate tax relief is long overdue and fair.
    No it isn't. It's just another tax increase.

    Paying income tax at 40% certainly doesn't make you rich.
    It makes you a lot richer than most which is the key point here. It is the lower paid who need the biggest incentive to save.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,624
    SeanT said:

    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Incredible, isn't it?

    We forget how fantastically wealthy the UK is (likewise the rest of the US, western Europe, east Asia), compared to the great majority of the globe.

    And it's not like extreme poverty is restricted to Africa and south Asia, south America, etc

    The other day I read a tweet pointing out that a new teacher in Ukraine earns £55 a MONTH - that's £14 a week, £2 a day. In the Ukraine.
    I am always surprised how low pay is in places like Argentina. Highly skilled professionals like doctors make peanuts in a country we think as "developed".
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052
    edited 2016 18
    MaxPB said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    Don't bother engaging with flightpath01, he or she has got to be a paid astroturfer.
    I find it hard to believe political parties would waste resources on paying people to talk them up. It seems much easier to rely on enthusiastic amateurs, they are much better at that sort og thing and who also cannot be traced back to party HQ, who are not accountable if they cross a line beyond the occasional 'let us all be respectful now, and that includes our supporters'.

  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    edited 2016 18
    DavidL said:


    No they couldn't in the same way that the Tories could not win whilst Blair hogged the centre ground making the Tories look more right wing than they were.

    You have to appreciate that Osborne is not going to do this because he is a nasty person who has a public sector pension himself. He is doing this because a HRT who gets the maximum pot of £1.4m (coming down) has saved, at 40%, £560K worth of tax. It is a staggering figure and frankly not affordable. I personally also question the morality of such relief at a time when benefits are being cut because there is no money.

    The last point is key. Would such a hypothetical Labour government spend more or less? Tax more or less? Want to penalise the well off more or less? The choice is between bad and awful. As usual.

    I think Labour could win with a credible leader, but not because of this.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Pulpstar said:

    I think this relates to Mr Meeks' post.

    Well, we'll have to see what, if anything, transpires. As I said at the time, I'm fairly sceptical - the practical problems would be immense, not least how you deal with final-salary schemes. Any change of the dramatic sort Alastair was discussing is not going to happen very quickly, and as always the devil is in the detail. What's the point of moaning about speculation?

    Instead of moaning, my advice is take as much advantage of the tax relief before April as you can. The one certainty in the discussion is that tax treatment on pensions, for the higher-paid, is not going to get more generous.

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    There's a body of evidence that shows that the size of a tax break is less important for changing behaviours than the existence of that tax break. The Treasury is well aware of this.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Wwatford30...and then Labour would do much the same..
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354
    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Really? £100K after tax in the UK puts you in the top 1.3% of the world.

    It says that if someone on £100K after tax donated 10% (presumably £10K although I am not sure what they are doing about tax relief) you are still in the top 1.7% so that is presumably £90K.

    Am I doing this wrong?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    Just like the SNP then....
  • runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    'I am always surprised how low pay is in places like Argentina. Highly skilled professionals like doctors make peanuts in a country we think as "developed".'

    If you think that about Argentina you are about 80 years out of date I'm afraid.
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911
    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    The authors of that site need to brush up on their Dickens. Mr Micawber realised quite rightly that it is income relative to outgoings which is the stat that matters.

    It's useless earning in the top 10% globally with UK costs. It is meaningless. Or the other way round, incomes which would make you poor here may allow you to live very comfortably in other places.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354
    edited 2016 18
    SeanT said:

    DavidL said:

    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Really? £100K after tax in the UK puts you in the top 1.3% of the world.

    It says that if someone on £100K after tax donated 10% (presumably £10K although I am not sure what they are doing about tax relief) you are still in the top 1.7% so that is presumably £90K.

    Am I doing this wrong?
    It's household wealth, not personal wealth - so adding spouse and kids will create varying results?
    Its household income rather than wealth but you are right. I had put in dependents.

    Edit. Removing 2 children from the £100K puts you in the top 0.3%.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    In 2015 there was a huge change in the way people register to vote thanks to the introduction of Individual Electoral Registration. The polling companies made no changes to their methodology - in particular no effort was made to check whether respondents were registered to vote (in contrast for example to the US).

    It's quite possible that the unforeseen difficulties with IER and the failure of the polling companies to react to it helped upset the polling applecart.

    My suggestion is that polling companies should throw their databases in the bin and solely recruit from people leaving polling booths on GE day. Perhaps include a few that claim to have voted by post at least 2 weeks prior to the date of the election.

  • David_EvershedDavid_Evershed Posts: 6,506

    TOPPING said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    @Theuniondivvie listen to the programme. You will be surprised. It was a study, whichever or whenever it was, and no "oh things are much better now" really could or should negate, you know, a study.

    More or Less is a great programme and usually doesn't shirk from probing and often dismantling prevailing myths. I think it probably tried to do that with the 20%/stroke stat (it has certainly done it about weekend mortality in general) but sadly found that it was accurate.

    Is the fact that you are 20% more likely to die if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend with a stroke sufficient to determine the outcome of the junior doctors' dispute? Probably not, but it is all part of the 7-day NHS story so Cam can be forgiven for using it.
    I did listen to it. I guess we all hear what we want to hear, but their conclusion seemed a lot more..well..inconclusive than you suggest.

    The study data was more than 5 years old which was confirmed by Charlotte McDonald, one of the presenters not a 'whining doctor', therefore you are statistically 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend only if you can invent a time machine.
    From what I have heard the junior doctors accept that mortality rates are worse at the weekend.

    However, they don't agree that it is due to fewer junior doctors on duty at the weekend and that changing the weekend shifts of junior doctors is the solution.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,451
    felix said:

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    43k a year is more than 50% above the average. There is no reason to give them extra subsidies for pension payments.
    There is no extra subsidy. This is removing existing reliefs from people working hard trying to do the right thing for their retirement.

    You may well point out £43k is above the national average. I may point out that it doesn't go very far for aspirational workers in the south east paying £3-5k a year for a season ticket who are heavily mortgaged, and also trying to repay student loans.

    We have a pensions savings crisis as it is. These proposals will make it worse and hit plenty of people in marginal seats.

    Which is why I don't think they will be as advertised.
    There are plenty working hard on half of 43k a year and it is right to focus on them in giving tax relief. If you choose to work in the southeast you live with the extra costs and benefit from the higher wages.
    This is a very left-wing argument.

    Conservatives belief in aspiration: people working hard, getting on, and being rewarded for it. They do not agree that those who have climbed half-way up the ladder and are trying to do the best for themselves, their families and communities should have a run removed to subsidise others.
  • WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    SeanT said:

    DavidL said:

    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Really? £100K after tax in the UK puts you in the top 1.3% of the world.

    It says that if someone on £100K after tax donated 10% (presumably £10K although I am not sure what they are doing about tax relief) you are still in the top 1.7% so that is presumably £90K.

    Am I doing this wrong?
    It's household wealth, not personal wealth - so adding spouse and kids will create varying results?
    Yes. As I am a single-person household it puts me in the top 0.9% on less than that (sadly :) )
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789

    SeanT said:

    felix said:

    SeanT said:

    Lotsa talk about poverty and inequality.

    This is a fun site, and relevant. Tells you how rich you are globally, relatively and comparatively.

    Try it.

    https://www.givingwhatwecan.org/get-involved/how-rich-am-i/

    One thing I noted is that someone on the official UK poverty line, a single adult, no kids, earning £13k a year, is in the world's richest ten percent, and making 12 times the global average.

    The UK's poor, officially speaking, are, in global terms, rich.

    Top 1% on my teacher pension alone - before counting any savings or property! Wow.
    Incredible, isn't it?

    We forget how fantastically wealthy the UK is (likewise the rest of the US, western Europe, east Asia), compared to the great majority of the globe.

    And it's not like extreme poverty is restricted to Africa and south Asia, south America, etc

    The other day I read a tweet pointing out that a new teacher in Ukraine earns £55 a MONTH - that's £14 a week, £2 a day. In the Ukraine.
    I am always surprised how low pay is in places like Argentina. Highly skilled professionals like doctors make peanuts in a country we think as "developed".
    Two thoughts on this: it's thoroughly misleading if it doesnt consider purchasing power parity considerations. Second, if you think that, other than in a few countries, declared income for tax purposes equals actual income....
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,739
    Dair said:



    Well if you would prefer the SNP policy to be based on reparations to put right Scotland's economic position and put it on parity to Norway, the point is still moot. Either Scotland is given the money stolen and joins Norway as one of the worlds super-wealthy country, or it does not and spends an average level on Military expenditure.

    Neither is a bad thing for Scotland and neither situation is unacceptable in any way.

    No money has been stolen. I am in favour of an independent Scotland but the lunatic fringe of the nationalist movement like yourself do no favours to the cause by repeating these myths.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,451
    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's unsurprising from those who struggle to think for themselves and take their cue on the line to take from whatever this Government proposes.
  • JonCisBackJonCisBack Posts: 911

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I know next to nothing about this, but if you put money in your pension, it's deferred income isn't it?

    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely? I have put my bonus into my company pension more than once in order to avoid the tax (and particularly to avoid having to pay back ALL my family's child benefit). I won't see that money until i retire, when it will THEN be taxed as I receive it.

    Is this really what Osborne is proposing?! sheesh. Totally removes the incentive to save, might as well take the money now and may tax only once. As long as inflation stays at zero i only need invest in a mattress and the money is safe to be drawn down at 0% tax in 25 years :-)
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited 2016 18


    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely? I have put my bonus into my company pension more than once in order to avoid the tax (and particularly to avoid having to pay back ALL my family's child benefit). I won't see that money until i retire, when it will THEN be taxed as I receive it.

    Is this really what Osborne is proposing?! sheesh. Totally removes the incentive to save, might as well take the money now and may tax only once. As long as inflation stays at zero i only need invest in a mattress and the money is safe to be drawn down at 0% tax in 25 years :-)

    No, the suggestion is that (in the future) pensions would be from taxed income on the way in but tax free on the way out (i.e. just like an ISA). There's quite a strong body of opinion that this is a better way of doing it. However, even if one accepts that argument, getting there from here is not easy (although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred).
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I know next to nothing about this, but if you put money in your pension, it's deferred income isn't it?

    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely? I have put my bonus into my company pension more than once in order to avoid the tax (and particularly to avoid having to pay back ALL my family's child benefit). I won't see that money until i retire, when it will THEN be taxed as I receive it.

    Is this really what Osborne is proposing?! sheesh. Totally removes the incentive to save, might as well take the money now and may tax only once. As long as inflation stays at zero i only need invest in a mattress and the money is safe to be drawn down at 0% tax in 25 years :-)
    But you still get a hefty wedge tax free - but it's not unlimited on the upside and only applies to those with very high salaries for a long time.

    Not sure what the problem is - unless you are a minted public sector luvvie.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,451
    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    Indeed - and removing the higher rate tax relief is long overdue and fair.
    No it isn't. It's just another tax increase.

    Paying income tax at 40% certainly doesn't make you rich.
    Osborne has made a political calculation to retain a higher level of tax credit and welfare payments, breaching his welfare cap, and pay for it - to ensure he doesn't miss his budget surplus target - with higher taxes through reducing pension entitlements. Just like Brown, except without the deficit reduction bit.

    I don't think this would have happened were it not for the election of Jeremy Corbyn and, also,
    I think Osborne is more sensitive than he lets on and is personally hurt by criticism of him. Like when he was booed at the Olympics.

    This lets him genuflex his caring side, which I think is him partly trying to rehabilitate his public reputation.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited 2016 18
    .

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    felix said:

    felix said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    43k a year is more than 50% above the average. There is no reason to give them extra subsidies for pension payments.
    There is no extra subsidy. This is removing existing reliefs from people working hard trying to do the right thing for their retirement.

    You may well point out £43k is above the national average. I may point out that it doesn't go very far for aspirational workers in the south east paying £3-5k a year for a season ticket who are heavily mortgaged, and also trying to repay student loans.

    We have a pensions savings crisis as it is. These proposals will make it worse and hit plenty of people in marginal seats.

    Which is why I don't think they will be as advertised.
    There are plenty working hard on half of 43k a year and it is right to focus on them in giving tax relief. If you choose to work in the southeast you live with the extra costs and benefit from the higher wages.
    This is a very left-wing argument.

    Conservatives belief in aspiration: people working hard, getting on, and being rewarded for it. They do not agree that those who have climbed half-way up the ladder and are trying to do the best for themselves, their families and communities should have a run removed to subsidise others.
    It's a common sense middle of the road progressive conservative argument. It's also practical. Those on lowest pay have the most difficulty in saving for a pension.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 0
    edited 2016 18
    We spend too much. We run a deficit that is not sustainable. So we need to spend less or tax more. Or both. I don't think the UK's problem is that it is undertaxed but that it overspends. More tax will kill economic growth. Others may argue.

    But...do we anywhere have a detailed comparison of what we are now spending money on vs say 2008? I don't remember 2008 as being the death of civilisation and tumbleweed rolling down the streets. Or how about 2005? If Osborne said: 'OK. We're going to reset all spending to 2008 levels next week' then (+/- inflation and ignoring debt service) what would that mean? Doctors would get a large pay cut - but then they got an an unreasonbaly large pay rise under Gordo. In other words in precisely what areas did Gordo engorge the state that could or should now be reset to the status quo ante?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    I wonder why it's been trailed so heavily?

    This is Osborne throwing his tin helmet above the trench to see how much fire there is and where it's coming from. If he was serious then it wouldn't have leaked. He will 'listen' if it's too much.

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I know next to nothing about this, but if you put money in your pension, it's deferred income isn't it?

    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely? I have put my bonus into my company pension more than once in order to avoid the tax (and particularly to avoid having to pay back ALL my family's child benefit). I won't see that money until i retire, when it will THEN be taxed as I receive it.

    Is this really what Osborne is proposing?! sheesh. Totally removes the incentive to save, might as well take the money now and may tax only once. As long as inflation stays at zero i only need invest in a mattress and the money is safe to be drawn down at 0% tax in 25 years :-)
    Lots of double taxes occur already - vat, petrol tax, Tec.
  • watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited 2016 18
    Wanderer said:

    DavidL said:


    No they couldn't in the same way that the Tories could not win whilst Blair hogged the centre ground making the Tories look more right wing than they were.

    You have to appreciate that Osborne is not going to do this because he is a nasty person who has a public sector pension himself. He is doing this because a HRT who gets the maximum pot of £1.4m (coming down) has saved, at 40%, £560K worth of tax. It is a staggering figure and frankly not affordable. I personally also question the morality of such relief at a time when benefits are being cut because there is no money.

    The last point is key. Would such a hypothetical Labour government spend more or less? Tax more or less? Want to penalise the well off more or less? The choice is between bad and awful. As usual.

    I think Labour could win with a credible leader, but not because of this.
    The Tories are complacement, and Osborne is despised. They could be in for a very nasty surprise if he's leader.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,842

    Dair said:



    Well if you would prefer the SNP policy to be based on reparations to put right Scotland's economic position and put it on parity to Norway, the point is still moot. Either Scotland is given the money stolen and joins Norway as one of the worlds super-wealthy country, or it does not and spends an average level on Military expenditure.

    Neither is a bad thing for Scotland and neither situation is unacceptable in any way.

    No money has been stolen. I am in favour of an independent Scotland but the lunatic fringe of the nationalist movement like yourself do no favours to the cause by repeating these myths.

    The lunatic fringe also ignore the fact that Scotland has no negotiating leg to stand on. It will depend on the rUK for its trade, as well as for physical access to other countries. There is no game of negotiation hardball that Scotland could play that would not be won by the rUK.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
    Hammering people earning above the average salary does nothing to help the lower paid.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755



    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely?

    That would clearly be unfair, and the proposal is in a nutshell to make the pension tax-free. In my case (And everyone else on a DC scheme whether basic, higher or nil tax) it would require starting a second pension.

    The tricky part is how the lucky buggers on a defined benefit scheme would manage. I assume they'd start a new DB pension pot on the same terms as the old but with the tax parts swapped (As they would be for DC).

    The old pensions would of course accrue and be paid on retirement.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Maybe I'm totally misunderstanding this - but this looks like those paying HRT are squawking about their perks being shaved, whilst those who earn half their income are potentially getting a better deal, or the same one.

    If we want the deficit paid down, well that's one of the areas that stand out for trimming.

    Public sector pensions are particularly egregious in many sectors.
    TGOHF said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    snip

    I expect 45p relief to definitely go for top rate taxpayers and possibly a flat rate of 30p with some jiggery pokery to ensure that earners between 43-80k on offsetting tax allowances so they don't lose out too much.
    Trailed? I'm not sure. Osborne in the past has had a tin ear for the political consequences of otherwise rational changes proposed by the Treasury; why should this be different? It would be interesting to chart its passage through the media. Was it Antifrank@PB followed by the FT last week followed by the Mail, or does that do Fleet Street a disservice?
    This has been 'trailed' for months. Steve Webb, ex-pensions minister, has been talking about this occasionally in the newspapers since leaving office.

    I doubt Osborne will do it in the end. There's been talk of removing higher rate pension relief for as long as I've been interested in politics and yet nobody ever has the nerve to actually do it.
    I know next to nothing about this, but if you put money in your pension, it's deferred income isn't it?

    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely? I have put my bonus into my company pension more than once in order to avoid the tax (and particularly to avoid having to pay back ALL my family's child benefit). I won't see that money until i retire, when it will THEN be taxed as I receive it.

    Is this really what Osborne is proposing?! sheesh. Totally removes the incentive to save, might as well take the money now and may tax only once. As long as inflation stays at zero i only need invest in a mattress and the money is safe to be drawn down at 0% tax in 25 years :-)
    But you still get a hefty wedge tax free - but it's not unlimited on the upside and only applies to those with very high salaries for a long time.

    Not sure what the problem is - unless you are a minted public sector luvvie.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,842
    watford30 said:

    Wanderer said:

    DavidL said:


    No they couldn't in the same way that the Tories could not win whilst Blair hogged the centre ground making the Tories look more right wing than they were.

    You have to appreciate that Osborne is not going to do this because he is a nasty person who has a public sector pension himself. He is doing this because a HRT who gets the maximum pot of £1.4m (coming down) has saved, at 40%, £560K worth of tax. It is a staggering figure and frankly not affordable. I personally also question the morality of such relief at a time when benefits are being cut because there is no money.

    The last point is key. Would such a hypothetical Labour government spend more or less? Tax more or less? Want to penalise the well off more or less? The choice is between bad and awful. As usual.

    I think Labour could win with a credible leader, but not because of this.
    The Tories are complacement, and Osborne is despised. They could be in for a very nasty surprise if he's leader.

    Not if Corbyn is in charge of Labour. A credible leader, though, would at least give Labour a decent chance to deny the Tories an overall majority.

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MrHarryCole: Andy Burnham press release opens with: "In his desire to grab easy headlines".
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Excuse me for a moment whilst I shed a tear for all those rich pensioners on PB...BOO HOO... try getting a life instead of waiting for a pension
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755

    although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred

    Of course the Gov't should bear in mind that the 'windfall' now will be taken back by a reduction in future years. Overall due to time value of money, the Gov't is up - but it's not a completely free lunch.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I thought Conservatism was about self-reliance, aspiration and looking after your fellow man by encouraging them to do the same/respect themselves. Not protecting the interests of those with the most.

    Those with the most are often Conservatives because they embody self-reliance, aspiration and respect themselves - and encourage their offspring to share their values.
    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883

    Excuse me for a moment whilst I shed a tear for all those rich pensioners on PB...BOO HOO... try getting a life instead of waiting for a pension

    Rich pensioners will be fine.

    It's current workers looking to retire in 20-30 years' time, who'll be hit.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Sean_F said:

    Excuse me for a moment whilst I shed a tear for all those rich pensioners on PB...BOO HOO... try getting a life instead of waiting for a pension

    Rich pensioners will be fine.

    It's current workers looking to retire in 20-30 years' time, who'll be hit.
    And what will the salaries of these workers be on average ?

  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,842

    Excuse me for a moment whilst I shed a tear for all those rich pensioners on PB...BOO HOO... try getting a life instead of waiting for a pension

    Don't pensioners have pensions?

  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited 2016 18
    Pulpstar said:

    although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred

    Of course the Gov't should bear in mind that the 'windfall' now will be taken back by a reduction in future years. Overall due to time value of money, the Gov't is up - but it's not a completely free lunch.
    It's not a completely free lunch, true, but it's a free glass of champagne, since few people pay high rates of tax on their pension. And of course the bill for the lunch will be paid by some other Chancellor in the distant future.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755

    those who earn half their income are potentially getting a better deal, or the same one.

    No, I don't think the deal is any better for a basic rate taxpayer on say £20k. Say you're a cleaner so you'll basically be earning that your whole life (Or as tax thresholds are adjusted, you'll be paying basic rate). But you pay 5% into your pension pot... your annuity from the pot could very well be tax free anyway.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    TGOHF said:

    Sean_F said:

    Excuse me for a moment whilst I shed a tear for all those rich pensioners on PB...BOO HOO... try getting a life instead of waiting for a pension

    Rich pensioners will be fine.

    It's current workers looking to retire in 20-30 years' time, who'll be hit.
    And what will the salaries of these workers be on average ?

    Mostly in the range £43 to 70k, as Casino Royale indicated.
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:



    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
    Hammering people earning above the average salary does nothing to help the lower paid.
    Depends if you call giving HRT the same tax benefit as basic rate tax payers a hammering. That implies you are already hammering the basic rate tax payer.

    Reverse the position, assume in a fictitious world there was no tax relief on pension contributions, and a generous government was going to introduce them.

    There is no way you would offer the biggest incentive to those who could afford to contribute most.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
    Hammering people earning above the average salary does nothing to help the lower paid.
    Exaggerating does nothing for your case.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Quite. I'm not feeling the outrage here.
    philiph said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:



    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    nip

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    nip
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief
    That's where the 40p tax band kicks in. This would hit many middle earners between 40-70k doing jobs like teaching, middle management, hospital work, and in the service sector. There will be plenty more who aspire to that who won't be happy.

    Consider someone on £60k. At the moment pensions contributions at 5% salary and matched by 5% from the employer would net £6k of contributions a year, well below the £40k annual cap.

    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
    Hammering people earning above the average salary does nothing to help the lower paid.
    Depends if you call giving HRT the same tax benefit as basic rate tax payers a hammering. That implies you are already hammering the basic rate tax payer.

    Reverse the position, assume in a fictitious world there was no tax relief on pension contributions, and a generous government was going to introduce them.

    There is no way you would offer the biggest incentive to those who could afford to contribute most.
  • mattmatt Posts: 3,789
    Pulpstar said:



    When you draw your pension, it is subject to income tax. So taxing the contributions AND the pension when you draw it is taxing us twice surely?

    That would clearly be unfair, and the proposal is in a nutshell to make the pension tax-free. In my case (And everyone else on a DC scheme whether basic, higher or nil tax) it would require starting a second pension.

    The tricky part is how the lucky buggers on a defined benefit scheme would manage. I assume they'd start a new DB pension pot on the same terms as the old but with the tax parts swapped (As they would be for DC).

    The old pensions would of course accrue and be paid on retirement.
    The issue with this, I'd have thought is one of trust and a lack of trust in politicians, who appear to see private sector pensions as a glorified sweetie jar, to not decide to tax cash out as well as cash in. The death of the tax free lump sum, while appealing to the Treasury, would be unhelpful to those relying on it as part of their retirement planning.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354

    Pulpstar said:

    although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred

    Of course the Gov't should bear in mind that the 'windfall' now will be taken back by a reduction in future years. Overall due to time value of money, the Gov't is up - but it's not a completely free lunch.
    It's not a completely free lunch, true, but it's a free glass of champagne, since few people pay high rates of tax on their pension.
    Most of those junior doctors will.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755
    Quick question - I've heard the proposal is to make pensions more like ISAs. Does anything change on BR salary swap schemes though ?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,755
    Tories not pulling their punches here. By Lt Col Tom Tugendhat, Tory MP

    Jeremy Corbyn is no pacifist – he wants to see Britain defeated

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/12105376/Jeremy-Corbyn-is-no-pacifist-he-wants-to-see-Britain-defeated.html
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,883
    philiph said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    felix said:

    Sean_F said:

    taffys said:



    He is in serious trouble.

    There is no raid. Osborne has made life better for middle England pensioners by changing the rules on pension pots and giving more flexibility. What is being suggested is taxing contributions but not taxing the pension itself.
    That's fantastic spin. I would be heavily affected by these changes and stand to lose tens of thousands of pounds over the remainder of my working life. Nothing will offset that.

    It's called a stealth tax for a reason.
    You must be getting too much tax relief then, thatys why George has changed it. Frankly, rich people getting 40% tax relief was always something that had to go.. Now I am not affected any more I am happy to support the measure!
    So you think anyone earning over £43k a year is rich?
    well richer than I am.. and in any case its more than that, add 15% to that for the tax relief


    On the new proposals for 25% relief, they would be a clear loser.
    It's an eye-opener to see Conservative supporters filled with resentment towards people in that income bracket.
    It's an eye opener to see kippers blatantly supporting extras for the better off.
    It's a socialist mentality to view tax reductions as "extras".
    The lowest paid merit the greatest encouragement to save for pension. If that is socialism I'll keep the red flag flying high and vote Conservative as always :)
    Hammering people earning above the average salary does nothing to help the lower paid.
    Depends if you call giving HRT the same tax benefit as basic rate tax payers a hammering. That implies you are already hammering the basic rate tax payer.

    Reverse the position, assume in a fictitious world there was no tax relief on pension contributions, and a generous government was going to introduce them.

    There is no way you would offer the biggest incentive to those who could afford to contribute most.
    If I were starting with a blank slate, I would want there to be as few tax reliefs as possible, with marginal tax rates being kept as low as possible, in turn. But, we aren't starting with such a blank slate. This proposal is an increase in the overall tax burden, pure and simple.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    edited 2016 18
    DavidL said:

    Pulpstar said:

    although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred

    Of course the Gov't should bear in mind that the 'windfall' now will be taken back by a reduction in future years. Overall due to time value of money, the Gov't is up - but it's not a completely free lunch.
    It's not a completely free lunch, true, but it's a free glass of champagne, since few people pay high rates of tax on their pension.
    Most of those junior doctors will.
    Well, quite. Just imagine the outrage if they are told that they'd have to pay income tax now on the notional value of their final-salary pension scheme contributions. It would be a massive pay cut for anyone on a final-salary scheme (nowadays, largely the public sector), which is why I don't think it's politically feasible.

    OTOH Alastair Meeks is in a better position than anyone else here to know, and he thinks something is probably in the offing. I wonder if perhaps it will start as an optional add-on scheme (i.e. a new type of 'Pension ISA'), with tax relief on current pensions very gradually squeezed out?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @wallaceme: Just wondering, is today's Andy Burnham a different person from May's Andy Burnham? https://t.co/6m82yG9dL7
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,755
    Andy Burnham flip flopping ? Say ain't so

    https://twitter.com/wallaceme/status/689057951965917184
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @benrileysmith: GMB 'to oppose Jeremy Corbyn's proposal for Trident submarines without nuclear missiles'. https://t.co/vcGjLGORun

    @benrileysmith: Industry source says GMB believe Corbyn non-nuclear subs idea is incoherent. "Are we going to start dishing out cricket bats for the army?”
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,755
    SeanT said:

    Possibly the most boring debate in the history of Political Betting, or indeed humanity.

    PENSIONS

    Can we talk about AV?

    Have you forgotten the debates about Scottish independence and Scotland forcing the rest of the U.K. into a currency union?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,354

    DavidL said:

    Pulpstar said:

    although it would produce a nice chunky one-off windfall for the Treasury, since tax relief would effectively be deferred

    Of course the Gov't should bear in mind that the 'windfall' now will be taken back by a reduction in future years. Overall due to time value of money, the Gov't is up - but it's not a completely free lunch.
    It's not a completely free lunch, true, but it's a free glass of champagne, since few people pay high rates of tax on their pension.
    Most of those junior doctors will.
    Well, quite. Just imagine the outrage if they are told that they'd have to pay income tax now on the notional value of their final-salary pension scheme contributions. It would be a massive pay cut for anyone on a final-salary scheme (nowadays, largely the public sector), which is why I don't think it's politically feasible.

    OTOH Alastair Meeks is in a better position than anyone else here to know, and he thinks something is probably in the offing. I wonder if perhaps it will start as an optional add-on scheme (i.e. a new type of 'Pension ISA'), with tax relief on current pensions very gradually squeezed out?
    I think what we will see is reductions in the quantity of HRT relief available, reducing caps for the life time total relief and a longer term plan to reduce contribution relief to basic rate.

    Even that sort of change is going to result in significant tax increases for the better paid on FS schemes. At the moment the notional contributions by the employer (usually the State) can amount to £30-40K a year for those earning over £100K. If that benefit was restricted to basic rate the additional tax bill could amount to £6-10K.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052
    SeanT said:

    Possibly the most boring debate in the history of Political Betting, or indeed humanity.

    PENSIONS

    Can we talk about AV?

    That's how people get us though, by making things so boring they can slip things through. They should make it so they can pass laws by getting people to click on the iTunes user agreement or something, they could pass anything.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,755
    As Mr Nabavi points out, having been shown the jar of boiling tar, people will be invited into the swimming pool all set at a nice, cosy 30 Celsius....
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    GMB leader should just eff off and join the Tories.
    Scott_P said:

    @benrileysmith: GMB 'to oppose Jeremy Corbyn's proposal for Trident submarines without nuclear missiles'. https://t.co/vcGjLGORun

    @benrileysmith: Industry source says GMB believe Corbyn non-nuclear subs idea is incoherent. "Are we going to start dishing out cricket bats for the army?”

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,287

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    @Theuniondivvie listen to the programme. You will be surprised. It was a study, whichever or whenever it was, and no "oh things are much better now" really could or should negate, you know, a study.

    More or Less is a great programme and usually doesn't shirk from probing and often dismantling prevailing myths. I think it probably tried to do that with the 20%/stroke stat (it has certainly done it about weekend mortality in general) but sadly found that it was accurate.

    Is the fact that you are 20% more likely to die if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend with a stroke sufficient to determine the outcome of the junior doctors' dispute? Probably not, but it is all part of the 7-day NHS story so Cam can be forgiven for using it.
    I did listen to it. I guess we all hear what we want to hear, but their conclusion seemed a lot more..well..inconclusive than you suggest.

    The study data was more than 5 years old and which was confirmed by Charlotte McDonald, one of the presenters not a 'whining doctor', therefore you are statistically 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend only if you can invent a time machine.
    Did she quote the study that refuted and updated that one?
    Refuted the 5 year old William Palmer study that said you're 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend? Well, she did mention another researcher that said it was the case mix that really mattered relating to weekend admissions, and that lack of specialist nurses may also be a major factor for these stroke outcomes.
    Case mix!!!?? A stroke is a stroke. Duh...
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    taffys said:

    Osborne's raid on middle England's pensions gets top billing in the Mail today.

    He is in serious trouble.

    @Theuniondivvie listen to the programme. You will be surprised. It was a study, whichever or whenever it was, and no "oh things are much better now" really could or should negate, you know, a study.

    More or Less is a great programme and usually doesn't shirk from probing and often dismantling prevailing myths. I think it probably tried to do that with the 20%/stroke stat (it has certainly done it about weekend mortality in general) but sadly found that it was accurate.

    Is the fact that you are 20% more likely to die if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend with a stroke sufficient to determine the outcome of the junior doctors' dispute? Probably not, but it is all part of the 7-day NHS story so Cam can be forgiven for using it.
    I did listen to it. I guess we all hear what we want to hear, but their conclusion seemed a lot more..well..inconclusive than you suggest.

    The study data was more than 5 years old and which was confirmed by Charlotte McDonald, one of the presenters not a 'whining doctor', therefore you are statistically 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend only if you can invent a time machine.
    Did she quote the study that refuted and updated that one?
    Refuted the 5 year old William Palmer study that said you're 20% more likely to die from a stroke if you are admitted to hospital at the weekend? Well, she did mention another researcher that said it was the case mix that really mattered relating to weekend admissions, and that lack of specialist nurses may also be a major factor for these stroke outcomes.
    Case mix!!!?? A stroke is a stroke. Duh...
    Yeah, definitely no difference in types of strokes people have at all.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,450

    @benrileysmith: Industry source says GMB believe Corbyn non-nuclear subs idea is incoherent. "Are we going to start dishing out cricket bats for the army?”

    Easy solution for Corbynites, don't have an army!
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    anyone been watching the french political drama on more4 "Spin", the "bad guy" acting president reminds me of Gordon Brown. good drama if you can put up with subtitles
This discussion has been closed.