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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly the high rollers get attracted by the #IndyRef bet
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Suddenly the high rollers get attracted by the #IndyRef betting
Now Ladbrokes report that a shop in Scotland took a £200k bet on the #IndyRef outcome being NO
Hills took similar bet earlier in week
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-23074572
Meanwhile, more great news on EU accession for Scotland:
"Scotland's independent membership of the EU could be blocked by eastern European countries seeking greater farm subsidies and other states with internal secessionist movements, according to UK Europe Minister David Lidington."
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/home-news/uk-europe-minister-independent-scotlands-eu-membership-could-be-blocked.1372342167
Just like their £10,000 claim for the novelty bet on 'Jeffrey' that was trumpeted on here.
Just like this in fact as tim kindly pointed out.
I wonder whether the possible Catalan referendum might be held (or attempted to be held) before or after the Scottish one. After would make sense, as the debate, whilst grumpy, is likely to be far more civil than that in Spain, allowing the Catalonians to point at the UK as an example how such a thing can happen.
Indeed but Peter the Punter will not get out of bed anymore for less than a complete new designer outfit from Matalan and Mike Smithson spends more time on holiday than the average MP !!
I thought I'd ask Nick Palmer now his chance of winning back Broxtowe has envaporated but I fear minimum wage and all the pies he can eat might just not be tempting enough ?!?
Yes is starting to look interesting as a bet. It seems hard to imagine that it will be as long as 4/1 all the way to the date of the referendum.
As I've said before the blues have chosen an ordinary chancellor for extraordinary times. I found Avery's post the other night surprising - he argued that although they'd sent a boy to do a man's job, the boy was growing up fast. It sort of begs the question why the best available person for the job wasn't in it from day one.
Not quite what I argued, Mr. Brooke.
But I accept that Cameron had a choice between Ken Clarke and George Osborne, the former having experience of both ministerial office in general and the Treasury.
I guess you would have preferred Ken but Cameron needed a Chancellor with a little bit more steel; who was not divisive on the EU issue; who could present a new face to the public; who was a political strategist at the core of the 'new' party; and. last but not least, who was a personal supporter in whom he could place complete confidence.
George fitted the bill and, in the long term, will prove to have been a better choice than Ken.
After winning gold for Team GB at London 2012 and round one at Wimbledon, Britons still see Andy Murray as more Scottish than British
New YouGov research reveals Murray is still Scottish rather than British in the eyes of 53% of the British public. The polling took place after Murray won his first round match at Wimbledon against Germany’s Benjamin Becker in straight sets.
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/06/27/andy-murray-scottish-after-all/#sthash.D1FDI403.dpuf
It certainly makes this sound like public relations twaddle.
Now Ladbrokes report that a shop in Scotland took a £200k bet on the #IndyRef outcome being NO Hills took similar bet earlier in week
Fundraising races ahead. My new head of monetary affairs assures me a few U turns on financial matters, some creative accounting and flogging all our hidden gold for $400 an ounce will ensure no more boom and bust for the Jacobite economic cause. Seems like a fine fellow this Ed Balls chap.
What could possibly go wrong ?!?
FPT. Of all the lines written on the last thread this little grouping made me laugh most
(Tim) "It wasn't a hit by the Sun, Scott, it was a tweet by the fop."
I should have added May ( Theresa ) and got a full house.
I am sure Cameron would have given Osborne the benefit of Clarke's experience in the relevant Cabinet committees.
......But if they are using taxpayers’ cash to fund their political ends, namely the end of the 300-year-old Union, shouldn’t that money count against the limits set by the Electoral Commission? The parties have already agreed strict spending limits for the referendum with the Commission but with 65 MSPs, at £5,000 a time, the SNP is proposing to shell out a further £325,000.
Shouldn’t that be counted as part of their overall total? If you agree, why not complain to the the Electoral Commission at their Scottish office: Lothian Chambers, 59-63 George IV Bridge, Edinburgh, EH1 1RN."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scotland/10146070/Campaigning-Nats-should-have-their-pay-docked.html
"If the Nats have cullions as big as their mouths, then they must be minting it......"
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/3879480/Man-with-giant-testicles-needs-1million-op.html
LOL
NB There has been much talk about the impact of the anniversary of Bannockburn in the run-up to the referendum. There is another very significant anniversary next year which will also have an impact on public thought, though I can't see which side it will favour in this referendum, which is the outbreak of World War One. I've seen no discussion about how that might affect public debate.
http://www.glasgow2014.com
Surely as a scottish tory you would know that on the ground there have already plenty of initial instances of ground campaigning?
I know it's not as powerful as PB tory anecdote always is on matters scottish, but I've been involved in it myself and while there is limited interest this far out there is certainly no overt hostility nonetheless.
Maybe you should take your head out of Lamont and scottish labour's arsenal of spin for a change.
History lessons north of the border are to be revamped in a bid to downplay the British Empire and promote Scottish Nationalism.
In an assault on the SNP’s new Curriculum for Excellence (CfE), senior history teachers said Government ‘tinkering’ would lead to a further slide in standards.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2146719/Anger-SNP-rewrite-history-New-school-curriculum-downplays-role-British-Empire.html#ixzz2XR7rKlJF
Didn't you know that petal?
I know it's hard to believe but there are actually scottish labour lib dem and green MSPs as well as your own scottish tories. It would seem your scottish tory surge hasn't wiped out everyone yet.
Cochs is just as much of a joke as Dan Hodges that only the truly desperate would reach for.
And the SNP implosion will look like a slick, well-oiled machine compared to the Twin Eds
No need to ask Carlotta, I have it here.
The Conservatives had lost 20 per cent of their councillors, saw their vote fall to 13.31 per cent and local representation cut dramatically or even wiped out in some areas.
Not quite the surge you were looking for, was it? Ah well, there's always next time.
He is going to squander the only chance for a generation.
Numpty
Large swing to the ALP in post-Rudd Australia.
You would have to ask him if he's a kipper or a tory this week. I'm afraid it changes frequently.
I think these bets being laid is more plausible than Ladbrokes losing £10k on the Jeffrey bet myself.
They are just having £33k on Yes at 6s, which isn't the worst bet in the world. And it's a straight up market that can't be manipulated.
Laying to lose £10k on a market that could be so easily bent as the Jeffrey one is crackers
It is about time the SNP got a backbone and said they would support an elected head of state.
That would be the first step to true independence.
Good to see the right wingers are maintaining the dignity of PB as expected.
Unspoofable.
You think one £33,000 bet could be made in a betting shop as easily as that? You know best I suppose.
Perfect.
I couldn't agree more.
Why do we have to keep hearing about Mandela's condition? He's almost 95 years old — it's to be expected that he's not in the best of health. I think the media should shut up while he's still alive.
He copies lots of tweets though.
I meant laying the £200,000 at 1/6 bet is the equivalent of the bookies having £33k on yes at 6s, they can only do £33k, so it sounds bigger than it is really
Think so? his hand's been off the tiller, so to speak, for a long while now.
@LittleLostLad: Is it Whisky or Whiskey? I'm doing a job application and I have to put what I had for breakfast, but I don't want to look like an idiot.
LEFTARD IS UNACCEPTABLE
NO MORE PLEASE
That must be gambling on more than just politics ?
It's certainly not inevitable but the way they have tightly controlled information about his condition is an indicator that they are far from sanguine about what could happen.
http://worldnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/06/15/18955271-south-africans-fret-about-post-mandela-civil-strife?lite
Re; Jacobitte fundraising, consider possibilities of cajoling/subourning Miss FLORA MACDOALD to appear on Maury Povich show demanding that Bonney Price Charlie take battery of DNA & lie-decector tests on syndicated TV?
To defend Born to be head of state has no place in this or the last century.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/democracylive/scotland-23072845
I can see the attraction for Scotland - if not the rest of the "Sterling Zone"!
French PM Acknowledges 2013 Deficit May Be Higher Than Expected
PARIS--France's Prime Minister acknowledged Thursday that the country's deficit may come in higher than expected this year, a few hours after the nation's auditor warned the government against a slippage in its public accounts.
"For 2013, unfortunately, because of the lack of growth, what the Cour des Comptes says is true," French President Francois Hollande had pledged during last year's election campaign to cut the country's deficit to 3% this year. But when it became clear that the pledge could not be met, Paris obtained from the European Commission an extra two years to bring its public deficit below the 3% ceiling.
The French economy is likely to stutter out of recession this year after posting two consecutive quarters of economic contraction at the end of 2012 and beginning of 2013.
Statistics agency Insee said it expects there was a return to growth in the second quarter of this year, technically lifting the country's economy from recession. But the recovery will continue weakly with a stagnation in the third quarter and only a slight expansion at the end of year, resulting in a 0.1% contraction for the whole of 2013.
You seem to be referring to ScottP and his posts at least as much as MTF ever commented on yours. How things change!
In Which Peter Steinbrueck Performs in Blackvoice
Posted by Goldy on Tue, Jun 18, 2013 at 3:31 PM [The Stranger]
Last night eight of the nine mayoral candidates showed up at the downtown Seattle Public Library to read from their favorite books. Mayor Mike McGinn read from Joseph Heller's Catch 22, Bruce Harrell from Doris Kearns Goodwin's Lincoln bio Team of Rivals, and Ed Murray from Thomas Merton's essay "Letter to an Innocent Bystander" (which, I should note, is not actually a book).
But by far the most talked about reading of the evening was by Peter Steinbrueck, who chose an excerpt from Charles Chesnutt's 1899 collection of short stories The Conjure Woman:
"I dunno ez hit's wuf w'ile ter tell you dis," he said, at length. "I doan ha'dly 'spec' fer you ter b'lieve it. Does you 'member dat club-footed man w'at hilt de hoss fer you de yuther day w'en you was gittin' out'n de rockaway down ter Mars Archie McMillan's sto'?"
"Yes, I believe I do remember seeing a club-footed man there."
"Did you eber see a club-footed nigger befo' er sence?"
"No, I can't remember that I ever saw a club-footed colored man," I replied, after a moment's reflection.
"You en Mis' Annie would n' wanter b'lieve me, ef I wuz ter 'low dat dat man was oncet a mule?"
But more talked about than his choice of material was Steinbrueck's choice to perform it in full blackvoice, with the exception of one modest edit. KUOW's The Conversation has a clip up online. You can skip to the seven-minute mark and listen to it for yourself. (The Seattle Channel says they'll have video of the full event up online sometime tomorrow.)
So... um... discuss!
"The myth of increasingly lenient sentences is exposed once again."
The political class did everything they possibly could to prevent these crimes coming to trial at all let alone sentencing. These sentences are the result of being caught out and are evidence of the exact opposite.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2348870/Members-Oxford-sex-ring-threatened-cut-face-victims.html
"Members of Oxford sex ring 'threatened to cut off the face one of their victims and decapitate her baby after she tried to tell police about years of abuse'"
Reminds me of that question time where the panel were talking about how the victims were perfectly happy selling themselves for a bag of crisps.
Sometimes in all the partisan stuff on here, it is easy to forget that it is the people that matter. Therefore this story should be of interest:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-23028078
It is an area where successive governments have utterly failed.The Conservatives did not help them. Labour did not help them. The coalition did not help them. Promise after promise broken.
This is not an area populated with workshy or lazy people - it is an area populated with people who have been let down by the system. Any laziness will be down to a lack of hope, a knowledge that their community is dying. I have seen this in areas of my native Derbyshire, where the problems were nowhere near as pronounced.
Sadly, I have no answers.
Even further off-topic:
My ex-gf used to work at these premises, when it housed a different company (the premises were searched in the hunt for the missing girls from Soham). Bang!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-23085513