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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Donald Brind wonders whether Mr. Corbyn really wants to be
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Donald Brind wonders whether Mr. Corbyn really wants to be PM
I was rather excited by the recent launch of BBC Store which opens up, for sale and download, a treasure trove programmes dating back to the fifties. My first foray was, however, unsuccessful. I got the message “Unfortunately, your search didn’t return any results. The title may not be on BBC Store yet.
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except tory mp's
I was trying a little betting system and backed 5 matches in "Both Team To Score" 4folds and an acca
They all copped, but when I looked at the slip I had put one of next weeks games in by accident
I priced up the game and made my existing bet value (I made it 1.8 and it was 1.9) but having thought I had already copped the lot, I couldn't face it losing and made sure I would get some compensation/reward whatever by backing what I made a 2.25 shot at 1.9
It was Newcastle vs Stoke BTTS NO and ended 0-0 #cowardice
However, can it be assumed that a recession-weary public will gratefully throw its lot in with Corbyn? I doubt it. They will cling to nurse.
Yeah right.
But yes. It is the nature of politics. You inevitably believe you are right and that the other side is wrong and that you would do a much better job. It must be frustrating when things seem to go quite well for them.
I scanned as far as Gizzajob and groaned. Fatcher indeed.
Edit. Hah! a 4!
Some questions would have options straight worse than the others; others would (I assume) effectively test risk appetitite. I guess you could then look at how people's risk appetites vary.
@mrdavidwhitley: Really enjoying all these detailed, plausible plans on how you would have captured Mohammed Emwazi then put him on trial.
You can be against all kind of things, but you lose credibility if you attack difficult decisions but offer none back. Our local labour PPC seemed to manage to squeeze bedroom tax and zero hours contracts into any discussion, to begin with she also talked about freezing energy prices, but stopped firing that one. It was relentless. She thought that by picking these small number of issues, that she felt her position was widely supported and it would be enough.
When asked more nuanced questions about she will improve XYZ while being committed to cutting the deficit in the same way the Conservatives are, she would just fall back on bankers bonuses and foodbanks. Like a deer in the headlights.
Time after time, Labour failed to offer a reason why they would be better custodians. In fact it seemed sometimes that the entire bandwagon was only being kept on the show by Ed Balls.
There is no Ed Balls character in the shadow cabinet now. Is there any possible spending request (other than Trident) that Mcdonnell would be able to say no to? Its going to get ugly if they keep on committing to undo changes brought in by the government.
Basing your solution in the realms of fantasy means you don't have to offend any key voter groups in Oldham.
Nor does he want to be Leader of the Labour Party. He wanted to be a candidate in the leadership election, in the expectation that he didn't have a chance of winning. He volunteered to be the candidate for the left-wing faction, essentially on the basis of buggins' turn because Diane Abbott did it last time.
The possibility that the party members would be idiotic enough actually to elect him as leader was such a remote possibility that nobody bothered to worry about it until it actually happened.
Just a quick thought on Greece (as you're here).
I think the Greek people fall into two categories: those with savings, and those without.
Any exit of the Euro would mean a massive devaluation of the Drachma against the Euro. This would be excellent for the have-nots, as it would improve the competitive position of the Greek economy and make holidays much cheaper than they might have been. This would almost certainly flow through into higher employment in relatively short order.
But such a devaluation means dramatically lowering the real value of people's savings. The costs of devaluation are born entirely by savers. (These people complain: hey, I've been thrifty and done what I supposed to do, so why should I be the one to pay?.)
The former group would like to leave the Euro and would be the biggest beneficiaries. The latter group would like to stay in, as it keeps the purchasing power of their savings intact.
Perhaps the best way forward would have been for the first group to recognise that it was the second group that would suffer in the event of exiting the Euro. Perhaps the government could have created some kind of "saving adjusment bond" that paid out 50% of the effective depreciation. Sure, it would have added to Greece's debt, but it would have made Euro exit a lot more palatable to the older group.
The World at One @BBCWorldatOne · 9m9 minutes ago
.@GrahamJones_MP: Andrew Fisher "exceedingly disloyal and exceedingly discourteous to some senior members of the Labour Party" #wato
The World at One @BBCWorldatOne · 8m8 minutes ago
.@GrahamJones_MP: "In an ideal world Andrew Fisher shouldn't really be in the Leader's office" #wato http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b06nrzr3 …
The World at One @BBCWorldatOne · 5m5 minutes ago
.@GrahamJones_MP: Labour needs to be "fiscally more responsible" and "stop turning our back on the debate on immigration" #wato
Once upon a time, there was a safe welfare state called Sweden, where people rarely locked their doors.
Now, this country is a night-watchman state -- each man is on his own. When the Minister of Justice, Morgan Johansson, encourages breaking the law, it means opening the gates to anarchy. Mr. and Mrs. Swede have every reason to be worried, with the influx of 190,000 unskilled and unemployed migrants expected this year -- equivalent to 2% of Sweden's current population. The number is as if 6.4 million penniless migrants who did not speak English arrived in U.S. in one year, or 1.3 million in Britain.
http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/6865/sweden-anarchy
We are seeing civilization as we in Europe know it start to disintegrate, "before our very eyes" as that old comic Arthur Askey was prone to say.
1953, on the other hand...
@IanAustinMP: How do people who think Emwazi should have been put on trial think this could have happened & how many others would he kill in the meantime?
@Tom_Seagul: @chrisdeerin @IanAustinMP ask your boss Ian....
@IanAustinMP: @Tom_Seagul @chrisdeerin My boss? That would be people in Dudley and I reckon the vast majority of them would agree with me!
Russian bombing in support of Syria (which they wish to extend into Iraq): good and hopeful.
US/UK bombing in support of Iraq (which the UK wish to extend into Syria): bad and fruitless.
rcs: rationally, I'm sure you're right about Greeks' personal interest in the Euro/drachma. But my impression is that these considerations are completely swamped by an emotional view that joining the Euro meant "we're now a member of the European club", and that it's that rather than economic issues that made leaving the Euro an untouchable issue even for a movement like Syriza (which is unlikely to have an army of big savers in their ranks).
It's the converse of the view among Eurosceptics (which probably extend to one G. Brown) that joining the Euro would be bad even if it was economically desirable.
I will repost what I put on the previous thread as it's more relevant to this one.
Fisher was not simply being "critical of Labour". He was actively saying that people should not vote for the Labour candidate. He was saying violent and crude things about Labour people. Now Corbyn can't change what happened in the past. But it is perfectly legitimate to question his judgment in appointing him and in continuing to support him even after he has been suspended. What a person has said and done in the recent past does have a bearing on the sort of person they are now and on whether they are fit and proper to be a senior advisor within Labour. And Corbyn's choice of him shows that he places - whatever he may say - little value on decent behaviour. It shows poor judgment on his part.
I don't know whether Corbyn wants to be PM. I don't care. I most certainly don't want him to be PM. And unless Labour comes to its senses I will be doing my level best to ensure that come 2010 or whenever the election is held he does not become PM.
It's pathetic and laughable that he has to say 'it could have been far better for us all' if he could have been arrested. What a joker, how does he expect someone to risk their life arresting the toerag anyway? A classic example of how unsuited he is to leadership. Either that or he is an aech dissembler, wanting his cake and eating it too.
:depressed face:
My complaints were about several posts which were poorly written and based on ridiculous arguments.
Corbyns dream of single handedly capturing Jihadi Jim.
I object to Labour PPB puffery.
If I was Greek I'd be looking to keep my Euro denominated savings in a Greek bank account to a minimum.
This is a particularly strong argument for the _UK_ to stay out and let other countries deal with it, since they have a very high ratio of colonial baggage to practical military capability.
Interesting to see Cameron is on a crackberry.
Edit: Obama still uses a Blackberry
Aside from that, well done!
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/man-asks-for-his-350-back-after-tinder-date-disaster-a3113461.html
http://www.theguardian.com/technology/2015/nov/11/blackphone-2-review-privacy-usability-silent-circle
https://twitter.com/dailymailuk/status/665171508457832448
Don't see why it is 'great'. 'Sad' maybe.
Lauren Crouch writes articles on dating for Metro.
What a remarkable coincidence !
Perhaps, I should have have expressed myself better. Savers, and people on fixed incomes, such as the retirees would be the most affected.
Not that it matters because he won't get it. Behind on economic credibility + behind on leadership = defeat. If there is a recession, it will strengthen rather than weaken Osborne's case that the deficit needs (needed) paying down faster.