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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Hillary moves much closer to the nomination following Joe Biden’s announcement that he won’t be running
Next year’s White House race looks a lot clearer this evening following Joe Biden’s announcement within the past hour that he will not run for the Democratic nomination.
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Peers have voted 242 to 190, majority 52, to scrap government plans to end onshore wind subsidies early despite claims it was a breach of the Salisbury Convention."
The HoL is going to be a massive nuisance for the a few months isn't it...
However I am still exposed on New Hampshire, not sure if I need to cover off.
Do you think Clinton's chances are much strengthened there?
Edit: decided to cover it off. Her polling position has improved there already (post debate).
Richard
Some will, where do you think the replacements will magically appear from.
Ones willing to take on A&E are already rarer than Rocking Horse Sh*t
The NHS cannot afford to lose anymore right now.
Next Week Tax Credits
Oh dear I see a big reaction from Dave.
More Lords more cost Methinks.
Clinton v. Bush Mark II? Not inspiring.
Clinton v. Trump? Terrifying.
Clinton v. Rubio? Could be interesting.
What odds are available for this being the lowest ever turnout at a presidential election? 49% in 1996 is the record to beat. I would say that if Jeb Bush is the Republican candidate there would be value in that bet if it is longer than 2-1.
........Driving I could understand
There seem to be a rather stubborn caucus of people who think the tories' win at the last election was some sort of aberration, and they have the right to defy a democratically elected government.
Presumably on the basis the electorate had no idea what they were doing.
One in 4 Junior Dr posts are already vacant.
The NHS is only keeping afloat due to the goodwill of the Drs that cover extra shifts at NHS rates and is suffering already by having to pay higher Locum Rates for those that cant be filled.
I suggest you spend a few days in a hospital trying to fill the shifts of the vacant posts to see how silly your comments are.
Love
BJO
Number who voted for the lords??? the junior doctors??? the unions??? the commentariat???
zero.
DYOR
A contemptible position from those who would have been happy with a labour SNP stitch up, with SNP voting on English matters.
Mr. Roger, you are awful. But I like you.
So basically 0% of voters voted for Tax Credit Cuts!!!
Another possible bet - although a very morbid one - might be first president to die in office since 1963, although hopefully not from the same cause.
*I am discounting those who had been vice-president before becoming President on the death of the incumbent, e.g. Coolidge and Johnson, and anyone who lost an election they fought, e.g. Bush and Carter. Arthur made a very half-hearted effort to be the Republican candidate in 1884, so if people want to be really picky the last President who avowedly only served one term from his own choice was Rutherford B. Hayes, 1877-81.
Untrue.
One thing is certain. The voters decisively rejected economic stewardship by the party that is blocking the measures of a democratically elected government.
So stand aside.
Vacuums are very expensive to fill and the NHS is already in its worst ever financial state.
They are wrong.
I am sure that will go down well.
The Republicans would love to face this frightful woman.
What is dangerous is defying a new government with a fresh mandate by adhering to policies that were decisively rejected in a free and fair election.
As their Lordships will soon discover.
They are missing the LDs.
EDITED
Like many labourites, you simply can't accept May 2015 can you. The electorate were just stupid right? they can't want tory policies, surely, because their betters such as you have already decided they are the wrong policies.
Suck it up
Technically they will "In office, but not in power" (C) John Major.
Trump will be a law unto himself.
Time to stand and be counted
Currently can only recruit from EU.
Pakistani Doctors were much better IMO but not allowed currently
And I agree entirely. If Clinton faces off against Rubio, this election is the Republicans' to lose.
Fair enough, I can;t know. But I think many people will see that a government that has won an election has a perfect right to implement a programme in the first instance, whether you agree with that programme or not.
Yes, Sunil, we know.
Not for the first time, you are sounding more like the worried tory chairman in a marginal than a labour supporter.
This concern for the tories to do well in 2020 intrigues me...
Sunil you approach my EICIPM repetition record.
Pack it in
If you don't like what they do you vote against them at the next election
It was therefore a trifle depressing so many of my fellow students fell for it...it didn't say much for the minimum standards of common sense among my peers!
Mismanagement, too many layers of managers on big salaries, huge pension liabilities particularly those that choose to retire at a ludicrously young age? Those same people then rehired on huge daily contracts? PFI? How about mass immigration and the fact they now have to cope with much bigger numbers?
Are any of those factors or is it just Lansley?
Or that we'd get a referendum over Lisbon.
EDIT - Actually, rather an aside but over Lisbon I was reminded of the specious arguments used by unions in the 1970s to justify not demanding equal pay for men and women. In one notorious case, men were making shoes in one part of the factory, and women were making shoes in another part of the same factory. According to the law at the time, if men and women did the same work, they were paid the same money. But a union rep said with a straight face that this was not the same work - the men were making men's shoes, the women were making women's shoes, and the work was totally different so the women should be paid less (because we all know women are much less picky about their footwear than men, who demand high heels and decorations and special polishes and so on, so that's really skilled work). In 1980, law was changed to be 'work of equal pay for work of equal value.'
'The hospital cost £440 million to build, but Projectco is guaranteed an income of £3.3 billion over 30 years, including facilities contracts.'
What you and Mr Owls think about that is completely irrelevant. As is the opinion of the undemocratic Lords. That will be for the electorate to judge and decide between now and 2020.
What is certain is that the manifestos of many of those voting the government down were decisively rejected.
Maybe it will emerge the government is being held up by liberal democrat lords whose party was atomised at the last election, and who have no business adhering to policies that were extremely unpopular, and remain so.
twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/637020695478824960
BTW: Far less than four hundred and umpteenth time, actually! :P
In similar strikes there is emergency cover. It will hit mostly planned work. The aim will be to crash political (waiting times) and financial targets. No patient harmed but maximum difficulty for the government.
Do you really believe that?
I really do think the vote will go for a strike, even the usually apathetic ones are apoplectic.
https://barnabasfund.org/news/Editorial-Turkey-exposed?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=facebook
More specifically the huge uplift in Liberal voters across the pond has engaged the hierarchy of Auchentennach Fine Pies to consider opportunities in Canada - Maple syrup moose pies .... and extras !!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7rr88Szc5q0
http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-election-2015-numbers-1.3281210
http://www.cbc.ca/news2/interactives/results-2015/
Everything we thought would happen in May 2015 in this country this year happened there: record turnout, centre-left voters uniting behind the challenger, new voters voting overwhelmingly for the Left, and the Tories defeated even though they held their base vote steady.
Oh, and the polls were almost bang-on - just slightly underticking the Tory vote share.
I haven't done a marginals analysis - is this available anywhere? - but count only six ultra-marginal near misses for the Conservatives. And it could have been even worse - the Liberals came close in a further 13 seats.
They will probably need a good 5% swing, and to knock a good 50 seats off the Liberals to have a chance to regain power next time.
It's not a 1997 style wipe-out, but a pretty clear defeat. They must expand their voter base.