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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Doing “Best PM” comparisons between Corbyn & Dave is like asking US voters to choose between Obama and Trump
We all know that David Cameron is not planning to remain as prime minister after the next general election. So the choice will between Corbyn, unless he’s replaced in the meantime, and AN Other.
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@steve_hawkes: Confirmed: Zac Goldsmith, David Davis and Stephen McPartland signing Frank Field's call for a Commons motion forcing rethink on tax credits
Zac emailed my wife this morning.
Dear .....
Thanks for your email.
The philosophy behind the Tax credit move – moving from low wage, high tax to high wage, low tax - is the right one, but of course the details matter. The Chancellor has said that losses will be absorbed by higher wages, and we will have to make sure that’s the case.
I know Boris Johnson is looking at how the cuts will affect Londoners and how they will be offset by the introduction of the Chancellor’s new "national living wage", and I very much support that process. As the Government reforms welfare and the tax system, people on the lowest incomes need protection and although we do not have reliable figures, it is important that the wage increases go hand in hand with any withdrawal of tax credit.
I have made the point to the Chancellor and will continue to press.
Best wishes,
Zac Goldsmith
Dear .....
Thanks for your email.
The philosophy behind the Tax credit move – moving from low wage, high tax to high wage, low tax - is the right one, but of course the details matter. The Chancellor has said that losses will be absorbed by higher wages, and we will have to make sure that’s the case.
I know Boris Johnson is looking at how the cuts will affect Londoners and how they will be offset by the introduction of the Chancellor’s new "national living wage", and I very much support that process. As the Government reforms welfare and the tax system, people on the lowest incomes need protection and although we do not have reliable figures, it is important that the wage increases go hand in hand with any withdrawal of tax credit.
I have made the point to the Chancellor and will continue to press.
Best wishes,
Zac Goldsmith
And with that thought I am off up to the allotment to sort out a rat that has infested Herself's shed.
Play nicely, all.
Given the UK's history it gives other countries a good source of comedy. It seems the Chinese media are revelling in the obsequience shown by the UK to their Chinese guests.
That said, this is an excellent graph and a little perplexing for tories. Europe and the Dave succession will undoubtedly make the party looking divided. On these issues, it is.
And there's me thinking our membership of the EU kept us at the top table...
He has tied himself to Cameron and when Cameron departs, Osbourne would be wise to do the same.
Discussion and argument are healthy, and likely to improve the policies on offer.
I am all for divided parties. It is unchanging dogma that is harmful.
Normally politicians become less popular as they become more known. Since the public have already formed views of Jeremy Corbyn, this rule may not hold good on this occasion, though it's worth noting that his approval ratings have dropped sharply between the last and current Opinium polls.
The Conservatives (with the exception of George Osborne) will be happy with these numbers.
In one part people will associate the cabinet ministers with their cabinet roles as much as who they are. So Osborne is inevitably linked to the Treasury, May to the Home Office etc - in a way that won't necessarily be the case by the election.
On the 1st of January 1997 the favourite to be next Con Leader was Michael Portillo
On the 1st of January 2001 the favourite to be next Con Leader was Michael Portillo and Ken Clarke
On the 1st of January 2003 the the favourite to be next Con Leader was David Davis
On the 1st of January 2005 the favourite to be next Con Leader was David Davis
(I has been doing some research on this for a future thread)
'How would you rate it on a scale of 1 to 10, the highest score being the equivalent of Salmond fawning over his old chum, Donald Trump, before their spectacular falling out.'
That was hilarious watching Salmond licking Trump's boots over some mickey mouse golf course.
He is clearly more popular than his party and it seems pretty clear it was The David Cameron Party that won a majority in May. And he's far more popular than his party than the other contenders are, even Boris.
Either that or Osborne needs a bloody big run in to the next GE to win voters over - or be defenestrated by Boris if it doesn't work out. Bear in mind Labour will possibly be led by someone vaguely electable by 2020....
Calling it now.
I'd never make a good film producer.
Are you suggesting we shouldn't make overtures toward the Chinese? Not something that Salmond (sensibly in my view) would agree with.
The movies after the original trilogy are garbage.
The attitude of the Loyalists is far from this, you believe that the UK Is still important and still matters despite all evidence to the contrary. I can understand your pain, seeing the pictures on the news must really stick in your craw.
True. For me, this is as much about American prestige as British, maybe more.
The former is dropping like a stone.
First film I saw at the cinema was Superman in 1979 and I walked out after 5 minutes saying it was boring... Never seen it or any of the sequels either
Nor any Star Trek in any form
Sci-Fi Shmi-Fi
I've known hookers who have swallowed a Dyson that have sucked less than that movie.
http://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/top-stories/alex-salmond-on-china-mission-to-kick-start-recovery-1-3170823#axzz3p6yG2KOy
The word "kowtowing" features in the first sentence.
It seems that the Scottish nationalists are so obsessed in their hatred of the UK that they're prepared to make themselves look idiotic in their inconsistency.
Annoyingly the profiles aren't up on the official site yet.
However given what JJ Abraams did with the Star Trek reboot, I think everyone should have strong expectations for Episode 7.
https://www.gov.uk/green-taxes-and-reliefs/climate-change-levy
I first saw the original Star Wars in 1978 when I was only two - my mum said I was so scared she had to remove me from the cinema
On the other hand, Indiana Jones and Back to the Future are works of genius.
https://d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/voteleave/pages/73/attachments/original/1445175116/David_Cameronfailingrenegotiation.pdf?1445175116
Prior to 1990 (even when the Tories were in government) the seldom rarely won.
1st of January 1975 the favourite to be Tory leader was Willie Whitelaw
1st of January 1965 the favourite to be the next Tory leader was Maudling
1st of January 1963 the favourite to be the next Tory leader was Rab Butler (when the Tories were in government) that said that was the final contribution of the magic circle.
Put it this way, the Tories have only properly elected a leader whilst still in office ONCE in their history and the favourite on the 1st of Jan didn't win.
Fits a pattern
Star Wars (first 3)
Indiana Jones
Back to the future
Ghostbusters
Beverley hills cop
Superman 1 2 and 3
And many, many more!
I guess Labour would make an exception for him in their war against corporate welfarism.
On a positive note, my parents once had as a near neighbour Stuart Freeborn, who created the design of Yoda and Chewbacca and he was the most delightful person you could meet.
There is definitely not a period of 15 minutes were it is dull.
It might also make sense: he was scarcely a kid when he was thrown into the wars, during which his father took his hand, he nearly died several times, and he discovered his dad was a main player in an evil religion. He was also immensely talented but imperfectly trained in another, polar opposite, religion.
And then you find out the sister you never knew you had is a princess (and thus you are a prince). But whilst she grew up in palaces and meeting the great and good, you grew up on a desert shithole.
It'd screw anyone up.
5 and 6 were directed by others
It's called forming,storming and performing with everyone on the raft.Jeremy is unifying the Labour party.
The gargantuan sexual tension between Han and Leia saves the whole franchise. I mean guys, get a room. Carrie Fisher's performances in the original trilogy are quite extraordinary.
As a kid they just left me cold.
The exceptions are the Studio Ghibli ones, which Mrs J is a massive fan. Besides, Ghibli isn't really a Disney studio in spirit.
(BTW, if you want to see a great film, watch 'Spirited Away')
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spirited_Away
5 was Directed by Irvin Kerschner and 6 by Richard Marquand.
"I know!"
First in The Empire Strikes back, but repeated in Return of the Jedi.
Contrast with Anakin and Padme in the prequels!
What if it turned out that Luke was actually Darth Vader's son....
I repeat, do you think this is an effective, workable, justified piece of legislation?
1/10 he'd have felt that in the force if he'd searched his feelings.
Epic Jedi skills fail. What was Vader thinking?
A ludicrous proposition.
He didn't change till the very end when Luke showed him mercy.
Ha, I didn't know that. 4 alone was still better than 1, 2, and 3.
The first two films I saw were the champ and watership down and I cried my eyes out at both!
Not yet seen the trailer, though I imagine I'll get around to it.
Not much of a cinema-goer, and the less than excellent prequels are not a good precedent.
I've given away practically all of them now, but I had a fair number (probably 20-30) of expanded universe books. The X-Wing series [which I may've kept] was especially good. It's a shame all that's been tossed aside. I can see why, but that sort of thing is what kept Star Wars ticking over during the prolonged gap from original films to the prequels.
Also, it's a travesty that Jar Jar Binks is canon, and Grand Admiral Thrawn is not.
Edited extra bit: Mr. Isam, the BBC TV series of The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe was an early influence on me. As well as that moment, there was another [which I'll not spoil, even though it's very old now] during a sea voyage. Both of those made aware of how great fantasy could be.
While there is considerable read across between low wages and tax credits, not everyone on a low annual rate will be on a low hourly rate because they work relatively few hours.
Similarly, not everyone on a low hourly rate will be claiming tax credits, usually because they don't have children.
If there is any sort of adjustment it will most likely be the staggered increase of the taper, or the staggered decrease of the threshold.I still think the new threshold is linked to universal credit, which will replace tax credits.
Staged introduction may dilute any immediate political impact, but it extends it further into the parliament.