politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Lots of rumours going round of a major LAB figure about to quit the party
I’ve no information whatsoever but I just wonder whether we might see a high level defection from the red team to the blues. Osbo speaks tomorrow and he’s the sort of guy who could well be behind such a move.
My guess is it will just be someone who donated money to Labour once upon a time.
Yes, probably. What MP, Lord or MEP would jump ship so soon when there's a chance of reversing Corbyn's influence later on, not to mention all that tribal loyalty to overcome. But 'person who gave money to party x now gives to party y' is notable enough to mention, without being too much a leap for anyone to to make in such a span of time.
Why would anyone defect when the Corbyn problem is only short-term. Even if he clings on to the 2020 General Election, which Labour will more than likely lose, he will be replaced shortly after. If Corbyn was replaced by an equally loony candidate then it may be worth defecting.
I really hope a blairite mp defects to the Tories - it would really damage the blairite cause in fending off their disempowerment, and they'd either be pretty nailed on to lose a by-election or be made to make the Tories look even more undemocratic than all the other stuff they are doing if they didn't trigger one. Either way, Blairites leaving would be handy.
Yeah. I call this the Fourth of July principle. It is like hearing that three of the first five US presidents died on the Fourth of July. You can be pretty confident that if it were three of the first four presidents, that more grandiose claim would be made instead.
The number of high-profile Labour Lords is distinctly limited. Everyone's heard of Mandy, but otherwise I think most people would struggle.
People stretch the definition of 'high profile' for such things I expect, it need not mean 'someone people will have heard of', more 'someone who can be sort of claimed to be or have been important once'.
Like how any backbencher causing a ruckus automatically becomes a 'senior' or 'leading' backbencher.
In the early 21st Century, when predictive text was a new thing, my mate text a bloke from our football team on Sat night to see if he wanted a lift to the game in the morning, so he typed
The number of high-profile Labour Lords is distinctly limited. Everyone's heard of Mandy, but otherwise I think most people would struggle.
People stretch the definition of 'high profile' for such things I expect, it need not mean 'someone people will have heard of', more 'someone who can be sort of claimed to be or have been important once'.
Like how any backbencher causing a ruckus automatically becomes a 'senior' or 'leading' backbencher.
Or any lawyer caught with his pants down becomes "top". Its my only hope really.
Curse the new thread - I actually have a question about the last one. What I don't understand is, if the parties actually knew what was going on and therefore campaigned accordingly, then why did Ed not have a concession speech ready? I can't believe he campaigned in North Warwickshire without thinking 'what the hell am I doing here?'.
The number of high-profile Labour Lords is distinctly limited. Everyone's heard of Mandy, but otherwise I think most people would struggle.
People stretch the definition of 'high profile' for such things I expect, it need not mean 'someone people will have heard of', more 'someone who can be sort of claimed to be or have been important once'.
Like how any backbencher causing a ruckus automatically becomes a 'senior' or 'leading' backbencher.
Or any lawyer caught with his pants down becomes "top". Its my only hope really.
Surely the bigger rumour would be which PBer could next appear in cameo styling in a Knox/Tremayne outing- I feel there could be a place for a know it all who is always foolishly trying to take the middle ground who gets brutally murdered as a result, to take an entirely random example.
Well according to times, a leading donor has called in a£2m loan. In any event Labour do not exist as such any more. What we have is the Stop the War Party whose initials conveniently marry with the Socialist Workers Party. It's the membership which have defected.
The number of high-profile Labour Lords is distinctly limited. Everyone's heard of Mandy, but otherwise I think most people would struggle.
People stretch the definition of 'high profile' for such things I expect, it need not mean 'someone people will have heard of', more 'someone who can be sort of claimed to be or have been important once'.
Like how any backbencher causing a ruckus automatically becomes a 'senior' or 'leading' backbencher.
Or any lawyer caught with his pants down becomes "top". Its my only hope really.
If so and there is a by election good news for Jezza
Not in Rochdale
Lab would win Rochdale in a by election IMO
Not against Danczuk - also Gillian Duffy (Bigot gate) is reported as saying she will never vote labour again
Well if it is Danczuk you have a bet will PM you if its him.
No chance of Tories winning Rochdale.
Not that I think he will defect, and noting that I think people should have a by-election if they defect, but nothing to say the Tories would have him force one if he did defect. Woodward didn't when he went to Labour, blemishing a rural Oxfordshire seat with two years of Labour representation, they just found him a winnable seat elsewhere come the next GE.
Can we change the title yet. Major Labour figure and Lord is a contradiction unless it's Mandelson and then it's no surprise or a major impact to Labour, if it was New Labour yes but not this Labour party.
Resigning from the Labour party is such an easy and obvious thing for a peer to do. They can sit out the bad times as a crossbencher without having to worry about repercussions from Corbyn supporters, and come back into the Labour fold when things improve. There must be numerous Labour Lords who are tempted to do this. Could the first set off a wave?
Robbie Travers Just got a text for a Conservative Party staffer: "We are logging off early at the Press Team, Labour activists have done our work for us."
No Corbynite, hasn't said a word about Labour on Twitter for weeks, has already done some work with the Government, and is thought to be friendly with Osborne.
Maybe a resignation now and a move over to the Tories later.
Can we change the title yet. Major Labour figure and Lord is a contradiction unless it's Mandelson and then it's no surprise or a major impact to Labour, if it was New Labour yes but not this Labour party.
Hutton, Byers, Milburn, Bliar: They should all defect.
The Tories have a conference in a constituency where Labour have a majority of over 21000 and look what happens.
Yes. How dare they try to demonstrate, albeit in lame fashion (and varying sincerity depending on who you ask), that they intend to govern for all the nation. Bastards.
Curse the new thread - I actually have a question about the last one. What I don't understand is, if the parties actually knew what was going on and therefore campaigned accordingly, then why did Ed not have a concession speech ready? I can't believe he campaigned in North Warwickshire without thinking 'what the hell am I doing here?'.
I wondered about that. perhaps he was companying their in the expectation it would be a labour win, that he could quote later, as having been a part of? or perhaps it just made geographic sense in that it was mid point between 2 other stops. or perhaps his campaign team know from the poling that, that seat would be marginal, but could not bring themselves to fully explain it to the leader?
Comments
If so and there is a by election good news for Jezza
That's even if it *is* a defection rather than a resignation...
It will be a story put out by Labour sources to put off a potential defectee.
Edit: and he was once a SDP and Lib Dem councillor.
Quite a back story: his mother left the household when he was young, and he ended up living in care.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Adonis,_Baron_Adonis
Myners isn't a Labour peer I see.
Cameron's already seen the trouble that lot can make.
That they are leaving Labour for as long as Corbyn is leader
That turned out to be hooey, most defections are surprises, they aren't usually hyped before they've happened
Although I suspect that you weren't being entirely serious...
Like how any backbencher causing a ruckus automatically becomes a 'senior' or 'leading' backbencher.
"Alright Brian, want picking up in the morning?
The blokes name was Brian and he was Asian....
Nothing like a re-rat.
Isn't idle speculation fun?
we'd never do the same about such a TPD.
In any event Labour do not exist as such any more. What we have is the Stop the War Party whose initials conveniently marry with the Socialist Workers Party. It's the membership which have defected.
No chance of Tories winning Rochdale.
Venn diagram of people who appeared on Morecambe and Wise and people who met Stalin: Denis Healey.
"I can't say the word c**t but he's a f**king c**t who deserves a hot poker up his arse"
.@election_data no but I hear it is a lord who is leaving
Can we change the title yet.
Major Labour figure and Lord is a contradiction unless it's Mandelson and then it's no surprise or a major impact to Labour, if it was New Labour yes but not this Labour party.
Just got a text for a Conservative Party staffer: "We are logging off early at the Press Team, Labour activists have done our work for us."
No Corbynite, hasn't said a word about Labour on Twitter for weeks, has already done some work with the Government, and is thought to be friendly with Osborne.
Maybe a resignation now and a move over to the Tories later.
Anyone got a link to the thread that day so we can compare comments?
The treatment of Farage (and his family) was despicable.
Mandelson was always the "brains" behind New Labour so you'd expect him to be first one out of Corbyns Labour Party...
Goodnight.
His family are Labour royalty.
He'll stay and wait for Corbyn to balls things up then topple him.
Mandelson is the second finest political operator of the last thirty years. He won't defect