There’s a fascinating article by Tim Shipman of the Sunday Times (££) published today about the attempts to stop a George Osborne coronation in the race to succeed David Cameron, with 18 (yes eighteen) past and present ministers thinking about running against Osborne. Shipman reports
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Behind every strong personality is an insecure one. 7 minutes of rant to anser just one question.
GE2015 - Farron becomes leader: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 9%
Farron becomes leader - Corbyn becomes leader: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 9%
Corbyn becomes leader - Now: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 7.3%
"GE2015 - Farron becomes leader: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 9%
Farron becomes leader - Corbyn becomes leader: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 9%
Corbyn becomes leader - Now: 7 polls - Tory lead over Labour 7.3%"
Corbyn photographed wearing a shell suit-Tory lead Labour in every constituency except Liverpool.
I do wonder if the English rugby team are secret S&M enthusiasts, given they threw away the Wales game then submitted to a thrashing by Australia. Anyway, I hope the other home nations, especially Scotland, do well.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3259156/BA-tells-Captain-Kirk-Salmond-exactly-boldly-tried-book-flight-Star-Trek-character.html
1. It's another "sitting down" sport
2. He was apparently born in Australia
@kevverage: "I had no knowledge of Michelle Thomson's business dealings until, like everybody else, I read it in the Sunday Times" - Sturgeon
@kevverage: According to Sun Times Sturgeon "hand-picked" Thomson for frontbench role http://t.co/0MKeeW2obF
It might be a sitting down sport but it's tough. I wouldn't expect him to win - it's very much a minority sport - but it would be nice if he made the short list.
In the end, you need agile players to retain your ball at the breakdown, not great blobs lumbering up and flopping over. I hope we learn the lesson.
@kevverage: "I'm not about to let the media educate me" - the SNP must love members like this https://t.co/KE93uIieSo
Some of the names listed haven't started to get appropriate CVs together. It is disturbing that so many MPs are so delusional.
Until one of them comes up with an answer to that and then puts some serious work into making it happen Osborne is and deserves to be the favourite.
http://tinyurl.com/q9wpd8o
Grandstand of course always finished with the football scores teleprinter.... then the final results and Jimmy Hill musing on the wins and losses with reporters phoning in from GPO telephone Boxes on crappy lines with match reports from the main events. David Coleman was one of the main anchors.
This might just be an impression, but the BBC used to mention BTCC a little, whereas now it's on ITV it's like the sport no longer exists.
http://www.itv.com/btcc
Stuart Lancaster overhauls England for next match in World Cup.
Sajid Javid took over a department that had inevitably achieved very little under Cable. Where is the Tory manufacturing strategy to match Osborne's macroeconomics? Where is the deregulation and encouragement for small companies? What, if anything, can his department look to do to encourage housebuilding?
These are Tory areas of weakness and they threaten their domination of the centre ground. At the moment the centre ground is being abandoned by Labour giving the Tories victory by default but nature abhors a vacuum and there is much that could be done in these areas for themselves and, of course, the country.
And now, as I said on the last thread, I have to go back to school and carry on working. Have a nice weekend everyone.
As a non-Conservative, I would remind TSE that his analogy forgets how often the favourite has also fallen at the first fence.
I've long been of the view that the dynamic of the Cameron-Osborne relationship changed after the 2012 Budget since when Osborne has effectively taken over the Government and the Party but has always needed Cameron to deliver the electorate and specifically those who are not naturally inclined toward the Conservatives but liked David Cameron.
The next job is to deliver the EU Referendum and again Cameron's role is to play the "you can trust me" card to wavering and sceptical voters (whichever way he chooses to jump). Choosing to remain in or leave the EU is of course secondary to the preservation of the unity of the Conservative Party (or at least the perception of unity) hence Hancock's comments below.
The only other problem about choosing George Osborne is George Osborne - as others have said, he comes over as a profoundly dislikeable figure and I don't really know why. He lacks Cameron's empathy and while I'm sure in private he is, as Tim Nice-but-Dim would say "a bloody good bloke", his public persona conveys (inadvertently I'm sure) an arrogance and lack of sincerity which is fatal in an aspiring Prime Minister in this media-driven age.
If you want to play an 18-runner race in the immediate, there's the Arc this afternoon and the question as to whether TREVE can win the race for the third time and defeat the English and French Derby winners in the process. I've backed FLINTSHIRE and FREE EAGLE at big prices each way.
The prisoner education changes are my favourite - the Texan initiative looks promising, if hard to implement. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/northamerica/usa/11909309/The-Texas-prison-experiment-that-inspired-Michael-Gove.html
http://news.sky.com/story/1563567/floods-kill-at-least-10-on-french-riviera
Then 2 of them turned out to be members.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/SNP/11584106/SNP-suspends-two-members-involved-in-ugly-anti-Labour-protest.html
Slow political road accidents are fascinating.
Hope your mansion's not been flooded Rog?
I'll know tonight!
The MSM lie, the MSM hyperbolise. There is no point relying on the UK media. If you want to know what's going on in the world it is well worth using a range of sources, the UK media being the most unreliable.
You're now resorting to quoting ranting lunatics like Kevin Hague, a man with only one agenda - a rampant hatred of Scotland and all things Scottish. Your media is trying to built a case on pictures of politicians with people. OMG, how shocking - politician in picture with member of public.
Not to mention "MPs parent's business had problems 25 years ago - BURN THE SNP WITCH". The MSM is descending into self-parody.
Are you also contributing to The Daily Mash?
http://t.co/MnS8bDwzUW http://t.co/E2an0F3dT0
The best part is that it does nothing for the Loyalist argument. It looks like what it is, a risible smear campaign which falls apart when given any reasonable consideration The SNP continue to ride high while Loyalism is dying.
@IsabelOakeshott: Delighted by Sunday Times coverage of #CallMeDave today. They focus on policy content http://t.co/CiQHYcp64L
He really is good at his job.
http://chokkablog.blogspot.co.uk
https://twitter.com/gavinbarwellmp
One about Cameron running a charity race about books or something and one about his wife being related in some roundabout way to someone I've never heard of and care less.
Anyone who's paid for this rubbish should try the PB Book Club instead.
14.15 - 16.00
Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs
Leader of the Conservatives in the European Parliament
Secretary of State for Defence
Secretary of State for International Development
A confession: the more astute among you may be asking why these graphs start in 2008 and why I've used indexed data in two cases. The answer is simple - it serves my argument best to present the data that way.
http://i227.photobucket.com/albums/dd153/Nerindil981/HalflingBarbarian.jpg
If he wants to do that I'm sure he'll know where to look!
Tarquin Fin- tim- lin- bin- whin- bim- lin- bus- stop- F'tang- F'tang- Olé- Biscuitbarrel...
There was even
Malcolm Peter Brian Telescope Adrian Umbrella Stand Jasper Wednesday (pops mouth twice) Stoatgobbler John Raw Vegetable (sound effect of horse whinnying) Arthur Norman Michael (blows squeker) Featherstone Smith (blows whistle) Northgot Edwards Harris (fires pistol, which goes 'whoop') Mason (chuff-chuff-chuff) Frampton Jones Fruitbat Gilbert (sings) 'We'll keep a welcome in the' (three shots, stops singing) Williams If I Could Walk That Way Jenkin (squeker) Tiger-draws Pratt Thompson (sings) 'Raindrops Keep Falling On My Head' Darcy Carter (horn) Pussycat 'Don't Sleep In The Subway' Barton Mannering (hoot, 'whoop') ...............Smith.
http://youtu.be/31FFTx6AKmU
Arguments should be derived from data not the other way around. Hague freely admits he manipulates the data to back up his argument. That is the definition of making it up. The guy is a self-admitted liar and a charlatan.
It's the core problem with Loyalists. Anyone looking at the data with fresh eyes and no ideological bias sees very clearly that Scotland has been harmed from the Union. That's how I went from a staunch (albeit Republican) Unionist, card carrying member of the Conservative and Unionist Party to backing Scottish Independence and voting for the SNP (but not a member, I don't care the vehicle).
The Loyalists can't win an argument because they don't have the numbers, the amount of money drained out of Scotland over the last 50 years is VAST, around £500bn. Even worse, you can see not 200 miles away over the North Sea what retaining that wealth within the country would actually do to an economy and a nation.
But Loyalism is not pragmatic or rational or realist. It is an ideologically driven desire to justify and maintain a Union which is harmful to Scotland. And the only way to justify this is by lying about the numbers - as Hague freely admits he does.
“I replied: ‘At least I don’t have to go through the door sideways!’”
http://www.sunnation.co.uk/swear-at-diane-abbott-jess-she-can/
It appears that in Scottish politics today the ability to encourage that sort of hatred is more important than the ability to engage in (and win) rational debate. The victors are those who succeed in getting the masses to spit their hatred at "them" - at the Tories, at Westminster, at "Red Tories". It's not enough to disagree with those who have different political views; you must hate them.
http://chokkablog.blogspot.co.uk/2015/07/all-you-need-is-hate.html
Once you realise that their primary goal is not to win the next election, everything falls into place.