Categories
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Hillary looks set to struggle in New Hampshire but Sanders
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Hillary looks set to struggle in New Hampshire but Sanders unlikely to be much of a threat elsewhere
Hillary Clinton continues to dominate the betting for the Democratic nomination for next year’s White House Race. She has slipped a bit but she is still a very tight odds on favourite.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
So what's wrong with the religious and racial hatred act? It doesn't seem so bad in principle but perhaps others know more about the law than I do.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/09/25/us-usa-election-biden-exclusive-idUSKCN0RP24Q20150925
https://trove.com/a/What-Is-Taking-Joe-Biden-So-Long.doajs?utm_campaign=hosted&utm_medium=twitter&utm_source=sns&nocrawl=1
Specifically, I do think it has a chilling effect on free speech. It would likely be unlawful to reproduce the Jylands Post cartoons in this country, for example. University Secular societies frequently have their activities restricted to avoid giving offence to those who are annoyed by them. Christian preachers have been prosecuted for saying harsh things about Islam.
In any case the US election is by far the biggest political betting event that there is. That the UK media is not really interested at the moment is irrelevant.
Is this right/really a boost/can he win?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-34355043
LD's Conference NO one was listening.
Green Conference.. NO one was listening
The Labour Conference is the one, lots of popcorn on order.
The Tory conference will be one of self congratulation URrghh
The main Tory dinner is bound to have wild boar pate on the menu.
Well you learn something new every day
Quite so.
I do believe that our JackW is taking the piss, @HYUFD:
This 'Venice' of London began to garner more influence after the second world war, and it soon became known as 'Little' Venice. This apparently was a result of a council decision to save Beauchamp Lodge, and it recalled Byron's labelling of the area as 'Venice.' Not until the 1950's was the area was officially recognised as Little Venice and thus gained wide acceptance. This letter to the Telegraph (opens new window) by Lord Kinross published in 1966 makes it absolutely clear that Browning never called the locale Little Venice, and Kinross shows his annoyance at the constantly perpetuated myth. It is clearly time that BW and the tourist agencies stopped these gross distortions of history.
http://www.londoncanals.co.uk/lvenice/lv00.html
Is Mr Dale feeling the heat, I wonder?
Honoured to have the backing of 7/9 of London's leaders of Tory councils; http://t.co/MQ8QLIbsRn http://t.co/cyy3pX2f97
Sign O' The Times: Top News on the #lab15 timeline is a piece from the Morning Star.
#howdiditevercometothis
For one, it means another Kipper gets some attention, Suzanne is already an established media performer, and also it seems more authentic to have a Londoner who stood in a London seat as the candidate
Lets be fair we could have Mother Theresa as our candidate and we wouldn't win, so whoever would do best isn't really a factor
Otherwise I'll just have to root for Sanders v Trump as that prospect is about the only thing I can think of that would make Congressional Democrats and Republicans work together...
If only there had been betting on such a non descript unimportant heat!
Mr Dale may well be feeling some deserved heat; his decent into mediahood has inevitably coincided with his rise onto pillockhood.
I met him a few years ago at a do in Fuengirola. The conversation began amiably enough but he became incredibly agitated and stalked off after we disagreed strongly about the relative merits of, bizarrely, Ann Widdicombe. It was surreal.
There is an enormous opportunity for some young governor or senator to take this race by the scruff of its neck and run away with it. Hillary's establishment backing didn't matter in the end in 2008 and can be overcome this time too. Any strong showing in Iowa - not a particularly expensive state - will propel the candidate way up the field and up the fundraising ladder. The issue is more organisation: it takes time to prepare and have the activists and campaign in place. Any later than October is really pushing it.
Another example of the dysfunctional, amateur and backstabbing nature of UKIP and it's leaving you "quite pleased".
I guess you can at least hope he is better than David Coburn and doesn't leave UKIP as toxic in London as they now are in Scotland.
But I think the radio and media business, which he may be good at, is more important to him now and colours his actions. I think it demeans him to publish this blatant tittle tattle which incudes trying to smear peoples wives for the fun of it.
Personally I do not have too bad an opinion of Widdicombe, allowing for the fact that everyone has flaws.
:-)
Most British Muslims would deny that the affected building is a "mosque" at all.
Ironically one of the reasons they attract so much vituperation from other Muslim groups in the UK is that their level of integration and westernisation has rendered them "sell-outs", and that they are working against Pakistani and other Muslim interests. Even in Britain they are often abused by other Muslims as "Qadianis" (literally, inhabitants of the Indian town where Mirza Ghulam Ahmad was born, but seen as a derogatory slur) or even "Kafir" (non-believer). In Tooting, Sunni Muslim religious groups have been campaigning for other British-Pakistanis to boycott Ahmadi-owned shops and services. Pakistani internet forums often contain gossip about political, business and military leaders who are "secretly Qadianis", and are acting in concert with the USA and Israel.
The last really able US President was Clinton, especially when he focussed on the job after being somewhat distracted by his jollies. He took governance seriously. Hilary does too but seems to completely lack her husband's easy charm.
Elon University North Carolina general election
Clinton 47% Trump 40%
Bush 46% Clinton 43%
Carson 52% Clinton 41%
http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/092415_ElonPollExecSumm.pdf
Iain asked me if I'd thought of coming to see them on tour when I was next in the UK. My answer was a very polite No but he took it incredibly personally.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-09-20/japan-dumbs-down-its-universities-at-the-wrong-time
Oh wait a minute.......
Harriet Harman blasts Labour over the"clean sweep of men" at the top of the party and tells Jeremy Corbyn to "sort it out".
Oh dear..... And the conference hasn't even started yet.
Sky news
In fact the way you choose to define them hasn't made it to the website of their mosque itself, which describes itself as the "the largest mosque in western europe" http://www.baitulfutuh.org/
Who would have thought it was the left, in their desire to not only stuff the mouths of their muslim supporters with welfare payments, brought in this law as payback for their (multiple) vote?
I've got quite strong personal/professional ties with the Pakistani (and to some extent, wider Muslim) community around London - and actually, it's not a monolithic "community" at all, and has strong divides along pretty much every metric you can think of. Ethnic, linguistic, cultural, denominational, geographic origin, economic background, and - very deeply, but in a way that cuts orthogonally across the other factors - inter-generational. And what I know barely scratches the surface of the complexity.
It's not completely inconceivable...
It's about as unlikely as things get.
Sure I accept that every grouping has factions.
https://twitter.com/ianbremmer?lang=en-gb
http://westwing.wikia.com/wiki/Democratic_presidential_primary_election,_2006
I only scanned the Dale whining after the first few paragraphs, but I wasn't impressed.
http://www.theguardian.com/education/2015/sep/25/labour-lucy-powell-tories-selective-schools-education
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3249351/No-wonder-like-George-China-hails-Osborne-NOT-mentioning-human-rights-week-long-tour.html
Is this the same Lucy Powell who was responsible for Ed M 's successfu l shambolic election program?
If so, she has little credibility - on anything.
However if ether party picks somebody else then I'm less convinced it would work.
An interesting accident of history is the Joseph Smith was roughly historically contemporaneous with Mirza Ghulam Ahmad. For a point of comparison, try telling a Mormon that they're "not technically a Christian".
My initial "careful" comment was somewhat tongue in cheek. Personally, I'd be inclined to call it a mosque, and the to describe Ahmadiyya as "Muslim", because that is how they describe themselves and I am in no position to judge. But if you tell a Sunni Muslim that the Ahmadiyya have the largest mosque in Europe, you may get a laughing response where they point out it's "not technically a mosque". Or if you stumble across a more sectarian person, you may get a surprisingly aggressive response (some Sunnis get very worked up about the Ahmadiyya "pretending" to be Muslims; I've had that kind of reaction from a few folk before and it's pretty unnerving). You may recall that Channel 4 got into controversy for showing the call of prayer during Ramadan a few years back: one odd aspect of that controversy was a rumour (false) that had made its way around social media, that an Ahmadi "mosque" had been used (apparently a photo of an Ahmadi mosque had been selected by an under-zealous picture editor in an article about the series) and Channel 4 were supporting the heretics.
The way one devout Sunni explained it to me, most Muslims accept that different Muslims have different ways of viewing Islam, but they can generally "draw a mental box" that all Muslims fit into, because they believe or follow core precepts, even if they think other sects are wrong on the fine details. So the Shia are wrong (incorrect views on Ali and succession, various historically incorrect practices, too much veneration of saints, blah-di-blah) but in his view they're still "Muslim". The Ahmadiyya, by believing there was an extra prophet after Mohammed, have put themselves firmly outside the box. (The Ahmadis deny this of course: since their prophet was not a "law-giving" prophet like Moses or Jesus or Mohammed, he doesn't "count" as a violation of Mohammed being the final prophet.)
"Who is a Muslim" is a tangled web indeed.