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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whatever the veracity of the story this could stick to “Cal
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whatever the veracity of the story this could stick to “Call me Dave”
As I mentioned in my last post I’ve been driving back from the South of France and only this afternoon did I start to catch up with the story. Nobody really knows whether this is true or not or whether there is more to come out. My guess is that there could be.
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Trump 33% (+ 2%).
Carson 13% (-3%)
Bush 9% (-)
Fiorina 7% (+5%)
Cruz 5% (+1%)
Rubio 4% (-)
Paul 4% (-)
Kasich 4% (-)
Christie 3%. (-)
Walker 2% (-3%)
Huckabee 2% (-2%).
http://www.zogbyanalytics.com/news/649-zogby-poll-trump-widens-lead-after-gop-debate
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/09/is-labour-still-a-unionist-party/
Shame that the middle ground may well not exist any more.
Can you imagine the thousands turning up,otherwise...
Clinton 42% (+5%)
Sanders 24% (-3%)
Biden 22% (+2%)
O'Malley 1%
http://edition.cnn.com/2015/09/21/politics/hillary-clinton-leads-bernie-sanders-2016/index.html
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Project-Fear-Unlikely-Alliance-Kingdom/dp/1849549311/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1442865112&sr=1-1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eu1ssuBaAGM
The lefties will be trading their V Masks in for Pig Masks and using the latter for years to come.
I've backed Fiorina, and I still think she has the best chance amongst them.
I'm sure Trump has some good qualities, but he hides them very effectively. The 'anyone but Trump' vote has to be sufficient to kick him out.
Reason 327 not to ever stand for an elected public position.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/matt/
Does that make it clever or funny?
No, but these are very young men experiencing their first taste of freedom. Groups of them together do silly things that they later cringe in embarrassment when they recollect.
I too have some stories from university but nothing as bizarre as the secret societies and crazy cults you might watch in a trashy american movie or Oxford in the late 80's.
Cameron's student life sounds like it should be part of a Stanley Kubrick film.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/32411241/denmark-passes-law-to-ban-bestiality
I wonder if the chaps ever took their activities offshore ?
Put it away, zip up, grab a pint, get your back slapped by your mates..
Whole thing over in 10 seconds.
Comres is also clearly wrong on subsamples as there is no way the Tories are ahead in Wales, the North and London when they were not even ahead there at the general election.
If you are going to be selective in your Pick'n'Mix reliance on tiny subsamples, you will need to at least be consistent.
Edit. Ahem. Sorry Casino_Royale!
If this story was about Boris then it would probably wouldn't have much impact since he'd have other strengths to fall back on (likeability, humour). But Cameron's main stock in trade was his supposed stature and credibility as a statesman.
You really are a knob. You just are.
However it would appear that the opposite ends up being the case - that to be accepted into the corridors of power it's better to have dirty secrets they can hold over you; almost a requirement in fact.
Initiation rites are a sure indicator of Man's tribalism. It won us the earth. If we can't expand it globally it will likely be our downfall.
Young men get up to all kinds of nonsense, but I would have hoped that a future leader of the country would have had sense enough to just walk away from such debasement for such a silly idiotic gawd-awful asinine reason.*
*assuming this is all true, of course.
Oh hang on, balls....
Besides which it's very difficult to get a heli survival suit and a life jacket onto a goat......
Err... Cough...
So I am told from a friend of a friend of course
:-)
Put it away, zip up, grab a pint, get your back slapped by your mates..
Whole thing over in 10 seconds."
Are we talking about Corbyn and Abbott again? Describing her as "it" is v ungentlemanly
"You're an investigator? How intriguing! Law enforcement, private, corporate/insurance?"
I investigate fraud (amongst other things) in the City. I run a team of a mix of lawyers, accountants and others. Google Kweku Adoboli and you'll get the idea. That case took 14 months (bar 3 days off for a funeral and hospital visit) out of my life.
First column = date; second column = cumulative delegate count out of 2470:
1-Feb-16 30
9-Feb-16 53
20-Feb-16 103
23-Feb-16 133
1-Mar-16 829
5-Mar-16 960
8-Mar-16 1077
13-Mar-16 1100
15-Mar-16 1386
22-Mar-16 1444
5-Apr-16 1486
19-Apr-16 1581
26-Apr-16 1753
3-May-16 1810
10-May-16 1880
17-May-16 1908
7-Jun-16 2211
14-Jun-16 2230
Yes it was.. He will get worse down the pub for coming out with that stuff.
"The evil Machiavellian in me is sensing that this is, in fact, a hatchet job on Ashcroft - not on Cameron. Fed false innuendo and outright lies which he credulously gobbled up, only to make a fool of himself. However, if this is perpetrated by a Cameron fan or inner circle, it is a very high risk strategy. Perhaps someone who has a beef with both Cameron and Ashcroft ..."
I don't think so. Easier to follow the Cockup theory of history - look at the Hitler diaries, or Rathergate.
What you need is someone who really, really wants a story to be true. Then he/she comes across some pre-existing rubbish. Perhaps an idiot who has made up a story that he tells repeatedly to make himself sound like he is in the know. Flattered by the attention, he tells the journalist that it's all true and there even photographs...
The reports that the journalist and Ashcroft are backing away a bit from the story suggest they have found out the photos have an existence problem.
I suggest we hold forth until further subsamples from Scotland and polls from Scotland can be examined. However on the basis of subsamples given Comres' are completely out of tune with May's election results unlike yougov I suggest they be treated with some scepticism.
So not only are you hypocritically using a Comres poll you have previously rubbished as "clearly wrong" and needed to be "treated with scepticism" you are also breaking your own proposition to hold off using subsamples after you were resoundingly spanked by posters of all political backgrounds in yesterday's thread.
I am not sure they get why they lost so heavily in May. Looks like they would do it all over again.
Everyone else wrong but them.
Don't be so gloomy. Judging by your posts you seem to have it right: a wife and daughter to be proud of.
Put it this way, during my late teens my father was ill - dying in fact - and he died 3 weeks before my 21st birthday in my 2nd year at uni. I was well into my twenties before I really learnt to be me and not just a mass of unhappy and furious resentment at my loss.
We live the life we live. No point worrying about "what if". So long as you leave happy memories and people remember you - if they remember you at all - with affection and a smile on their face - well, what else - really - is there.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-34317758
http://tinyurl.com/nm3y2bb
...four years after the supposed blocking of Ashcroft: Preface to Call Me Dave
http://www.lordashcroft.com/call_me_dave_preface.pdf
Clegg's office might be talking only about appointments to the Cabinet.
Risking displeasure in certain quarters I'd offer some good news. GWR is to re-emerge. Maybe this is old, good news, but I've just found out. So Paddington and the like may sport shiny signs once again. Paddington station has small hints of the architecture of Metropolis about it.
Use preview/edit to adjust them till they line up. Then you end up with this...
I am very content with my life now. I just wished I had been more adventurous when I was younger but then, I probably wouldn't have what I have now would I? 3 kids by the way, all interesting and fun.
All elections in the period 1-14 March must allocate delegates proportionally. Winner takes all starts 15 March. So, if one of the novices is still on 30% at that point, the max number of delegates they'll have will be 330-40 (depending on how many % are removed by candidates polling below the cut off). So those other candidates on 10% will only be a total of 200 or so delegates behind on March 14.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is the latest casualty of the crowded Republican…
Scott Walker to Drop Out of 2016 Republican Presidential Race
After a dramatic fall from the top tier of Republican presidential field, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is set to abruptly end his White House bid today.
One thing to always remember is that Squadron Leader Cyclefree, he of one of the few, would be immensely proud......
That's all that matters really and all else pales........ That's the way I always look at it anyway.
HYUFD
"Well Comres and Yougov yesterday had the Scottish Tories over 20% compared to the 14% they got in May"
You really are incorrigible HYUFD. Yesterday you said that the Comres sub samples were rubbish!
There have been 8 full opinion polls since the May election. Last one last week. Average Tory vote just under 14 per cent. Last one 14 per cent. Election performance in 2011 14 per cent.
Tory revival in Scotland - Oh yes and pigs might fly!
@TheSun: EXCLUSIVE: David Cameron attended A-list cocaine party http://t.co/SNZQzgjo60 http://t.co/9YrZe8V9hM