politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first local election night of the Corbyn era with two L

Noel Park (Lab defence) and Woodside (Lab defence) on Haringey
Result of council at last election (2014): Labour 48, Liberal Democrats 9 (Labour majority of 39)
Result of ward at last election (2014) : Emboldened denotes elected
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http://news.liv.ac.uk/2015/09/14/the-liverpool-view-prime-minister-jeremy-corbyn/
Remarkably measured IMO!
http://news.liv.ac.uk/2015/09/14/the-liverpool-view-jeremy-corbyn-the-communicator/
Corbynomics.
Cor-byn-u-spurs
The No side of the Independence Referendum just past was led by a generation of Scottish Labour politicians that had dominated British politics for over a decade and had been a prominent feature of it for two decades.
The general election has swept them aside, or at best into the Lords.
If there is a second referendum then who will lead the no side? Fundamentally all National level Scottish politicians are now SNP politicians. In five years time who will be the heavy weights that stand for the Union?
We shall see!
Bourn's my ward. The independent situation back in 2014 can be overstated: one was a local campaigner against housing development, who the Conservatives selected (and who annoyingly won) in this year's locals. The other was a friend of a local character and good guy, who had once served on the council. Both had some significant friends or campaigns behind them back in 2014.
If anyone wants to know, I voted Lib Dem. I nearly did not, as there was a Lib Dem canvasser outside the station who was sporting the most hideous yellow socks.
We had two Conservative leaflets through the door (one fairly large format), one Lib Dem, and one UKIP. Nothing from Labour and the Greens. If they can't be bothered to leaflet us, I cannot be bothered to vote for them.
There was also some good contact with several of the candidates on the local messageboards.
I'd expect the Conservatives to win, with the Lib Dems a close second.
Scotland is like Labour - full of shit MPs who couldnt carry a sprig of heather let alone an argument.
You know it.
I sense the coverage of Trump is changing. Today it has been his criticism of Fiorina and Jeb's wife that is up front. Up until now it has been broadly positive. Today it isn't.
However, it's certainly had a remarkable impact on me. I've done something today I couldn't have begun to envisage only a week ago: taken out a subscription to D Telegraph (online).
Labour-Uncut & Labourlist have been my websites of choice (after PB!) for some years now. But I'm sick of seeing long-term loyal Labour members, whom I know to be quite a long way to the left of my own views, being dubbed Tories & told to get out.
Demonstrably, the present Labour party wouldn't touch a mild-left-wing person like me with a barge-pole; they'd be insulted by a vote as impure as mine.
"Owes more to Methodism than Marxism"? Not this lot. I'm not much of a one for ill-wishing anyone or any organisation; but (sorry, @NickPalmer) I hope this lot crash & burn. They don't know what they're throwing down the drain.
'If it happens, someone else would be leading it – I’ve moved on from that. It’s something I strongly, strongly believe in and I would play my part, but I did that two-and-half-year campaign and the banking crisis. I think that’s more than enough for one political life.'
http://tinyurl.com/q26xwx7
It's nice that he's moved on.
He is passed a scalpel.
He gulps....
The NSPCC quote seems about spot-on.
Other commentators have already pointed it out - the Tories should be sprawling all over the centre ground and killing soft left supporters with kindness.
The counter argument is that without an effective and credible opposition, there will be a tendency for the administration to drift right, and I think that will be counter-productive in the medium term.
But if it makes you happier: "The judge is insane."
If a future government wants to increase infrastructure spending it can do so. If it did so through a new investment bank, that would also increase spending and debt. But if the new bank was soundly-based, and its bonds guaranteed by the government, financial institutions would queue up to buy them. If, in a subsequent downturn, the monetary policy committee did more QE, it could buy some of these bonds if it chose to do so.
Forcing the Bank to be the exclusive buyer of such bonds in all circumstances, suggests that they would be too dodgy for investors and leave the Bank saddled in way that would risk insolvency (requiring the government to step in and prop it up). Leaving the QE tap permanently turned on would mean higher inflation and interest rates. This is a policy whose time should never come.''
http://www.economicsuk.com/blog/002119.html#more
Some of the people he seems to be promoting alongside his frequently mentioned less than pleasant cheer leaders will start to polarise opinions.
That said in some ways he is a breath of fresh air-an area i don't think people have considered enough is the impact he will have on the next Conservative leader. Osborne will look even more like the consummate politician from the Westminster bubble. An outsider will look even more appealing.
Have there been any further "Corbygaffes" since 6pm?
People who think an abused child is somehow less valuable, or has somehow been 'shamed', are, frankly, asshats who should not have children.
As opposed to all those crimes motivated by altruism and love.
I mean if we both get the same injuries my assailant should get a longer sentence than yours if he attacked me for being a "Paki"
I would imagine that would be palatable across the a wide range of the political spectrum.
Missed the whole of the second half trying to get the fdecking site working.
http://t.co/cUBxZbB6qb
http://www.sunnation.co.uk/depressed-labour-mps-in-talks-to-defect-to-the-tories …
Also note: "There were also cultural concerns that the girls’ future prospects of being regarded as a good candidate for arranged marriages could be damaged."
Children as chattels.
What about the boy who's autistic, or who suffers from tourettes, or who's dressed by his parents in poor and crap clothes, or has ginger hair, or has an out-of-town accent, or is just a bit of a loner, or who is cross-eyed and a bit shy?
These are all crimes motivated by 'hate' on nothing more than the visual appearance of the victim or circumstances beyond his control.
It is not confined to race and the sorts of people who launch such assaults are very similar to those who launch assaults on any of the above.
When I go for a job I want to be hired because I'm the most qualified and suitable person for the job not because of the colour of my skin.
That's only going to stoke up resentment.
Dinnae worry he's apologised on QT for those IRA remarks.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/644618607012540416?lang=en
I think JEO put it very well the other day: the Conservatives should stay where they are, and pursue the manifesto and principles they believe in.
When a sensible Labour leader is (eventually) elected, they will have that much further to travel to meet them to regain power. So, if they want to reshape the British political landscape, it's in the Conservatives interests to pull the middle-ground as close to the Right as possible.
Quite a close approximation to my own position.
It is so successful that they can win a majority with UKIP polling 13%
For these dangerous and divisive elements the legislation proposed in the Race Relations Bill is the very pabulum they need to flourish. Here is the means of showing that the immigrant communities can organise to consolidate their members, to agitate and campaign against their fellow citizens, and to overawe and dominate the rest with the legal weapons which the ignorant and the ill-informed have provided. As I look ahead, I am filled with foreboding; like the Roman, I seem to see "the River Tiber foaming with much blood."
If everyone is equal before the law, that needs to be reflected in sentencing.
If everyone is equal before the law, that needs to be reflected in sentencing."
We should set up our own Tory party but not obsessed with europe and homosexuals and with sensible judiciary policy.
Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron says he has been approched by Labour MPs who are unhappy about Jeremy Corbyn's election victory"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11870776/Jeremy-Corbyn-Labour-party-live.html
Serbia, Croatia and Hungary should hold Merkel responsible for this - and send her the bill:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/34278213/migrant-crisis-in-pictures-whats-happening-on-the-hungarian-border
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-34283152
Has anyone ever over estimated the amount of immigration?
I read a manifesto promising big tax income and inheritance tax cuts, protection of defence spending, immigration controls, EU renegotiation, a reform of human rights law, a repeal of the fox hunting ban, a neo-thatcherite extension of the right to buy, and English votes for English laws.
It got my vote.
Quite.
I should also add that Ed gave me the heebie jeebies.
On that note, goodnight all. Hopefully Europe won't have been consumed by sturm und drang when I wake.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2015/09/16/obama-s-general-just-set-his-isis-war-plan-on-fire.html
The USA has spent $500 million to train just 4-5 syrians to fight for them according to the commander of the U.S. Central Command, Army Gen. Lloyd Austin.
That's about 65 million pounds per soldier.
Just seeing loads of spoilers for it atm - I bet journos are fucking awful friends to have if a new movie or book comes out !
For us to ever join is now totally unthinkable.
*It was also the high water mark of mass immigration, EU integration (more broadly) and multiculturalist zealotry. A truly deeply depressing time to be a Conservative.