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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov polling finds the NHS is the only area where more people trust Corbyn on than distrust him
Via @YouGov
How much, if at all, would you trust Corbyn to take the right decisions on…
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Buckle my Shoe.
For the Holy Trinitee !
After all, in theory, Grant Shapps could lead the Conservatives in to the next election.
"No Jeremy lower, much lower" Diane giggled
Jeremy was starting to get really worried about the YouGov polls now.
#FiftyShadesOfRed
There is a significant sector of the population who don't think with their heads when it comes to the NHS - they just assume that Labour is always to be trusted on the issue (even when the evidence is to the contrary)
Corbyn has had the worse start possible to his leadership. But this polling is not really that significant.
I first visited London in the mid-1970s when it was incredibly depressing - all the building were black with smog dirt and the whole place felt filthy. When I worked there in 1980-2, Westminster Abbey was being cleaned. By the time I returned to the UK in 1985-7, London already felt a completely different and brighter city, just with the clean up.
I think one of the biggest changes came with the relaxation of the shopping hours laws, with Sunday becoming a useful day and making the streets lively, and the relaxation of the pub hours laws making the city more of a 24-hour place. Between Uber and a 24-hour Tube service, I think this process will only continue to strengthen. It will have some downsides, but I am convinced it is mainly positive for the city, and necessary to keep it at the forefront of international cities.
My next stint in London was 1990-91, by when the restaurant culture was changing and then 1997-99, by when it was in my view a better foodie place than either Paris or New York.
I have not lived in London since, but I can say that the Labour years have changed it beyond recognition for me. The population looks very different, and I no longer have any instinctual feel as to the way Londoners think - I am very much a foreigner in London when I visit now.
Children being passed over the heads of the crowd...
Too many hostages to fortune have been given. Appointing McDonnell to Shadow Chancellor was the latest.
He has zero chance of recovering from this in the eyes of the electorate. How could he? There's thirty years of his history on record, which isn't going to go away even if he wanted it to, which it seems he doesn't.
Makes a pleasant change from the Apaches we frequently see.
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#eiCA15 Political Commentator shortlist: @DPJHodges, Dominic Lawson & @JananGanesh
My conclusion is that we should not expect too much downward pressure on them unless Corbyn performs below expectations, which would presumably be pretty hard to do.
Here's a pretty nuanced account from Mark Urban. It's particularly noteable that twice as many people who claim asylum in Germany come from the Balkans, as come from Syria. The former are just taking the proverbial.
I though Corby = good, Corbyn = bad?
It was very different than the rest of it, Trump and Bush had a big nice fight on Trump's terms about corruption in politics.
With that I have to say that there was one winner, Cruz, and 2 losers, Bush and Kasich from that debate.
Trump started great during the first hour but progressively flat-lined as the debate went on and on for 3 hours.
The whole debate was a big shouting match, Carson and Fiorina were too low key and soft spoken perhaps for a debate like that.
Bush was a mush of unpopular policies that he tried to express in a very complicated way and was leveled by Trump on the corruption fight, he was trying to explain himself why he was holding unpopular positions most of the time.
Kasich was terrible, he usually replied to any question with his record in Ohio, even when the moderator asked him why he doesn't attack Hillary and he said he preferred to talk about his record in 1972.
Cruz was the only one apart from Bush that entertained more that one simple narrative and in contrast with Bush he was clear and on the popular side of things, not trying to explain himself.
I know many Muslims in the UK and overseas who are just as enlightened and reformed in their beliefs as anyone else. The problem is that there are also many who are fundamentalists.
Fundamentalism in almost anything is a bad thing. And we shouldn't be afraid of either saying that it's bad or noting the difference.
My hunch, however, is that Donald Trump won't decline much in the polls just yet.
And sort of apropos the previous thread, this is also interesting - http://www.telegraph.co.uk/education/universityeducation/11870429/British-universities-that-give-the-floor-to-extremist-speakers-are-named-and-shamed.html
on topic I suppose that in isolation people, if they distinguish Jezza from his party, think that he would sell Trident to fund more nurses so without any context I am not surprised at this answer.
A bit like the IPPR research we heard about this lunchtime. It wasn't that they were left wing, but that no one trusted them on the economy (reason for Lab's GE failure). Of course all the brains at the IPPR didn't put two and two together to make the link that left wing = economic incompetence.
As I said Corbyn is a low risk low reward candidate, Labour voters love him, Tory voters hate him with a real passion, as a result not many votes will exchange hands, it will just solidify the 2 camps.
The passion of mutual hatred for the other side is probably comparable right now to the relationship between the USA and the USSR in the 1950's.
A worrying article here about Golden Dawn doing well in Greece and campaigning in the islands affected by the migrant crisis
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/16/greek-election-2015-golden-dawn-austerity
We will see more of this in other countries if the EU doesn't get a proper grip on things.
Due to the EU's mishandling of the Euro crisis we have seen the far left make a come back in Europe
Due to the EU's mishandling of the migration crisis we will probably see the far right make a come back next
But at least there haven't been any European wars as the Europhiles say!
- M. H. Thatcher, speech to the American Bar Association (15 July, 1985).
And I know many moderate Labour voters who don't love him and could be in future moderate ex Labour voters.
The anti-Jezza campaign has been conducted solely by Labour supporters of varying degrees of officialdom.
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I hope the Hungarians don't have mounted police.
It would drive the lefties onto the Apoplectic Rage Bus.
Hungarian irregular cavalry had a reputation for taking few prisoners in the 18th Century. Am reading For God and Kaiser - History of The Austrian Army.
For me the real hatred is all on one side. Hatred of middle England has propelled the British left into the arms of people that true progressives have absolutely no business supporting, as Nick Cohen points out in his latest excellent piece.
I don't think Cameron hates Corbyn. He is merely bemused and dismayed by what labour has done.
Matthew D'Ancona in the Guardian believes the tory reaction is quite deliberate.
- M. H. Thatcher Interview for Press Association (10th anniversary as Prime Minister). 3 May 1989
Corbyn didn't exactly make it hard for them.
He could lose votes to UKIP, the Lib Dems and the Tories.
http://metro.co.uk/2015/06/10/18-types-of-cheese-ranked-from-worst-to-best-5234745/
The juicy bits of tittle tattle such as Corby and Abbott little holiday together behind the Iron Curtain just add to the hilarity.
I haven't laughed as much in years.. Pass the popcorn please
She clearly is the media's favourite candidate because she is the only female on the stage, but for those who actually watched her performance it was all smoke without fire, her voice even reminded me of Lane Smith, it's very difficult finding a woman with a male tone in her voice.
Also at the beginning with the first question she even froze with a huge grin of her face for a minute before she finally answered, during that minute were she froze I though "oh no, the wicked witch of the west" .
...and if the tories aren't so evil in 5 years as they are made out to be, well it could be massive.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/9230671/who-runs-our-mosques/
That is 0.1%.
Allowing in people that riot, throw stones and shout "Allah Akhbar" when they don't get their way is probably not going to improve the situation.
If you add together the votes for Labour, SNP, Plaid, Green, TUSC, and treat the Lib Dems a s left wing party for this purpose, you get 48% in Great Britain voting Left. If you add together Conservative and UKIP you get 51%. Now suppose these were two big electoral coalitions.
The Left coalition wins 267 seats, 31 fewer than present. The Right coalition wins 364 seats, 31 more than at present.
For as long as Jezza plays the I'm a reasonable man saying reasonable things the Cons will, as Dave did yesterday, clinically and dispassionately swat him away all day long. No need for the big guns.
It's if/when he let's his mask slip or loses it that the Cons will come out all guns blazing, nationalising this, Hamas that, the IRA the other..
It's win:win for the Cons: reasonable man? Win in 2020 as they did in 2015. Left wing loon? Destroy him with his past.
His lunatic economic plans are Labour lunatic economic plans
His terrorist "friends" are Labour's terrorist friends
Labour might want to portray him as a maverick, but he was endorsed by the PLP (enough to get on the ballot) and overwhelmingly elected by members.
He represents the brand now, and the Tories will spread the tarnish as far and wide as possible in the brief time he remians in post
...
well, it's a view.
I have lived in and visited the region almost my entire life - what's happened to tolerance in the Middle East and Pakistan in my lifetime is entirely depressing. When I lived in Yemen in the early 1980s, whenever a young firebrand would give me a hard time for being a nisraani, the older guys would pipe up to hush him, telling the firebrand I was a person of the Book. Don't hear or see much of that these days.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/9230671/who-runs-our-mosques/
Utterly depressing.
It includes a range of new powers to:
- tackle illegal employment, including a new offence of illegal working
- stop providing support to migrants who do not return home once all claims to asylum have failed
- strengthen our border security
- ensure all public employees in customer-facing roles speak good English
- electronically tag those on immigration bail
- create a new role of Director of Labour Market Enforcement impose a new skills levy on businesses bringing migrant labour into the country so we can reduce our reliance on imported labour, and boost the skills of young people in the UK
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-measures-will-make-it-tougher-than-ever-before-to-live-illegally-in-the-uk
"Whether it is working, renting a flat, having a bank account or driving a car, the new Immigration Bill will help us to take tougher action than ever before on those who flout the law."
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/sep/17/jeremy-corbyn-may-push-for-privy-council-changes
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/sep/16/privy-council-jeremy-corbyn-monarchy-democracy
Bet I know who regrets the decision more
That is why challenging, criticising Islam, not giving it a free pass from criticism (friendly, abusive or otherwise) is so important. The Christian churches faced some very hostile criticism and worse, not just to its doctrines but to its history, to its role within society etc and this forced them to adapt in order to survive. Allowing any sort of special privileges to Islam will insulate it from the need to adapt, if indeed it is capable of adapting. I don't think we should assume that Islam will have a Reformation and an Enlightenment. Both of those arose out of very specific cultural and historical times and it is not a given that they will apply to other religions. It is Western arrogance to assume so. Our policies should be based on the assumption that there won't be any sort of reformation, even as we hope that there might be.
As for the NHS, well both parties are pretty shite on the NHS, like many things.