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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » We have the first poll with Trump leading Clinton
Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton head-to-head, according to a new poll released Friday. The poll by SurveyUSA finds that matched up directly, Trump garners 45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent.
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@JossiasJessup
When it comes to negotiation timing is so important. Having done a lot of preliminary spadework I finally asked the question of Herself while she was sitting replete and content after a damn good Sunday lunch cooked by me.
Anyway, I can go to Duxford for the airshow on Saturday 19th but, and this is the best bit, only if I travel by train and I stay overnight in Cambridge ("I am not having you travelling in the dark").
Result! Not only do I go to the airshow but I get a night on the pop.
Shall I buy a ticket for you? I was thinking maybe we could meet at the station from whence a bus will run to the airshow. Do let me know.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/dad-drowned-syrian-boy-aylan-6376651
“I tried to seek asylum in Canada but my application was rejected."
Someone convince Michelle Obama to run. She'd wipe the floor vs Trump.
Apologies for being personal, but might 1983 refer to the year of your birth?
If so you probably luckily have no, or limited, memories of a less benign Russia that that which purports to be present today.
That doesn't make you wrong, or us older folk right - just we may be a little less trusting.....
Though I wouldn't underestimate the charms of having a night to herself on 'the management! ;-)
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2015/09/italy-post-race-analysis.html
The Russians were as confused as Reagan (Kirkpatrick's) USA - 'who are the bad guys'?
The 'Colonial Power' (in place before Argentina was founded) or the Right Wing Military Dictatorship 'Liberators'?
By the time I got back from Siberia the US President (an age behind the US people, who had almost (yes - IRA Boston, I mean you) no doubt from the start) had decided that the 'will of the people' trumped 'military invasion' any day of the week - so it the familiar record was taken down from the shelf and put on repeat.....
But having visited the USSR - I doubt (m)any of those who lived there (who are still alive) would want to go back!
Mildly surprised it's taking this long. Can't remember how long it took Ricciardo to be disqualified from his 2nd place finish in Australia last year.
Though I have yet to try the prescription!
Exclusive: Though the Assad regime may not be about to collapse, any sign that it is weakening could convince millions of Syrians that it is time to leave the country"
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/isis-are-threatening-to-capture-a-vital-highway-in-syria--the-loss-of-which-could-push-millions-of-refugees-out-of-governmentheld-areas-10488379.html
I don't particularly 'trust' Russia, and I wouldn't advocate doing so. I merely think there's nothing for us in antagonising them. It's a US geopolitical aim to eventually break up the Russian Federation (and eventually China). They will obviously fail, and fail messily. I advocate being circumspect in our support for that ambition. I'm not stupid, I'm not calling for us to declare war on Uncle Sam and man the barricades.
One ten mile walk every morning
One pint of bitter beer and one pound of steak every six hours
One bed at 11 sharp
or, maybe,
Don't stuff up you head with things you don't understand
Whichever, Jerome's physician was a very wise fellow.
Incidentally, a similar thing apparently happened in GP2. The chap [who shall not be named as yet] was disqualified.
Why would Assad possibly implement democratic elections? He is an Alawite in a majority Sunni, deeply sectarian country. He knows full well that democracy would see him immediately voted out of office.
Syria like Iraq needs a federal system where the Sunni bit has someone other than ISIS in charge.
https://twitter.com/IainDale/status/640524823425380352
(If someone could teach me how to embed a tweet..?)
Edit 2: that's odd, when I refreshed it was there.
The liberal elite has spoken.
Although people do seem to be confusing "free movement of labour" with "Schengen". Free movement allows all EU citizens to move to the UK, even though we're not in Schengen.
That said the fundamentals 'don't worry, eat well and exercise' are as sound today as they were when first written....Then of course there's the famous Alice B Toklas recipe 'start with four pounds of cream...'
Of course they have a blind spot when it comes to themselves, but the principle of 'self determination' has been pretty consistent......
The problems with Merkel's madness are that she's effectively said unlimited numbers can come, and then is trying to force compulsory migrant quotas from her country to other EU nations.
It's both stupid and unjustifiable.
Most of the chatter on Twitter suggests engineers reckon disqualification will be the result. We shall see. Hopefully soon.
http://www.breitbart.com/london/2015/09/01/britain-to-overtake-germany-as-eu-nation-with-highest-population/
A convoy of cars driven by German and Austrian activists has crossed into Hungary to pick up migrants and help them reach western Europe.
----
I wonder what the ethnic make up of those so called activists are? It's like seeing an infection of Europe by foreign bodies, and the heads of government in the EU are paralysed by fear and inaction. Well if Western Europe falls to this muslim invasion, they have only themselves to blame. I say Western Europe, because the Eastern leaders are waking up at last.
Who is this Ben Carson bloke? Looks like another Jezza but without the nutterish ideas. A physician, black (or whatever the Septics say nowadays), speaks his mind and a good Christian boy. Should go down well in Hicksville.
Any chance?
Now, having quoted both Jerome and G & S in the space of an hour, when quoting either is in the opinion of Mr. Andy Cooke, respected sometimes gent of this parish, a sign of a soul in torment, I am off for a lie down.
Play nicely.
"JEO.. It is the 83rs...still working out why that tyrant Kennedy was so nasty to that nice cuddly Mr Krushev and uncle Fidel."
They don't know that Fidel did his very best to prevent the 83ers from being born.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-3223828/PETER-HITCHENS-won-t-save-refugees-destroying-country.html
Or do i have to wait for tonights thread?
http://www.itv.com/news/story/2015-09-06/pope-calls-on-every-parish-to-take-in-one-migrant-family/
The man's a fool.
@HurstLlama - as a family we don't impose an official line on political matters. One of my cousins funds Business for Britain; another the IEA; while my father is much more involved in industrial policy matters. You might say that we are entirely apolitical: we all vote conservative.
@SouthamObserver - as always there is a middle ground. He is not innately wicked, and it was more than a toothache. But he wasn't fleeing in fear.
FPT (2 threads ago)
@TimB @TimT - Morristown and NYC.
All this gesture politics is so bizarre - I guess it's just after the Dianniversary.
Edited extra bit: not to mention we opted out of Schengen *and* the Catholic Church [as state religion].
Growing bored waiting for the F1 result...
I'll probably wait a day or so before checking how Ladbrokes handles things, if the result is changed.
Corbyn's an arse.
UK accepted 14605 Asylum Seekers last year. More than 17 other EU countries put together. (figures by Eurostat)
Miss Plato, to be fair, there's some conflict in Ukraine.
As to why Assad would implement reforms, he was already doing so before the conflict started in earnest, and there is no reason to assume he wouldn't continue to do so in exchange for stopping the war. I have my doubts that elections would immediately remove him, but if this is the case, it shouldn't be a problem for the US coalition to allow him to stand should it? It would prove their point. Is it not more likely that they are worried about jubilant scenes on the streets supporting him as has happened so many times in the past?
Before taking any precipitous action ask yourself two questions:
- What would my great-grandfather have done?
- What will my grandchildren think of my decision?
I find it concentrates the mind most splendidly
1995: 81.7m
2000: 82.2m
2005: 82.5m
2010: 81.8m
2014: 81.1m
The UK population was 57.9m in 1995. In 2014 it was 64.6m.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Germany
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demography_of_the_United_Kingdom
Will all the Austrians/Germans heading off to the border in their cars do any checks (nationality/size of extended family/religion) before returning home with the most domesticated-looking refugee they can find?
If Donald Trump gets the Republican Nomination and Bernie Sanders the Democratic Nomination, does that leave enough space and/or appetite for a credible centrist 3rd Party Run? I'm thinking Michal Bloomberg in particular?
In the past 3rd party candidates have struggled even when they have come with millions of there own dollars, like Rose Parot.
But the two parties are no so fares apart they and extreme, puled that way by there own respective special interests, that they have become distant from some many moderate/independent voters.
Perhaps this time could be different? love to here other peoples opinions.
Will all the Austrians/Germans heading off to the border in their cars do any checks (nationality/size of extended family/religion) before returning home with the most domesticated-looking refugee they can find?
The German position is absolutely mad and these scenes where people are welcoming them by clapping etc... paints a very misleading picture of universal support. To me it is very similar to Twitter and polls saying Labour would end up the largest party in May over here and the election result delivered Labour their worse defeat since 1987. The narrative that the German media and government, as well as a few useful idiots, are pushing is, IMO, at odds with the majority of German society.
What's worse is that over here we have the same useful idiots pushing the same idiotic agenda, thankfully the government are made up of grown ups who, for the first time in a while, are not chasing headlines or trying to look as if they are doing something.
If we are going to spend billions on this crisis, then it would be better spent on making the refugee camps and accommodations in Turkey and other neighbouring countries bearable, making Syria a functioning state, even if that means a Yugoslavia style break up along ethnic lines, and cutting a deal with Assad to eliminate ISIS. I'm sure Mr Jessop is going to go berserk again, but in the real world, real adults need to make grown up decisions. We don't live in a utopia where everyone and everything is perfect. Sometimes we have to get into bed with the lesser evil, and among all the groups in Syria, Assad is the lesser evil. ISIS, al-Nusra and the other factions are hardline Islamists who wouldn't hesitate to kill all non-Sunni people in the nation.
Opening the floodgates and accepting between four and seven million refugees/migrants into Europe is going to have a long term cost into the hundreds of billions if not more, it makes much, much more sense to spend a fraction of that cost in Syria and the surrounding countries over the next 10 years so that these people can be settled back into Syria.
I'm very surprised there's been no penalty whatsoever, if that proves true.
But no 'progressive' home should be without one...!
I'd be surprised if a third contender could win in the US or even get close.
Any Migrants from Gloucestershire are not welcome ATM
I feel a bit sorry for Carver. It's asking a lot of a nineteen year old to bowl to Michael Klinger, who is one of the world's best one-day openers, especially when he is well in. I wonder if the Australian selectors might ask him to stick around for a few weeks now Warner is injured?
The Independent @Independent 31m31 minutes ago
Austria to close borders again after 12,000 refugees enter from Hungary in 48 hours http://ind.pn/1hNc58L
The viewer warning says "strong language, full frontal nudity [that's the schools' programming], offensive, sexist and racist language."
PBers of a sensitive disposition should avert their eyes. The PC watchers of today have considerable trouble with it. @CD13 was spot on.
So progressive and socially aware. We need to follow this example and open, then close our border.
What is the approved collective noun for such a migration?