politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Hillary in trouble and can ‘The Donald’ last?

Whilst Clinton and Trump set the pace, a host of other candidates are waiting in the wings. Polling expert Keiran Pedley runs the rule over the 2016 US Presidential hopefuls.
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/Jeremy_Corbyn/11840793/jeremy-corbyn-hamas-praise-israel-palestine-conflict.html
Feel proud.
I hope you're correct Mr Pedley, what a sad pair of misfits these two would make as POTUS.
"Over seven frenetic days, Bill Clinton addressed corporate executives in Switzerland and Denmark, an investors’ group in Sweden and a cluster of business and political leaders in Austria. The former president wrapped up his European trip in the triumphant Spanish Hall at Prague Castle, where he shared his thoughts on energy to a Czech business summit.
His pay: $1.4 million."
http://tinyurl.com/qamhjb9
But you've ducked the final decision: Democrats @ 8/11 or Republicans @ 5/4? I'd be leaning to the latter but there's not a lot in it.
...
Bono and Sir Bob’s song will be recorded and released as soon as they can think of a rhyme for crisis that isn’t Isis."
http://eveningharold.com/2015/09/04/dismay-as-bono-and-bob-geldof-announce-theyre-releasing-a-song-about-refugees/
The ongoing scandal over her alleged use of private email servers to send classified information does not look like going away. Whether fair or not – several other Secretaries of State have used similar arrangements –
You have fallen for one of the Hillary campaign's attack lines to try to minimize the damage from the email scandal.
Indeed, several other Secretaries of State have sent a few emails from non-government accounts during their time in office, and all had also used government email accounts. BUT - nobody else - NOBODY -handled their government email exclusively from their own insecure private server located in their own home and did not have government email accounts at all.
Also there is nothing 'alleged' about this. The FBI is in possession of the server. Hillary admitted its existence long ago.
The latest wrinkle is that the low level State Dept techie who installed it and maintained it has let it be known that if called upon to testify he will take the fifth. It just gets worse.
I suspect that looking at the polling tea leaves to determine her fate regarding the email 'effect' is pointless - she can probably struggle on and win the nomination.
Her email danger is simple - if the FBI indict her, she's gone. If they don't, probably not.
Maybe she is in trouble after all.
Clinton 46%
Trump 44%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/president/
'I am thinking of having my comps Corbyn proofed.'
I'm looking forward to Corbyn's shadow cabinet of 'all the talents' Abbott,Skinner,McDonnell,Meacher,Edstone ,Chuka Weathercock etc should be excellent entertainment..
We do see bodies being taken from the sea on most nightly news programmes here..seems to be the norm and one immigrant has just raped a woman, killed her and then her husband..he arrived from Linya recently... whipped up the locals a bit...I imagine this shit stuff is on its way to you.
“The speech is kind of secondary to … just being able to have a big name at your event,” Strate said. “It might get reported on some form of TV or cable news, which further adds to the prestige and the publicity of the event.”And even if it doesn’t end up on the evening news, almost every conference will put their speeches on YouTube, where there is always a chance it will go viral.
(Politico notes that in one speech to a bowling industry group, Bush let loose the earthshaking bon mot that “bowling is fun.”)
Arf !
Otherwise than the effect on her polling numbers, the email scandal is mainly a potential problem.
The monthly email dumps from State will continue until the last one on January 29 2016. The Iowa caucus is on February 1st, New Hampshire is on the 9th.
The scandal reminds everyone of the Clinton's almost endless scandals, from White Water and the Rose law firm billing records, to the murky operations of the Clinton Foundation and the Clinton Global Initiative, which are financially opaque. Charity Navigator will not rate them.
The FBI will not be rushed, and word is that the investigation is 'broadening'. Owing to the political aspects of this, they will move slow and deliberate.
Miss Plato, I'm mildly surprised Cooper hasn't suggested we do a migration swap, taking 120,000 Syrian refugees in return for sending them 1 Jeremy Corbyn.
http://www.thelocal.it/20150904/billionaire-bids-to-buy-italian-refugee-island
If Corbyn wins and Trump gets the red nod, then this must be a year of lunacy.
Just over a week to find out about the former.
If we are to take refugees, that's the way to do it. Encouraging illegal immigration through potentially fatal sea crossings, as per Merkel, is not.
He's still talking...
https://twitter.com/AVMitchell2010/status/639800054459572224?lang=en
Does he drink tea from a Labour 'Controls on Immigration' pledge mug?
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/elections/2015/09/what-does-our-latest-poll-mean-labour-leadership-race
http://ww2.anglia.ac.uk/ruskin/en/home/microsites/labour_history_research/useful_links.Maincontent.0003.file.tmp/LHRU September 2015 polling.pdf
AN Other would be leading Trump 2 - 1.
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/arkansas/docs/recs.html
Whitewater.....
https://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/special/whitewater/timeline.htm
Alternatively you can simply eat your keyboard
http://www.slashgear.com/keyboard-waffle-iron-tops-kickstarter-goal-just-in-time-for-christmas-27360862/
Didn't the guardian water treatment work on you ;-)
The Beeboids are unfit to have a 40% market share of news imo.
It's now one of those situations on social media in which it is not possible to have an alternative view. You just have to keep your head down.
We are all shy tories now.
Hence their confusion when they encounter someone like Dan Hannan.
https://twitter.com/JonAshworth/status/639797505740394497/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc^tfw
The real question therefore is: what can/should we aim to retain of our civilisation, given that we cannot hang on to the massive wealth differential? And how can we do it?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-34150371
Which politician will be next to have an open doors policy?
Could get 20 or so in there.
I wonder why that is.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3221864/Ed-Miliband-won-t-serve-Jeremy-Corbyn-expected-remain-backbenches-new-leader-chosen.html
"Ed Miliband 'to quit frontline politics' and won't take a job whoever replaces him as Labour leader"
What an odious PR clown he is.
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/09/increasing-wealth-is-the-cause-of-the-great-migration-not-a-cure-for-it/
Monksfield : “'I'm sure there are some but I can't think of them at the moment.”