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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opposition Leader Corbyn would be playing a dangerous game

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  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    edited 2015 29
    felix said:

    justin124 said:

    HYUFD said:

    justin124 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Plato said:
    So Labour won clear victories in 2 of the lowest turnout elections of recent times, 2001 and 2005 and one by a landslide. The Tories won in 1992 on one of the highest turnouts of recent times and Labour lost the popular vote in Feb 1974 on the highest turnout of recent times showing that it is a myth that higher turnout really helps Labour
    I believe there is something in that , and have long suspected that the high turnout in 1992 owed a great deal to reluctant Tories deciding in the final few days to hold their noses.The Sheffield Rally gave Major his majority - though the Tories were always going to be the largest party.
    Kinnock was actually ahead in more polls in 1992 than Miliband was in 2015 and there was even more of a late swing than 2015
    Indeed so - and the Tory lead was 7.6% in 1992 compared with 6.6% in 2015. Had Kinnock been able to restrict the Tory margin to 6.6% - and pre-Sheffield I suspect he would have done - it is likely that Major would have been denied a majority.
    For what it's worth most psephologists are very clear that the Sheffield rally had zero impact on the 1992 GE result. Kellner described it as a myth without basis recently in a BBC Parliament channel discussion on why Labour lost last May.
    I think 'zero' impact is going too far - it affected differential turnout to Tory advantage and thereby boosted their % lead. It certainly was not responsible for the major polling failure that year but there is every chance it added 1% to the Tory lead. Worth remembering too that the Tories won four seats in 1992 by fewer than 100 votes.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    JackW said:

    DavidL said:

    There really should be some positive vetting of Privy Councillors, especially if they are to be given privileged access to sensitive information. I really don't see how this muppet could pass such a procedure.

    This is hardly practical.

    Most vetting officers wouldn't have cleared Harold Wilson and a raft of other cabinet ministers. :smile:

    ......................................................................................

    FPT - HoL reform - Demurring from the JackW proposals is a valid as an unwise Mrs JackW shoe purchase - utterly inexplicable !!

    Most previous traitors have been of the Tory persuasion, it is all that fun at Eton that does it
    This is ridiculous even by your standards. It can only be substantiated by analysis of convicted traitors and their political leanings. I'm sure that like most of your idiocies you have that data at your fingertips. I won't ask as I'm sure you'll be only too keen to enlighten everyone.
    prove me wrong loser or trot on
    So any ridiculous and plainly made-up statement you make is true unless someone bothers to prove otherwise. You are a sanctimonious prat (that may be a bit kind).
    Reggie, you should stick to pulling the girls pigtails and not get mixed up trying it on with big boys.
    You really are of the playground aren't you.
    Whereas you are from the crypt.
    Thus speaks the foetid foetus.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,136
    F1: Grosjean reckons the Monza track will suit Lotus more than Spa. Probably right.

    Mercedes-powered cars should have a lovely day. May be some opportunities in the betting related to that (Force India and Lotus to punch above their weight, I'd guess).
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,136
    edited 2015 29
    Challenge Cup final about as one-sided as the Battle of Cannae.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,750

    Challenge Cup final about as one-sided as the Battle of Cannae.

    Magnificent stuff wasn't it :)
  • MattWMattW Posts: 24,761
    malcolmg said:

    MattW said:

    malcolmg said:

    Enough fun , I am off to dismantle the swimming pool and polish my gas guzzler.

    God God, Mr. G.. Don't you have people who will do that sort of thing for you? Both, and especially the former, sound like jolly hard work. We have some Albanians or some such here in the village who do a spiffing job at car cleaning for very reasonable amounts of money. Perhaps Scotland need some more immigrants.
    I think he means the swimming pool for squirrels.
    For my grandchildren you simpleton.
    Sounds suitable.

    Cover the surface with hazlenuts.
  • Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    Where does the said act require PMs to be PCs. As far as I can see it just requires the First Lord of the Treasury to swear the oath on appointment - it doesn't make him a Privy Councillor.
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