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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three local by-elections tonight – won last time by UKIP, L
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Three local by-elections tonight – won last time by UKIP, LAB & CON
Camborne, Pendarves on Cornwall (UKIP defence)
Result of council at last election (2013): Independents 37, Liberal Democrats 36, Conservatives 31, Labour 8, United Kingdom Independence Party 6, Mebyon Kernow 4, Green Party 1 (No Overall Control, Independents short by 25)
Result of ward at last election (2013):
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With bonus video about Tinfoil Hats, and the importance of wearing one.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=wFNO2sSW-mU
0-0.000001
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kcxzBr-Wihg
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/08/20/yes-its-a-major-problem-that-two-thirds-of-voters-dont-think-hillary-clinton-is-honest-or-trustworthy/
My question to Cooper would be, is it okay for Corbyn to have such links as a backbench MP but not okay if he were leader? Surely she should be calling for him to be kicked out of the party altogether. It's not like this stuff wasn't known three months ago.
Re the Labour Purge.
Has anyone explained how they're going to pull the votes of anyone that has already voted?
(Why use one metaphor when two will do?)
Personally, I don't see how this can continue on this trajectory for another 2 months. Something, surely, has to break by then unless Hillary turns it around.
They may be getting desperate now.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Biden_presidential_campaign,_1988
http://www.ng-digital.co.uk/
Corbyn 1.48/1.49.
News imminent?
The envelope for postal ballots is addressed to the ERS.
Are some party apparatchiks really going to sift through them prior to handing over for counting?
It really is turning into the most epic dogs breakfast.
Piss poor stuff.
For whoever asked, the independent ballot runner can probably identify the voters from the ID codes.
Will you be voting for Corbyn?
Today the fundamental problem is globalisation which has made the once hard won drive for universal standards a near pipedream. For a long time the EU seemed to provide the answer by imposing universal labour standards within the single market, but even that is not enough when competing with the Far East and China. Imposing universal Labour laws across the world just seems too big (or too long term) a mission for many, so they have retreated to their comfort blanket of shouting the same old slogans in the UK without acknowledging the context of the globalised world in which Governments are having to make policy.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/08/20/could_hillary_clinton_lose_the_nomination_127833.html
I largely agree with his analysis save his point three. I don't think it will necessarily take some other candidate to shave off the minority voters from her coalition for sufficient insiders in the Dem leadership to come to the conclusion that she can no longer win the GE and hence that they need to find an alternative candidate.
You show no knowledge of US politics nor of how to read polls at the different stages of the electoral cycle.
"Channel Four News has unearthed footage of Corbyn in 2014 comparing the actions of Isis to US forces retaking the Iraqi city of Fallujah in 2004. “Yes they are brutal, yes some of what they have done is quite appalling, likewise what the Americans did in Fallujah and other places is appalling,” Corbyn told Russia Today.
Corbyn’s campaign, in response, said he regarded Isis as a “vicious, repugnant force that has to be stopped”
Any thoughts on how he proposes to stop them?
They seem to have started reinstating people incorrectly chucked out of the ballot, and apologising.
https://twitter.com/robert_a_sharpe/status/634383601619046400
https://twitter.com/rosieatlarge/status/634367868885442560
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/08/18/students-profile/
Yesterday, I visited some family friends who also support Labour and are very anti-Tory. They were incidentally, quite critical of Corbyn, and the unions' endorsement of him for that matter.
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/milibeard-ed-miliband-fires-fandom-new-salt-pepper-summer-beard-1516333
Remember, the party with a Presumptive Nominee polling numbers are normally exaggerated in relation to those of the party still with many candidates in the race, until the issues are decided and both parties' conference bump has subsided.
Where is there the surprise in Corbyn's remarks. He is and always has been a vicious bigoted anti american anti capitalist anti western pro communist running dog sock puppet lackey.
I show plenty of knowledge of US politics and the GOP does historically tend to pick the frontrunner
Thatcher knew it well when creating a property-owning democracy:
'Economics are the method: the object is to change the soul'.
Also not ruling out legal action re purged voters...
Hence the evidence-free outrage about Page 3 (but curiously nothing about the insidious Cosmopolitan) and the LBGTIQXYZ civil wars, and - for example - a consequent verbal assault on Helen Lewis of the New Statesman of all people.
Separate gender lavatories in British Universities suddenly become a crucial form of global oppression for everyone when the current fashionable outrage is about the rather small transsexual population.
There is also a wry amusement at some activists who have vanished up their own fundament:
https://twitter.com/JessicaValenti/status/629479000684019713
That's an example of an indirect apology. JVG is happy abusing men, but when her method of abusing men is offensive to another group, it suddenly becomes unacceptable.
We know who Corbyn proposes to apologise on behalf of, but who precisely is he going to apologise to?
You're not 'debating' anyone - you merely quote polls. We covered this before.
I show plenty of knowledge of US politics
Bugger all actually. We covered this before too.
Nick has been actively involved in London Labour politics for decades. He is hardly going to come onto a public forum and lay into the next leader of the Labour party. You are expecting too much.
On all of the core economic issues – taxes for the wealthy, nationalisation, redistribution, wages and the role of the government in the economy – the average student is actually to the right of the general public.
This doesn't mean they tend to fall on the right-wing side of the debate, but simply that they fall on the left-wing side to a lesser extent. For example, 45% of students say the top rate of tax should be 50p or more compared to 56% of the public. And 47% of students support the nationalisation of utilities, but among the general public support is at 57%
50 years ago, you'd assume a thirty year old professional from a wealthy home who went to a good university was right wing, while a thirty year old plumber who left school at 16 was left-wing. Now, you'd assume the reverse. That is indeed the worry. Fortunately, UKIP now provides an alternative for people who are disaffected but don't want to vote left.
Matthew Parris argues (convincingly IMHO) that Labour saw its mission originally to advance the interests of the "respectable" working classes and lower middle classes. They shared the view that the poor were essentially feckless.
Whats important is that these people overseas are moved out of poverty into democracy and consumerism so we can sell them stuff. But we will lose the race for that if Citizen Corbyn cripples the economy with unaffordable welfare spending that turns people of working age into couch potatoes.
Christie was never going to be the nominee because he ditched Romney for Obama in the last days of the 2012 election and it showed in the polls as he was and still is the most unpopular republican, way before the corruption scandals and the collapse of New Jersey's finances.
Bush was also never the favourite in my opinion, because republicans had a bad experience with the Bush family, the Tea Party was born partly as a reaction to Bush W's economic policies (the nationalizations, the bailouts ect) and party as a racist thing against Obama, and Jeb Bush loves immigration which is anathema to republicans, not to mention that now he looks to be even more stupid than his brother.
And I went on the Trump bandwagon in May, at the time when many said that he wasn't even running at all, because I know that a TV obsessed audience can be seduced by Trump, he's in the TV business for 30 years and he's done all kinds of shows and he has the money and celebrity to snatch every vote from the audience, and americans love TV.
Excellent post. You are right to bang that particular drum.
Regardless of party politics, the UK needs to rebalance the housing market.
The Tories need to take action because by not doing so, they are giving their opponents the makings of a powerful weapon against them.
'I understand that for those who have taken the highly dodgy / not dodgy (delete as appropriate) step to become become Registered Supporters that they will send you a paper form as well, but that you can vote online with the id codes in your email. I would expect the email to also come from the Electoral Reform Society.'
The email came direct from the Labour party with online voting instructions and no mention of any paper form.
GCSE or lower: Tories 38%, Labour 30%, UKIP 20%, Lib Dems 5%, Greens 2%
A Level: Tories 37%, Labour 31%, UKIP 11%, Lib Dems 8%, Greens 5%
University: Tories 35%, Labour 34%, Lib Dems 11%, UKIP 6%, Greens 6%
Now that they have followed Tsipras into a u-turn, basically they have no reason to exist, a bit like the LD after they entered the coalition.
They will probably lose 2/3 of their voters and fall bellow the 3% threshold to enter parliament.
https://twitter.com/montie/status/634458953859133440
The fact I do not bow down and lick your boots at every opinion you come out with is no evidence at all for you to come out with a totally baseless statement like that!!
On transsexuals, given that many transsexuals suffer discrimination and aren't rich, it certainly isn't rich peoples' problems. Sometimes, we have to care about things that don't interest Sun readers. Otherwise, we may as well let them run the country, and we'll find out how bad things get after that.
'Mine looked like it came from Labour - but the address resolved to ERS.'
Your right,just checked and it says sent by electoral reform services.
It is like squeezing a balloon: fixing one problem can (and will) accentuate problems other people have.
What is needed is a holistic look at housing and all the related problems, and to try and work out a structure that best fits our needs as a country and as individuals.
The only problem is that such changes and he resultant structure will p*ss just about everyone off. So we will just keep on squeezing at that old, tired balloon.