Bar Hill on Cambridgeshire (Con Defence)
Lynda Harford (Con) 787 (46% +1%)
Martin Hale (UKIP) 251 (15% -7%)
Fiona Whelan (Lib Dem) 238 (14% +6%)
Alex Smith (Lab) 235 (14% unchanged)
Claudia Roland (Green) 200 (12% +3%)
Conservative HOLD with a majority of 536 (31%) on a swing of 4% from UKIP to Con
Comments
In the coming months, as Ed surveys the magnificent blossoming of his leadership and his seamless and unstoppable ascent to power, it will be the events of this astonishing week that may cast a blush of bashful pride on that otherwise steadfast and committed face. 9 February to 15 February 2015: the week we changed; the week Britain changed; the week history changed.
Oh and 2nd like Dave
welcome to PB
Also pretty good results for Con given all the poll gloom this week.
Think it could be extremely damaging for one side, if nothing else constantly focusing on the negative blocks out room for the positive.
I was going by his number of posts.
Is he Bob a Fret?
Very funny!
Had me laughing but I have been on the Bacardi and Pepsi Max for last 3 hours.
Half a litre of Bacardi gone think the bottle is leaking!
Gordon Brown’s economic adviser is seen telling a senior journalist that the Bank strongly objected to the plan to hive off regulation of the finance industry to a new watchdog – but they had no “choice” over the decision....
The then-30 year old is later seen jubilant after the BBC’s John Sergeant gave positive coverage of the move to create the Financial Services Authority, telling Mr Brown: “Sergeant bought the whole bloody lot.”
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/11411593/Caught-on-camera-the-day-smoking-Ed-Balls-triumphed-over-the-Bank-of-England.html
+1.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/11411593/Caught-on-camera-the-day-smoking-Ed-Balls-triumphed-over-the-Bank-of-England.html
It suggests that UKIPs local organisation is ropey at best, and that their gains to date have been made on the basis of fighting a good national campaign.
UKIP are likely to have a good national campaign for the general election. They had good campaigns for the elections in 2013 and 2014, so there's little reason to think otherwise. But without the local organisation on the ground, it is probably most likely that in many seats they will fall just short, as they are out-fought in the local campaigning.
It's still possible that with a really good national campaign the tide will be high enough to carry UKIP home in lots of seats despite relatively weak local campaigns, but the experience of the Alliance, for example, suggests this is unlikely.
The point is, ladies and gentlemen, that Ed, for lack of a better word, is good. Ed is right, Ed works. Ed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the Revolutionary spirit. Ed, in all of his forms; Ed for life, for money, for love, knowledge has marked the upward surge of mankind. And Ed, you mark my words, will not only save the Labour Party, but that other malfunctioning corporation called the UK. Thank you very much.
Balls ought to be cast into outer darkness for the way he trashed our regulatory system - not particularly effective at the best of times - on the basis of no knowledge and no experience - not be within 10 weeks of becoming Chancellor.
First bet is a winner NZ over 70 in 1st 15 overs at EVS.
I think you are right though i should quit for the evening
Goodnight and may all your EICIPM bets be profitable
The big picture remains stable, with Labour and Conservatives very close. There were a couple of Conservative leads at the start of the week, but a couple of three point Labour leads at the end of the week mean the UKPR polling average continues to show a two point Labour lead – CON 32%(+1), LAB 34%(+1), LDEM 7%(-1), UKIP 14%(-1), GRN 7%(+1). Whether those two larger leads at the end of the week are anything more than normal sample noise remains to be seen. The MORI poll showing UKIP on just nine percent was their lowest since last September – I wrote on Thursday about the difficulties of actually telling what’s happening to UKIP support given changes in methodology, it looks like they might be declining slightly, but it’s hard to be sure.
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/9245
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/564397780618477568
???????
RIP
Also saw the excellent play 'Classic Ghosts' tonight with Jack Shepherd from Wycliffe and Terence Hardiman very eerie!
http://www.middlegroundtheatre.co.uk/Wordpress/classic-ghosts-2/
Clocks ticking very quickly on Cam and Boy George's political careers now...
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/564397207026425856
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/philadelphia-host-the-democratic-national-convention-2016
https://twitter.com/Sunil_P2/status/564030761100402689
I agree though as I think NZ will make the final myself
Have to say though i am on Guptil at 7/2 to top score in this innings.
Thought I had no chance till BM holed out
"Alexandra Hospital in Redditch sees all A&E consultants quit"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hereford-worcester-31463879
I suspect she might be watching that 50 Shades of Grey film
Although why anyone wants to watch a film about John Major is beyond me!
Anyone know how to improvise on S&M just in case?
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/home-news/hes-back-man-who-cleaned-up-with-900k-indyref-bet-stakes-200k-winnings-on-hung-parlia.1423785027
The Vermont Teddy Bear Company has a 50 shades bear, dressed in a suit and holding a mask and a pair of handcuffs...
http://www.vermontteddybear.com/sellgroup/fifty-shades-of-grey-bear.aspx?bhcp=1
Pity she's mentally way off the reservation in real life.
Gets Coat (dirty rain mac)
but expect i will find out when she arrives home.
https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/02/13/50-shades-left-and-right-sex-and-politics-britain/
They've been headhunted as a team obviously, so doubles all round tonight. Good for them. A nice recruitment package and a decent payrise. Warwick should be looking over their shoulder in case the lads try the same trick twice.
And the BBC get a snazzy political soundbite from the "Save the local thingy" unelected unwashed.
It's win-win for everyone except the percentage of patients there who actually need real medical assistance. But the left don't care about them. It's all about the staff, eh?
?
Bloke walks into the Basingstoke branch of Hills.
"Two hundred grand on no overall majority please mate."
"Card or cash sir?"
Paraded in cages 'to be burned alive' like Jordanian pilot: ISIS releases video claiming to show 17 Kurdish fighters in humiliating procession through Iraqi city
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2952924/ISIS-releases-video-claiming-17-Kurdish-fighters-humiliating-caged-procession-Iraqi-city-Kirkuk.html
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/brent-central/winning-party
Incidentally, I found the interview. He didn't say anything about doing it by phone, but the article does have a photo of the cheque to him. I think it was genuine.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-29314400
TimB Never heard of a 96 before apparently normally a failed 69 according to urban dictionary!
http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/feb/13/lovefilm-founder-backing-labour
But interesting businessman #1 has come clean on why he backs Labour....Cameron wont push for on-shore wind farms, which his company needs to expand.
http://www.parentdish.co.uk/2015/02/13/jose-mourinho-replies-to-six-year-old-aston-villa-fans-plea-for-help/
It was intended as a joke - think about it :-)
''Ed's 'vanilla' tax avloidance'
''From the Sunday Times, 19 September 2004:
“DAVID MILIBAND, the schools minister, and his brother Ed, the chancellor’s economic adviser, are set to avoid paying thousands of pounds in tax through an Inland Revenue loophole which the Labour party pledged to close. ''
Labour are happy to tax the dead, just so long as crypto marxist socialists can posthumously rewrite their wills in the name of tax efficiency.
I think Labour will win the election just as long as good old Ed sticks to edited non-live interviews by Tanya Arnold.
Btw Your seat Dundee West is 1-10, you might as well vote Conservative... I think it's lost.
http://order-order.com/2015/02/13/tories-demand-miliband-sacks-baldwin/
''With the Dowlers’ lawyer getting involved this morning, Tory MP Henry Smith writes to Miliband:
“Mr Baldwin should now examine his conscience and decide whether or not he can continue to speak to the media on your behalf. If he chooses not to resign his post, then you should have the decency to sack him yourself, and make a full, comprehensive and public apology to the Dowler family for his actions.” ''
FU Maybe, but would rather the Kurds than ISIS
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/feb/13/miliband-determined-tax-avoidance
Now after 2 nice pints of Youngs, in Exmouth of all places, I'm off to dreamland. Thats the place thats 2nd star on the Left after EdWorld and straight on 'til morning.
The utter fool, he has no idea of the cunning trap the Tories have laid for him!
In a funny old way, they did "close" that loophole in the Finance Act 2008 - by formalizing and legitimizing it!
It saved me £80k.
Thanks Gord!
NHS crisis: 20,000 ops cancelled at the last minute - the worst figures in a decade
FU Which is why they will fight to defend it
Ed Miliband appears to be part of Labour’s problem. He made little impact in last year’s referendum campaign, and was seen as a “Hampstead socialist”, leading one of what the SNP scathingly calls “the Westminster parties”. Yet, Murphy believes Miliband is part of the solution and wants him to visit Scotland more frequently rather than keep out. His recent visit secured mainly favourable reviews, and he will go again soon.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/commentators/ed-miliband-isnt-labours-problem-in-scotland-hes-the-answer-10045796.html
More Ed in Scotland - bring it on.......
Could definitely get a job as a ringer in local league cricket with that gut.