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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How MPs with bigger majorities are more likely to be non-locals and much less likely to be women
I suppose one reason is that in the more marginal seats there are likely to be more selection contests because there’s a much better chance that they will change hands at a general election.
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It would be a distinction without a difference.
As the incumbents in safe seats retire, however, that will change, as in the constituency where I live:
http://www.wealdenconservatives.com/nus-ghani
We can bet on this of course...
At least you're open about it, I suppose.
Ukip leader tries to visit Rotherham, site of horrific scandal, & is hounded by a mob. And the Left cheers the mob http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/nigel-farage/11395260/Nigel-Farage-abandons-walkabout-in-Rotherham-as-protesters-blockade-him.html …
Another great day for Rotherham, then. http://www.thestar.co.uk/news/local/breaking-rotherham-sex-abuse-scandal-policeman-killed-1-7093216# … Policeman at centre of scandal suddenly killed in car crash.
Here is are the results from the locals
UKIP 46%
Labour 43%
http://www.leftfutures.org/2014/05/rotherham-election-analysis-ukip-win-the-popular-vote-in-disastrous-result-for-labour/
@paulwaugh: Re FT story, Lab spksman: "misleading" to say Mandelson + @campbellclaret sounded out AJohnson. They were checking rumours + told false
He picks his moments.
Oh, and from the article, 'Onlookers described the protesters as noisy but peaceful.'
Rope-A-Dope
Andrew Neil @afneil 2m2 minutes ago
South Yorks policeman Hassan Ali - under investigation by police watchdog re Rotherham child sex abuse scandal - dies following a car crash
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Sarah Champion, on the other hand, has come in from outside of those rotten politics, and has generally being doing a very decent job in very difficult circumstances. All the more disappointing that she should make such an off-key remark.
But it wasn't meant to be a fact finding mission, he was opening the campaign shop in a key target seat.
Don't one why you try to frame it as a fact finding mission? To win an argument on here? Shirley not
Sarah Champion MP @SarahChampionMP
Hilarious Farage is trapped inside the #Rotherham UKIP shop by people objecting to him coming to rubber neck at victims!
12:57 PM - 6 Feb 2015
Labour really are the nasty party - the level of hypocricy in that tweet is staggering and I'm no UKIP fan.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/02/mandy-grunwald-joins-hillary-clinton-team-114949.html
BBC:
13:36: Margaret Hodge attacks Labour links to PwC BBC Radio 4
Labour MP Margaret Hodge
Margaret Hodge MP, the chair of the Public Accounts Committee (PAC) tells the BBC's World at One she thinks it is "inappropriate" for her party's shadow cabinet to be receiving support from staff on secondment from the accountancy firm PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC)
Mob rule is reserved for PMQ's.
Funny as hell. Jog on Farage - your vile Party not wanted in Rotherham.
https://twitter.com/sarahchampionmp
*not actually true
Shrewdies...
What a gift Sarah Champions words will turn out to be in the campaign
Ukip won the popular vote by 3% in the locals and it was neck and neck in the SYPCC election...
Labour a very poor 1/4 shot in rotherham
RT'ing praise is a bit of a dickish thing to do, though plenty of celebs and MPs do...
Shouldn't the nation's mainstream opposition Party be hounding and trouncing the hapless local Labour representation after the egregious failures of care for young girls in the town?
They seem to have melted away and so outsourced the job to vile UKIP goons whose only interest is to exploit community division and hate.
Rotherham sorely needs the Tories to step up to the plate in the area. Where are they?
I think even dear old Hugh would have spotted that this is not a good day for Lab to be giving it large about Rotherham. Can I suggest radio silence on the subject from you for the rest of the day, as a mark of deepest sympathy for the tragic loss of PC Hassan Ali?
Or are they too busy tweeting about the antics of their mob?
I just hope to God there is a Biblical justice descending on Labour. Smiting would be good. I'd settle for a thunderstorm of hail and fire.
I know Churchill was an unusual character, but I think he represented three different constituencies, after losing his seat twice.
Hypocrisy crawls out the woodwork to shame them whenever Labour tries to make a political point these days.
https://twitter.com/sebastianmlowe
Given the consistent abuse she has had from UKIP supporters it's not a surprise that she tweeted what she did. Hopefully, it will not cause her too many problems, though I guess the Mail and one or two other right-wing papers will do a job on her.
twitter.com/emma_hoddinott/status/470672955434074112
@CathyWood55: @pollytoynbee Miliband needs to weaponise Margaret Hodge.
That I would love to see...
By the way, SO, congrats on your posts on Rotherham over the last few days. You get it.
e.g. Miliband x 2, Reeves, Hunt.
Labour presided over the needless death of thousands of patients in Mid Staffs and elsewhere, squandered £billions on a failed IT system and began the systematic privatisation of the NHS but Andy Burnham is indignant when anyone dares criticise Labour's handling of the NHS and it's weaponising of the topic.
Labour presided over the wholesale abuse of thousands of mostly teenage girls by Asian gangs in Rotherham and elsewhere but the current Labour MP blames Nigel Farage for daring to suggest Labour in many parts of the north of England is corrupt and rotten to the core.
Let's see the media actually expose Labour's record in our civic society and across the NHS.
Incidentally I wonder how much happier the LibDem association in Redcar must be today with the resignation of a whole group of Labour councillors.
She was also Minister for Children from 2003 - 2005. Note that this was at a time when councils such as Rotherham were busy turning a blind eye to widespread child abuse in their town.
The fact that she even thought she might be in the running to be Labour candidate for London Mayor and that when she withdrew she bestoyed her imprimatur on a black or ethnic minority candidate is testament only to her monumentally over-sized ego.
As for Ms Hodge I'm sure she was as tireless a worker for PWC as when she used to run Children's Services in, Camden, was it? I forget. OMG I'm Ed Balls!
Aside from the point about many big majorities predating the recent influx of women, I can imagine that places like Glasgow will have a lot of big majorities and a relatively low proportion of working women, so their MPs will tend to reflect the working population.
Fixed it for you...
At least one of your 'stars' went Supernova last night and is heading for a Black Hole
'General Election 2015 Polls Are 'Corrupted' And Should Be Banned, Says Labour Peer
A senior Labour peer has accused polling companies of becoming "corrupted" by money from newspapers who want to influence the outcome of the general election in May.
Lord Foulkes, who was a Labour MP from 1979 until 2005, said polls were increasingly "being manipulated at the behest of people with money, whether they be the media or individuals, as part of the political process". He has also called for there to be a ban on the publication of opinion polls in the weeks leading up to election day.'
https://archive.today/8WMKA#selection-3981.0-3993.334
What is this "bigatry" they oppose?
Hunt is an example of the sort of person who has been so apparently well educated (good A-levels, degree, post-grad etc) that it takes a while to realise that he really is not very intelligent at all, has scarcely an original thought in his head and lacks any sort of curiosity about anything outside his own well-polished but rather limited world, physical and mental.
Mr. Vale, it's a typo. They're industrialists, opposed to a bigger tree.
I know we all make typos sometimes but you would think if you are ordering a large number of placards you would check...