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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If UKIP is a bit on the wane then maybe there are some good bets out there
The only other one on the UKIP “favourites to win” list is Boston and Skegness where there was a promising donor-funded Survation poll for UKIP which has yet to be looked at by Lord A.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5sEcBzxoMB8
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/jan/07/charlie-hebdo-islam-prophet-muhammad
If that is true, it may affect into the debate about where we are with our returning Jihadists.
Can I say that whilst we slightly disagree on the whole 'eu' thing, the slightly independent approach you take to your preferred party as opposed to a purple-herd man is refreshing!
A sort of Tory Carswell if you like....
Liberation corrected - no longer says suspects arrested pic.twitter.com/QBoSKoJxqp
Retweeted by Ross Hawkins
'I think David Cameron has got very lucky with his handling of NHS being knocked off the news agenda.'
Unlucky for Ed,he's got nothing left to talk about.
http://www.dailysabah.com/europe/2015/01/07/at-least-10-dies-at-paris-charlie-hebdo-attack
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/01/07/uk-migration-cap-cameron-merkel_n_6428840.html
Only this morning, in a comment in the first of his two subtle little apparent dig at UKIP threads today OGH opined in a response to the comment that the UKIP vote share in last nights Yougov poll might be because UKIP have not been on the TV for a while "I think that is right. Insurgent parties need to be getting media attention which UKIP haven't had for some time. Even Farage's promise to go "on the wagon" in January has hardly been noticed.
"the potential backlash, including support for far right parties and groups, may well hurt ordinary Muslims more than anyone else,"
not even 24hrs and they pushing the usual nonsense.
The Evening Standard editorial and all its columnists were lauding this and praising Osborne for doing so.
As long as a Muslim supports equal rights, democracy and free speech, I don't expect anything more from them. I just worry about the large number that don't.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B6xq3MUCAAA7ulV.jpg:large
How about our own pathetic press?
Lots of 'absolutely essential', 'absolutely clear' and assertions on the need to be 'very clear', without saying anything in particular, other than tired cliches.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/yemen-bomb-blast-kills-37-4937751
But in that grotesque vision we can see a shadow of ourselves. It's true that Britain and its culture was very deeply affected by the Reformation - even five centuries later, not all our scars are healed. Anti-Catholicism has at times been deeply engrained in society; the rioting might have stopped by 1800 but various inequities continued. Even today some Catholics feel discriminated against by the Protestant/secular majority, but not being one, it's hard to know to what extent that perception simply comes from the discomfort of being a minority. What's hard to deny is that Catholic-slaying Loyalists were tuning into something deep in the British psyche, something that for most of us in an unhappy, distant cultural memory but not one we can completely dissociate ourselves from. Perhaps I should have been angrier on a more personal level with the killers. Instead of my abhorrence of the senseless waste of life, maybe I should have felt sick at how they were hijacking my own culture and values, and twisting them into a justification for their actions.
If I had hit the streets of England in protest, aside from the personal self-affirmation, would it have made one jot of difference to anybody else? I think not. But even if it would have been vacuous from a consequentialist point of view, perhaps I should have done so.
UKIP are best price 8/13 in Thurrock
1. One of the two brothers definitely a criminal record related to terrorism when jailed in France as part of a breakup of a terror cell.
2. There is a strong suggestion both brothers were in Syria with a return date July/August this year.
One comment on this 'military training' thing because blokes turn up in combat gear and appear to know what they are doing. This isn't military at work today training, its experience and its a mentality in the head. Some of the calmest looking killers I've come across, though few are actually calm on a kill, are simply just a) experienced and/or b) of a mentality. Military training in the truest sense of the word isn't a pre-requisite at all. This kind of kill operation isn't the kind that military training trains you for either.
The situation is, not surprisingly, fluid but it appears the French police have some sense of where they are looking. Whether the gunmen, who may well have done the classic two car escape deliberately rather than by circumstance are where the cops are looking is hard to say.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B6x73JjCMAAoCWV.jpg
Even Boris Johnson could do better. It looks like it's written by a twenty-something No.10 staffer, which is probably is.
Breaking: French anti-terror raid under way in the northeastern city of Reims, police say (AFP)
After that, they will have no real power, but their influence on grown up politics will be felt via the Tory Party, and the direction in which it is dragged after Cameron is gone.
Anyway, must get to bed. Early start tomorrow. Goodnight.
1) They first went to the wrong address.
2) They couldn't get in on their own to the building, they had to threaten somebody to enter the code.
3) Apparently they went up the wrong stairs.
4) They didn't know what their targets looked like, they had to ask.
5) The authorities already know who they are, so they must have messed up somewhere.
All of these I doubt highly skilled and highly trained military personnel would fail to plan for.
Is Thanet South the only one with an up to date poll? It would be very interesting if Farage was left high and dry
Statement on Paris shooting from UKIP Communities spokesman @AmjadBashirMEP http://www.ukip.org/statement_on_paris_shooting
http://www.ukip.org/statement_on_paris_shooting
National Poll (YouGov) 06 - 07 Jan:
LAB - 33% (-)
CON - 32% (-1)
UKIP - 15% (+2)
GRN - 7% (-1)
LDEM - 7% (-)
UKIP on the rise again!
If anything the media showing up all the mobile footage on a loop could be argued it desensitises people to this.
But then, suppose I felt I ought to go even if I knew it would achieve nothing, I'd have to consider who else is going to be there. "We're protesting against Islamism" was one of the EDL canards wasn't it? This sort of thing sounds like it could be a magnet for their heavies. Might all go safely and swimmingly, of course, but with something arranged so spontaneously - in fact, hardly "organised" at all - it could all go downhill fast. Certainly not going to cross fingers and trust in the potentially non-existing stewarding.
Even supposing it was all nice and civil, I'd be wondering if the crowd really wanted to see a Muslim face there anyway. They might be disappointed to see a Muslim when they feel they're there to be protesting against Islamism, or Islam, or Muslims. My actions might be misinterpreted. Am I there to mourn? To propose peace, non-violence, tolerance? Or there to defend freedom to offend and The Maxim Most Frequently Misattributed To Voltaire? Am I there - or will I thought to be there - because I'm renouncing key principles of my religion, as many folk seem to be demanding I do?
Some people there seem pretty hostile to my culture. I've heard there are people out waving placards with seriously offensive cartoons on - something similarly severe but mocking a beloved British cultural institution would be denounced as "vile" or "sick" in tomorrow's morning papers. Okay, they're legal. Should be. Free speech means freedom to offend. But folk should know that they're offending. They may not realise the extent of it - think it is puerile but funny, don't grasp the historical and cultural sensitivity of it. They wouldn't, perhaps, wave a placard saying F**K OFF YOU F**KING MUSLIM C**TS AND F**K YOUR F***KING PAEDO PROPHET" even though that might convey a comparable level of offence. Maybe they just don't understand. Possibly they grok it completely. A cute fluffy harmless cartoon is a way to cause (emotional, not physical) hurt, provoke anger, get a reaction, while still staying within acceptable bounds of Western civilised discourse. Either way, packed tight in a mass of bodies, do I want to be stuck up next to these guys? Do I want to be associated with them? Risk my relatives glimpsing me on the news channel standing by their signs?
In terms of risk-reward ratio this is a seriously uncompelling course of action. Anyone who goes, I admire very greatly.
Fieldwork would have started around 4pm yesterday and ended today around 3pm
The not knowing the faces of the staff is surely a huge pointer. We aren't talking about unknown and rarely seem individuals who have been hiding in caves for 10 years, we are talking about very high profile cartoonists who regularly appeared on national tv shows etc.
Also, again in a European city looking for an address, these days there is this thing called google maps....