politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Comres online poll sees the Blues up by 3 points
It fits in with what we’ve seen in recent weeks and months with other pollsters, with there being very little between Tories and Labour, the Lib Dems will be delighted to see daylight between themselves and the Greens.
So Clegg is viewed as close to peoples' average views, but is so untrusted and derided it does him no good I guess. Edit - or the old standard of being too much in the middle, so apart from those who gave exactly in the middle scores, he appears too far left or right for everyone.
Funny to see Boris' rating drop in the 'give you first aid' question, given he has more 'super mayor' stories of involving himself in everyday incidents than the others. And that Clegg does so well in that category. Fluff question though it is, what about him makes people think he's at least just as worthy in that situation as the others?
Keir Starmer had the rules bent for him so that he could take the plum seat of Holborn & St Pancras in the epicentre of Labour’s North London luvviedom. There was one small problem – he only joined the Labour Party last November and under the rules candidates for parliament must have been a member for a year. For a friend of Ed this can be fixed – Labour HQ delayed the selection process until this month, when Kier will have been a party member for the required 12 months. Progressive Prosecco for the Public Prosecutor all round…
Yawn and yawn again. We have now entered the festive? season and there won't be anything worthwhile in polling until 2nd week in January 2015, I suspect.
So man your bottles, crackers and mince pies and flop around in fuzzy disarray until the new year.
In terms of right/left, people probably attach more weight to economic, rather than social, policies, which is probably why they rate the Conservatives as more right wing than Labour.
It also shows why left wing voters won't back the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.
Yawn and yawn again. We have now entered the festive? season and there won't be anything worthwhile in polling until 2nd week in January 2015, I suspect.
I agree, except I would extend that into February. Everyone's skint in January.
Actually on reflection, this looks like a half decent poll for the Tories - only 1% behind Labour and with a juicy 18% UKIP share of the vote to seek to lure back at the GE. Whether this will be enough to prevent a red-dominated bar chart appearing at the top of tomorrow's thread header, we shall have to wait and see.
The question "Give you first aid treatment in an emergency" ie if your life depended on it -
Farage and Johnson bringing up the rear.
It would be interesting to see the male/female analysis of the answers.
Indeed. Fortunately for both of them, I doubt most people would consider that their lives will depend on who their MP/PM is, so they can probably get a pass on that rating.
Actually on reflection, this looks like a half decent poll for the Tories - only 1% behind Labour and with a juicy 18% UKIP share of the vote to seek to lure back at the GE. Whether this will be enough to prevent a red-dominated bar chart at the top of tomorrow's thread header, we shall have to wait and see.
Rofl - you know the answer to your last point - we all do:)
After his recent meeting with the political market maker at Sporting, Mike invited ideas from PBers on possible new spread markets they might offer at the GE. My suggestion would be the Lab+ Con percentage share of the UK vote. There has been much talk recently about the extent to which this has fallen but in fact tonight's ComRes poll shows this as being 67%, compared with 65% in 2010.
Having said that, the "atomic score" of UKIP and Tories are very close, as are Labour and the Greens. Lib Dems seen in the middle, Surprisingly, Clegg is seen there too ! I would have though he would be seen as a soft Tory.
I have a number of friends who are from the Islamic world (one of whom left Oxford for a year to spend it in the conservative hinterlands of Iran),
There is a common thread between what they say about Turkey, Pakistan and Iran. In each country there is a liberal metropolitan elite that is out of touch with the country as a whole. Partly because it is perceived that the liberal metropolitan elite is thought to have the run the country for their own benefit, the countryside has 'rebelled' and become more nationalistic/religious/conservative.
Thinking about it, perhaps there's not so much of a difference between Iran/Turkey/Pakistan and the UK...
A Liberal Democrat MP has quit as a ministerial aide over transport funding in his Eastbourne constituency.
Stephen Lloyd has resigned as parliamentary private secretary to the Energy Secretary Ed Davey over "vague promises" for road improvements.
He criticised the government's "utterly lamentable" failure to fund improvements at an accident blackspot.
In a statement he said he felt Eastbourne had been "let down".
A transport investment strategy announced on Monday did not include a proposal to increase capacity to ease traffic at the blackspot on the A27 between Lewes and Polegate in East Sussex.
In terms of right/left, people probably attach more weight to economic, rather than social, policies, which is probably why they rate the Conservatives as more right wing than Labour.
It also shows why left wing voters won't back the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.
Left wing voters will make the supreme sacrifice, if needed, to vote UKIP, even with that obnoxious Farage at the helm, to keep the Tories out. Why ? UKIP is seen as a temporary phenomena, the Tories are a permanent enemy.
I'm a bit surprised at the Prince Charles score, he's always been pretty close to the Greens.
Prince Charles may be close to the Greens (and Lib Dems) on the envoironment, but he is hardly close to the Greens on economic and nationalisation policies.
Re. Keir Starmer being selected for Holborn & St Pancras:
Despite spending 5 years as DPP, he failed to secure any convictions for FGM. That's a serious failure IMO.
How does it work? Is it the DPP's role to command the police to investigate things like FGM? Or can he and the CPS only deal with prosecutions brought forward by the police? If so, how many cases were given to them in that period?
I guess FGM is a crime where it is easy to know if a crime has been committed on a certain person, and less easy to know who to prosecute. But I probably guess wrong.
(I have shamefully little knowledge on the way the DPP and the CPS, the judiciary, and the various police organisations interact)
After his recent meeting with the political market maker at Sporting, Mike invited ideas from PBers on possible new spread markets they might offer at the GE. My suggestion would be the Lab+ Con percentage share of the UK vote. There has been much talk recently about the extent to which this has fallen but in fact tonight's ComRes poll shows this as being 67%, compared with 65% in 2010.
A better bet, and truer picture, would % of the population (inc non voters) that vote for the big two
43% last time.. was in the 70% area 30 years ago
"I've been dreaming of a time when, the English are sick to death of Labour and Tory..."
I have a number of friends who are from the Islamic world (one of whom left Oxford for a year to spend it in the conservative hinterlands of Iran),
There is a common thread between what they say about Turkey, Pakistan and Iran. In each country there is a liberal metropolitan elite that is out of touch with the country as a whole. Partly because it is perceived that the liberal metropolitan elite is thought to have the run the country for their own benefit, the countryside has 'rebelled' and become more nationalistic/religious/conservative.
Thinking about it, perhaps there's not so much of a difference between Iran/Turkey/Pakistan and the UK...
Who are all these people who think that UKIP is to the left of Cameron? I've only ever met one person who holds that view - a guy I used to work with who wanted to see a Labour-UKIP pact.
I'm a bit surprised at the Prince Charles score, he's always been pretty close to the Greens.
Prince Charles may be close to the Greens (and Lib Dems) on the envoironment, but he is hardly close to the Greens on economic and nationalisation policies.
A Liberal Democrat MP has quit as a ministerial aide over transport funding in his Eastbourne constituency.
Stephen Lloyd has resigned as parliamentary private secretary to the Energy Secretary Ed Davey over "vague promises" for road improvements.
He criticised the government's "utterly lamentable" failure to fund improvements at an accident blackspot.
In a statement he said he felt Eastbourne had been "let down".
A transport investment strategy announced on Monday did not include a proposal to increase capacity to ease traffic at the blackspot on the A27 between Lewes and Polegate in East Sussex.
Keir Starmer had the rules bent for him so that he could take the plum seat of Holborn & St Pancras in the epicentre of Labour’s North London luvviedom. There was one small problem – he only joined the Labour Party last November and under the rules candidates for parliament must have been a member for a year. For a friend of Ed this can be fixed – Labour HQ delayed the selection process until this month, when Kier will have been a party member for the required 12 months. Progressive Prosecco for the Public Prosecutor all round…
Re. Keir Starmer being selected for Holborn & St Pancras:
Despite spending 5 years as DPP, he failed to secure any convictions for FGM. That's a serious failure IMO.
He is reliant on the police to investigate, then the CPS decide whether or not to prosecute, so can you tell me how many investigations were brought to the CPS for FGM by the police?
Who are all these people who think that UKIP is to the left of Cameron? I've only ever met one person who holds that view - a guy I used to work with who wanted to see a Labour-UKIP pact.
Voters aware of UKIPs policies on the NHS and spare room subsidy?
Who are all these people who think that UKIP is to the left of Cameron? I've only ever met one person who holds that view - a guy I used to work with who wanted to see a Labour-UKIP pact.
Voters aware of UKIPs policies on the NHS and spare room subsidy?
Well he could be. He could be to the right or above or below or any other position that he thinks might gather him a vote or two. It all depends on what the papers are saying at any particular time. Cameron has no political principles, but his wife might have.
Who are all these people who think that UKIP is to the left of Cameron? I've only ever met one person who holds that view - a guy I used to work with who wanted to see a Labour-UKIP pact.
I think people see it in economic terms. e.g. Cameron likes cheap labour for corporate interest, while Farage is looking out for the working class.
In terms of right/left, people probably attach more weight to economic, rather than social, policies, which is probably why they rate the Conservatives as more right wing than Labour.
It also shows why left wing voters won't back the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.
Left wing voters will make the supreme sacrifice, if needed, to vote UKIP, even with that obnoxious Farage at the helm, to keep the Tories out. Why ? UKIP is seen as a temporary phenomena, the Tories are a permanent enemy.
It's because the people you see as "left wing voters" aren't actually all that left wing. They are left-leaning economically and right-leaning socially. They prefer UKIP to the Tories because UKIP seem like regular people, while the Tories seem like a combination of aristocrats and London professionals.
Well he could be. He could be to the right or above or below or any other position that he thinks might gather him a vote or two. It all depends on what the papers are saying at any particular time.
Something which of course could never be said about any other individuals or parties. Cameron is definitely unique or egregiously at fault for it.
Well he could be. He could be to the right or above or below or any other position that he thinks might gather him a vote or two. It all depends on what the papers are saying at any particular time.
Something which of course could never be said about any other individuals or parties. Cameron is definitely unique or egregiously at fault for it.
Indeed, he should follow the principled Farage and change policy on the hoof
My guess is that respondents were replying with a mix of economics and immigration in mind, which also happen to be the chief concerns of the people in the UK at the moment. It's the economic factor that brings UKIP to the left of the Conservatives.
As an aside, left wing and right wing aren't mirror opposites in terms of immigration. Right wing gets used a lot with respect to immigration where as left wing doesn't, but I suppose those surveyed could easily enough work out that 'open door' = 'left wing'.
Who are all these people who think that UKIP is to the left of Cameron? I've only ever met one person who holds that view - a guy I used to work with who wanted to see a Labour-UKIP pact.
Voters aware of UKIPs policies on the NHS and spare room subsidy?
Is is worth backing Patrick O'Flynn as next UKIP leader? He's currently 6/1 with Ladbrokes, and with major donors avoiding UKIP like a bad case of the clap, Dirty Desmond might become the dominant donor.
O'Flynn worked for Desmond at the Express for many years before joining UKIP and becoming an elected MEP.
O'Flynn according to reports was critical in getting Dirty Desmond to donate 300k, and the inevitable endorsement at the election for the Dailys Express and Star.
Could Dirty Desmond be the Cardinal Wolsey to O'Flynn/UKIP's Henry VIII?
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
Which pretty much sums up my philosophy as far as politicians and parties are concerned.
Can someone please remind us of the accuracy of ComRes polls? Nevertheless other than 27th October it is the lowest Tory to Labour deficit since the summer.
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
Which pretty much sums up my philosophy as far as politicians and parties are concerned.
Indeed, Mr. Tyndall, but we can all try and make some money betting on the buggers, which is why, I hope, we are all here on this site.
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
All politicians have principles and policies that change.
I prefer to vote not on the chap or lady who might or might not be a liar, but the one going to do best for the country, or more likely the least harm.
We will have 2 English seat polls out next week and the first Scottish polling post Jim Murphy's appointment as SLAB Leader. Stay tuned!
The Conservative share will be down. Most private schools broke up yesterday so it's holiday season.
Kind-of-kidding but not entirely. For all sorts of reasons polls will be pretty pointless until well into January.
I would have though that Christmas & the New Year would be a good time for any governing party on account of [relative] plenty of food and drink, holiday from work [but relatives to contend with], Christmas bonuses [if any] and annual salary reviews [if any]. Equally I would expect things to turn sour by the end of January when the Christmas binging starts to appear on the plastic.
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
All politicians have principles and policies that change.
I prefer to vote not on the chap or lady who might or might not be a liar, but the one going to do best for the country, or more likely the least harm.
Mr. Eagles, it'd be better if we had a significant change to the approach of political reporting. Thinking about it briefly (putting off trying to get some work done), we want the best people at the top. But why would the best enter politics?
The pay is relatively low.
Job security (whether as an MP or being in government) is not good.
The media spotlight is intense and often completely unfair (cf Brown with the letter in the Sun, or the yacht insanity of the broadcast media).
Job security can't be improved upon due to the democratic nature of politics. Basic pay could be and should be hiked. The media's the main problem. It's forensic, even obsessive, over nonsense, but fails to convey the most simplistic aspects of important information (eg how many people still don't know the difference between deficit and debt?).
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
All politicians have principles and policies that change.
I prefer to vote not on the chap or lady who might or might not be a liar, but the one going to do best for the country, or more likely the least harm.
OMRLP then? John Loony will be overjoyed.
John Loony saw sense, and joined the Tory party a year or so ago.
I did like it when a few years ago, a OMRLP proposal actually became law, passports for pets.
David Cameron has been accused of an unjustifiable bid to “buy the general election” as it emerged that ministers have quietly slipped through an unprecedented hike in the amount that parties can spend during the campaign.
Before this week’s official start to the runup to the 2015 general election, the Observer can reveal that the Conservatives have ignored Electoral Commission recommendations and secured a 23% increase in spending. With the Tories having amassed a £78m war chest over the past four years, they can now funnel huge amounts of cash into key seats.
The change to the law on candidates’ election spending, passed without parliamentary debate, was made despite a direct warning by the commission against such “excessive spending to prevent the perception of undue influence over the outcome of the election”.
David Cameron has been accused of an unjustifiable bid to “buy the general election” as it emerged that ministers have quietly slipped through an unprecedented hike in the amount that parties can spend during the campaign.
Before this week’s official start to the runup to the 2015 general election, the Observer can reveal that the Conservatives have ignored Electoral Commission recommendations and secured a 23% increase in spending. With the Tories having amassed a £78m war chest over the past four years, they can now funnel huge amounts of cash into key seats.
The change to the law on candidates’ election spending, passed without parliamentary debate, was made despite a direct warning by the commission against such “excessive spending to prevent the perception of undue influence over the outcome of the election”.
David Cameron has been accused of an unjustifiable bid to “buy the general election” as it emerged that ministers have quietly slipped through an unprecedented hike in the amount that parties can spend during the campaign.
Before this week’s official start to the runup to the 2015 general election, the Observer can reveal that the Conservatives have ignored Electoral Commission recommendations and secured a 23% increase in spending. With the Tories having amassed a £78m war chest over the past four years, they can now funnel huge amounts of cash into key seats.
The change to the law on candidates’ election spending, passed without parliamentary debate, was made despite a direct warning by the commission against such “excessive spending to prevent the perception of undue influence over the outcome of the election”.
In terms of right/left, people probably attach more weight to economic, rather than social, policies, which is probably why they rate the Conservatives as more right wing than Labour.
It also shows why left wing voters won't back the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.
Left wing voters will make the supreme sacrifice, if needed, to vote UKIP, even with that obnoxious Farage at the helm, to keep the Tories out. Why ? UKIP is seen as a temporary phenomena, the Tories are a permanent enemy.
It's because the people you see as "left wing voters" aren't actually all that left wing. They are left-leaning economically and right-leaning socially. They prefer UKIP to the Tories because UKIP seem like regular people, while the Tories seem like a combination of aristocrats and London professionals.
Yes there are a hell of a lot of us that are left-leaning economically and right-leaning socially.
For years we decided that putting up with Thatcherite economic policies was a necessary price to pay to keep Labour and their loony left social policies out. However now the tories have bought into the loony left (Gramascian) agenda, its off to UKIP and if it means Labour win, thats just too bad.
Might as well have loony left idiots in power who have some compassion for the poor and unemployable than loony left idiots who care only for the rich.
Aside from the main story, there's something very notable in that report on campaign spending:
"The Observer has learned that ministers changed the law through a statutory instrument, the terms of which were not debated in the Commons, and which is more usually a vehicle for consensual changes in the law. A Labour source said that the move had not been spotted by them at the time and so they missed the chance to force a vote in the Commons."
It doesn't speak well of Labour party organisation. And what were the Lib Dems doing in all this?
Mr. Eagles, if money = free speech I should sew my lips together
Heh, it's a reference to donating in America
The Supreme Court held in Citizens United that it was unconstitutional to ban free speech through the limitation of independent communications by corporations, associations, and unions,[21] i.e. that corporations and labor unions may spend their own money to support or oppose political candidates through independent communications like television advertisements.[22][23]
This ruling was frequently characterized as permitting corporations and unions to donate to political campaigns,[24] or as removing limits on how much a donor can contribute to a campaign.[25] However, these claims are incorrect, as the ruling did not affect the 1907 Tillman Act's ban on corporate campaign donations (as the Court noted explicitly in its decision[26]), nor the prohibition on foreign corporate donations to American campaigns,[27] nor did it concern campaign contribution limits.[28]
The Citizens United decision did not disturb prohibitions on corporate contributions to candidates, and it did not address whether the government could regulate contributions to groups that make independent expenditures.[22] The Citizens United ruling did however remove the previous ban on corporations and organizations using their treasury funds for direct advocacy
Mr. Eagles, I vaguely recall that. One of the good things about UK elections is the relatively small sums spent. Hiking it for no good reason is not on.
David Cameron has been accused of an unjustifiable bid to “buy the general election” as it emerged that ministers have quietly slipped through an unprecedented hike in the amount that parties can spend during the campaign.
Before this week’s official start to the runup to the 2015 general election, the Observer can reveal that the Conservatives have ignored Electoral Commission recommendations and secured a 23% increase in spending. With the Tories having amassed a £78m war chest over the past four years, they can now funnel huge amounts of cash into key seats.
The change to the law on candidates’ election spending, passed without parliamentary debate, was made despite a direct warning by the commission against such “excessive spending to prevent the perception of undue influence over the outcome of the election”.
TSE, I note that you do not refute the premise that Cameron is unprincipled, you merely state that other politicians are as well. On the basis that they are all liars if one is going to vote for anyone then one may as well vote for a liar whose lies most represent ones' views.
All politicians have principles and policies that change.
I prefer to vote not on the chap or lady who might or might not be a liar, but the one going to do best for the country, or more likely the least harm.
OMRLP then? John Loony will be overjoyed.
John Loony saw sense, and joined the Tory party a year or so ago.
I did like it when a few years ago, a OMRLP proposal actually became law, passports for pets.
Perhaps he could no longer see the difference between the two parties. :-) (I am actually pulling your leg there but it was too good a chance to pass up.)
Also FPT, re 'Sharia' law and support from 16-24 year olds.
I think all people who support Sharia law should go spend 12 weeks living under it.
I suspect very few would continue to support it.
Depends how anally it was implemented, I think you would be surprised how many people would quite like aspects of it, for example many people in inner cities would, I suspect, be quite happy to see burglars, shoplifters and muggers de-handed. Indeed, I suspect if such punishments were carried out at Wembley Stadium you would probably get higher attendances than you do at England matches.
Many might also agree with this Saudi Arabian public service message :-)
Aside from the main story, there's something very notable in that report on campaign spending:
"The Observer has learned that ministers changed the law through a statutory instrument, the terms of which were not debated in the Commons, and which is more usually a vehicle for consensual changes in the law. A Labour source said that the move had not been spotted by them at the time and so they missed the chance to force a vote in the Commons."
It doesn't speak well of Labour party organisation. And what were the Lib Dems doing in all this?
The Lib Dems may well have supported it.
Remember they are going to really put their resources into about 75 seats.
So they can spend their funds more efficiently than the Labour party who will be putting their resources into may be 350-400 seats.
I can't imagine that the giant unions will he holding back when it comes to divying-up their millions to Labour prior to the GE. The LibDims can hardly complain, after all it was they who prevented the overdue Boundary Commission's recommendations being implemented, thereby costing the Tories approx 10 seats net.
Mr. Eagles, whilst I hope Hamilton wins it's worth reminding people that Giggs for some bloody reason won in 2009, when it clearly should've been Jenson Button.
Mr. Eagles, I'm significantly unimpressed by that move on election spending.
Oh it's fine, it's not the Tories' fault that people want to donate money to them and the other parties haven't got a pot to piss in.
Money = Free Speech
Theoretically it does have major betting implications.
Do you really want to get into the situation they have in the States where elections come down to who has the most money to spend?
I have thought long and hard about this issue. Because it's two friends butting up against each other: free of speech, versus diversity of speech.
And I think we have to come down on the side of freedom of speech. It's simply too dangerous to disallow people from having a voice (i.e., say that someone cannot buy advertising time to promote their candidate), just because the consequences bother us.
Likewise, the rules on media exposure must be changed. If The Times or Sky wishes to pretend the Liberal Democrats do not exist, that is there concern.
Obviously the BBC is a problem, but it is one that can be sorted by simply closing it down.
Comments
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-30466832
has been parachuted into Holborn and St Pancras.
Greens on the slide...
Funny to see Boris' rating drop in the 'give you first aid' question, given he has more 'super mayor' stories of involving himself in everyday incidents than the others. And that Clegg does so well in that category. Fluff question though it is, what about him makes people think he's at least just as worthy in that situation as the others?
http://order-order.com/2014/12/13/milibands-favoured-candidate-selected-for-holborn-st-pancras-rules-bent-to-get-keir-starmer-safe-seat/
So man your bottles, crackers and mince pies and flop around in fuzzy disarray until the new year.
It also shows why left wing voters won't back the Conservatives to keep out UKIP.
I'm glad I saw the rather good, if slightly long, Downfall prior to its parodies becoming so well-known.
Farage and Johnson bringing up the rear.
It would be interesting to see the male/female analysis of the answers.
Whether this will be enough to prevent a red-dominated bar chart appearing at the top of tomorrow's thread header, we shall have to wait and see.
There has been much talk recently about the extent to which this has fallen but in fact tonight's ComRes poll shows this as being 67%, compared with 65% in 2010.
Re. Keir Starmer being selected for Holborn & St Pancras:
Despite spending 5 years as DPP, he failed to secure any convictions for FGM. That's a serious failure IMO.
I have a number of friends who are from the Islamic world (one of whom left Oxford for a year to spend it in the conservative hinterlands of Iran),
There is a common thread between what they say about Turkey, Pakistan and Iran. In each country there is a liberal metropolitan elite that is out of touch with the country as a whole. Partly because it is perceived that the liberal metropolitan elite is thought to have the run the country for their own benefit, the countryside has 'rebelled' and become more nationalistic/religious/conservative.
Thinking about it, perhaps there's not so much of a difference between Iran/Turkey/Pakistan and the UK...
Regressives 51%
The nation is split assunder.
*Assuming others are all SNP/PC
A Liberal Democrat MP has quit as a ministerial aide over transport funding in his Eastbourne constituency.
Stephen Lloyd has resigned as parliamentary private secretary to the Energy Secretary Ed Davey over "vague promises" for road improvements.
He criticised the government's "utterly lamentable" failure to fund improvements at an accident blackspot.
In a statement he said he felt Eastbourne had been "let down".
A transport investment strategy announced on Monday did not include a proposal to increase capacity to ease traffic at the blackspot on the A27 between Lewes and Polegate in East Sussex.
I now realise that is not what you were saying at all.
I think all people who support Sharia law should go spend 12 weeks living under it.
I suspect very few would continue to support it.
I guess FGM is a crime where it is easy to know if a crime has been committed on a certain person, and less easy to know who to prosecute. But I probably guess wrong.
(I have shamefully little knowledge on the way the DPP and the CPS, the judiciary, and the various police organisations interact)
43% last time.. was in the 70% area 30 years ago
"I've been dreaming of a time when, the English are sick to death of Labour and Tory..."
So that's a no :-)
We will have 2 English seat polls out next week and the first Scottish polling post Jim Murphy's appointment as SLAB Leader. Stay tuned!
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/nov/22/nigel-farage-policy-eu-migrants-ukip-mp-mark-reckless
As an aside, left wing and right wing aren't mirror opposites in terms of immigration. Right wing gets used a lot with respect to immigration where as left wing doesn't, but I suppose those surveyed could easily enough work out that 'open door' = 'left wing'.
Kind-of-kidding but not entirely. For all sorts of reasons polls will be pretty pointless until well into January.
O'Flynn worked for Desmond at the Express for many years before joining UKIP and becoming an elected MEP.
O'Flynn according to reports was critical in getting Dirty Desmond to donate 300k, and the inevitable endorsement at the election for the Dailys Express and Star.
Could Dirty Desmond be the Cardinal Wolsey to O'Flynn/UKIP's Henry VIII?
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-ukip-leader
LOL !
There's no holiday polling variation.
The Lab share of the vote during the same period was 38,37,35
A year earlier, it was
Con 32,32,33, and Lab was 40,40,38
I prefer to vote not on the chap or lady who might or might not be a liar, but the one going to do best for the country, or more likely the least harm.
60 hours
Equally I would expect things to turn sour by the end of January when the Christmas binging starts to appear on the plastic.
The pay is relatively low.
Job security (whether as an MP or being in government) is not good.
The media spotlight is intense and often completely unfair (cf Brown with the letter in the Sun, or the yacht insanity of the broadcast media).
Job security can't be improved upon due to the democratic nature of politics. Basic pay could be and should be hiked. The media's the main problem. It's forensic, even obsessive, over nonsense, but fails to convey the most simplistic aspects of important information (eg how many people still don't know the difference between deficit and debt?).
I did like it when a few years ago, a OMRLP proposal actually became law, passports for pets.
David Cameron has been accused of an unjustifiable bid to “buy the general election” as it emerged that ministers have quietly slipped through an unprecedented hike in the amount that parties can spend during the campaign.
Before this week’s official start to the runup to the 2015 general election, the Observer can reveal that the Conservatives have ignored Electoral Commission recommendations and secured a 23% increase in spending. With the Tories having amassed a £78m war chest over the past four years, they can now funnel huge amounts of cash into key seats.
The change to the law on candidates’ election spending, passed without parliamentary debate, was made despite a direct warning by the commission against such “excessive spending to prevent the perception of undue influence over the outcome of the election”.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/dec/13/tories-david-cameron-buy-election-campaign-spending
Edit: Just checked, their last poll had a fieldwork of Nov 6th to Nov 13th
A second election in a year would give Labour and Libdems real problems funding it.
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Scottish-Attitudes-November-Tables_1_46.pdf
For years we decided that putting up with Thatcherite economic policies was a necessary price to pay to keep Labour and their loony left social policies out. However now the tories have bought into the loony left (Gramascian) agenda, its off to UKIP and if it means Labour win, thats just too bad.
Might as well have loony left idiots in power who have some compassion for the poor and unemployable than loony left idiots who care only for the rich.
Money = Free Speech
Theoretically it does have major betting implications.
"The Observer has learned that ministers changed the law through a statutory instrument, the terms of which were not debated in the Commons, and which is more usually a vehicle for consensual changes in the law. A Labour source said that the move had not been spotted by them at the time and so they missed the chance to force a vote in the Commons."
It doesn't speak well of Labour party organisation. And what were the Lib Dems doing in all this?
The Supreme Court held in Citizens United that it was unconstitutional to ban free speech through the limitation of independent communications by corporations, associations, and unions,[21] i.e. that corporations and labor unions may spend their own money to support or oppose political candidates through independent communications like television advertisements.[22][23]
This ruling was frequently characterized as permitting corporations and unions to donate to political campaigns,[24] or as removing limits on how much a donor can contribute to a campaign.[25] However, these claims are incorrect, as the ruling did not affect the 1907 Tillman Act's ban on corporate campaign donations (as the Court noted explicitly in its decision[26]), nor the prohibition on foreign corporate donations to American campaigns,[27] nor did it concern campaign contribution limits.[28]
The Citizens United decision did not disturb prohibitions on corporate contributions to candidates, and it did not address whether the government could regulate contributions to groups that make independent expenditures.[22] The Citizens United ruling did however remove the previous ban on corporations and organizations using their treasury funds for direct advocacy
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._Federal_Election_Commission
Though it shows how crap Labour are in not spotting in, and desperately need a decent legal mind in the Commons.
Huzzah for Keir Starmer
Many might also agree with this Saudi Arabian public service message :-)
http://www.maniacworld.com/women-dont-drive.html
Remember they are going to really put their resources into about 75 seats.
So they can spend their funds more efficiently than the Labour party who will be putting their resources into may be 350-400 seats.
Con 32% Lab 32% LD 7% UKIP 16% Greens 7%
The LibDims can hardly complain, after all it was they who prevented the overdue Boundary Commission's recommendations being implemented, thereby costing the Tories approx 10 seats net.
Yougov poll shows 26% think Lewis Hamilton will be BBC sports personality of the year to 9% for Rory McIlroy
You can still back Lewis at 15/8
http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner
Con (nc) Lab (nc) LD (+1) UKIP (-1) Greens (nc)
And I think we have to come down on the side of freedom of speech. It's simply too dangerous to disallow people from having a voice (i.e., say that someone cannot buy advertising time to promote their candidate), just because the consequences bother us.
Likewise, the rules on media exposure must be changed. If The Times or Sky wishes to pretend the Liberal Democrats do not exist, that is there concern.
Obviously the BBC is a problem, but it is one that can be sorted by simply closing it down.
Anyone supporting this, should remember in the future, that their opponents could well be the well funded ones, and then life won't be fun.