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The clouds are gathering over Greece again.
Why, why, why could those useless Scotch pr>cks not have won their stupid referendum and cleared off. They could be well on their way to turning into North Korea by now while the rest of us laugh and elect a sensible government.
@MSmithsonPB: Oxford's Stephen Fisher #BESinsights BES data shows LDs doing badly in its strongholds - more seat losses in prospect?
FPT: Mr. Nabavi, not off-hand, I'm afraid. I read it on Twitter, which I know isn't exactly 100%, but if it weren't for that I would never have heard of the deranged EU VAT law at all.
FPT: Mr. G, Salmond's a divisive, unpleasant creature. Yes, he's intelligent and competent, but he's more irritating than Ed Balls.
If someone changes that perception and suddenly its panic stations.
Evans says you can look at the parties’ policies, and code their policies. We know they have got more similar, he says."
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2014/dec/09/british-election-study-conference-politics-live-blog#block-54870057e4b01a03d33240f8
Why is it usually so dire? Is it the regular host Carolyn Quinn? This week the BES bit had Mark D'arcy.
http://politicalbookie.com/2014/12/09/the-top-10-labour-seats-under-threat-from-ukip/
One bold Ladbrokes customer has just had £1,000 on UKIP winning over 29.5 seats at 9/2.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eastleigh_by-election,_2013#Result
lol
Consumers shall not be refused access to services online on grounds of their Member State of residence unless the refusal is justified by objective criteria in accordance to the Commission Staff Working Document with a view to establishing guidance on the application of Article 20(2) of Directive 2006/123/EC on services in the internal market ('the Services Directive').
https://ec.europa.eu/digital-agenda/en/code-eu-online-rights
So, does the VAT hassle constitute an 'objective criterion' for discrimination? It looks like it might:
With regard to national taxation, in particular VAT, when sales in other Member States make a service provider subject to a registration obligation in those Member States, the costs of the supply can increase, being proportionally higher for SME businesses. These may then be passed on to the customer or justify a refusal to supply. Furthermore, differences in the VAT rates applied to different products and services in the different Member States can explain certain price differences visible to the consumer. Some services that are commonly purchased cross-border include electronic services, for example software and ringtone downloads or access to online games.
From 1 January 2015, operators established in the EU providing these services in the EU will charge VAT at the rate applicable in the Member State where the customer resides. While these new rules aim to reduce, even remove, the effect of competition between Member States’ VAT rates, they may generate costs due to additional complexity. A ‘mini One Stop Shop’ will be introduced as of the same date allowing businesses to register, declare and pay the VAT due in other MemberStates in their own Member State, reducing administrative burden and facilitating cross-border provision of telecommunication, broadcasting and electronic services.
http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/services/docs/services-dir/implementation/report/SWD_2012_146_en.pdf
Page 22
There is something in what you say, but I doubt such an agenda could carry the English MPs in his party. If the polls are any indication, many will have squeaked through in two, three or even four way marginals.
The logic completely escapes me. I can only conclude that Kippers and their Kash are easily parted.
Mr. Socrates, to a lesser extent I know what you mean. Votes at 16 is a stupid idea, but my mind's been largely made up for a long time due to the nature of my constituency.
Mr. Taffys, maybe. Labour MPs are loyal to the point of idiocy. They last time, I think, they rebelled seriously it was over locking people up for 90 days without needing any of that pesky evidence. There's little sign of a serious crack in party discipline when it comes to Labour denying English votes for English laws.
If Miliband wins and ****s up English devolution with poxy artificial city-regions and other such nonsense it'll be a lot harder to clear that away and get English votes let alone an English Parliament. As Mr. Socrates indicates, Labour could **** up English devolution on a long-term basis.
No doubt he'll also try to let in more immigrants too. They, helpfully, aren't connected to Ralph's hated groups and values: "Eton and Harrow, Oxford and Cambridge, the great Clubs, the Times, the Church, the Army, the respectable Sunday papers... good taste, don't rock the boat" etc.
Matthew Goodwin #BESinsights
UKIP non returners to former party motivated by immigration.
With returners it's the economy
The assertion all along has been that the Lib Dem vote will collapse nationwide, potentially losing several deposits as they are no longer seen as a protest vote (UKIP), no longer the place for disaffected lefties (Greens) and are less seen as an alternative anti-Tory option (Labour). There's no explanation why their vote would be holding up in seats they're not challenging.
I have two start-ups in other EU countries, and having to reconfigure things, put in place system to capture the personal data of customers (yes we are now have to be the European VAT police) at the moment etc, in order to be ready for 1st January. I wont be having any time off over Xmas, partly because of this.
It is the removal of any zero band threshold that is a pain. With a start-up you have no idea if and when revenue will pick up, but if I want to sell goods or services even 99p worth across Europe, I now have to jump through a load of extra hoops.
If you think they are going to get 32-35 seats you are getting an extra £2k by taking the 9/2
The person betting it could have bought the seats with SPIN as well but their odds aren't really better are they? Paying 11 seems high to me as I said
That's assuming he has/can get a SPIN account.. as they close anyone with half a clue its probably unlikely
So haven't done the maths, but as you can get better odds with a lower threshold on Betfair, its a BAD BET.. bit is SPIN buy better? Not for me
The best bet is 3-4 seats at 8/1...but you don't rate that either do you?!
May never had the tools. Her mistake was to pretend she did.
Events dear boy, events. Who is best placed to take advantage of another European crisis?
Jane Green #BESinsights LAB picking up most non voters from last 2 GEs maybe raising questions about strength of support
http://www.itv.com/news/wales/2014-12-08/welsh-labour-sees-support-slip-but-faces-no-clear-challenger/
Wales: Lab 36 (-2), Con 23 (=), UKIP 18 (+1), Plaid 11 (=), LD 5 (-1), GRN 5 (-1)
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/6zuj63gt5x/ITVWalesResults_Dec14_Website.pdf
But, as you say, if things turn out differently it'll be me stressed out over registering for VAT in France. So, my plan is to suspend my Smashwords books, and withdraw from Amazon markets in the EU (outside the UK) and see what happens and if horror stories emerge. If not, I'll put them back up. [I may also need to increase prices as it seems the change in the law will increase the tax and reduce the royalty per e-book].
I think I was hoping that the level of optimistic looking ukip backers at Ladbrokes would be reflected in the spreads and result in the price being forced up. But perhaps SPIN have enough clients willing to take the other side to prevent that happening. Not many people are going to take our 1/8 about them getting under 29.5 with five months to go.
It's also a stupid hedge for me, as a really good ukip performance might end up with me looking for a new job, so the winnings could come in handy.
But in January, Mr. Bains stepped down as the principal of the Saltley School and Specialist Science College, saying he could no longer do the job in the face of relentless criticism from the Muslim-dominated school board. It had pressed him, unsuccessfully, to replace some courses with Islamic and Arabic studies, segregate girls and boys and drop a citizenship class on tolerance and democracy in Britain.
“I suppose I was a threat, giving these children more British values, for them to be integrated into society,” Mr. Bains said in his first interview since the controversy over his departure.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/08/world/british-principal-who-resigned-believes-he-was-seen-as-a-threat.html?_r=1
Man, this country is screwed.
We are about to move to compulsory education/training until the age of 18 anyway. So there will be fewer under 18s in employment. With regards to 16 year olds being able to get married and serve in the Armed Forces - well that is quite easy to fix. Remove the right to marry at the age of 16 with parental consent - and only allow people to join the services once they are 18.
We should be doing more to preserve childhood rather than rushing young people into adulthood.
Ozzy has already signed off on City-regional govt for Greater Manchester. A. What's artificial about it? and B. Why should London get it and not other cities?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/magazine-24173194
The chairman of the governing board took to challenging his day-to-day decision making, Mr. Bains said. In one instance he was required to justify every decision he made during a three-month period, Mr. Bains said, including why he had students walk on the right side of the corridor instead of the left, what he said at assemblies and why he made changes to the school website. He had to print and distribute the resulting 300-page document to each of the 15 members of the governing board.
When a student threatened six classmates with a knife, he expelled the boy, a Muslim, in a decision supported by parents and the local authority. But governors reinstated the boy. Because Mr. Bains did not suspend another student, a white boy who had surrendered the weapon, talk spread among staff that he was racist and Islamophobic. He discovered a Facebook post and text messages calling on parents and students to protest against him, he said, and later learned that the message had even been circulated among local mosques.
Conservative Muslims are trying to take over our schools and local governments from Birmingham to Tower Hamlets to teach their exclusionary, intolerant, hateful view of the world. And supposed liberals either do nothing, or criticise those drawing attention to it.
I'm not speaking of mayors. I'm speaking of England getting devolution. The equivalent of a Scottish Parliament isn't a Mancunian Mayoralty.
The only way we can get equality is with an English Parliament (English votes for English laws is a sound first step).
Some of their choices are surprising.
Portsmouth South is one they are not hopeful of retaining. And they won’t fight Gordon very hard, he suggests.
But a seat like Hazel Grove will be interesting. Andrew Stunnell is standing down, he says. The Lib Dems are not spending much money there. But they are spending money in a next door seat, he says."
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2014/dec/09/british-election-study-conference-politics-live-blog#block-5487121ee4b02f79feb619d1
We need to stop letting people like this in our country.