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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LD gain a seat from LAB but lose one to CON in this wee
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The LD gain a seat from LAB but lose one to CON in this week’s round of local elections
Queen Edith’s on Cambridge (Lab Defence)
Result: Liberal Democrats 933 (36% +1%), Labour 790 (31% -9%), Conservatives 614 (24% +5%), Green 222 (9% +3%)
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour with a majority of 143 (5%) on a swing of 5% from Labour to Liberal Democrat
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http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-30052726
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-30053692
"Four men have been detained by police following an investigation into the sale of Rangers Football Club in 2011."
Not my expertise but that's my understanding.
"Tower Hamlets has the highest rate of children living under the poverty line[17] and, after Newham, the second highest rate of overcrowding.[18] According to the recent report of the Tower Hamlets Fairness Commission, one in five households living in Tower Hamlets earns less than £15,000. Yet, largely because it contains Canary Wharf and areas that border the City, the average income of those who work in the borough is an astounding £78,000.[19]"
http://www.publicspirit.org.uk/immigration-and-diversity-in-tower-hamlets/
Whenever they report on this it is always late 70's, early 80's. Of course, nothing was happening before this or after.
For things to really happen the people in the areas affected have to turf out the labour administrations that have presided over this misrule.
At one point I was confident they would, now I'm not so sure.
One of our posters (apologies, forgot who), claimed here a few weeks ago that the worst crime ever was racism. Yep, worse than murder and child abuse. Most of us would disagree. Those who govern us don't.
a) Read it and roll their eyes at people getting upset about thousands of uninvestigated rapes?
b) Read it and nod silently in agreement but don't mention it to anyone else out of some desire not to ruffle feathers?
c) Raise the issue with the highers ups but be told in no uncertain terms not to go public with it?
I find the (lack of) reaction completely unfathomable.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/ed-miliband/8039829/Red-Ed-Miliband-lives-in-1.6m-house-after-shrewd-property-moves.html
He and his brother, David, signed a “deed of variation” along with their mother, Marion, following the death of their father Ralph, an influential Marxist academic, in 1994.
This gave them each a 20 per cent stake in the four-storey house in Edis Street, reducing the inheritance tax eventually payable on the estate.
"When another hack asked if Ed felt he had made any mistakes as leader, one passionate activist audibly spat out ‘yes, taking a question from you.’ After Ed had disappeared to rousing clapping and cheering, things got really heated. One party member even saw fit to come over to the media corner and openly berate the gathered hacks:
The same woman was later heard by your humble correspondent shouting in the lobby those that had asked questions were ‘worse than Hitler’s henchmen stirring up hatred against the Jews’. Surely a late contender for the stupidest comment of the year?"
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/11/labours-war-on-the-media-is-working-as-activists-turn-on-hacks/
So when is your DT blog about Rotherhamgate and zero response to it coming out? You have alot more personal power than the rest of us here on PB to help in some small way. Get off yer arse!
On a serious note, all politicians/governments get a rough time from the press, especially when they deserve it. And history is littered with both Labour and Conservative leaders railing at the perceived bias of the BBC. It is one area where Cameron deserves great credit, and Clegg too. After the paranoia and on-message censorship of the Blair and Brown years, this government has been refreshingly sanguine about media batterings.
Can point to numerous examples.
On underground trains, for one thing, there's a huge physical constraint on the sheer basis of space. You have to dig deeper and deeper to dodge the existing tunnels, and it gets ever more pricier each time. Did you see the huge hole in the West End for Crossrail?
And then, of course, you need to build the new stations for these magical new lines. Where are they going to go? By building over London's parks?
solesoul.£100 at 10/1 21-25!
Maybe you should ask who could do something about it? Home Office or relevant local authorities I would guess.
I think it's a bit silly to send teeny, weeny Tube trains out to such places as Heathrow, West Ruislip, Epping, Hainault, Stanmore, Edgware, Mill Hill and Barnet.
The money isn't a problem, you have loads more passengers and taxpayers to pay for it. As far as depth goes Tokyo managed fine with the Oedo Line, which can't go much deeper for fear of cutting through gas lines in Brazil. Station buildings have awesome foot traffic can be filled with shops and restaurants, making them huge money-spinners. As far as space goes there are three dimensions not two (not counting time, as our technology for making use of it is limited), and apart from a few locations London only uses a fraction of its available vertical space. They don't even have earthquakes to deal with, it's not a difficult problem.
Paddy Power 25.5 and under, Ladbrokes 26-30 and Ladbrokes 31+ is a 96% book.
Just saying...
£120 @ 5-6 6.5+ ^_~
And, if not, well we'd have survived. But at least it would have meant that British citizens would enjoy the advantages of British criminal law.
And I'm well aware that it would also mean that we could not pursue people who fled abroad. But, as you put it, governing is about choosing. And May should have chosen to put the interests of the British first.
Whereas in this case, the victim of a crime - a very serious crime - is facing the prospect of being prosecuted for reporting that crime. Given the very strong efforts that are being made to encourage the victims of sexual abuse to come forward, what message do you think such a case sends out?
There are lots of cases where someone charged with rape is acquitted. It does not follow that the victim is then prosecuted for making a false allegation. Such a reaction would be absurd and contrary to the public interest. It is only in the most serious of cases that such action is even contemplated by the CPS. And as you will be aware there was the very recent tragic case of a young woman who killed herself when faced with exactly that prospect.
May should tell the Italian Justice Minister that we are not going to extradite the victims of rape, that we expect the Italian police to investigate this crime thoroughly and that it is only if there is evidence which would justify the CPS here bringing a charge of obstructing the course of justice (taking into account the public interest in doing so etc) - to be tested by the CPS here according the British criminal legal standards - will we even contemplate extradition.
http://www.crossrail.co.uk/route/stations/canary-wharf/
and TCR:
http://www.crossrail.co.uk/benefits/changing-spaces-building-communities/enhancing-the-space-in-which-our-stations-will-sit/tottenham-court-road
I don't know how applicable this is to Tokyo, but one problem with London is that the ground is not particularly good for tunnelling (or skyscrapers, either), with lots of water-bearing sand and gravels at depths.
http://www.tunneltalk.com/Crossrail-Aug10-Site-investigation-and-geology.php
Oh, and travelling down and up to lines dug every deeper eats into everyone's commuting time, making their lives just that extra bit worse, after already dealing with the constant construction projects and line closures, and the sheer congestion as we can't build fast enough. And what's the purpose of all of this? To accommodate huge numbers of unskilled migrants that bring little benefit to the nation (or in fact a huge cost in many cases).
Orkney and Shetland and most likely Ross, Skye and Lochaber are staying Lib Dem I'd guess
Probably Caithness, Sutherland too.
3 seats.
The Tories probably gain 2 (Dumfries & Galloway & Aberdeen, Kincardine) on a very good night there (Are there any I've missed ?) ... @TSE's prediction of Edinburgh South is fanciful I feel.
So that's 26.5 seats as the most seats "line", which is more or less in line with the 11-8 ?
On a very, very, very good night for the SNP I think Tories + Lib Dems struggle to get to anywhere near 18 which is the implied line you'd need for a straight pseudo-arb.
Or am I missing something big here ?
Thanks for pointing it out btw.
That's without even mentioning the fact that there is no certainty that any extradition is actually being requested, or that if it were requested it would be granted, or that it wouldn't equally be granted under any other extradition arrangement we might have.
You are also immediately jumping to the conclusion that the Italian police haven't investigated thoroughly. How on earth do you know that?
Essentially, you haven't the faintest clue about this case, if indeed there is any case.
Nor have I, but the difference is that I don't rush to any judgement on it.
High fives in the marketing dept.
There only needs to be one high profile case of an innocent Briton spending years in an east European jail without trial for UKIP to smash the tories to pieces on this. The last bastion of British conservatism. Upholding the rights and liberty of the British citizen against foreign interference.
May would realise this instantly if she had any principle whatsoever beyond looking a decent bet for the leadership. But she doesn't.
And when the above happens we'll have another desperate round of 'we;ve got this covered' backside covering from May and her gaggle of civil servants.
The SNP force meets the Labour majority object
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TTv7UoK8oJY&sns=em
But I am also making the point - which you appear to be ignoring - that there is a very strong public interest in ensuring that victims of crimes, particularly sexual crimes, are not dissuaded from reporting such crimes. And I asked you a specific question about what effect you thought such behaviour by the authorities would have on victims of such crimes, of which I have been one.
We have - tragically - a recent case in this country, which might give us a clue.
The point is this: under the EAW there is very little scope for challenging any extradition request which might be made even if, on the same evidence, a British prosecutor would decide that it was not in the public interest to bring such a case. An alternative extradition treaty would give us the possibility - as used to be the case before the EAW - to impose such requirements.
I have some considerable experience of the Italian criminal system. In consequence I have little regard for it, I'm sorry to say.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2834465/Watchdog-primed-investigate-Sainsbury-s-Christmas-advert-complaints-flood-use-WWI-imagery-promote-company.html
They had a perfectly good ethnic minority scapegoat lined up until a member of the Italian public inconveniently came forward and said he could not have done it.
They were then obliged to actually investigate the case, by which time much of the crime scene evidence had been contaminated.
However, you seem to have got things a bit the wrong way round. You seem to be starting from the conclusion that any position of the current Conservative leadership is by definition wrong, and that therefore any argument which supports, at least partially, that position must also be wrong, even if you can't see a flaw in the argument.
Try keeping an open mind, and read what I actually say on its own merits. You might eventually discover that it is the arguments which lead to me supporting, in most cases, the current Conservative position on many issues. It is never the other way round.
The EAW would be a lot better if the country seeking the extradition had to show a prima facie case for the charge being made, which was essentially the law before the EAW was invented. It meant that if the evidence was non-existent or worthless or the offence did not exist under English law then there would be no extradition. It provided some protection against wholly unfounded, frivolous or malicious extradition requests. But this basic element of justice has been sacrificed for administrative convenience. I think that a bad thing.
I also depressingly see that the petition to get Katy(?) Hopkins ARRESTED has reached a 1000. Apparently she has tweeted things 'offensive' to muslims . Can the UK please grow up!!
"Whereas in this case, the victim of a crime - a very serious crime - is facing the prospect of being prosecuted for reporting that crime."
Not much room for doubt there that you've made a judgement. No 'alleged', or 'possibly', or 'it is claimed that' or 'whilst we don't know the full facts, it might be that..'.
@SamCoatesTimes: Could the opening of this be any more patronising? https://t.co/Z66j5TEYN6
@SamCoatesTimes: @SamCoatesTimes Dear voter. Are you simple? Well let me put this in words of one syllable
Tories winning Berwickshire?
http://www.politics.hu/20141112/talk-of-dictatorship-empty-ideological-says-kertesz/
You can see exactly what headline the New York Times journalist had got in mind.
Hungary has pretty lousy politics, but it's a bit more complicated than just labelling it a dictatorship.
I don't know what it is that makes people lose all sense of reality when Europe is mentioned.
Rather than invent daft theories to explain things, why not consider that I might actually be right, that the government has decided this is the least bad of the options available? By all means argue that they've got it wrong, but at least try to get your head round the idea that they might have considered the options and genuinely come to the conclusion which they say they have come to.
Mr. Pulpstar, I forget the play, but the Romeo and Juliet ending is, I believe, stolen from the Greeks.
F1: Caterham may race in Abu Dhabi. Very surprised things seem rosier for them than Marussia:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/30055510
Horner doesn't think top teams should help smaller ones:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/30052878
It may've escaped his notice, he's only been team principle of Red Bull for something like a decade, but the Premier League has a certain number of teams. If four teams failed, it'd be no problem to promote four from the Championship.
F1 has lost 2/11 teams. It needs a certain number. Customer cars and three car teams would be bloody awful. A team principle will always look out for his team, but it's not impossible to do that and still have one eye on the good of the sport overall.
Whilst this is only one poll and a snapshot it is consistent with the trend in other recent Populus polls.
The other noticeable feature so far this month is a reduction in 2010 LD now saying don't know and an increase in 2010 LD retention. Perhaps the current Labour troubles are helping uncertain Libdems return home.
You have to remember that, for many of the people ed is looking to court, English may not be a first language.