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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB is still ahead in England which the Tories won at GE10 with a vote margin of 11.4%

Labour might have collapsed in Scotland but the gainers are not the Tories but the SNP – which means this development does not in any way help CON with their overall majority ambition.

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Sunil_Prasannan

Should read LAB 35.5% England vote: 286 MPs

Sunil_Prasannan

Part-ELBOW for the four polls so far this week (Populus, Ashcroft, two YouGovs) total sample 4,505:

Lab 33.9% (+1.0)
Con 32.3% (+0.2)
UKIP 14.8% (-1.5)
LD 8.3% (+0.8%)

Lab lead 1.5% (+0.8)

AndyJS

It's surprising Labour is still ahead in England when the UKPR polling average gives the party a lead of just 1 point in Britain:

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/uk-polling-report-average-2

MikeSmithson

Sunil_Prasannan said:

Should read LAB 35.5% England vote: 286 MPs

Thanks Sunil - amended.

AndyJS said:

It's surprising Labour is still ahead in England when the UKPR polling average gives the party a lead of just 1 point in Britain:

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/uk-polling-report-average-2

The reason is Labour' Scottish collapse which is probably taking 1-1.5% off GB total shares.