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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories maintain their lead with YouGov
Meanwhile ICM have done an online poll for the Guardian, there’s no VI at the moment, but as with other pollsters, the Tories have a commanding lead on the economy. Interestingly, out of the politician polled, George Osborne is the most popular UK wide politician (well technically speaking, he’s the least unpopular UK wide politician)
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Giles Watling@GilesWatling·6 mins6 minutes ago
The most important thing for #Clacton is having a local candidate who lives locally who's there for local people. #BattleForClacton
@foxinsoxuk said:
Farage favours doing nothing to intervene in the Middle East. I think Respect take the same position.
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For your info Foxy, kippers are not automations and we all think for ourselves. On the ISIL threat I differ with the party line, but makes me not one bit less a kipper. Thats what make UKIP different from your run of the mill party.
The most ironic thing is the Conservatives are still not doing that spectacularly themselves -- still below their mediocre 2010 performance. If they can just recoup the Green defectors and the working-class 2010 Lab voters who've gone to UKIP, they could STILL win even now in spite of everything. But that would involve not having Tory economic policies.
"Your twisted cynicsm makes me feel sick" is The Jam "Scrape Away"
That would of course be very fair.
Giles Watling@GilesWatling·31 secs32 seconds ago
As only #ClactonByElection candidate who uses Caradoc surgery, I understand local issues on GPs. We must protect our #NHS #BattleForClacton
"The Butterfly Collector"
So you finally got what you wanted
You've achieved your aim by making the walking lame
And when you just can't get any higher
You use your senses to suss out this week's climber
And the small fame that you've acquired
Has brought you into cult status
But to me you're still a collector
There's tarts and whores but you're much more
You're a different kind 'cause you want their minds
And you just don't care 'cause you've got no pride
It's just a face on your pillowcase
That thrills you.............
.
If that is so then it will start to weigh even more closer to election time.
FPT:
The Turks have already sold out 10 times over when it comes to Syria. Lots of talk, no real action. They can either sell out again or change. Either is possible and neither would surprise. The Turkish airforce has been seen over the town and there is an ambulance run from the North end of the town into Turkey
The Kurds if the West etc don't bother will turn to the Iranians.
HYUFD. This is not heavy bombing, not by a long chalk. Take Kobani as I posted late last night when I said it and probably Ramadi in Iraq were likely to fall to IS in the coming days. There have been airstrikes around Kobani but they've been pitiful, in the handfuls (just two in the last 6-8+ hours).
The US has B1 bombers, they've been seen in-theater, the opportunity to take out the Chechens leading the assault on the town by literally flattening the countryside was there. They didn't.
Now that IS are in the streets bombing becomes extremely problematic.
I've mentioned on here before that baseball is in long term decline, with its audience declining and skewing older. They also are not that smart with their TV contracts.
The playoffs are in full swing. They are on ESPN, TNT, Fox sports 1 and 2 and MLB Network. The last 3 are hard to find. ALL cable, not a single major network. Last night a game ran 6 hours 23 minutes! So far the Orioles and Royals are moving on. Both are small markets and baseball is increasingly regional.
The NFL continues to dominate ratings at an ever increasing rate, and all games are on the major networks, other than Monday Night Football. After 30 years on ABC it went to ESPN, though games are available on network TV in the teams home markets.
Even the Thursday night games on CBS, which have all been blowouts with an average victory margin of 28 points, get great ratings.
They are against it.
This 25% strategy is in force,
Tom Barton @tombarton
Local GP rep Brian Barmer says there are 9 GP vacancies in #Clacton, equivalent of 18,000 not having a GP #BattleForClacton
Retweeted by Douglas Carswell
Perhaps cricket will now take its place.
Changes from two years ago
Con +4, Lab -12, LD nc UKIP +5
When I last looked, "Ed is doing just fine thanks" had a healthy lead...
Win win for Dave me thinks
Whatever happens, it is hugely encouraging for them as it shows they are capable of registering poll leads circa 6 months out from an election. It shows they are not down and out.
(Cheerleaders are a great idea though. Well done American Football.)
I am already getting a little nervous re my entrenched position LAB most seats on Betfair cash out still at a reasonable profit starting to look attractive.
Ed is crap is a massive drag on LAB in my view but it looks like LAB are stuck with him for GE2015
Ye Gods, I've watched some dull cricket matches but that made them seem riveting by comparison. What was it....three runs in 32 innings?
And does anybody know why Zimmerman was taken off in the ninth?
The more people start to think about GE2015 seriously, the worse for Miliband it will get.
Right, on that bombshell: I will bid you goodnight.
Your nightly update service of seat projections seems to becoming a little less reliable.... am sure normal service will be resumed shortly. EICAMNBLOTOFL
quite
Luke Akehurst @lukeakehurst
Exasperated by Jonathan Powell comparing Northern Ireland/IRA to ISIS. Up there with Chamberlain thinking he could do business with Hitler.
http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/tdixuso356/YG-Archives-Pol-ST-results - 05-071012.pdf
F**k sake learn to read and interpret.
Of course, the future might be different from the past. The Ashcroft polls could be wrong. But it looks like Green voters are more likely to vote tactically for Labour than UKIP voters are to vote tactically for the Conservatives in Con-Lab marginals.
As long as we have FPTP Labour will call on tactical voting to prop them up. The evidence from the European elections is that PR kills Labour, as they have little other than the tactical voting argument to persuade the voters with. But the Tories are too pig-headed to see it.
My preferred outcome would be a Labour minority government, which would collapse around late 2016 / 2017 with the turn down in the economy from October next year, and then a Conservative / UKIP government to pick up the pieces after the collapse, which will involve a collapse of the euro and the EU as a consequence at some point.
Todays LA FK if EICIPM
The average was 42.9%
http://www.amazon.co.uk/Thats-Entertainment-The-Collection-Jam/dp/B008PPFQTM/ref=sr_1_8?ie=UTF8&qid=1412633704&sr=8-8&keywords=the+jam
I just wish the 'Conservatives' would change their name. How can any forward thinking person not feel queasy being governed by a party which calls itself 'conservative'
Sophie Jamieson @sophiejam
.@edballsmp says Ed Miliband forgot "the most important things" in his speech #theagenda
Didn't balls see the speech two weeks in advance ?
Also TV is a problem. All times eastern, The NFL plays Thursday evening at 8.30, 1 and 4pm and 8.30pm Sunday, and 8.30pm Monday. All on the same networks every week.
Baseball plays on all sorts of obscure cable neworks, and times vary hugely. Last year a World Series game started at 11pm and went on for over 3 hours on a weekday. 2/3 of the US population lives in the eastern and central times zones - who can watch that then go to work?
After the Conservative party conference of October 2007, the Labour Govt never had a lead on the Conservatives with ICM.
So Roger, do you know any decent ad men? :-)
MarkSpencerMP ✔ @MarkSpencerMP
Any bets on me joining UKIP, please make your cheques payable to Sherwood Conservative Association
Where's my slippers...
They are using their final party conference to attack the party they are in government with, while at the same time not ruling out another government with the terrible, baby eating Tories.
If the Tories are so dreadful why are they still in government with them long after the economic crisis has passed?
The more they attack their coalition partners the more self serving they appear.
Instead of everything being negative, why don't they sing the praise's for all they have achieved in government? They HAVE achieved many things but they seem to hate talking about these things or taking any credit for the wider coalition achievements.
They spend 50 years hankering for a hung parliament/coalition and when they get it they give the appearance of hating every minute of it.
"Differentiation" has been going on for years and has achieved absolutely nothing for the Lib's. Why don't they try actually sounding positive about their time in government instead?
But does Allegra not understand parliamentary democracy????
Over the years Labour have made a magnificent grab of the positive, progressive (both Labour and Conservative can be progressive) sensitive and emotional language. As a result they can talk with conviction, compassion and authenticity. Those properties allow them to ridicule the equally valid points made by Conservatives who are painted as talking without conviction, compassion and authenticity (the last two in particular).
Not sure why I should be expected to have to pay attention to the Tv.
It's really irritating. I ended up having to create my own mp3 for a load of them at 192kbps which is acceptable, but I'd rather 320 from the original masters.