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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Populus “Mondays good for LAB, Fridays for CON” sequence finally comes to an end
It had to happen at some stage, I suppose, but today’s Populus online LAB lead of 6% brings to an end an extraordinary polling sequence – that those polls published on Mondays tended to show movement towards Labour while those coming out on Fridays moved back towards the Tories.
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Meanwhile..north of the border [M O D E R A T E D]
Chaps called Alan Brooke are put on this Earth to wind up the Prime Minister of The UK.
Dave = Auchinleck
Boris = Monty
Discuss.
It was one of those stastical quirks that happens from time to time.
Like tossing a coin ten times and getting ten heads in a row
The second most shameful day in British Military history
Not all of them listen of course.
Fortunately the passage ways were to small for them to get in and increase the fatalities
Hamas kill 18 'collaborators', order names withheld. Will it claim these are more 'civilians killed by Israel'? http://www.timesofisrael.com/hamas-said-to-kill-11-suspected-collaborators/ …
Hundred Years War: Mostly lost, saved at last by a female schizophrenic who inadvertently creates The First Rule of French Warfare - "France's armies are victorious only when not led by a Frenchmen."
- Winston Churchill in the House of Commons, July 8, 1920; at the time, Churchill was serving as Secretary of State for War under Prime Minister David Lloyd George
- Winston Churchill in the House of Commons, July 8, 1920
It's their political leadership that stands out for its awfulness (incl Napoleon) not the army per se. Oh and WW2 wasn't a moment glory! ;-)
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Blue_Star
And 2REP were nicknamed 2emePara for much of the 1980s. (After the shocking and shameful treatment 2 and 3 Para got from their incoming CO after the Falklands. Alot of lasting bitterness there and not the British army's greatest moment. Literally hundreds of veterans miked off to the legion).
When we bought Margaret of Anjou to be Henry VI's wife, it came with a 20 year truce that Charles completely ignored as soon as it was convenient.
Perfidious frogs!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anglo-Corsican_Kingdom
I've said the Schwarzkopf left hook was one of the truly great military strategies. Puts him up there with Alexander and Caesar
WW1 frogs did alright. Certainly stopped the Germans after the long British retreat from Mons by thumping Fritz hard at Marne.
Scottish independence: 1m voters sign declaration in favour of yes vote
Yes Scotland campaign hails milestone that Alex Salmond predicted would show Scotland would become independent
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/aug/22/scottish-independence-1m-voters-sign-declaration
Russia says 'we will not accept the disastrous situation in which people living in the South East of Ukraine have found themselves.'
"Actually we're a bit harsh on the Frogs."
Really? I mean really? Given the near thousand years of history between us, how can you possibly say that, unless of course you were having a sly jest. A bit harsh on the Frogs, indeed
I'll take then malc it's been a struggle to get the signatures.
I still struggle with the concept that political views change with the days of the week and the notion that the electorate is more Tory midweek than at the weekends.
Some odd comments about the French - let's be honest had there not been a 22-mile strip of water, the German panzers would have swept through England as effectively as France. The French played a big part in the rear-guard at Dunkirk and a significant number of those left behind were French.
As for WW1, Verdun was a brutal battle every bit as attritional (if not more so) than some of the British offensives. It was of course the introduction of tens of thousands of fresh American troops which tipped the balance in 1918 once the Spring Offensive had been stopped - whether, without them, the British and French alone could have forced the final victory is debatable.
If repondents are on a panel and therefore more tuned in than the rest of the electorate - who striuggle to give the name of the last prime minister or know who the Foreign Secretary is - then gain, how is this reflective of 'public' opinion.
#indyref punters moving strongly towards YES. http://ow.ly/ACbuJ
I think you'll find it was the British Empire that delivered the coup de grace in 1918.
The french were exhausted, the US too inexperienced; it's probably one of the major European conflicts where it was the brits did it, though chiefly the aussies and canadians who were our shock troops.
In many ways, even more shameful if less brutal was Dyer's 'crawling order' - but that's another story (or perhaps, another part of the same story).
When you've excluded the A Darling, G Haddy and Ronald McDonald from the list which you always get in petitions what's left ? A PR opportunity, that's all.
Unless it's an optimism/pessimism thing - we're all a bit down in the dumps to be back at work on Monday and want things to change but have brightened up and feel better about our lives by Thursday so are happier with the status quo.
However, if there is such an effect it is very strange that it has never been noticed before.
He was followed by a host of celebrities, politicians and campaigners who spoke up for independence in front of a cheering 500-strong audience at Edinburgh’s Cineworld cinema. They included X-Men star Alan Cumming and fellow Hollywood actor Brian Cox – who are both based in the US.
But after signing the declaration, New York-based Cumming tweeted: “I’m becoming a resident of Scotland again in order to vote in 2014.”
Cox also said he wanted to return to Scotland.
http://www.dailyrecord.co.uk/news/politics/yes-scotland-campaign-launched-with-call-858401
Cumming bought a dump bijou flat in Edinburgh to qualify - but has since had to concede he won't.....any news on Brian Cox, or is that two we should knock off the total?
What a joke. Getting rid of these roles needs to be high on Labour's agenda.
Better Together indeed!
"... [without the Yanks] the British and French alone could have forced the final victory is debatable."
No it isn't. That is exactly what happened. The number of US troops was relatively small, their effect was psychological if anything. I would suggest that even the French, for all their sacrifices in earlier years, weren't really there in 1918. That campaign was really a British & Dominion victory and victory it was, don't believe any o the crap Hitler tried to peddle afterwards, the Germany army was thumped in the field.
As I said impressive.
Two million men was a significant presence, even if the British army was more than four times that. But you're maybe overlooking the other crucial things America brought - money, materials and food to continue the fight, all of which Britain was rapidly running out of after four years of war wastage. Admittedly, the British army had always been much better equipped and fed than the German army (descriptions of appalling German rations in All Quiet on the Western Front and forage parties seizing British cans of corned beef in attacks on the front line appear to be accurate) but it was a much needed boost at the time, psychologically and physically.
Of course, if you want to say that Cameron is a man of deep principle who will do what he thinks is right regardless of what the focus groups come up with then please go for it. We will all, I am sure, be interested to see your narrative and, if any, evidence.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-28898347
http://www.scotreferendum.com/questions-and-answers/
I seem to remember at the time that herd wisdom said the one million would never be reached.
Doesn't augur well for Scotland if it does go independent that it will be ruled by politicians who are interested in fripperies rather than real, hard issues a la the French Third Republic (obsessed by Jews and Jesuits while the national economy crumbled around them).
(Edit - on reflection of course we could make the same comment about Westminster, so that's not a good argument either way...)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fooled_by_Randomness
"I don’t know if this is simply a fluke but it has been fun charting it. I like the reaction from Tory activists – “let’s be thankful that general elections take place on Thursday not at the weekend”.
That's just nasty Mike!!!!
With more soldiers available for the Western Front, rather than holding territory in the East, and the German Spring Offensive of 1918 might have succeeded.
Unionists saying they'd never make a million and Nats claiming they'd do it overnight. In the event it's better late than never assuming of course one believes what one's told.
Despite your claims to the contrary?
It could of course be pointed out that hunting was a totemic issue and I seem to remember MPs complained that they received more correspondence on that than every other issue put together - but was it really more important than trying to sort out healthcare and education? I would argue not, and one of Michael Howard's few really convincing performances was when he made exactly the same argument and reduced Blair to stuttering incoherence.
And of course, after all that, there still is no actually effective ban on fox hunting...
Watched most of practice. 0.6s gap in P2 is not representative of actual pace, I suspect.
McLaren looking a bit better than expected, likewise Ferrari. Williams a bit less so, but they've often appeared off the boil in practice only to be on fire in qualifying.
Plan to put up a pre-qualifying piece at the usual sort of time tomorrow. No idea if I'll offer a tip or not.