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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: August 21st 2014
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: August 21st 2014
Wroxham on Broadland (Lib Dem defence)
Result of last election to council (2011): Conservatives 34, Liberal Democrats 11, Labour 1 (Conservative majority of 21)
Result of last election in ward (2011): Emboldened denotes elected
Liberal Democrats 985, 829
Conservatives 741, 537
Labour 227
Greens 197
Candidates duly nominated:
0
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Comments
the eloquence of the Osbornites never ceases to impress.
Debt going up, deficit going up, it's a success I tell you.
....Touché!!!
Mr. Brooke, point of order: even if the deficit were falling the debt would be rising.
but can't
@jayfdee said:
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I suspect all political persuasions are guilty of the dog cr@p problem,round here they sometimes scoop it up in pink plastic bags and hang it on trees and fences.
The local paper always has a letter from "Disgusted of ****" complaining of dog cr@p on the pavements,even takes priority of the trolls moaning about local councillors.
Currently in Normandy,amazed at the phenominal achievement of D day.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1236839/Solicitor-General-Vera-Baird-embroiled-row-failing-pick-dogs-mess-railway-station.html
Even senior figures in a Labour Government have incontinent dogs.
" This is going to be seriously close. "
More than likely.
My biggest concern is the sort of mindset that I think Charles exhibited when he said recently "put a fork in it, its done." It really isn't and it will only take a relatively small number of no supporters to have that sort of delusion for us to have a disaster on our hands.
Final score-
Wales 0 - England 4
Anyway, about this Malky Mackay business!
My guess is that a 55% Yes vote in Dundee would equate to something like a 40-45% Yes vote overall.
But, I don't think it is close.
http://order-order.com/2014/08/21/miliband-and-malky-mackay-arm-in-arm/
It is very hard to judge. My own experience would be that Aberdeen is at least as no as Dundee is yes, possibly even more so. The majority in Edinburgh seems to be no (not surprising given the financial services implications for the City) as do the borders.
I really don't have much information on Glasgow personally. There was some exasperation that BT was taking time to get its act together there but there have been a lot of suggestions that Labour in particular are much more active now.
What else did she expect HMG to do when Italy went to war with GB?
'PCCs were a terrible idea 2 years ago and they are still a terrible idea, politicising something that should not be political'
And Police Authorities weren't political? Your having a laugh.
As you say Edinburgh and Aberdeen are likely to vote No. Glasgow is difficult to predict. Could be very close there.
http://www.pinknews.co.uk/2014/08/18/former-ukip-candidate-party-is-plagued-with-grotesque-transsexuals/
'They weren't ideal, but PCCs are worse, particularly as we still have PCPs to monitor them so all we've done is add another political figure to the mix.'
At least the PCC's are accountable to the public and can be voted out unlike the unelected / unaccountable Police Authorities.
I'm sure the fine men and women doing the job will do all they can to focus on their responsibility toward all residents of their area - my local PCC has put great effort into community outreach and local schemes - but if they want to remain in office they will have to make sure they appeal to the electorate on a partisan basis, as merely being a really great PCC would probably not save a Tory PCC whose area has swung heavily to Labour as a result of Cameron, or some Labour PCC facing the same situation if people turn against PM Miliband.
Do you think its a bit much to keep showing the picture of his last moments, as a lot of papers are? Some things are best left unseen, or at least only if you want to find them maybe?
Secondly, and I don't want this to sound at all like I am having a go at Foley because nothing could be further from my thinking, but I wonder why, if he knew he was going to be executed, he said what he did on camera. He seemed to know he was going to be killed, so why not just say "Fuck you" to the Muslim from East London who murdered him?
FORMER UKIP CANDIDATE
who stood for the english democrats in may
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-28870988
Oh I forgot, they would lose their meal ticket.....
YouGov/Sun poll tonight - Labour has five-point lead. Con 33%, Lab 38%, LD 8%, UKIP 12%
Or maybe they promised him a quick death, as opposed to death by torture.
Ah well, I'm a Britnat in case you didn't know.
I'll pray for you.
Seems ISIS wanted $132m or the release of Affia Siddique in exchange for Foley
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2731164/ISIS-offered-swap-Foley-Lady-Al-Qaeda-Terrorists-wanted-return-MIT-graduate-jailed-U-S-planning-mass-casualty-strike-dirty-bomb-ebola-chemical-weapon-spared-children.html
Sheffield SE, Gail Smith.
http://www.libdems.org.uk/gail_smith
Penrith & The Border: Neil Hughes (isn't this the guy from the 7 Up, 14 Up, etc programmes?)
http://www.libdems.org.uk/neil_hughes
Oldham West & Royton: Garth Harkness.
http://www.libdems.org.uk/garth_harkness
Kenilworth & Southam: Richard Dickson.
http://www.libdems.org.uk/richard_dickson
I read it in the paper
"The ISIS thugs made James, 40, read a speech immediately before he was executed in which he laid the blame for his death on recent U.S. bombings in Iraq and singled out his brother.
'Think about what you are doing. Think about the lives you destroy, including those of your own family,' Foley was made to say. 'I call on you, John. Think about who made the decision to bomb Iraq recently and kill those people, whoever they may have been.
'Think, John. Who did they really kill? And did they think about me, you and our family when they made that decision?” he asked.
'I died that day, John, when your colleagues dropped that bomb on those people, they signed my death certificate. I wish I had more time. I wish I could have the hope of freedom and seeing my family once again, but that ship has sailed. I guess all in all, I wish I wasn’t American.'
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2730361/Revealed-James-Foley-ISIS-whipping-boy-Terrorist-captors-discovered-pictures-U-S-Air-Force-officer-brother-laptop-suffer-mock-executions-including-crucified-against-wall.html#ixzz3B3zNtHpg
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook
"DavidL said:
Went canvassing for BT in Dundee again this evening. Poor area, mainly council. Clear majority for yes, even among Labour voters as most of them were. Bit depressing really. Anyone claiming this is over really has no contact with what is going on on the ground. This is going to be seriously close.
Depressing? You admit your in a poor area, and find people might like the thought of a better future for themselves as depressing."
Interesting. It is perhaps worth pointing that Dundee East is one of only six Westminster SNP seats and the only urban one. Dundee West is also pretty nationalist. In canvassing a council estate in Dundee you are probably canvassing the most pro-nationalist demographic in Scotland. (Carnoustie, btw, is in Angus. Also an SNP seat at Westminster). You might be better off canvassing somewhere else, rather than stirring up SNP hotbeds!!
Nevertheless BT should not assume it is in the bag - I can't help feeling that Darling could be vulnerable in the next debate. He would have been outshone by Salmond if not for the car-crash over the currency. And the more you provide evidence of the potential economic disaster indy could be the more some folk of a certain mindset seem determined to vote for it. Something cussed about folk up here.
This has long puzzled me.
The home page of the BBC News website is a precious resource, right? It receives millions of hits per week, from people wanting up-to-date news. Obviously the Beeb can't put everything on that front page, it has to be very selective, and choose to headline those stories which are of wide appeal and up to date. It's meant to be 'News', after all.
So why on earth does the BBC News main home page on the 21st August still have a headline under 'Democracy Live' which relates to a story which has been there - largely unread, I imagine - for a whole month (from 22nd July)?
On balance, I'd like the Scots to want to say. But if they don't want to, I want them out sharpish. Same way that if someone quits I want them out of the office immediately rather than hanging around with a bad attitude to work their notice.
And anyway, I suspect the chances of my family representing central Glasgow in Parliament (as they did for several generations) are relatively low...
A police officer yells "He's gonna hit us", moments before a driver going the wrong way down a motorway smashes into his car."
http://news.sky.com/story/1322479/wrong-way-motorway-smash-captured-on-video
That might need Ed's support to get through quickly. He may have to come dangerously close to a stance on the threat of radical islam. He may have to decide on a policy.
Wonder what he will do....
Fourteen years they denied it had "paused" at all.
Whilst all of Fleet street is dripping with terrrorism, they lead with Gazza. (the former footballer, not the islamist rocket firing strip).
The ultimate look squirrel?
And risk sacrificing the muslim vote? Its a bold strategy...
(I was wondering about writing a thought piece about it, but not sure whether it'd fit on PB, or where to put it elsewhere).
(Of course someone's probably already written it)
RT @BBCNewsnight: And here's #Newsnight's house band 'Federation of the Disco Pimp' http://t.co/Q6QeklPws2
To think we invaded Iraq, for no reason.
But can't sort these scumbags out.
Blair and the Tories who enthusiastically cheered him on, you have a lot to answer for.
Think what this bloke went through, you would say anything - anything.
(sorry for initial post Mods!)
Reminds me of 1984 when Winston blames Julia after he has been tortured by the rats, I guess that's what happened
Freaks me out that anyone can actually cut someone's head off. Just doesn't seem real
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/finance/ambroseevans-pritchard/100027956/nobel-guru-fears-it-may-be-nigh-impossible-to-stop-deflation/
I wonder if the fear of future tax rises perpetuates the blame the electorate places on Labour for getting us into this mess.
Its their fight of they want to and we can help. But its their fight.
I don't see this or any other executions as being a move from strength, but as a move of weakness. American airpower is not insignificant. ISIS does not have much of a future.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2730840/British-Muslim-convert-plotted-atrocity-knife-hammer-wrapped-Islamic-flag.html
Meanwhile, what about the current Labour Party and current Leader?
I wonder how kindly history will treat Miliband's parliamentary stunt a year ago?
War with Zulus.
Cause: the Zulus.
Zulus exterminated.
Peace with Zulus.
While the Zulus didn't deserve (nor did they get) that, IS on the other hand needs to be suppressed with either 1) hand wringing editorials in the Guardian or 2) Violence.
I'm pondering which might work better......
Four weeks tonight,......,