There are two columns, I would suggest, you should focus on: the views of Ukip supporters and those of 2010 LDs. These, of course, are where most the allegiance shifting has been taking place and the level of what these electors do will more than anything determine the outcome.
Comments
http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/paddy-power-to-refund-all-bets-on-irelands-eurovision-entry-594878.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
PR exercise....
How you know you focus too much on politics: you include the word fascinating in the above sentence. And other people agree.
It does seem a bit of a fool's errand to abandon appealing to the centre to try and chase the right. Ok, the centre appeal did not secure them a majority, but with the same leader in place a tack to the right will not be believed, so it's just losing voters to no gain.
Give it a solid 8.5/10 overall and 9.5/10 for S1 & 2. Why hasn't anyone mentioned this series before?!
Trailer https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AL9zLctDJaU
The punters may determine to stay with matron, turnout in their droves and give Cameron something close to the Major like result of 1992.
One thing is sure .... and I think I may have noted this before but :
Ed Miliband will never be Prime Minister.
As there is not an insignificant minority of pro europe right wingers, and orange bookers as well as Blairites put off by the Balls agenda, this may be the making of a LibDem recovery.
I will not be voting Tory if they become BOO as a policy.
Although it seems odd at the start of S2 that the escape of the main characters was such big news on the same day that the president of the united states died in strange circumstances!
The only thing you've missed is anti-Tories (and I include UKIPers in that) salivating over minor comments in a most unseemly fashion.
In the Euros next year there must be parties in almost all of the other countries that recognise that the current EU structures are not working well.
If ever there was a time for constructive engagement to get change in europe, it is next years elections. Ukippers insulting our natural political allies in the EU parliament is not the way to go.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/apr/20/labour-ukip-poll
Ah ha! Indeed, Mr Fitchner is superb - I find him total eye candy myself in a sort of cruel/character actor way, unfortunately Mr Miller is gay so hey-ho. Why Dominic Purcell gets cast in anything is beyond me - he's so 1-D as an actor, but would make a great action figure...
Mr Knepper is excellent as T-Bagge - did you see him in Cult? Shame it got cancelled - it had potential for a 18-30 serial. When cobblers like Hannibal remains on - the mind of the TV exec is beyond me, its total pants for something they trailed so heavily in advance.
I'm about to start on Eureka and Supernatural - they scored highly on IMDb...
EDIT - FFS, I've just started watching Assault on Wall St and its got bloody Dominic Purcell in it... there is no avoiding this bloke...
EDIT 2 - Golly, AoWSt is Margin Call plot but crappy dialogue and I'm only 5 mins in. I doubt I'll endure 15mins at this rate...
I also wonder if gay marriage is such a driver of the Ukip rise. Cameron has vocally supported the measure for several years whilst Ukip were still only supported by Colonel Darcy Gruff-Featherstone-Pew, his cocker spaniel named Goebbels and several of the Much Wallop in the Hedges bearded ladies barber shop choir.
Suppose what swivelgate boils down to is an on-the-record / off-the-record cock-up between the person involved (X) & times/telegraph journalists who were expected to be friendly.
It's likely that X actively wanted to brief the media & feed a pro-dave narrative, but retain deniability. All those involved probably agreed the phrases which could be used to describe the source.
When X realises they've created a sh1tstorm, they panic. X's name leaks out. X ups the stakes & denies outright. X gambles that that no-one has hard evidence of the conversation. Journo's stick by the story. As far as they're concerned, they were given permission to print.
A civil servant who was present when the comments were made develops short-term amnesia.
A legal case would be costly & difficult to prove.
Stalemate.
Dave takes the hit.
I can speak highly of both, at least for the first 3-4 seasons (I vary on them thereafter, and haven't seen Supernatural since S5). Eureka is some goofy, sometimes sentimental, fun (although note that one of the main characters in the pilot episode was replaced by a new, far better character for the season proper), and Supernatural had some interesting and exciting ideas, even if it focuses a bit much on angsty drama at times (with the occasional breather episode of wackiness), especially as it went on.
And of course Supernatural is stocked full of eye candy for the ladies or gay men. It was one of those shows that like Hercules seemed to try and 'make up' for its oiled up male leads by having every female of the week character show up and be noticably buxom (speaking of Hercules, Legend of the Seeker was good fun in the same vein, a less preachy adaptation of the Sword of Truth book series).
Never got around to Cult - I tend to wait to see if a series will last before picking it up, so I won't get disappointed - see Flashforward, Last Resort, Terra Nova for just three.
Immigration is the third most important item for 2010 LD voters too. Europe is the fifth.
For all voters immigration is the second most important item. And today's ICM/Sunday Telegraph found 44% wanting an immediate in/out referendum.
These are not topics that any party would want to ignore.
Truth is the polls are so volatile and Labour's lead so fragile that if Plan A works sufficiently well, Tory minded voters will vote Tory when it matters and those who want to avoid a Milibland administration will hold their noses and vote "anyone but Labour".
"The Tories are managing to make the Lib Dems look like the mature party of govt, just enjoy the comedy"
This is a serious point. Over the last six months, the Lib Dems have been below the radar and have improved their position.
I think it goes back to the Clegg veto on boundary changes. They suddenly realised that they had a pair after all !
Silas Weir Mitchell is another character that springs to mind since he's Munroe and was Haywire in Prison Break - he does unhinged/character really well. There really are some superb actors out there and yet himbos like Purcell get jobs...
How goes the Jacobite cause in the greater Highlands ??
And if you haven't seen it - The Politician's Husband is very good in a Borgen meet House of Cards way - on BBC2 I think with David Tennant as the wronged and resentful man.
EDIT In truly crap BBC fashion - I've just realised that this series managed a whole THREE episodes in this run. FFS. 3?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b01sfj05
Smallville was terrible, but Arrow is much more entertaining. Good to see a ruthless vigilante actually be, well, ruthless and kill people. Can't remember the last time I saw Purcell in anything (gods, I think he was in Blade Trinity as well, terrible film), so maybe he's finding less work
Is it just me or are TV actors a lot better than they were 20-30 years ago (they're obviously in better shape, but that's another matter)?
Oddly, many would say politicians have gone in the opposite direction, although not being around then myself to judge perhaps that was just nostalgia.
Phew .............
Nurse !!!!!!!!!!!
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=legend+of+the+seeker+regan&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X
The books were surprisingly political.
I've said before that it's a stupid policy. Frankly, I'm amazed anyone on the right thinks otherwise. It's the type of economically irresponsible policy I'd have expected out of new labour during the bubble years.
Anyway, to be constructive - the one change which would make the policy slightly less bad would be to limit it to new build houses. At least then, we'd increase the housing supply and the subsequent effect on overall house prices would be limited.
They won't do this though, because the whole point of the policy is to reflate the asset bubble.
I'd say US TV actors are head and shoulders above most film performances I've seen recently and definitely totally transformed from the hammy stuff from years ago - TBH, I can barely stand any UK drama - its pants, over-acted, crap plots, 1-D characters - I'm amazed anyone watches it compared to the quality of US output. There are also now a huge number of UK actors playing US roles and Brits in US series. I suspect that one is linked to the other.
If you're top drawer - why appear in a tin-pot 3 episode run on BBC1 when you can be in a 24 episode run on ABC et al?
Last TV comment from me, a friend pointed me toward a Canadian show called Continuum. Short series, only 10 episodes in first season, but was surprisingly excellent in writing, acting and fight choreaography. About a cop from the future accidentally sent back when some death row prisoners escape to the past (and they are brutal terrorists fighting for democracy in a corporation run future, to make her chasing them even more interesting). I thought it's be stock and cliche, but it really wasn't.
And yes, the female lead is stunning. Curse you TV typecasting
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=rachel+nichols&client=firefox-a&hs=519&rls=org.mozilla:en-GB:official&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ei=YB2ZUfv3KPPP0AXenICABw&ved=0CAoQ_AUoAQ&biw=942&bih=865#client=firefox-a&hs=KiU&rls=org.mozilla:en-GB:official&tbm=isch&sa=1&q=rachel+nichols+continuum&oq=rachel+nichols+continuum&gs_l=img.3..0l5j0i24l2.5020.6555.0.6763.10.10.0.0.0.0.291.1413.3j5j1.9.0...0.0...1c.1.14.img.JnKxI0FV8so&bav=on.2,or.r_cp.r_qf.&bvm=bv.46751780,d.d2k&fp=f4427db03f1443c0&biw=942&bih=865
This is big news. How do you stop these ?
Could it be because most LD voters are criminals, so less concerned about crime? (Says a multiple time LD voter)
I am far from being an expert in this area, but I have seen nothing that changes my initial view. A policy with potential short-term gains, that may have serious long-term consequences.
Those certain Tories seeking official pacts are due a very, very long wait indeed.
I was chatting a TV buff the other day and NCIS is - as far as we can tell - the longest running spin-off series, its about to start S10 - and came from the appalling JAG [A Few Good Men meets the US military PR dept with added patronising]. I got as far as S2 and just had to switch it off - it made me yearn for Crossroads. I have no idea how it lasted so long - its terrible in every area - the acting, the scripts, the caricatures, the 'plots'... I can endure a lot - but it was unwatchable even when drunk.
My heart of course - belongs to Gibbs :^ )
I may know a bit too much about TV admittedly. And videogames. And some politics.
I'm not totally a recluse
I assume you've seen Scandal [I wish it wasn't so manically acted] and Da Vinci's Demons [I really like this one]
On-topic, Cameron doesn't need to "tack" anywhere - the more he's seen to be chasing the voters, the weaker he looks. In essence, it is, as always, "the economy, stupid".
The Coalition parties will prevail given one of the following conditions;
1) The electorate perceives things to be improving and that's not about statistics but about individual experience and expectation. Avery's constant barrage of "good news" is irrelevant - if people "feel" better about the economy, that's all the Government needs.
2) The electorate perceives that voting Labour will make things substantially worse for them individually and collectively. Labour doesn't have to prove it can manage the economy better than the Coalition but it does have to prove it won't make things worse.
Elementary is awesome (admittedly I didn't get past one episode of Sherlock, so my opinion may be mud there), Once Upon a Time I just could not take seriously, it defeated my suspension of disbelief in questioning all the unspoken implications of it's setting, not seen the other two yet (or even heard of Motive). I love the premise of Revolution, I like after the end type plots.
Not seen Scandal or Demons. I shall have to do some searching and give them a shot.
Unemployment not a concern for Tories either in the chart. Good for them I guess. In fairness it's not too bad right now.
Yet it is the LDs who want to keep the European Arrest Warrant, and it is the Tories who want 135 classes of criminal not to be subject to them.
If your question is a serious one, then I understand that people, living in the same area, will have different attitudes to crime depending on what papers they read.
Mr Sinise is a superb actor - I still recall being amazed he actually HAD LEGS after first seeing him in Forrest Gump and then wondering how he'd grown another pair in Apollo 13 ;^ )
Lieutenant Dan is the best role he's ever played IMO.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRuF32IdJdo
Businesses face permit rise for max of 2 cars from £300 to £600.
£100 to £500 for customer parking. Households up from £30 to £48, and the council want to know which emission group each car might belong too. Air quality is the excuse for piling on another tax on top of the VED levied by HMG.
Pity that some of the council candidates couldn't pick up on what Good Old Red Trousers was up to before the voters turned out. Meanwhile the media get worked up by his Eff Off outburst and his student stalker.
GORT also proposes a congestion charge. All of which was kept quiet when he stood for election as Mayor in November. Progress in China is a move from bikes to the car, whilst in Bristol...
Their big problem for them is the turnip Taliban's insistence on making the peripheral question of the EU their touchstone. The bulk of the public rightly regard them as mad to do so.
The problem may be they have tried to, but been found wanting.
Revolution is up and down - the fight scenes [lots of swords] are good, the plot can be rather sloww... I'd give it 7/10 - I've watched up to E14 and I tend to save them for a quiet evening.
GoT is planning at least 4 more seasons I think, as Books 3 is being split across 2 seasons, with some from book 4 in there, I believe.
LOL
I wouldn't mind if charges were limited to a rise with inflation, or capped. And I could take the 'environment' argument if not for the weekly vehicle-fests on the seafront all through summer.
LOL
I believe my first reaction to the comment was it was the most deluded political statement I'd seen in my life. 12 hours has not altered that opinion for me. I know you don't admit internal difficulty if you can help it (There are no struggles between Blairites and Brownites, anyone?), but there's a limit to how far you can deny something.
Another one to waste time on is Nikita if you're into strong female leads and fight scenes. The main lead is Maggie Q who was a model before this role - she's pretty convincing as an assassin.
My heart of course - belongs to Gibbs :^ )
D'yer think Plato !!
Head slap !!
Osbrowne was also one of those behind this entire incompetent master strategy of stopping the kippers by banging on about Europe, welfare and immigration. That turned out well didn't it? For UKIP.
Pity, because I'm pro-Europe, don't give a rats about gay marriage ..... if non-hetero's want to get married, good luck to them ..... and anyway, what's the difference between marriage and civil partnership ...... and am relaxed about immigration ...... who else is going to look after me if I have to go into a Home?
Have you seen The Guardian with Simon Baker [of Mentalist fame] ? It's got armfuls of awards and just released on DVD but dates back to the mid 2000s.
Think I'll have a looksee at it. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Guardian_(TV_series)
One nursery has over 40 staff - attitude of Bristol City Council appears to be eff off and use the bus, bike, train, or feet. Get out of your car or we'll bleed you dry. BBC report on rumors of job losses.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-bristol-22521331
£1 per hour parking max 3 hours. Creeping thru suburbia from one to another. Nothing of note about this issue during local election campaign - Labour obsessed with Bedroom Tax. Councillors and council candidates not asking GORT what he was up to. Councillors not willing to admit that removing parking spaces in local hospitals and restrictions they impose on development play a part.
Consultation period ends Wednesday 5.00pm. Q and A session with Mayor and officers for firms - bit of a sham - esp when BCC have been reluctant to divulge information. Could be an 'interesting' week.
Rainbow Cabinet was formed this week as Labour finally got permission from Father Ed to climb on George Ferguson's cabinet.
Not seen that one, bit odd only just released on DVD, but Baker's pretty good in most things.
I recall hearing a theory that the multiverse was actually possibly like a sting with bubbles along it, each bubble being a 'universe' only echoes of which could be felt in the others. I have no idea how that idea developed or what could possibly prove it, but the thing is even when it is explained to me, I still have no clue
But it wouldn't necessarily surprise me if it was true.
The science story that has amazed me most in recent years is that scientists have managed to 'capture' a photon formed as a virtual particle in a vacuum.
http://www.chalmers.se/en/news/pages/chalmers-scientists-create-light-from-vacuum.aspx
Lots of other fascinating stuff going on in science at the moment; it's just that I don't have the brainpower to understand most of it. Mrs J's much better at this sort of thing than me, and it baffles her much of the time.
Another one: Chinese scientists have measured the speed of quantum entanglement as at least 10,000 times the speed of light. But be very careful when people talk about actual uses for this technology - the actual science is exceptionally weird and non-intuitive.
http://www.gizmag.com/quantum-entanglement-speed-10000-faster-light/26587/
However, an allegation without any evidence that damages a party is little better than a smear. As long as something's theoretically plausible it can be made up.
However, an allegation without any evidence that damages a party is little better than a smear. As long as something's theoretically plausible it can be made up.
Since they've had to wheel out Shapps for a 'charm' offensive on tory activists (yet another genius master strategy) it's pretty clear that whatever shortcomings there may be at the local level they are effectively immune from criticism and scrutiny from the party leadership right now even were they stupid enough to try that.
Good thing there's nothing coming up this week to further infuriate them like a vote on gay marriage.
Cammie's party management is reaching omnishambles levels of incompetence.
After they ride this chaos out (assuming they can) they are going to have to have a root and branch rethink of the chain of command and relations right down to the local and membership level as well as internal party discipline in the commons. There's no way they can keep this up and expect to win elections unless Cammie and Osbrowne plan to do all the ground campaigning themselves.
http://redmolucca.wordpress.com/2013/05/19/scotland-farage-and-me/
Thanks - you'll stir up the Gnats.