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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Results with news of a Lib Dem gain from
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Results with news of a Lib Dem gain from CON in a seat where they were 4th
Penistone West on Barnsley (Lab Defence)
Result: Labour 772 (31% -17%), Conservatives 719 (29% -17%), UKIP 622 (25%), Independent 348 (14%)
Labour HOLD with a majority of 53 (2%) on no swing from Lab to Con since 2012
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Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo is a wonderful name
Hit wicket ....
Pimlicat @pimlicat 6m
Redcar MP Ian Swales to stand down at next election 'for personal reasons' http://bit.ly/1ztXP9C << Very bad news indeed.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ScGbZ9SE2jw
I'll be paying close attention when Ladbrokes put their full markets up.
On-topic: cheers, Mr. Hayfield.
That would be fun next May....!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-28265064
What outstanding insight Mike Smithson has shown ....
JackW
Rt Hon PB TOTY
"The Law Society has called for a review of RIPA and associated legislation for some years and its president Andrew Caplen welcomed the move, but said the emergency surveillance legislation was ‘particularly worrying’.
Caplen said: ‘We are concerned that introducing emergency legislation does nothing to enhance the rule of law or address the fact that we are increasingly becoming a surveillance society. The history of emergency legislation is not exemplary, with laws being used for purposes for which they were not intended.
‘There needs to be a public debate about how to strike the right balance between security, freedom and privacy. We need to simplify and clarify a complex and confusing legal framework and ensure that it protects human rights.’
The Society called for a review of the legal and practical framework of surveillance in the UK and explicit legislative protection for legal professional privilege in legislation like RIPA."
SDP landslide?
How Peter the Punter came within one vote is totally incomprehensible especially to my supporters who were handing out bri .... er .... all manner of induc .... er ... worthy encouragement.
Democracy was served in the end .... together with some rather fine single malt ....
Twas the greatest exhibition of electioneering since the Dunny-on-the-Wold by election two centuries ago and somewhat closer too.
5.1% for them
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-jersey-28266736
Alcoholism among the young is what upsets the Daily Mail, which every New Years Day likes to publish photos of young men and women somewhat worse for wear on the previous evening. But these days, it is people in their 40s who are most likely to be admitted to hospital for drinking too much. Actually, Britain’s problem drinkers tend not to be young people, who may binge drink occasionally, but most of the time are fairly sober. They are more likely to be middle-aged Daily Mail readers, drinking yet another bottle from their Mail Wine Club delivery each day, slowly building up an addiction that eventually lands them in hospital.
http://www.economist.com/blogs/blighty/2014/07/british-social-problems?fsrc=scn/fb/te/bl/ed/thesedaysolderpeopleproblem
Could we have 11? Sir Robert Smith says he is standing again but has Parkinson's.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2688980/Brussels-unveils-latest-idea-win-British-public-An-official-European-sash-MEPs.html#ixzz37B8pkNEG
Stand up and take a bow Jimmy Anderson, solid hour of batting. Go on and get your fifty in the morning ;-)
India +83.31
Draw +9.59
Not too sure what to do now tbh !
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/eu/10960379/MEPs-encouraged-to-wear-official-sash-of-European-Parliament.html
http://www.libdems.org.uk/norman_baker_writes_security_and_freedom_in_the_internet_age
http://www.libdems.org.uk/annual_bonus_for_1m_carers
I was particularly impressed by the last paragraph. I was assuming the money would come from the taxpayer, but no, from what Nick Clegg says it looks as though the LibDems are clubbing together to find the money.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/how-a-polite-message-from-canada-inspired-the-campaign-against-scottish-independence-9601291.html
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tories-are-failing-to-turn-economic-recovery-into-political-capital-latest-poll-shows-9598859.html
Sad news:
"Harwich-Esbjerg Ferry Route to Close in September
The historic passenger ferry route between Harwich and Esbjerg of DFDS Seaways, northern Europe’s largest integrated shipping and logistics company, has been struggling for a long time with high costs, loss of passengers and freight being switched to road transport."
http://worldmaritimenews.com/archives/122593/harwich-esbjerg-ferry-route-to-close-in-september/
OK PBers:
Good idea or bad idea?
PM's reshuffle 'secrets' overheard on a train Esther McVey to replace IDS?
The Conservatives, meanwhile, need to make clear they are serious about standing up for the UK in the EU, by laying out a clear list of demands that they want to repatriate, and by showing they will take serious action to cut unskilled immigration. If they can't do anything major on the EU, it'll have to be strong limits on non-EU immigration. I don't really see why you qualify for a skilled worker visa if you're a 35 year old earning just £20,500 a year.
You can have Bobby Sol if we can have Lallana.
Is the Mabe etc Ward in the same constituency?
Oh, and congrats to the Lib dems in Cornwall, a remarkable place.
http://www.politics.co.uk/news/2014/07/11/the-price-on-love-court-ruling-expected-on-visa-income-rules
(1) There's a cap on how many certificate of sponsorship are given out each month. However, this cap has never been hit.
(2) You have to advertise the job domestically first.
Hampstead to Bank by the Northern line
Bank to King George V by DLR
walk to the ferry
cross over
then
Woolwich Arsenal to London Bridge by Southeastern
London Bridge to Ashford International by Southeastern
and finally
Ashford to Rye by Southern
?
(Getting votes from immigrants seems unlikely, as its usually 15 to 20 years between crossing the border and getting a passport. And politicians are rarely known for being long-term in their outlook.)
David Cameron to promote women and younger men in cabinet reshuffle
Osborne, Hague and May set to stay but 'old lags' are expected to make way for 'youthful and modern Tory face'
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jul/11/david-cameron-promote-women-young-men-cabinet-reshuffle
If it happens, the big move will be the reported job swap between IDS and Phil Hammond
She'll have to step aside.
IDS RTB'd again?
The prime minister is expected to announce the name of Britain's new European commissioner at the same time as the reshuffle. Cameron will ask Jean-Claude Juncker, the incoming European commission president, for an economics portfolio when they hold talks on the fringes of a European summit on Wednesday. Allies of the PM are urging him to consider heavyweight candidates such as former Tory MP and ITV chairman Archie Norman or the former Tory leader Lord Howard of Lympne. David Willetts, who may be replaced as universities minister by Truss, is also seen as a possible candidate.
Archie Norman? Now that would be a surprise.
Something like nursing seems to be one aea that would fit.
I suspect Archie Norman won't go for it, I think he earns £8.4m per year.
Edit: Oops, Archie Norman is on 500k per year, it is Adam Crozier on £8.4m per year
I would also point out, that the vast majority of Pakistani and Banglashi households are already in safe Labour constituencies. East Central London is not in any danger of voting Conservative any time soon. So, why import people who only bolster majorities in seats you will already win?
Mostly, though, I don't buy your argument because I believe that Labour Party politicians, like Conservative, UKIP and Liberal Democrat ones are all patriots, who all want the best for Britain. Sure our views of what constitutes best might differ, and our approaches to achieving that goal, but all genuinely want the best for Britain.
Virtually nobody in the UK goes into politics for narrow personal or financial reasons. Nigel Farage, Ed Milliband or even Nick Clegg would all earn far more - and probably have greater respect shown them - in the real, commercial world.
Your explanation is a cynical one that - apart from being impractical and ineffective - also suggests that politicians would sell their country down the river for because it might just possibly get them some imported votes. And the numbers simply don't stack up for that - not least because so few Poles are bothering to apply for British citizenship.
I can't believe Archie Norman would be interested. I had the very strong impression that being an MP convinced him that this politics malarkey wasn't for him. Like most people from outside politics, he discovered it wasn't quite as easy as it looked.
That said, speaking to some of his ex Asda colleagues, he couldn't cope with going from being the Chief Exec of an organisation to being a mere MP and having very little to do.
That said, being an Commissioner might be more similar to being a Chief Exec than an MP.
You have to remember in the 1980s, that everyone was remembering the child abuse scandals and satanic abuse scandals that weren't. Because a couple of things had been debunked, people were very unwilling to listen to evidence because they could be tarred with the same crazy brush.
However, Dame Butler-Sloss's judgements on the matter didn't fall into the trap either of naive credulity or of ignoring the genuine evidence.
But the earlier drafts I saw also included a driving political purpose: that mass immigration was the way that the Government was going to make the UK truly multicultural.
I remember coming away from some discussions with the clear sense that the policy was intended - even if this wasn't its main purpose - to rub the Right's nose in diversity and render their arguments out of date.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/dont-listen-to-the-whingers--london-needs-immigrants-6786170.html
How do you make the right's arguments out of date except by changing society so much that conservative views are no longer politically tenable?