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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Newark: A big win for the Tories, a set-back for UKIP, and

SystemSystem Posts: 11,691
edited June 2014 in General

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Newark: A big win for the Tories, a set-back for UKIP, and a terrible outcome for LAB and the LDs

This is only the third GB by-election this parliament that has not been a LAB defence and EdM’s party should have chucked everything at it. They didn’t and the huge CON campaign clearly convinced anti-UKIP voters that they were the party to stop the purples.

Read the full story here


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    Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Labour down nearly 5% on Brown.

    Milliband = Foot
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,289
    Curtice: 2nd worst Lab performance (ie share change) this Parliament.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,289
    Curtice: Worst LD performance (ie share) since World War 2.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Smallest swing to Lab in a Tory seat while in government since Kincardine & Deeside 1991. Smallest in an English seat since Enfield Southgate 1984.

    Both saw the return of a Tory government at the next election...
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    MrJonesMrJones Posts: 3,523
    Con down 9, Ukip up 22 but not enough
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    AveryLPAveryLP Posts: 7,815
    edited June 2014
    A thumping victory for Cameron and Shapps.

    It is not relevant that the fall in the Conservative Party's share is only marginally better than previous by elections this term.

    The key is where the awayday kippers will return to next May. And this is likely to be disproportionately to the Tories.

    What has happened both during the Euro/Locals campaign and the subsequent two weeks is a strong toxification of UKIP and and lesser but important detoxification of the Conservatives.
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