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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa May moves up 15 points and now clear leader in ConH
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Theresa May moves up 15 points and now clear leader in ConHome poll on next party leader
It’s hard to see why there’s been such movement in the ConHome regular survey of party members’ views on who should be Dave’s successor.
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She's a star, She should get a title like "Slayer of the Police Federation"
Here's the speech
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-27504422
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/jun/04/theresa-may-gove-extremism-schools-trojan-horse
It will never catch on.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-27691901
She's noted for her taste in footwear, which is the hallmark of a very good Tory.
Phillip Hammond
20.84 £14.00
Theresa May
7.68 £5.00
Lays:
Phillip Hammond
14 £10.00
Michael Gove
5.9 £13.00
George Osborne
6 £10.00
Gove and Osborne backed at the bookies for bigger prices.
Will make about £30 on the market if May gets it.
https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/home-secretarys-police-federation-2014-speech
Called her party NASTY while wearing horrible NASTY skippers. (slippers would me a misnomer)
Made her party NASTY by calling it NASTY.
By helping to make her party NASTY, she has made it NASTIER.
Yep Theresa May has helped her NASTY party a lot; and she is seen by many to be more than a trifle NASTY herself.
As for NASTY, that would appear to be UKIP these days.
Just think. It was only two weeks ago that most of thought UKIP was going to be a threat.
As it happens, I knew Theresa at University - "nasty" she is not......but I wouldn't relish being Michael Gove today......
Wasn't you was it ?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-27504422
I have said before on PB that politicians need to be good at both the retail side of things / getting elected and also at being an effective / competent manager when in office.
May just quietly gets on and does a great job. She is terribly, sometimes brutally, effective. But she doesn’t make a lot of noise about it. She displays an astonishingly low ‘mouth to trousers’ ratio. The exact opposite of most of our rentagob chocolate teapot politicians.
And she says what she thinks – which is refreshingly unusual compared to most modern machine politicians. She’d be a super party leader. But she would need to polish the marketing / messaging side of things.
We oppose her because she's crap. The fact she's a woman is irrelevant. That her supporters on here are having to focus that she gave a good speech once, after four years in office, shows how meagre her achievements have been.
Erm.... or not.
http://www.columnist.org.uk/2014/06/02/greens-on-course-to-storm-norwich-south-in-2015/
Fwiw I think this is a slam dunk Labour gain but the Greens will be hoping to move into a position that they can contend from in the future.
On this basis, and with the important proviso that a huge amount depends on when and under what circumstances any contest might take place, I think Theresa May is in a very good position. She has few enemies, and although the party still finds it hard to forgive the damage done by her 'nasty party' remarks (which, though she was making a sensible point, were a gift to the party's opponents), her highly successful tenure as Home Sec - surely the best Home Sec for decades - and her calm, non-nonsense style, have won her pretty widespread support. If she were to get into the last round against any of Boris, Gove, Osborne or Hunt (realistically the main other candidates in the shortish term), I think she'd win against any of them.
So I consider this progress.
This time Markit's Services PMI, the last of the big three published on the first three days of each month. At 58.6 it is only 0.1 down on April making it the most robust of the three indices published this month.
Staff recruitment was up at the "fastest rate since May 1997" with most respondents reporting higher average wages.
High confidence persists with over 50% of respondents forecasting expansion over the next twelve months. Increases in new work, extended backlogs (for the fourteenth month in a row), high levels of market activity, launches of new services and increased investment in business expansion were all reported.
And the downsides of such robust growth? Wage increases have led to input cost inflation which is finally being passed through to billings. Early days yet but this is the first sign of spare capacity in the services sector disappearing.
'No surprise. Let her deport some of those terrorist muslim types first, and see if she not just all talk. She hasn't had much success with deporting undesirables, '
Ever heard of Abu Hamza or Abu Qatada ,both played the system for years,now deported.
The creation of an offence of having a "paedophilic manual" is unnecessary pandering to the tabloids. The proposed new offence of causing psychological harm to a child is again pandering to a well-orchestrated lobbying campaign by vested interests, is impossibly broad and ill-defined, as well as being otiose given the existing law. In essence, most of it is an assault on due process, legal certainty and the liberty of the subject and should be opposed by all right-thinking people.
The leadership qualities that Cameron threatened to show are themselves exemplified by the "greenest government ever" approach in allowing more methane leaked in to the atmosphere by a subsidised dash to frack.Cameron simply is not up to the job.
The Tory party need a woman,and now.
Tories are allowing them to be seduced too easily because they want another Thatcher. But May is no Thatcher. You need to look beyond the small individual causes (the Police Fed, Hamza) and look at the big picture. On most of the big issues (European integration, civil liberties, individual privacy, etc) she's on the wrong side of the argument, and even when she's on the right side (immigration) she's been incapable of seeing it through. She doesn't have either the principles or the competence needed.
If the Tories lose, I would say Theresa is in a great position to become LOTO and possibly PM in 2020.
If Cameron wins then the earliest time they'll be a vacancy is after the 2017 referendum, in which case I'd say her time will come and go (but that's also true of Osborne and Boris)
Timing is everything in politics.
The scope of serious crime prevention orders will be extended – erm…not sure. ‘Serious crime’ refers to organized crime so yup, probably OK.
Knowingly participating in an organised crime group - yup, join the Mafia or Al Qaeda and do some bird. OK with that.
The possession of "paedophilic manuals" will be made a criminal offence. – Yup, there is no excuse whatever for buying pictures of men raping children and thus creating a market for such. OK with that.
There will be tougher sentences for cybercriminals and those disabling computer systems. – Erm…probably OK. Genuine e-vandalism definitely should be a crime. Possible woolly zone in the hacking/Snowden/public interest area.
A new offence of causing psychological harm to children through parental neglect will be created. – No. This is out and out bollocks and must surely come from the Lib Dems.
Habitual as well as permanent residents of the UK will be liable for prosecution for female genital mutilation. – Ok with that. Bastards.
Those suspected of attending terrorist training camps abroad, such as in Syria, and other acts preparatory to terrorism will be liable for prosecution in the UK – OK with that. Cu#^s.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4690550.stm
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/article1948507.ece
You seem delighted that the Americans don't worry about those pesky civil liberties' concerns in this case.
It is not what he has done to date but what he is yet to deliver.
Not electing him as leader in 2017 would be like busting the bank at a casino then walking out without tipping the croupier.
At the time, she was only known for two things: her 'nasty party' observation, and her shoes. She seemed pretty happy to be famous for the latter, and for her profile to be raised by the former. She was not popular.
Now, I don't doubt she's ambitious and a survivor. She's also clearly diligent, and a very hard worker. She has probably shaved off 25-35,000 off the annual net immigration numbers through her reforms, but nothing like the 55-70% reduction to the 'tens of thousands' she promised.
I don't rule anything out. But I'll need a lot more convincing from her supporters to even begin to believe she's the answer for the future Conservative Party. For many of the reasons Socrates identifies. I just don't trust her.
Basically, you are asking the intelligence services to find terrorists by magic, without doing any of the intelligence work. You can't have it both ways: if you want the Hamzas of this world to be prosecuted, and terrorist attacks to be averted, someone has to figure out where to start looking. The only way to do that is to follow millions and millions of links, almost all of them completely innocent.
That is a long way indeed from the sort of Big Brother state you are so keen on defending.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/ukip-mep-nathan-gill-employed-dozens-of-immigrants-and-kept-them-in-bunkhouses-9485018.html
Mr Jones will be livid.
Now tell me how the intelligence services are supposed to find these people in order to know they should be bugged.
Here are four names of people, who, with the benefit of hindsight, we now know should have been monitored more actively - it they had been, 52 lives could have been saved:
Mohammad Sidique Khan
Shehzad Tanweer
Germaine Lindsay
Hasib Hussain
If I understand you correctly. you want people like that bugged (even though they had committed no obvious crime) - how the hell do you want the intelligence services to know they should be bugged?
“If we hadn’t employed people from overseas, we’d have been called racist. The fact that we did employ immigrants is leading to charges of hypocrisy. But Ukip has never said it wants to stop all immigration – it wants to limit the numbers.”
Oh dear. I always said it would end in tears.
Don't look for the candidate with the most friends, look for the candidate with the fewest enemies.
twitter.com/KevinBrennanMP/status/474180367759708160/photo/1